Harlem Shuffle.

Colson Whitehead’s last two novels, The Underground Railroad and The Nickel Boys, both won the Pulitzer Prize for Fiction, making him the first Black author to win that prize twice. Both were serious novels, the first with fantastical elements to try to tell a familiar story in a new way, the latter more straightforward, but neither presaged what he’s done in his latest novel, Harlem Shuffle, which is funnier, more action-packed, and just generally more entertaining.

Harlem Shuffle is the story of two men in that part of Manhattan in the early 1960s. Raymond, the son of a crook who has become an entrepreneur, owns a furniture store in Harlem that caters to the customers the white-owned stores downtown won’t serve. Freddie, his ne’er-do-well cousin, has been getting Ray in trouble since they were kids, and this time, he lands Ray smack in the middle of a heist that has half of Harlem looking for them, and involves Ray with the kind of people he never wanted to be involved with – the people with whom his father did jobs, that is. When a mobster’s goons show up at the store, and a crooked cop does too, things go pear-shaped for the cousins, leaving Raymond to try to find a way to clean up the mess and protect his family. Meanwhile, Ray’s situation at home is always tenuous. He needs a bigger house for his growing family, while his in-laws continue to look down on him as the son of a crook, which makes him not good enough for their daughter. He’s already conflicted about taking any money from Freddie’s shenanigans, but now anything he gets from the big score would help him move to a better place … while also risking further scorn from his in-laws and even the trust of his wife.

My experience with Whitehead is limited to the two novels that won him the Pulitzer, both of which were weighted down with heavy themes and only lightened by Whitehead’s remarkable prose and rich characterization. Here, Whitehead gets to have some fun, even though there are undercurrents of violence, internecine warfare in Harlem’s Black community, white cops assaulting Black citizens (including the real Harlem riots of 1964, which occur right around Ray’s store and shut down much of the commerce on which he depends), and more. There’s also a subtle theme of the growing divide within the Black community between the upwardly mobile and those still held down by the extensive obstacles of the time and the history of oppression that still limits Black Americans’ economic opportunities today.

I’ve seen media coverage of Harlem Shuffle that makes it sound like a heist novel – possibly pushed by the publisher – but it’s more heist-adjacent, since Ray doesn’t participate in the heist itself, just in the misadventures that follow when you steal something that a very powerful and violent person would not want to have stolen. Whitehead adapts one of the best aspects of the heist genre, or just the hard-boiled crime genre in general – the array of eccentric and often funny side characters that populate many of those novels. A thief named Pepper who worked with Ray’s dad turns out to be a pivotal character as the novel progresses. Miami Joe is one of the main antagonists in the first part of the novel. Chet the Vet is so-called because he went to vet school for all of a month before turning to crime. Between these fun, if only morally compromised, side characters and Whitehead’s ability to shift between the highbrow prose of his award-winning novels and the vernacular of his 1960s setting, Harlem Shuffle was a blast to read, perhaps an entrée into his work for folks who want to start with some lighter fare before reading his two more serious books.

Next up: David Ewalt’s Of Dice and Men, recommended to me by Foxing lead singer/songwriter (and longtime D&D player) Connor Murphy.

Stick to baseball, 10/2/21.

For subscribers to the Athletic, I posted my hypothetical ballots for the six major postseason awards. Fans are taking it extremely well, as you might imagine.

On my podcast, I spoke with Conor Murphy of the band Foxing, talking about their new album Draw Down the Moon and our mutual interest in games – he’s particularly into D&D and Magic: the Gathering, but we talk a lot about tabletop games we both enjoy. They’re hitting the road next week with Manchester Orchestra and I’m bummed I’ll be in Arizona for Fall League when they come through my area. You can hear their newest album on Spotify, and you can subscribe to my podcast on Spotify or iTunes. I was also on the Athletic Baseball Show again on Friday, where you can hear me say Dylan Carlson might be a breakout candidate for 2022, which I recorded a few hours before he hit 2 homers against the Brewers.

Over at Paste, I recapped my experience at Gen Con, running through every game I saw or played at the convention, and ranked the ten best games I tried.

I’ve been better about sending out my email newsletter this past month, with this week’s edition talking about how challenging I’ve found my role as an adjunct at a local university. And, as the holidays approach, I’ll remind you all every week that I have two books out, The Inside Game and Smart Baseball, that would make great gifts for the readers (especially baseball fans) on your lists

And now, the links…

  • Longreads first: The Guardian profiles Prof. Steven Pinker, a cognitive psychologist and bestselling author who has emerged as a major celebrity in the culture wars while allying himself with some disreputable figures, including the white supremacist blogger Steve Sailer. Pinkerite, a blog dedicated to exposing Pinker’s links to bogus “race science” proponents, asks if this column is “the end of the gentlemen’s agreement” to avoid asking Pinker about his history of defending and working with white supremacists.
  • Zach Helfand writes in The New Yorker about the imminent arrival of the automated strike zone and the loss of the human element. I disagree with the basic premise here – as you might have guessed – but there’s one point worth bearing in mind: The actual strike zone is probably a lot smaller than the de facto one umpires call, and that might mean more walks and longer games.
  • From October of 2020, WIRED looks at the cultural problems that have bedeviled Amazon’s attempts to buy its way into the gaming market.
  • My colleague Meg Linehan wrote a powerful investigative report on NWSL coach Paul Riley’s history of abusive behavior towards his players, including rape, after which his employers, the North Carolina Courage, terminated him within hours.
  • A 2019 book called The Psychology of Pandemics presaged much of our country’s reaction to this current one.
  • Pitcher Kieran Lovegrove came out as bisexual, making him just the second player ever in affiliated baseball to do so and the closest player to the majors as well.
  • A 10-year-old girl in Virginia died of COVID-19 after she was told to walk sick kids in her class to the nurse.
  • As more evidence emerges against the COVID-19 “lab leak” theory, why does the mainstream media continue to push it?
  • Youtube appears to be finally moving to ban all anti-vaccine content.
  • The New York Times did what it too often does, highlighting the views of the deranged few, here talking to New York state health care workers who said they’d choose job loss over vaccination, but I think there’s a subtle message here: These people will use any loophole they can find to avoid the consequences of their choices, like claiming a religious exemption they don’t merit.
  • Yale historian Dr. Beverly Gage resigned as head of the school’s Program in Grand Strategy, citing the school’s unwillingness to fend off influence from conservative donors, including San Francisco Giants owner Charles Johnson, whom you might remember from his donations to Lauren Boebert and Madison Cawthorn.
  • UNC officials met with an Israeli diplomat who pressured them to remove a teacher who criticized Israeli policy while teaching a class on the Palestinian-Israeli conflict.
  • South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem (R) used her office to pressure a subordinate to issue Noem’s daughter a real estate appraiser’s license, according to the Argus-Leader.
  • Toxic microbial blooms on freshwater lakes and rivers may be a harbinger of a coming mass extinction event.
  • The New York Times’ Pete Wells offered an unflattering review of Eleven Madison Park’s new $335 vegan tasting menu.
  • Board game news: Days of Wonder is selling pink train sets for Ticket to Ride, with $2 from each $4.95 going to the Breast Cancer Research Foundation.
  • The massive 4X game Voidfall, from European publisher Mindclash, is nearing $1MM raised already on Kickstarter.
  • Queen Games is publishing four Stefan Feld “city collection” games, three of which are reimplementations of older games of his (Bruges, Macao, and Rialto) and one of which is new, with a deluxe edition bundle that costs $695. (Not a typo.) I’m not linking to that nonsense, but I am linking to this video critique of Feld’s cultural appropriation in the game Marrakesh, including an embarrassing photo of him in a fez holding some sort of chain to an invisible camel. That this is still happening in 2021 – seven years after Bruno Cathala put actual slave cards in Five Tribes, which is the first major outcry to result in a change to a game that I can remember – boggles my mind. Whether you agree that this is cultural appropriation, or merely harmless appreciation, it was completely unnecessary, and says to me that no one around Feld or Queen thought to say, “hey, maybe this is a bad idea.”

