Stick to baseball, 2/5/17.

My organizational reports for all 30 teams, featuring at least ten prospects ranked for each club (and as many as 25), went up this past week for Insiders. You can find them all here on the landing pages for each division:

American League East
National League East
American League Central
National League Central
American League West
National League West

My list of thirty sleeper prospects, one for each MLB organization, for 2017 went up on Friday, wrapping up the prospect rankings package for the year. I also held a Klawchat on Friday.

For Paste, I reviewed the complex strategy game Forged in Steel, a citybuilder with some worker-placement and card management aspects that, once you get the first few moves underway, really gets going and manages to be both smart and fun.

You can preorder my upcoming book, Smart Baseball, on amazon, or from other sites via the Harper-Collins page for the book. Also, please sign up for my more-or-less weekly email newsletter.

And now, the links…

  • The must-read piece of the week – actually published in early January – comes from British journalist Isabel Hardman, who wrote about how even England’s vaunted NHS doesn’t do justice to people with mental illnesses, although the piece itself also provides a great window into her own difficulties recognizing what was happening to her and getting properly treated.
  • It’s Super Bowl Sunday! If you wouldn’t let your kids play football because it’s dangerous (and has led to the premature deaths of many players), is it moral to still watch the NFL?
  • I thought this New Yorker profile of Evan McMullin, who has emerged as a major Trump critic from the center-right was both an excellent piece of balanced journalism and a good window into someone who, even though I disagree with him on a couple of major policy issues, speaks very clearly to my concern that the man in the Oval Office – well, that man, and the one pulling his strings – needs to be stopped.
  • The batshit insane people who claim Sandy Hook was a hoax believe Trump’s election furthers their cause. I’m just glad these hoaxers are facing legal consequences when they harass relatives of the deceased.
  • As if Betsy DeVos’ awful answers in her confirmation hearing and embrace of creationism and other anti-science bullshit weren’t enough to disqualify her from running the U.S. Department of Education in everyone’s eyes except, well, our President and 50 Senate Republicans, she’s also a major investor in an utterly useless pseudoscience business of neurofeedback that claims it can use brain waves to diagnose and treat autism, depression, and why are we even talking about this it is such obvious bullshit? If you have a U.S. Senator who is planning to vote for DeVos – that’s every Republican right now except Lisa Murkowski (Alaska) and Sue Collins (Maine) – get on the phone on Monday morning, or send a fax, or go to their offices and make it clear you want a no vote on DeVos. One more Republican will end her candidacy, and while we aren’t guaranteed that the next nominee will be better, I’m not sure they can find one who’s worse.
  • You want more about DeVos being delusional in her belief in anti-science folderol? Look at her use of code words for creationism. While her camp has hidden behind the federal law and court rulings that intelligent design can’t be taught in public schools – it’s religion, thinly disguised as pseudoscience – that opens the door for her to push to change such laws, or challenge the court rulings, to suit her own misguided beliefs.
  • The House Science Committee is something between a joke and a modern-day Spanish Inquisition, thanks to its science-denialist head, Rep. Lamar Smith (R-Texas, where else?), and the new Holman Rule that allows House appropriations bills to target any federal employee and reduce his/her salary to $1. Boys, all you boys, you think you’re so American.
  • Is the white-supremacist (and possible fascist) Steve Bannon positioning himself to be the de facto President? Fifty Democratic Congresspersons have called for Bannon’s removal from the National Security Council, co-sponsoring a House bill that would ban political strategists from serving on the council. (Reports that the appointment requires Senate approval were false or at least incomplete.) Meanwhile, filings from Bannon’s second divorce include accusations that he failed to pay child support and was abusive toward his daughters.
  • I think this ProPublica piece has the wrong title. It’s not can the Democrats be as stubborn as Mitch McConnell, but will they? Of course they can, but so far, I see no signs that they well. Oregon Senator Jeff Merkley is prepared to lead a filibuster of Trump’s SCOTUS nominee Neil Gorusch, who’s filling a seat that should have been filled last year by Merrick Garland. (By the way, if you saw the claims that Gorusch had created a pro-fascism club while a student, those were false.)
  • Eric Trump’s business trip to Uruguay – that is, a trip to benefit the Trump family business, not on U.S. official business – cost the taxpayer over $97K in hotel bills. This is a good example of where the Democrats need to be obstructionist – Elizabeth Warren introduced a bill requiring him to divest, but even the Dems appear to have little interest in this fight.
  • How about that immigration order, now halted, that served as a de facto Muslim ban? The Archbishop of Chicago spoke out against it. The order stranded a Brooklyn doctor in the Sudan. VICE published a list of doctors and researchers thus barred from returning to the United States. Don’t you feel so much safer now?
  • Bloomberg published a short op ed that argues that Trump has failed his Wall Street and big business backers twice over, by putting all permanent resident employees at risk of deportation or refused re-entry, and by failing to repeal the Department of Labor’s fiduciary rule, which – get this – which requires financial advisers to act in the best interests of their clients in retirement accounts. I don’t know what’s worse: that Trump’s camp wanted to repeal the rule, or that the rule was ever necessary in the first place.
