Stick to baseball, 8/8/21.

My one new post this week for subscribers to The Athletic is a long scouting notebook with my observations on players from the Nats, Rays, Orioles, and Tigers’ systems, including five former first-round picks. I also held a Klawchat on Thursday.

On The Keith Law Show this week, I spoke to Dr. Katy Milkman, author of the new book How to Change, about we can use psychology and knowledge of how our brains work to enact real, lasting behavior change in ourselves. You can subscribe via iTunes or Spotify. And on the Athletic Baseball Show, I got back together with my old Baseball Today partner in crime Eric Karabell (also on Spotify).

My email newsletter will return this week, and I’m going to give away a copy of a new board game (the publisher sent me two copies, so I offered to do a giveaway and they were on board, get it?) to one random subscriber.

And now, the links…

Comments

  1. Interesting how quickly the Christian Right went from vilifying sports gambling to embracing it because they can make lots of money. This is especially evident with Sinclair and it’s sports broadcasting properties doing segments with daily fantasy companies.

  2. Stuart Shea

    The Rickettes want to build a sports betting plaza near Wrigley Field.

  3. Wouldn’t every CEO in America oppose unionization of their workforce? Absent doing things that are illegal, I don’t see a problem with that opposition.

  4. A Salty Scientist

    As someone who finds scientific communication deeply important, I’m very upset and disappointed in some of the messaging on vaccine efficacy that increases hesitancy. Historically, vaccine breakthrough has been identified via sick (aka symptomatic) individuals testing positive. It is not surprising that asymptomatic people subjected to contact tracing may test positive via sensitive tests before their bodies clear the infection without disease onset. That doesn’t mean that those asymptomatic people are likely to be highly infectious–if that were the case generally, herd immunity for any vaccine would be unlikely. And importantly for Delta, vaccinated and unvaccinated people ONLY have similar viral loads for symptomatic cases (and viral load decreases dramatically after several days in vaccinated persons because their immune systems clear the infection much faster). So the mRNA vaccines appear to work well for Delta so far, and our goal should be to immunize as much of the rest of the world as possible to help limit viral reproduction to reduce the number of input mutations that could lead to more concerning variants arising. And in areas of high spread use layered approaches (masks, ventilation, and vaccines) to reduce transmission.

    • “That doesn’t mean that those asymptomatic people are likely to be highly infectious–if that were the case generally, herd immunity for any vaccine would be unlikely.”

      Are you speaking specifically of the Delta variant? What marked COVID-19 as so dangerous in both a public health and political sense was exactly this — the prevalence of asymptomatic transmission. That’s what made it such fertile ground for myth-making (which, in this country, we are particularly prone to falling for). Delta seems at least to do us the favor of getting people sick more quickly.

    • A Salty Scientist

      You’re right–the asymptomatic/presymptomatic transmission made control of the pandemic extremely difficult when a significant portion of the population is doing little to help mitigate. But in the era of vaccines, I think there’s a big difference between asymptomatic transmission of COVID (Delta or “original”) for vaccinated vs. unvaccinated people. Asymptomatic vaccinated people have much lower viral RNA levels via qPCR than unvaccinated, even for Delta. And when symptomatic for Delta, they only have similar viral RNA levels for a few days, and then the levels drop dramatically. At 85%+ efficacy against symptomatic Delta, the vaccines are still our very best weapon for reducing the number of infections. This could be reduced even further with boosters that increase the amount of circulating antibodies, though I think getting shots into arms worldwide should be our priority.

    • A Salty Scientist

      And just to be perfectly clear, while vaccines lower the risk of asymptomatic spread, they certainly do not eliminate it. I personally have been wearing a mask indoors to better protect my unvaccinated children.

  5. A Salty Scientist

    And since I’m in a ranty mood, the marriage of media companies with gambling is deeply problematic for investigative journalism. I would not be remotely surprised if there’s a major cover-up scandal in the next decade.