Music update, September 2021.

Whew. That turned out to be an epic month for new music, with my top album of 2021 so far dropping on the first Friday, a bunch of returns from old favorites, even some tracks from artists I didn’t love who surprised me with great new material. That means this playlist is one of my longest ever – 29 songs and 104 minutes. Enjoy. You can access the playlist here if you can’t see the widget below.

Little Simz feat. Obongjayar – Point and Kill. I’ve said a few times now that Sometimes I Might Be Introvert is my favorite album of 2021, and this track, featuring the Nigerian singer Obongjayar, is a major reason, one of the many standouts on the record along with the title track, “I Love You, I Hate You,” “Woman,” and more.

Sleigh Bells – True Seekers. My favorite track from this duo since “Rill Rill” over a decade ago. Their music can be so deliberately abrasive that it often turns me away even when there’s a good vocal hook, but this song is a sort of anti-pop anthem that I can’t get out of my head.

Hatchie – This Enchanted. I loved the melodies in Hatchie’s first album and earlier singles, all in the sort of dream-pop sound that reminded me of early Cranberries or Lush, but her voice is a little bit soft and I think she fares better when the production puts her voice down into the music rather than out front. This new single does just that and it’s among her best so far.

Snail Mail – Valentine. Lindsey Jordan, who records as Snail Mail, is now all of 22 years old, and her second album, also called Valentine,

Parcels – Somethinggreater. I was not familiar with Parcels at all before hearing this track, but I’m all in on this funky, R&B-inflected pop gem. It’s the third single they’ve released ahead of the double album they’re putting out on November 5th.

Frank Turner – Haven’t Been Doing So Well. Love when Turner gets into his punk roots more, which he really does here as on “1933” or “Recovery.”

The War on Drugs Feat. Lucius – I Don’t Live Here Anymore. At least Adam Granduciel is just leaning into the Bob Dylan thing, singing “a creature void of form” on this song before name-checking Dylan directly. The singers from Lucius bring a lot to the chorus here, too.

Cœur de Pirate – On s’aimera toujours. Béatrice seems to be locked into singing in French these days, which is fine, as I think her voice is beautiful, as is the language, although I feel like the U.S. audience is going to miss out on some great indie-pop because of it. If you’re wondering, the title means “We will always love each other.”

Jerro & Panama – Lost for Words. Producer Jerro’s debut album comes out today, and this single features Australian producer Panama, who appeared on several of my playlists in the mid-teens with “Always” and “Hope for Something.”

Obongjayar & Sarz – Sweetness. And here’s a track from Obongjayar’s latest EP of the same name, also featuring the Nigerian musician/producer Sarz, an Afrobeats-centric record with a heavy dose of ’80s R&B.

Bartees Strange – Weights. Strange is an avowed fan of the National, but I like him anyway, and here it sounds like he merged the National with the Hold Steady while adding his own vocal flourishes. It’s more than the sum of its parts.

Pond – Human Touch. These Aussie psych-rockers just released their ninth album, simply called 9, today, with this as the second track and third single released ahead of the record, along with the also strong “America’s Cup.” Their brand of psychedelic rock emphasizes groove over the hazy production more typical of the genre.

The Lottery Winners feat. KT Tunstall – Dance With the Devil. I’ve been on the Lottery Winners for a few months now, but just discovered that the bio on their Youtube channel calls them “a mob of four twits from a rubbish working class town called Leigh, near Manchester.” Anyway, Something to Leave the House For, their second album, drops on October 29th.

Sam Fender – Get You Down. I wasn’t familiar with Fender’s work, although with a name like that, you’d better play one. He’s pretty popular in the UK, with his first album hitting #1 and his second due out on October 8th, with a sort of emo-tinged indie-rock that I think could play pretty well here too.

Zeal & Ardor – Bow. The gospel/black metal fusion isn’t quite so present here – there’s some distorted guitars at the back of the mix, but this minimalist track from Manuel Gagneux puts his vocals front and center, where they belong.

Yard Act – The Overload. I feel like this particular brand of post-punk music only works if you have a working-class English accent, so that the deadpan talk-sung lyrics sound charming rather than offputting. Whatever the reason, it works for me.

Stereophonics – Hanging on Your Hinges. The Guardian‘s final tracks of the week column called this song “the biggest pile of sh**,” but this song, while not exactly vintage Stereophonics, rocks. That’s a great riff that carries the whole track.

Eels – Good Night on Earth. I didn’t realize Mark Oliver Everett – sometimes known simply as E – was still churning out albums every two years or so, but so it is. This track wouldn’t be out of place on Electro-Shock Blues, which is high praise. Also, I need to say this pretty much every time I talk about Eels: E’s father, Hugh Everett III, came up with the many-worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics. What’s the cooler legacy: that, or “Novocaine for the Soul?”

Talk Show – Underworld. I feel like at some point this new wave revivalist band will run into trouble thanks to the one-album act of the same name that included three members of Stone Temple Pilots (without Scott Weiland). “Underworld,” the first release off their EP Touch the Ground, due out in early 2022, straddles the genres of new wave and post-punk, like someone remixed a Gang of Four track.

Mini Trees – Carrying On. Lexi Vega, who records as Mini Trees, just released her debut album, Always in Motion, two weeks ago, featuring this lush dream-pop track and earning some extremely positive reviews already.

Ovlov – Land of Steve-O. Ovlov doesn’t release much music – their 2018 album Tru is their only LP since 2013’s am – but their sound is still intact, very ’90s Dinosaur Jr./Sebadoh lo-fi fuzz-rock.

Parquet Courts – Black Widow Spider. I have never been a fan of Parquet Courts, or Parkay Quartz as they once called themselves, but this song is fantastic. It’s off Sympathy for Life, their seventh album, which comes out today.

Aeon Station – Queens. Aeon Station is Kevin Whelan, bassist and co-founder of the dormant band The Wrens, along with two other members of the Wrens. Their first album, Observatory, comes out in December, and includes five tracks Whelan wrote for the never-completed fourth Wrens album. Charles Bissell, the guitarist and co-founder of the Wrens, is not involved, and has said that band is now “dead” and he’ll release his own solo work. It sounds like a big mess. Anyway, I wasn’t familiar with The Wrens at all before this track, but it’s good.

Mastodon – Pushing the Tides. These metal stalwarts’ eighth album, Hushed and Grim, comes out on the 29th. This track, the first single released off the album, veers back more towards the heavier technical metal of their early career, and while I loved their last record’s more accessible sound, I’m good with just about any direction Mastodon wants to take – as long as they don’t release their version of the Black album.

Thrice – Summer Set Fire to the Rain. Featuring Puig Destroyer drummer Riley Breckenridge, Thrice will release their eleventh album, Horizons/East, next Friday.

Monolord – The Weary. This is the first track I’ve heard from this Swedish doom metal band, with some stoner metal influences here as well, so this is more than just the eight thousandth version of Cathedral or another Sabbath ripoff.

Black Map – Chasms. I thought Black Map, which comprises members of several other bands (Dredg, Far, The Trophy Fire), was a one-off project, but they’re back, with the same style of classic metal with hints of prog.

Iron Maiden – Days of Future Past. Obligatory, although I maintain that the vocal melodies are beyond Bruce Dickinson’s capabilities at this point and end up detracting from the song.