  • The farewell message from Tom Countryman (!), Assistant Secretary of State for International Security and Nonproliferation, who was summarily dismissed along with five other State Department lifers last week, is well worth your time.
  • Who’s behind the fake-news site CGS Monitor, which uses real experts’ names in bylines on articles they didn’t write? It could be Russia – I mean, of course it’s Russia, right? – although this piece speculates it could also come from Iranian interests.
  • This post from “The Jester” on Russia’s infiltration of our federal government pissed someone off enough that the site was hit with a DdoS attack a few hours after the article went up. Within it, he points out that the ex-KGB/FSB official suspected of helping MI6 agent Christopher Steele assemble that dossier on Donald Trump was found dead in his car on December 26th, and the the author accuses the Kremlin of orchestrating his murder.
  • Republicans are further trying to rig the electoral college system in their favor by pushing blue states to adopt “proportional” electoral voting, which, as that FiveThirtyEight piece explains, means that Clinton could have won the popular vote by five percentage points and still lost the election.
  • A new law in Arkansas allows rapists who impregnate their victims to stop the latter from getting abortions, or a husband to sue to prevent his wife from doing so, and so on. Even setting aside the clear infringement of religious belief into law here, this is as blatantly anti-woman as you can get. I’ve got one state left to visit to be able to say I’ve visited them all, but you know, I think any trips to Arkansas can wait until they start to treat women like actual people. UPDATE: Snopes has more details on the law, such as pointing out that rapists can’t sue for damages, and that the law delays rather than prevents the abortions. The ACLU is still planning lawsuits.
  • Abortion is an important, sometimes lifesaving medical procedure, and keeping it legal and available reduces deaths from unsafe abortions, while improving access to abortion and contraception reduces abortion rates overall. Again, women are actual people, and the infamous photo of Trump signing an anti-abortion executive order while surrounded by men sort of says it all – and that’s why the photo of the Swedish Prime Minister trolling Trump is such a thing of beauty.
  • Protesters plan to shadow Trump whenever he travels so he feels their dislike, an extension of the idea that he thrives on public adulation.
  • The apparently random murder of a woman walking on a Reykjavik street after dark has shaken the city, which is known for its low crime rate and 24-hour party culture.
  • I tweeted about this earlier in the week, but donors across the country are helping pay students’ lunch debts. It’s such a little thing, and so easy to do if you have any cash to donate. We called our daughter’s school, asked how much it would take to clear any outstanding tabs, and wrote them a check. You’ll make a lot of families’ lives easier, and will reduce the shame these kids feel for something that’s no fault of their own.
  • The Brits have all the legislative fun: A Labour MP held up a sign saying “He’s lying to you” behind Nigel Farage in a televised address by the far-right UKIP leader.
  • The University of Nevada joins the growing list of NCAA football programs reneging on scholarship offers weeks or even days before the official signing day. I’m no lawyer, so I’ll ask the crowd: at what point does such an oral agreement become binding on either party?
  • I’d never heard of the Chinese delicacy fat choy, a bacteria that grows long, noodle-like strands, but it turns out its farming is harmful to the environment, and the Chinese government is now cracking down on its production and sale.
  • Recode has a long, fascinating interview with my former colleague Bill Simmons on The Ringer, the rise and abrupt end of Grantland, the demise of his HBO TV show Any Given Wednesday, and much more. I’m still not sure I get the mission of The Ringer; they’ve mixed some great sports content with some head-scratchers where they offer advice to the movie or music industry. But it’s early in the site’s history, and I’m 100% behind any site that supports good journalism and pays its writers.
  • I’m linking here to a piece I saw on Google’s home page (I think) but that I really thought was trash: you could read 200 books a year in the time you waste on social media. There’s a lot wrong with this piece, but let me highlight two things. One, not everyone is wired for the kind of sustained attention required to read a lot of books, and no one should make someone feel bad because s/he isn’t a book reader. I love finding fellow bibliophiles, but if you don’t read books, you shouldn’t feel guilty about it. Two, his math suchs. He says “typical non-fiction books have ~50,000 words,” which is wrong; that’s under 200 pages, and even Smart Baseball, which I did not want to be too long, runs over 80,000 words. He also says he reads 400 words per minute and assumes that most Medium readers will too; I doubt he reads that fast unless he’s speed-reading, which doesn’t work (you don’t retain what you read as well), because reading 400 wpm would mean reading about 80 pages an hour, which I think would put anyone at the far-right end of the scale for reading speed … or means he’s reading books written for children. I read a lot, and I read fast, and I doubt I read 400 wpm unless it’s something simple and incredibly engrossing, like genre fiction or a Wodehouse novel. So, yeah, if you don’t read 200 books a year or 100 or even 20, don’t feel bad. This article was just stupid.
  • Is the hunt for paid editors tearing Wikipedia apart from the inside? That seems a bit dramatic, but I think the mere existence of paid editors is cause to retain or recover our skepticism about the reliability of information found on the site.
  • From McSweeney’s: The Rules of This Board Game Are Long, But Also Complicated. I don’t understand why this is supposed to be funny.