Carcass – The Scythe’s Remorseless Swing. They’re back, with their first album in eight years and only their second in the last quarter-century. Torn Arteries includes this track, which has an incredible 70-second instrumental opening, as well as 2019’s “Under the Scalpel Blade.” I don’t think their sound has changed or evolved much if at all since Surgical Steel, which was the best extreme metal album of the last decade and maybe the best metal album of the decade, period, but I’m okay with this. Carcass more or less perfected melodic death metal, and while I could do without some of the blast beats and will never really enjoy the death growls, the guitar and bass work here is just incredible.

The best books about writing.

I put out a call on Twitter for writers’ suggestions of resources for the students I’m teaching this fall in a Mass Communications class at a local university, and you did not let me down, with over 100 responses to the tweet and a few emails as well. I decided after I saw all of your replies to turn it into a post here, so that everyone could see the list more easily.

Twelve books earned at least two votes apiece. The runaway winner, unsurprisingly, was Stephen King’s On Writing, which garnered 25 mentions. In second place, with eight mentions was Anne Lamott’s Bird by Bird, edging out William Zinsser’s On Writing Well: The Classic Guide to Writing Nonfiction by one vote. Verlyn Klinkenborg’s Several Short Sentences About Writing, Benjamin Dreyer’s Dreyer’s English: An Utterly Correct Guide to Clarity and Style, and Roy Peter Clark’s How to Write Short: Word Craft for Fast Times rounded out the top six, all of which earned at least three mentions from you. I have read … none of these. Clearly, I have some work to do. Maybe some day I’ll be a good writer!

Here’s the complete list of books that you mentioned, which I’ve also tried to categorize by subject where possible (going off others’ descriptions, since I haven’t read any of them myself). I have picked up Harold Evans’ Do I Make Myself Clear for my Kindle, since it’s on sale for $3.99 right now, and put in hold requests at my library for several others. I have ranked them within each category by how many of you mentioned each book, with that number in parentheses if it’s greater than one. All links below go to Bookshop.org, from which I receive a commission for any sales through this site. Please don’t feel obligated to buy here – you can and should ask your local independent bookstore, or hit the library instead. If you have other recommendations that didn’t make it into this post, please leave them in the comments below.

General writing

On Writing, by Stephen King (25 mentions)

Bird by Bird, by Anne Lamott (8)

Zen in the Art of Writing: Essays on Creativity, by Ray Bradbury (2)

The Writer’s Notebook: Craft Essays from Tin House, various authors

The Lively Art of Writing, by Lucile Payne

Conversations on Writing, by Ursula K. Le Guin

Writing Tools: 55 Essential Strategies for Every Writer, by Roy Peter Clark

10 Rules of Writing, Elmore Leonard

What I Talk About When I Talk About Running, by Haruki Murakami

Style

Several Short Sentences About Writing, by Verlyn Klinkenborg (4)

How to Write Short: Word Craft for Fast Times, by Roy Peter Clark (3)

Artful Sentences: Syntax as Style, by Virginia Tufte (2)

How to Write a Sentence: And How to Read One, by Stanley Fish

The Elements of Eloquence: How to Turn the Perfect English Phrase, by Mark Forsyth

The Reader Over Your Shoulder: A Handbook for Writers of English Prose, by Robert Graves

Sin & Syntax: How to Craft Wicked Good Prose, by Constance Hale

First You Write a Sentence: The Elements of Reading, Writing … and Life, by Joe Moran

The Sense of Style: The Thinking Person’s Guide to Writing in the 21st Century, by Steven Pinker

Spunk & Bite: A Writer’s Guide to Bold, Contemporary Style, by Arthur Plotnick

Reading Like a Writer: A Guide for People Who Love Books and for Those Who Want to Write Them, by Francine Prose

The Elements of Style, by William Strunk & E.B. White

Style: Toward Clarity and Grace, by Joseph Williams

Fiction writing

Save the Cat!, series by Blake Snyder (2)

Writing the Novel, by Lawrence Block

Writing Fiction, by Janet Burroway

How to Write an Autobiographical Novel, by Alexander Chee

The Art of Fiction: Notes on Craft for Young Writers, by John Gardner

Adventures in the Screen Trade: A Personal View of Hollywood and Screenwriting, by William Goldman

Danse Macabre, by Stephen King

Method and Madness: The Making of a Story, by Alice LaPlante

Steering the Craft: A Twenty-First-Century Guide to Sailing the Sea of Story, by Ursula K. Le Guin

The Plot Thickens: 8 Ways to Bring Fiction to Life, by Noah Lukeman

Story: Substance, Structure, Style, and the Principles of Screenwriting, by Robert McKee

Consider This: Moments in My Writing Life after Which Everything Was Different, by Chuck Palahniuk

Anatomy of Story: 22 Steps to Becoming a Master Storyteller, by John Truby

The Wonderbook, by John Vandermeer

On Writing, by Eudora Welty

The Kick-ass Writer: 1001 Ways to Write Great Fiction, Get Published, and Earn Your Audience, by Chuck Wendig

How Fiction Works, by James Wood

Nonfiction

On Writing Well: The Classic Guide to Writing Nonfiction, by William Zinsser (4)

Draft #4: On the Writing Process, by John McPhee (2)

Handling the Truth: On the Writing of Memoir, by Beth Kephart

Follow the Story: How to Write Successful Nonfiction, by James B. Stewart

Persuasive writing

Made to Stick: Why Some Ideas Survive and Others Die, by Chip & Dan Heath

They Say, I Say: The Moves That Matter in Academic Writing, by Cathy Birkenstein and Gerald Graff

Writing to Persuade: How to Bring People Over to Your Side, by Trish Hall

Scientific Advertising, by Claude Hopkins

Thank You for Arguing: What Aristotle, Lincoln, and Homer Simpson Can Teach Us about the Art of Persuasion, by Jay Heinrichs

Goal, Motivation and Conflict, by Debra Dixon

Grammar

It Was the Best of Sentences, It Was the Worst of Sentences, by June Casagrande

Dreyer’s English: An Utterly Correct Guide to Clarity and Style, by Benjamin Dreyer

The Deluxe Transitive Vampire: The Ultimate Handbook of Grammar for the Innocent, the Eager, and the Doomed, by Karen Gordon

How Language Works, by John McWhorter – out of print

Eats Shoots and Leaves: The Zero Tolerance Approach to Punctuation, by Lynne Truss

Clarity

Legal Writing in Plain English, by Bryan Garner

Do I Make Myself Clear: Why Writing Well Matters, by Harold Evans

Writing without Bullshit:  Boost Your Career by Saying What You Mean, by Josh Bernoff

The Reader Over Your Shoulder: A Handbook for Writers of English Prose, by Robert Graves

Creativity

Writing Down the Bones: Freeing the Writer Within, by Natalie Goldberg

The War of Art: Break Through the Blocks and Win Your Inner Creative Battles, by Steven Pressfield

How Writers Journey to Comfort and Fluency: A Psychological Adventure, by Robert Boice (out of print)

Journalism

Associated Press Guide to News Writing, by Rene Cappon

The Art and Craft of Feature Writing: Based on the Wall Street Journal Guide, by William Blundell

The New New Journalism: Conversations with America’s Best Nonfiction Writers on Their Craft, by Robert Boynton

Poetry

The Real West Marginal Way, by Richard Hugo

Writing Poems, by Robert Wallace

Everything else

The Pyramid Principle, by Barbara Minto (business writing)

Becoming a Writer, Staying a Writer: The Artistry, Joy, and Career of Storytelling, by J. Michael Straczynski (writing as a career)

The Copyeditor’s Handbook, by Amy Einsohn (editing)

My Turf: Horses, Boxers, Blood Money, and the Sporting Life, by William Nack (essays)

Modern English Usage, by Bryan Garner (language)

Meander, Spiral, Explode: Design and Pattern in Narrative, by Jane Alison (narrative structure)

Words on Words: A Dictionary for Writers and Others Who Care about Words, by John Bremner (vocabulary)

Stick to baseball, 9/24/21.

For subscribers to the Athletic, I named my Prospect of the Year for 2021, going through a number of the top candidates this year (and there were too many to include), and two weeks ago I profiled Austin Riley’s transformation from a low-OBP hitter with exploitable holes to a downballot MVP candidate. I also held a Klawchat on Friday.

I spoke to Joe Posnanski on my podcast this week, talking about his new book, The Baseball 100, which comes out on Tuesday. You can buy it here. And you can subscribe to my podcast on iTunes and Spotify.

Over at Paste, I ranked the ten best games that are currently out of print, and my Gen Con wrapup should be up today or maybe on Monday.

I sent out a new edition of my free email newsletter this week. And, as the holidays approach, I’ll remind you all every week that I have two books out, The Inside Game and Smart Baseball, that would make great gifts for the readers (especially baseball fans) on your lists.

Klawchat 9/24/21.

Starting at 1 pm ET. My 2021 Prospect of the Year column is now up for subscribers to the Athletic, and my ranking of the ten best out-of-print board games is up at Paste.

Keith Law: It’s that time of year again – I can taste the air. Klawchat.

Steve: Please rank eventual ceiling of Rays’ pitchers  McClanahan, Baz, and Patino. Thanks.
Keith Law: One of those guys was top 5 on my midseason prospect ranking. He’s the clear answer. I also think McClanahan is limited to a five-and-dive starter – if he stays healthy – because he’s always going to have some trouble with right-handers.

Deke: I’ve noticed you appear to be fairly adamant about not ending a sentence with a preposition, sometimes (IMO) to the detriment of the sentence’s flow. It’s a rule that was taken from Latin and has no actual application in English — essentially a fake rule forced into a rule it doesn’t belong. I am basically 100% sure that you know this, so I’m curious — do you do it because you think the rule SHOULD apply, or just to avoid annoying pedants yelling at you and having to go through the conversation?
Keith Law: I write the way that sounds right in my head. Prepositions take objects, so a preposition should come before an object if possible. The terminal preposition just sounds wrong to me. The Latin thing is a myth though.

David: Do you have any thoughts on how Preller has kept this job so long? He’s certainly acquired considerable minor league talent, but the organization has shown a remarkably poor ability to assess talent at or near the major-league level during his tenure (Myers’ extension and the signing of Hosmer being perhaps the most egregious examples, but certainly not the only ones), and none of the managers he’s chosen have worked out very well. I can’t help thinking that it’s time for ownership to clean house and hire someone with a different approach (Jason McLeod?).
Keith Law: I wonder if Hosmer was him or ownership. It’s diametrically opposed to anything else he’s done as GM. As you said, they have acquired an absurd amount of talent, through all channels, and I don’t think one year of some horrible injury luck should outweigh that. The fire Preller camp is extremely reactionary.

Michael: Hi Keith – Any thoughts on the NL MVP race?  I know Tatis and Soto have had great years, but watching Harper the last few weeks has been a revelation. I am shocked when opposing managers pitch to him he is so locked in. Thanks for the chat!
Keith Law: If I had a ballot – I don’t, of course, because the powers that be don’t want me to vote – I’d have Harper on top. Tatis is the best player in baseball, but he’s missed 25+ games, and that’s a factor in the MVP award.

Guest: Would love to see Sam Bachman get some work in the AZFL. He hasn’t pitched since Sept. 1st after COVID protocols in High-A, and then again after his promotion to AA. With only 14IP in pro ball would you send him to AZ or sit him down knowing he’s been throwing on and off since Feb.?
Keith Law: I’d love to see him, but since he had a shoulder scare in the spring, resting him is probably the better option. Start fresh next year with a single plan for the entire season.

Devon: What’s your outlook on William Contreras? I think he’s actually looked really good at the plate (given his age and big defensive responsibilities) but Braves fans have been frustrated by his defense. Do you think he just needs more reps behind the plate or is a move off the position necessary to keep the bat in the lineup?
Keith Law: I have never thought before that his defense was a problem –  if you read my pre-season capsule on him, you can see I was pretty positive about it – and I also think judging a catcher in his first year in the majors is probably unfair.

Mike: Keith, I know we can’t scout the stat line, but it seems Mark Vientos had a great year. I read his defense is not great though. What are your thoughts on him?
Keith Law: He can hit, and the power is legit. I had him as a fringy defender before the season and it sounds like that’s about right … maybe even a tick worse. But they already have more first basemen than they can use, so I wouldn’t try to move him just yet.

Trevor: You’ve touted the Mets and their home grown talent, yet no playoff appearances amongst the group since 2016. Failure fall on the players, the front office, or other?
Keith Law: You kind of skipped over the part where they hired a completely unqualified person to be GM (when they could have hired Chaim Bloom) and let him trade away their top prospect for nowhere near enough in return.

Troy: What is the Tigers Ryan Kreidler ceiling?
Keith Law: I saw him this summer – I think he’s an extra guy.

Mac: Are you feeling better about Jarred Kelenic’s long term future?
Keith Law: Yes. I was never actually worried about him – the gap between the minors and the majors right now appears to be the biggest it’s ever been. A lot of good prospects are going to struggle right out of the chute.

Mike: Keith, you are named POBO of the Mets. What do you do with Stroman, Conforto & Syndergaard? Who do you sign/ offer QO?
Keith Law: I’d offer all three. Take the picks if they leave. And I’d have interest in bringing all three guys back, too – the first two on long-term deals, Thor maybe a make-good one since he’ll be working his way back into next year.

Tim: Should the winner of the NL West with the best record in baseball have the choice of who they want to play vs. mandating they play the wildcard winner in the Division Series?  This year more than ever it would seem the Brewers are going to have the advantage of facing a much weaker team regardless of who wins the east and who wins the wildcard game.
Keith Law: Nah, the system is what it is. I have issues with the playoff structure but the #1 seed facing the second-weakest team rather than the weakest team isn’t one of them.

Mike: Klaw, I read some executives say Cohen’s tweets will scare some people away from the Mets. Do you believe this? Big market team/wealthy owner (still feels good to say that), why wouldn’t anyone want the job, especially for top $$$.
Keith Law: I think it’s complete bullshit. And so are these candidate lists that recycle the same white men who’ve had that job before. I saw one “list” that included a guy who clearly failed in previous stops as a GM. Why would the Mets do that? There are plenty of good candidates out there, some of whom haven’t had the opportunity yet, some of whom aren’t – gasp – the same white men who’ve already had that chance!

Billy: Will you be chatting every week again come this off-season?  These are the highlight of the internet each week.
Keith Law: I appreciate that, but it’ll really depend on what else I have going on.

Trevor: Kevin Maitan was said to be the greatest international signee since Miguel Sano. What did the scouts miss about his profile?
Keith Law: I don’t believe I ever said that – he was hyped up at age 14 but he was already very physically developed for the age, and at 16/17 he made it clear that those evaluations were in error. He wasn’t that good of a hitter and his body had gone the wrong way.

John: Your thoughts on Austin Martin?  Where does he help the Twins ? CF?   Next year?
Keith Law: I’d refer you back to my writeup of the trade – I think that all holds true. We’ll see how he looks in March after the Twins have had a chance to work with him on his swing, and once he’s farther removed from the wrist injury/

John: Why do you folks think Trump is still presidential material?  Amazing how much loyalty he attracts even with his craziness.
Keith Law: He exploits his adherents, still they love him.