Comments

  1. Verbal contracts are generally binding unless the offer or requires acceptance some other way (or some other scenarios generally prescribed by law), but the letters that accompany the written offers (pre-Signing Day) all have caveats for grades, performance, behavior, and the needs of the school, among other things. It’s a pretty big truck to drive through for exceptions. Also, when athletes decommit late, the schools also have. Onrecourse. Obviously the players have less bargaining power, but nothing is or can be binding until National Signing Day

    • Sorry, also have no recourse (yay autocorrect)

    • So what would be required to fix the system in a way that at least adequately protects the students, who have less leverage in this exchange than schools do?

    • One idea would be to increase the number of scholarships a school can offer on a team. Would a lot more kids go to Alabama and other top schools? Initially yes, but when they don’t get the playing time they expect, they can just transfer.

    • An early signing period that allows students to rescind under certain contions (coaching changes, basically). With an early signing period, they could lock in a spot and, if they didn’t receive a letter of intent to sign during the early period, it would be a signal that they might should look for other options. But the conditions to let players out are important; otherwise, they’re stuck even if the coaching staff leaves

    • I know I’m a little late on this, but one way to fix the system has already been implemented, though its use varies by school. A few years ago the NCAA issued a new interpretation of already existing legislation that lets recruits sign financial aid agreements during their senior year. In doing so, a school is fully obligated to honor its offer to the player without binding the player to the school. Down here in Florida, it’s fairly common to see the best players in the state sign them with multiple schools recruiting them.

      The downside here is that not every school will be willing to do this for every player, and so it skews in favor of the very highly ranked (who probably need this protection less as it is). However, if a player really wants to be risk averse I suppose he can commit to the best school that will offer him an early aid agreement, even if it wouldn’t be his top choice or best fit otherwise.

      http://www.espn.com/blog/ncfrecruiting/on-the-trail/insider/post/_/id/46760/recruits-can-sign-early-financial-aid-deals

    • Only players who are planning to enroll early (i.e., in January of their senior year of high school) can sign those agreements, and the NCAA changed the rules to allow players to only sign one. Expanding it to everyone would be a step in the right direction, and it would give an earlier indication that a school might not be as committed to a player if one isn’t provided

  2. I live in PA and on my lunch break last Friday, I was actually able to get through to Pat Toomey’s Allentown (closest to where I live) office and express my desire for him to vote “no” on DeVos. The person on the other line was pleasant, and I was respectful in expressing my reasons for asking for him to vote “no.” The problem is, he’s said since that he will vote “yes,” and that it’s now seemingly impossible to get through to ANY of Toomey’s offices.