Luca: Keibert Ruiz and Joe Ryan…yay or nay?
Keith Law: They’re both prospects, yes. Ruiz was on my top 50 (see above).

Friar Fan: Meulens, Alomar Jr, Alou, Boch? Have a prediction for a new manager in SD if Ting goes?
Keith Law: If Preller is picking, it’s more likely someone he knows from the Texas system. Those sound like names that reporters throw around.

Chris: If you had to pick one long term, Kelenic or Julio?
Keith Law: Kelenic. Middle of the diamond player.

Kevin: Is the complete game going away ? How would you run a pitching staff?
Keith Law: Oh it’s gone. CGs are oddities now.

Zac: When Chris Illitch took over, the public opinion is he was in to make money and he won’t spend money to win. Do Tigers fans have the right to be angry if he doesn’t sign one of the premium shortstops this off-season?
Keith Law: I hate that mindset – sign one of these players, or you suck.

Alex In Austin: I found Wingspan to be a bit too solo and lacking interaction.  Is it just me?
Keith Law: It does lack much interaction. I don’t think that’s a flaw; it’s a matter of taste.

Scherzers_Blue_Eye: What do you make of Josiah Gray? Very up and down rookie year–a couple of really good starts, a couple of stinkers.
Keith Law: I think there’s a lot of learning how best to use the stuff he has there. He has the stuff to be a legit above-average starter. He has to use it more effectively – location, command, pitching plan.

CHOP: Indigo Diaz? What are the reports you have heard?
Keith Law: He’s a one-inning reliever. He could be very good in that role in the majors, but the attrition rate of pure relief prospects is really high.

Robert: Arte Moreno, worst owner in baseball? The sheer number of terrible stories coming out of Anaheim, from the Skaggs tragedy and lawsuit to the minor league treatment, that don’t even approach the problems within the lines is nothing short of embarrassing.
Keith Law: Don’t forget his open support of Trump!

Mac: Is the elimination of short season the only reason so many teams had so aggressive assignments this year?
Keith Law: It is *a* reason. I don’t think it’s the only one. I think it’s hurting the lowest tier of players, though.

Hunter: Thoughts on our current administrations performance. Afgan, border, covid, oil, Hunters laptop cover up, seem to not be going so well. Haven’t seen any criticism from you yet.
Keith Law: Your mistake was the “Hunters laptop cover up” part. You are actually looking for r/thedonald.

Bill: Thoughts on Mountcastle’s season?
Keith Law: Kind of what I expected. Not sure where they’re going to play him long term.

Ben: Hi, Keith. Heard on your podcast that you came to Taiwan to meet with two former players in Keng Buo Hsuen and Cheng Chi Hong,. As a scout, what are some of the biggest challenges when scouting players outside the U.S.?
Keith Law: I’m not sure I’m the best person to answer that, since I haven’t really covered the international market. I can say that the way Taiwanese amateur pitchers are used – throwing side sessions every day, at least back when we were there – is a pretty big problem if you’re trying to sign guys and keep them healthy.

Will E.: Was Alek Thomas under-scouted out of HS? Looks like him vs Kelenic is now debatable as the top bat in that HS class.
Keith Law: Don’t think so – I had him as a first-round talent, and he was at some major events like the NHSI. Everyone saw him.

Chris: In the 20’ish years you’ve been doing prospect lists, what is the most you’ve seen a player in a year(in person, video)? Perhaps maybe like 25IP and 25 PA for a few players every year?
Keith Law: When Pratto/Melendez were here two years ago I probably saw 40-50 PA from each. I stopped taking notes because they weren’t making adjustments and it was futile waiting for something to improve. It’s all the more remarkable that they’ve done what they’ve done this year.

ProjectBiscuit: Has any player or his parents/close ones ever thanked you for being the high guy on him as a prospect compared to other evaluators? For example, I think Trae Turner’s dad thanked Kiley in person for being higher on him than most evaluators going back to when he and Rodon were teammates.
Keith Law: Yes, quite a few times. It’s a nice feeling when that happens but I don’t know if it would be appropriate to disclose their names.

Ken: Hey Keith, I was the guy on twitter a week or two ago arguing that Dave Parker shouldnt be in the HOF due based on  his career WAR and little value he provided after ’79 (other than ’85).  Broadly, speaking when I discuss WAR with others in terms of HOF, assuming standard 15 year career (ages 23-38) I working working with a model of anything over 70 is auto placement, anything under 60 doesnt get you there, 60 is where the conversation begins and really 68 is the minimal sweet spot thus i call a 4.5 WAR season a HOF worthy season.  Understanding everyone has a different floor for the HOF, am I off in my thinking using this as a loose but reasonable guideline for 15ish year careers?
Keith Law: I would say that’s a good starting point, but you always want to consider the context of a player’s career rather than just creating those hard cut-offs. I can say that, okay, Salvador Perez isn’t even getting to 40 WAR in his career, that’s not a HoFer, but I would take more serious looks at players starting in the 50s in WAR.

Rodney: Do you think it would’ve been in the best interests of player and team for the Reds to call Hunter Greene up to work out of the bullpen in September? Any thoughts on why they didn’t?
Keith Law: He missed a start with soreness in his AC joint in August. I’m assuming that’s why.

Famous Twitter User @Whitey_83: At this point, should any of the young outfielders in Atlanta’s system figure into the team’s 2022 plans?
Keith Law: I want to be open-minded on Pache, who did show a good bit more patience in AAA this year, but for a team that’s trying to win he might be a risk they can’t take in the short term. So probably not.

JL: No question, just wanted to plug for people to vote in their local elections this November. Here in Kansas, some anti-mask nuts are running for open seats and I imagine that’s happening throughout the rest of the country, too.
Keith Law: Amen.

Luis Robert: I am hitting .355/.393/.559 with a 160 wRC+ and .404 wOBA over my 262 PAs this season. That’s 3.1 fWAR in just 60 games. If I stay healthy next year, am I a top-5 player in baseball?
Keith Law: With a .424 BABIP. So, yes, if your true talent level is a .424 BABIP, you will be a top-5 player in baseball.

Bob: Seems like Adley Rutschman has gotten better at AAA. How long do we have to wait to see him in the big leagues in 2022?
Keith Law: I’d note that pretty much every prospect is hitting for more power in AAA than below. But Rutschman should be their Opening Day catcher.

David: Any update on the Rockies’ GM search? Local media seems resigned to Schmidt keeping the job, with the caveat that he might well be a good candidate in the end.  But having no external candidates seems like a real problem, given how the last few years have gone.
Keith Law: I bet it’s Schmidt. I’d take him over the field at this point.

Chris: How concerned should the Yankees be with Jasson Dominguez strikeout numbers? Is it just his adjustment after a lost season, or something more?
Keith Law: Isn’t he 18? in full-season ball!

JJ: Speaking of MVP voting, isn’t MLB concerned about John Henry owning both the Boston Red Sox and the Boston Globe?  Last season, Julian McWilliams of the Globe voted for two Red Sox on his ballot — including putting Alex Verdugo at 5th — while the team was hideous.  Does MLB just not care that one employee was essentially voting for his coworkers?
Keith Law: The team being hideous is irrelevant. The conflicts of interest are rife – MLB.com writers can vote, because they’re eligible for BBWAA membership now (as they should be), but that means they’re now paid by the league.

Jeff: Where do you come down on the Kiermaier fiasco? I say he did nothing wrong.
Keith Law: I say he did. Sketchy.

HGarcia81: Hey Keith – Hope all is well with you and your family. Is your wife feeling better now?
Keith Law: Still dealing with a lot of residual fatigue, even a month after she was done with the main sickness from COVID-19. I can’t imagine how deluded you must be to think you’d rather risk getting that sick than get a safe, effective vaccine.

MS: Frank Schwindel and Pat Wisdom starting next year?
Keith Law: I would bet against that.

Aaron C.: How does Klaw “watch” baseball? (Not just “with my eyes” lol) Is it background noise while you’re cooking? Are you armed with a list of recent call ups and flipping channels to get another look at players you’ve scouted? Do you watch milb dot tv, instead? Just curious.
Keith Law: MILB.tv is too frustrating to watch … it’s such a poor substitute for being there. I watch more major league games if I’m home, just bouncing game to game to see interesting players.

ChrisP: Gore has made it back up to AA, but are you hearing any update on how his delivery has progressed from the complex?
Keith Law: You’ve probably seen the video – Longenhagen posted some. That’s the delivery now.

FWIW: FWIW, Stroman can’t be QOed
Keith Law: Ah yes, he took a QO last year. Thank you.

MS: When you go to these board game conventions, where do you stand on nerd level 1-5; 5 being super nerd
Keith Law: I mean, we’re all big nerds there, and happy to be so.
Keith Law: I feel pretty socially capable there, though. Like, no one is looking at me like I’m the biggest nerd in the (giant) room. I think.

Kevin w: Overall, have you been happy with this administration?  I personally can quibble with a few things (lack of progress on voting rights being one), but overall been very pleased.
Keith Law: Yes, and yes. I have no idea what this Haitian immigrant decision is about – it seems antithetical to anything the party should stand for, like it’s just a fear of riling up the people who are never voting blue anyway. They’re just not doing enough overall, given the control of the White House and both houses of Congress.

Aaron C.: Should I read anything into Nick Allen slugging .254 at AAA-Las Vegas (in a teeny sample) other than dude might be worn out from crisscrossing the globe to hit a little white ball in 2021?
Keith Law: Very small sample.

Jay: Red Sox vs. Yankees this weekend — if one of those teams misses the playoffs with a $200 million payroll, should their season be viewed as a failure?
Keith Law: Not a fan of that mindset either but it’s endemic. They’re in a really tough division – four teams contending, one of which went to the WS last year, two spending that kind of money, and Toronto a strong playoff team last year with a higher payroll than they’ve had in, what, 15 years? They literally can not all make the playoffs.

Bob: I truly appreciate you baseball coverage, but personally think your a Liberal nut case.
Keith Law: *you’re

Gabe: Spencer Howard. Too early to throw in the towel?
Keith Law: Let’s see him get healthy and get a regular role in Texas. The phillies jerked him around quite a bit, and his shoulder barked a few times this year and back in 2019.

Bill G: Keith, you were high on Detmers in your mid-season update.  He struggled in his MLB games.  Is this SSS, or did you see something that gave you cause for concern.  Does the gap in MLB vs. minor leagues apply to pitchers as well?  Thanks.
Keith Law: I think it applies to everybody.

Dungeon Master: Any idea if CJ Abrams, Corbin Carroll, or Royce Lewis are recovered enough to participate in AZ Fall League?
Keith Law: I don’t know, but I am assuming Lewis won’t be, given the injury. I’d be thrlled to see any of them.

Joe: You recommended a book by N. K. Jemisin to me a while ago. It’s still on my reading list but I picked up The City We Became by the same author and am really enjoying it. Thanks. And when you’re in San Diego if you haven’t already checked out Mysterious Galaxy I recommend it.  Great book store that focuses on fantasy and sci-fi but does have other genres.
Keith Law: Excellent, thank you.

Mac: i.e. Alek Thomas “and he was at some major events like the NHSI. Everyone saw him.” He was bad at that event and many teams killed him. Yet another example of teams giving up on a northern hitter too soon.
Keith Law: I was there. He wasn’t bad at that event. And teams saw him after that too, since it was basically the start of his spring (and near the end of a lot of southern kids’ springs).

Mike: Also, Mets fans want Luis Rojas gone immediately after game 162 but I can’t help but see his resume as someone who is going to be a great manager elsewhere. I’m sure you know Rojas well from the minors, what are your thoughts on him going forward?
Keith Law: He should be on every team’s short list if he’s scapegoated in NY.

Rick: I have a friend from college who won’t stop texting me shit about “Hunter’s laptop” – he’s a doctor and he refuses to get the covid vaccine because of unknown long-term side effects. So, that guy is in good company.
Keith Law: It’s a disease.
Keith Law: Well, COVID-19, and Trumpism.

Matt: A national baseball reporter with an endless fixation on the Orioles rebuild tweeted today that, while the Dbacks are equally as bad, at least they tried and spent $80 million on Bumgarner. How do you feel about the perspective that even if you throw $80 million a way on an aging pitcher, it was worth just because you spent it?
Keith Law: I mean, sure, they did try, and that’s worth praising, but it also hasn’t worked out, and that’s worth acknowledging. I am not going to criticize the Orioles for choosing not to do that. They will have to spend on pitching at some point, but last winter wasn’t the right time and maybe this winter isn’t either.

Daniel: Any thoughts at all on Ryan Garko being hired as the Tigers director of player development? There’s basically no information about him since he retired from playing.
Keith Law: I’m a fan. He coached at Stanford for a year, had an important role with the Angels, very smart guy. Stanford should have hired him to be their head coach, to be honest.

Snoogans: Who are some early candidates for the top 10 songs of the year? Albums?
Keith Law: Little Simz’ Sometimes I Might Be Introvert is my top album of the year. Arlo Parks’ Collapsed in Sunbeams, Mdou Moctar’s Afrique Victime, Gojira’s Fortitude, and Kid Kapichi’s This Time Next Year are up there for me. Top songs besides some of the tracks on those records … Robert Plant/Alison Krauss’ “Can’t Let Go,” Jonah Nilsson’s “Diamond Ring,” Wolf Alice’s “Smile,” CHVRCHES’ “How Not to Drown,” Jungle’s “Truth,” Jorja Smith’s “Addicted,” Royal Blood’s “Typhoons,” and Griff’s “Black Hole” are all contenders.

Lido: Torey Luvollo got an extension yesterday. Good move or bad move?
Keith Law: I was surprised. People who cover that org tend to criticize his in-game management.

Jack: A bit confused by the Alek Thomas questions in this chat – does drafting a toolsy high school hitter in the second round and seeing them have significant prospect success a miss by the industry?  Not exactly Albert Pujols here
Keith Law: Yeah, I’m not really sure either. If I had him ranked in the first round, then it’s not like the industry was unaware of him.
Keith Law: Meaning I take a lot of my cues from scouts/execs – not the other way around.

Guest: Would people in red states not benefit just as much from things like child tax credit and universal pre-K? Are there not households with two working parents? Single parents?! So frustrating.
Keith Law: One of the great tricks of dark money efforts has been convincing people that expensive government policies and programs that would help them directly are somehow bad ideas.
Keith Law: There are real arguments for and against those programs. I support universal pre-K, but I also know it’s going to be expensive, and hard to implement fairly across the country (look at public education from K-12 … don’t pretend kids in majority Black areas are getting the same caliber that kids in majority white areas are). We could have a real debate over the pros and cons. That can’t happen because one side just screams “socialism.”

Pat: 30 years ago today- Nevermind, Badmotorfinger, Blood Sugar Sex Magik,& Low End theory were released. that’s the album that killed hair metal, the best album from one of the biggest bands of the last 35 years, Soundgarden’s breakthrough & a seminal hip hop album. Helluva day!
Keith Law: I mean, I have a hard time putting RHCP in the same tier as the other three … but I’ll allow it.