    But HuffPo has an article claiming that Dems have identified Toomey as their best chance for a third “no” vote. And then there’s the story of a teacher starting a GoFundMe page to raise an amount larger than the amount DeVos gave to Toomey’s campaign. She gave Toomey $55,800 and as of right now, that GoFundMe has raised over $68,000.

    I’m both horrified and amused at this circus.

    • A Salty Scientist

      Along those lines, when is the best “off” time to call your representatives? My employer explicitly restricts political activity during working hours (8am-5pm).

    • I don’t have any such restriction upon me. I was out of the office when I called, anyway. But I’ve been told by others I know who are much more politically active than I am that supposedly you can always leave a message. Then again, like I said, Toomey’s mailboxes are apparently full, so maybe not?

    • A Salty Scientist

      I’m a state employee (University Prof.), so I understand why they are sensitive to political activity during working hours. It is mildly annoying that we can’t do anything during a lunch break unless we actually document leave time.

    • Salty, most congressional offices in DC are open until 6pm eastern time on days when the House or Senate are in session, and 5pm on days when their chamber is out of session. You can find the schedules on the Majority Leaders’ websites

    • Salty – I’m similarly bound by such rules, but it’s based on “duty time”. You still get a lunch break and/or a 15 minute break per 4 hours worked. So I use that time to make calls (on my personal cell phone).

  3. A correction: Betsy DeVos was never Secretary of Education in Michigan. Her husband owns a charter school, and they have intimate financial ties to the Michigan GOP (he ran for governor in 2006).

    • gol dangit, I wrote that, meaning to go check it, and then never did. Thank you.

  4. I’m opposed to providing security to random flunkie family members. Did you ever post about the expenses related to Obama family travel? If you did, I apologize. I remember you posting about your cousin’s place in southern Westchester which I regret I’ve never visited but no obama complaints:

    • The issue is not the cost of the trip, but the President’s refusal to divest from his businesses, which are now being subsidized by taxpayers.

      And if you’re going to (falsely) accuse me of partisanship, just do it. Spare me the “I don’t remember” nonsense.

  5. The football scholarship story is about the Nevada Wolf Pack, not the NC State Wolfpack. Still awful

  6. Hi, Keith. You have a couple of misspellings of “Gorsuch” here. Feel free to delete this comment, just wanted to let you know. 🙂

  7. I’m way behind here, but wanted to comment anyway.

    I disagree with your assessment that speed reading doesn’t work, or retention suffers when it’s used. I took a speed reading course on a lark a couple of decades back and discovered that I speed read naturally. In other words, the speed reading methods taught were the methods I had used to read ever since I learned how to read. I didn’t develop this method of reading consciously, nor do I recall any teacher actively suggesting that reading should be done the way I did it. I simply did it, and, while it probably evolved over time, I really don’t remember ever reading differently.

    Now, I have absolutely no idea how many words per minute I read, and I will admit to making a conscious effort to slow down a bit for difficult material. But I have no reason to believe my retention is poor. I graduated from college summa cum laude. I am a voracious reader, (when given the time) and can consume a book a day when my schedule allows.

    I’ll admit I may be a bit of an anomaly. Perhaps teaching people who don’t speed read naturally the techniques of speed reading doesn’t render positive results. But I wouldn’t go so far as to make a blanket statement that it doesn’t work. It might actually work for some of us.

    • I graduated from college summa cum laude.

      Showoff. 🙂

      I’m just going off the research (like this study) that shows speed-reading doesn’t deliver as promised. You may indeed be the good kind of outlier. It sounds like you read a good bit faster than I do, at least.