Larry: Alek Thomas has really been raking this year. Is his ceiling 60 hit, 55 power in center? If so, that’s a legit star, no?
Keith Law: I’m a big fan, obviously, but I do not believe he’ll get to 55 power.

Kevin: Would Rickey Henderson be valued different as a prospect now than when he came up 40 years ago?
Keith Law: If anything he’d be valued more highly.

Daniel: Aaron Ashby: starter or reliever or something in between?
Keith Law: Reliever.

Matt: My brother is a huge Trump supporter. He has a son on disability that would qualify for SSDI. He refuses to get it because he doesn’t “want any help from the Government.” Even though his taxes pay for it and it’s provided.
Keith Law: I feel bad for his son.

JP: I’d add, the dark money efforts you cited convince people that government programs help “those kinds” of people, if you know what I mean
Keith Law: You know who pours a lot of cash into those dark-money efforts? The Kendricks – owners of the Diamondbacks. Read Jane Mayer’s Dark Money for more. Randi Kendrick’s name comes up a few times.

Pat D: Tucker Carlson, Charlie Kirk, or Ben Shapiro: who’s the worst of the worst?
Keith Law: Carlson. With the larger platform comes greater responsibility.

Bob: The racist narrative is getting old.
Keith Law: You know what’s really getting old? The racism.

Larry: Talk to me about expensive programs when the Government isn’t Trillions of dollars in debt
Keith Law: If you can explain the actual import of that debt to me, we can talk.
Keith Law: Also, slash the military budget.

Joe 2: Follow up on Robert, assuming his BABIP isn’t sustainable, what is the ceiling?  30/30 with HR upside and middle of the road OBP with continued near gold glove defense?  Or is there potentially more?
Keith Law: That’s a ceiling. I’d bet on a lower OBP than that.

Matt: I mean we spent $8 Trillion on a BS war for 20 years. Conservatives never complain about that though.
Keith Law: No, and if you start to wonder why, just follow that money.

Pat: RE RHCP- There’s a reason I said “biggest” bands, not “best. 🙂 That said, I had a lot of good times in college listening to BSSM.
Keith Law: Fair point. And that album was huge while I was in college. I don’t think it’s aged as well as the others, though.
Keith Law: That’s all for this week – thanks for all of the questions and for reading. Check out that Prospect of the Year post I linked above, and keep an eye out for my Gen Con wrapup today or tomorrow over at Paste. Stay safe and go get vaccinated!

Seven Bridges.

Seven Bridges is a “stroll-and-write” game based on the famous mathematical problem, eventually proved unsolvable by Leonhard Euler: Can a pedestrian walk through the German city of Königsberg, crossing each of its seven bridges exactly once? Euler’s proof became a foundational one in the history of graph theory, but that’s beyond the scope of the game. (The game is currently unavailable, but I’ll update this post when Puzzling Pixel gets the next print run.)

In Seven Bridges, all players begin by marking in the same square on their pages, showing a grid map of the city with, indeed, seven bridges, along with thirteen ‘landmarks,’ some trees, lots of buildings, and numbers around the map’s edge. On each player’s turn, they roll the game’s six dice, which the players then draft, one at a time. The dice show seven different shapes of roads: a straight line, a cross, a T, an elbow, a half-street, a 2 with a straight line, or a 3 with a straight line. You must fill in roads on your map using the shape of the die you select, connecting one of the edges of the shape your existing network of roads. (In rare instances when you can’t legally do so, you may ‘downgrade’ to a less valuable shape.) The 2 | and the 3 | die faces mean you may draw a continuous line up to that many spaces long; you can go shorter than that, but you can’t break it apart or turn its direction. Each player gets to roll five times over the course of the game.

Passing landmarks, which are marked with single letters on the board, earns you the choice of eleven bonuses, seven immediate and four you can use later. The immediate bonuses match the shapes on the dice, so you can fill in one of those shapes on your board, following the usual rules. One of the extra bonuses allows you to fill in the handful of footpaths – bordered by dashed lines rather than solid ones – on the map. The other three are re-rolls, which either let you roll all remaining dice again, or stop the draft and distribute all remaining dice to players as you see fit.

You don’t have to cross all seven bridges to win this game, but you do get more points for crossing more bridges. You score for crossing bridges and passing by landmarks; the more of each, the more each subsequent one is worth. You score for the largest closed loop of roads/footpaths you completed by multiplying its number of bridges cross by the number of 90 degree turns in it; I think five is the maximum number of bridges you can possibly get, but you can absolutely get 8 or more right angles into a loop. You score a point for each building you pass, and for each tree you pass. You score for each road you take to the edge of the map, worth a number of points from 1 to 6 that is shown at that edge. And you score points for each bonus you received and used during the game, again from 1 to 6.

The game is kind of mathy under the hood, which strongly appeals to me; there’s a spatial relations aspect, and a clear push-your-luck aspect to the way you place your roads. You can go big, and end up without the shapes you need to complete a major route, or you can play it safe and hope no one else completes something larger. You can also head to certain areas of the map that are dense with trees but don’t promise you much in the way of other bonuses. There seem to be a lot of ways to win here, and just as many ways to screw it up.

I’ve only played this with two players, several times, however, and with a different opponent each time. Games took maybe 20-30 minutes, and if both players already know the rules, it could easily come in under 20. With two players, since you draft three dice on each roll, you only have ten total rolls over the course of the game. With the maximum of 6 players, you’d have 30 rolls, and that’s going to take some more time. Seven Bridges was first released at the very end of 2020, after my year-end list, so it qualifies for this year’s, and it has a very good chance to make my best of 2021 list. It’s quick to teach, offers very little downtime between turns, and does a fantastic job of bringing a mathematical puzzle into a board game format. It might be the best roll-and-write I’ve ever played.

Network Effect.

The six books on the shortlist for this year’s Hugo Award for Best Novel were all written by women, which I believe is a first. The list includes N.K. Jemisin’s tremendous The City We Became and Susanna Clarke’s triumphant comeback novel Piranesi, as well as a sequel to the awful 2019 winner The Calculating Stars.

Martha Wells’ Network Effect might have some momentum going into this autumn’s vote, as the novel won the top prize in both the Nebula and Locus awards, which would give it the Triple Crown of science fiction (also won by The Calculating Stars, so clearly it doesn’t mean anything more than baseball’s Triple Crown). It’s the first full-length novel in her award-winning MurderBot series, which stars a nameless android called a SecUnit as the protagonist that is gradually evolving more humanlike thoughts and emotions after breaking free of the technology that chained it to its employers. It’s also very, very good at killing.

The novel opens with a brief story where SecUnit thwarts an assassination attempt against its boss, but the bulk of the novel surrounds a kidnapping attempt that brings SecUnit and his boss’s teenage daughter Amena on a ship that is full of hostile humanoid beings, which SecUnit calls Targets, and that is about to take them through a wormhole away from their own ship and her family. That’s all the plot the book really needs, although Wells adds some layers of intricacy and brings back a character from one of the earlier novellas.

Network Effect plays out like a hard-boiled sci-fi book, as SecUnit is sarcastic, dry, and often unfeeling, although not quite to the degree of being callous, and there is a mystery at the heart of the story – not just who is behind the kidnapping, but why. (I’ll spoil something obvious: It’s not just about the Targets.) We get a lot of ass-kicking, in which SecUnit specializes, and some cool technology bits, like SecUnit’s mini air force of drones, and some technology bits you’ll just have to accept and move on, like all of the mental coding that goes on in the book.

SecUnit is a robot, ultimately, which means it runs on code, and that proves central to the story, as multiple bots in the book end up turning the nature of source code into a pivotal plot point. Wells appears to be using this as a metaphor for human consciousness, and a way to explore the most basic questions of identity and dualism. If a bot is deleted, and restored from a backup, is it the same bot? What if someone copies a bot’s kernel and loads it into a new body? You could just read Network Effect as just a rollicking sci-fi adventure – which it is – and ignore this detail, but I think Wells is at least trying to do something more here.

There’s a fair bit of in-world jargon that threw me off, since I haven’t read any of the previous stories set in this universe, and you do have to just accept a lot of the technical stuff as given, especially anything revolving around coding. The action and the three-dimensional rendering of SecBot, who could easily be flat and boring, are strong enough to make up for any deficiencies in those other areas, and Wells deftly steers the plot through a couple of very sharp turns that give this book a ton of narrative greed. I don’t think I’d vote for it over Jemisin’s or Clarke’s books, but it is a very fun ride.

Next up: Colson Whitehead’s new novel Harlem Shuffle, which comes out today.

Stick to baseball, 9/11/21.

My latest column for subscribers to the Athletic covered the transformation of Austin Riley from replacement-level hacker to Atlanta’s best player.

On the Keith Law Show this week, I spoke with MLB’s Sarah Langs, talking about this year’s award races, although it looks like our AL Rookie of the Year favorite might be heading to the injured list. You can subscribe to my podcast on iTunes and Spotify. I also appeared on the Athletic Baseball Show again on Friday.

We’ve cleared over $800 raised to help Afghan refugees resettle in this area, money I will donate to Jewish Family Services of Delaware when I receive it. You can buy your “I’m just here for the #umpshow” T-shirt here to support the cause.

I brought back my email newsletter this week, talking about our family’s experience with COVID-19 last month. And, as the holidays approach, I’ll remind you all every week that I have two books out, The Inside Game and Smart Baseball, that would make great gifts for the readers (especially baseball fans) on your lists.

And now, the links..

Noise.

Nobel Prize-winning economist Daniel Kahneman’s first book, Thinking Fast and Slow, has been hugely influential on the baseball industry and on my own career, inspiring me to write The Inside Game as a way to bring some of the same concepts to a broader audience. Kahneman is back with a sequel of sorts, co-authoring the book Noise: A Human Flaw in Human Judgment with Cass Sunstein and Oliver Sibony, that shifts the focus away from cognitive biases towards a different phenomenon, one that the authors call “noise.”

Noise, in their definition, involves “variability in judgments that should be identical.” They break this down into three different types of noise, all of which add up together to be “system noise.” (There’s a lot of jargon in the book, and that’s one of its major drawbacks.)

  • Level noise, where different individuals make different judgments across different sets of data. The authors cite “some judges are generally more severe than others, and others are more lenient” as an example.
  • Pattern noise, where different individuals make different judgments with the same data.
  • Occasion noise, where an individual makes different judgment depending on when they see the data (which can literally mean the time of day or day of the week). This is probably the hardest for people to accept, but there’s clear evidence that doctors prescribe more opioids near the end of a work day, and judges are more lenient when the local football team won on Sunday.

There’s a hierarchy of noise here, where level noise comprises pattern noise, and pattern noise comprises occasion noise (which they classify as transient pattern noise, as opposed to “stable” pattern noise, which would be, say, how I underrate hitting prospects with high contact rates but maybe Eric Longenhagen rates them consistently more highly). That’s the entire premise of Noise; the book devotes its time to exploring noise in different fields, notably the criminal justice system and medicine, where the stakes are so high and the benefit of a reduction in noise is likely to justify the costs, and to ways we can try to reduce noise in our fields of work.

As with Thinking Fast and Slow, Noise doesn’tmake many accommodations for the lay reader. There’s an expectation here that you are comfortable with the vernacular of behavioral economics and with some basic statistical arguments. It’s an arduous read with a strong payoff if you can get through it, but I concede that it was probably the hardest I’ve worked to read (and understand) anything I’ve read this year. It doesn’t help that noise is itself a more abstruse concept than bias, and the authors make constant references to the difference here.

Some of the examples here will be familiar if you’ve read any literature on behavioral economics before. The sentencing guidelines that resulted from Marvin Frankel, a well-known judge and human rights advocate, pointing out the gross inequities that resulted from giving judges wide latitude in sentencing – resulting in sentences that might range from a few months to 20 years for two defendants convicted the same crime. (The guidelines that resulted from Frankel’s work were later struck down by the Supreme Court, which not only reintroduced noise into the system, but restored old levels of racial bias in sentencing as well.) The authors also attempt to bring noise identification and noise reduction into the business world, with some examples where they brought evidence of noise to the attention of executives who sometimes didn’t believe them.

Nothing was more familiar to me than the discussion of the low value of performance evaluations in the workplace. For certain jobs, with measurable progress and objectives, they may make sense, but in my experience across a lot of jobs in several industries, they’re a big waste of time – and I do mean a big one, because if you add up the hours dedicated to filling out the forms required, writing them up, conducting the reviews, and so on, that’s a lot of lost productivity. One problem is that there’s a lack of consistency in ratings, because raters do not have a common frame of reference for their grades, making grades more noise than signal. Another is that raters tend not to think in relative terms, so you end up with oxymoronic results like 98% of employees grading out as above average. The authors estimate that 70-80% of the output from traditional performance evaluations is noise – meaning it’s useless for its intended purpose of allowing for objective evaluation of employee performance, and thus also useless for important decisions like pay raises, promotions, and other increases in responsibility. Two possible solutions: ditching performance evaluations altogether, using them solely for developmental purposes (particularly 360-degree systems, which are rather in vogue), or spend time and money to train raters and develop evaluation metrics that have objective measurements or “behaviorally anchored” rating scales.

It wouldn’t be a Daniel Kahneman product if Noise failed to take aim at one of his particular bêtes noires, the hiring interview. He explained why they’re next to worthless in Thinking Fast and Slow, and here he does it again, saying explicitly, “if your goal is to determine which candidates will succeed in a job and which will fail, standard interviews … are not very informative. To put it more starkly, they are often useless.” There’s almost no correlation between interview success and job performance, and that’s not surprising, because the skills that make someone good at interviewing would only make them a better employee if the job in question also requires those same skills, which is … not most jobs. Unstructured interviews, the kind most of us know, are little more than conversations, and they serve as ideal growth media for noise. Two interviewers will have vastly differing opinions of the same candidate, even if they interview the candidate together as part of a panel. This pattern noise is amplified by the occasion noise prompted by how well the first few minutes of an interview go. (They don’t mention something I’ve suspected: You’ll fare better in an interview if the person interviewing you isn’t too tired or hungry, so you don’t want to be the last interview before lunch or the last one of the day.) They cite one psychology experiment where researchers assigned students to role-play interviews, splitting them between interviewer and candidate, and then told half of the candidates to answer questions randomly … and none of the interviewers caught on.

There’s plenty of good material here in Noise, concepts and recommended solutions that would apply to a lot of industries and a lot of individuals, but you have to wade through a fair bit of jargon to get to it. It’s also less specific than Thinking Fast and Slow, and I suspect that reducing noise in any environment is going to be a lot harder than reducing bias (or specific biases) would be. But the thesis that noise is at least as significant a problem in decision-making as bias is should get wider attention, and it’s hard to read about the defenses of the “human element” in sentencing people convicted of crimes and not think of how equally specious defenses of the “human element” in sports can be.

Next up: Martha Wells’ Nebula & Locus Award-winning novel Network Effect, part of her MurderBot series.