→ May 25, 2022
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On the James Bond films.

Last night, my wife and I finished a long-running project of ours: watching all 25 James Bond movies in order. (We didn’t watch the two non-canon Bond films, which weren’t produced by Eon.) Before I met her, I’d actually never seen a single Bond film, but she’d seen them all, mostly long ago, so we started this as a pandemic project and, with some breaks, finished last night.

Acknowledging that any opinion on the Bond film universe is likely to cause some controversy, I’ve got a few views that I don’t think will be that controversial:

1. The best Bond is Daniel Craig.

2. The best Bond film is the 2006 Casino Royale, the first one starring Craig.

I think I’d have a harder time choosing the best Doctor than the best Bond. (The best Companion, however, is Clara.) Craig is superb in the role, and gives the character actual depth that’s lacking from every previous person’s portrayal, aided by much better writing as well. Roger Moore had his moments but his Bond became more smarmy (and more obviously altered by cosmetic surgery) as his films went on. Timothy Dalton had no chemistry with the women in his films, and my wife has always called his Bond the ‘darkest’ of all. Pierce Brosnan looked the part but his Bond felt the most perfunctory, although on some level it’s hard to separate his performance from a couple of miserable scripts. I’ll give George Lazenby an incomplete, since he appeared in just one film and had the misfortunate of following the original Bond, which meant nobody was going to be happy with him.

The original was, of course, Sean Connery, who defined the role and thus colored our views of every actor who would later hold the Walther. Connery had the charm, and as a former footballer brought a level of athleticism that made the action scenes seem more credible, even when the writing and effects weren’t up to snuff. He made Bond a wit. But he also made Bond a cad rather than just a ladies’ man. You couldn’t watch his films without picking up the character’s disdain for the women he slept with, and in Goldfinger he rapes Pussy Galore. Is that on the script, the actor, or both? I choose the last option: It passes in the film because Connery made it so, and today it’s the low point in Connery’s tenure, one that also saw him slapping women, a practice Connery himself advocated in real life. The character’s enduring popularity is in large part his creation, but the passage of time has exposed his flaws.

The reboot of the series and character for Casino Royale marks the first time anyone seems to have looked at James Bond and thought, hey, what if we actually tried this time? The sixteen films before then all hewed closely to the formula – a preposterous villain has an improbable scheme to take over the world, Bond escapes a bunch of close scrapes in the process of fighting him (often on skis), he seduces one woman who is then killed by the bad guys, then he seduces another woman and they ride off into the sunset after he takes out the Big Foozle. You watched for the action, the one-liners, maybe for Q’s wonderful gadgets, but the plots were just the cheap glue that held the whole thing together. At their best, they were campy fun; at worst, empty calories. (The worst Bond film, in my view? The World Is Not Enough, which has a great theme song and goes straight downhill from there, with Denise Richards giving an absolute howler of a performance as a – wait for it – nuclear scientist. Really.) You were along for the ride and hoped the fights and chases were good and the plot wasn’t too absurd to get in the way of your entertainment. Often it was, as in Moonraker, which looks like a blatant attempt to cash in on the popularity of Star Wars, released two years earlier, by sending Bond into space.

With the Daniel Craig films, however, the plots started to matter, never more so than in Casino Royale, which rewrote his origin story and gave us a real explanation for much of his character, introduced Vesper Lynd as the best Bond girl character in the series, and gave us the best villain in “Le Chiffre,” played by Mads Mikkelsen. (Talk about looking the part.) It set up a story arc that would continue through all four of Craig’s subsequent films, and updated the template for a Bond movie. We still get the fights and the chases – no skis, but plenty of cars and other motorized vehicles on land, sea, and air – and several disposable Bond girls. The villains vary in ambition and absurdity, with things really bottoming out in Quantum of Solace. The stakes are consistently higher in these films, however; nobody is truly safe, so you can no longer just assume that it’ll all work out in the end.

All of these changes mean that Craig gets to inhabit a new skin, and James Bond suddenly has … feelings. I’m sure there are diehards who disliked the change, who think Bond should just be a manly man who cares nothing about the needs of others, who is happy just saving the world and bedding the girl, but that had become quite stale after sixteen films, even with changes of actors and improved special effects. Craig’s Bond has the dry wit, the panache, and the way with women, but he also clearly cares about people – about M, certainly, and Vesper, and later Madeline Swann. He has friends, of a sort, although the Craig films made far too little use of Jeffrey Wright as Felix Leiter, who often served as a partner-in-crime for Bond in the earlier films. The promotion of Eve Moneypenny to field agent from lovelorn secretary (in Skyfall) not only gives Bond a buddy cop, but shows Bond with a functional, platonic relationship with a woman (of color, in fact).

By the time we get to No Time to Die, the character has been fully realized as a three-dimensional person, a lothario but not a rake, an agent dedicated to the mission but with a sense of actual humanity. We even get a completely new subplot: Bond meets a gorgeous agent (Ana de Armas) and they … don’t. They win a firefight together, and she leaves, and that’s that. In Bond’s universe, this is unheard of. Even with a less interesting villain – you know he’s a bad guy, because he has bad skin and an unidentifiable accent – the film succeeds because the previous four films have built up a proper protagonist, and this script makes excellent use of him. The next Bond film, whenever it might come along, may reboot the series and character again, but I hope whatever they do, they learn from what worked in the Craig film. And count me among those who think Henry Golding would be great for the role.

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→ May 22, 2022
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Stick to baseball, 5/22/22.

For subscribers to The Athletic, I posted my first mock draft for 2022, and took reader questions in a Q&A on the site that afternoon.

On the Keith Law Show, I spoke with Jonathan Higgs of the band Everything Everything about their new album Raw Data Feel, which came out on Friday. You can subscribe via iTunes, Spotify, Stitcher, amazon, or wherever you get your podcasts.

I do send out a free email newsletter about twice a month, and for those of you who said you would attend an in-person event with me in London, it’s in the works now, so thank you all for responding. Speaking of books, Smart Baseball and The Inside Game are both available in paperback, and you can buy them at your local independent book store or at Bookshop.org.

And now, the links…

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→ May 16, 2022
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Arkansas eats.

I visited my 50th state this past weekend, checking Arkansas off the list, reaching a goal of hitting all fifty before I myself turned 50. (The last ten, in reverse order: Arkansas, Iowa, Nebraska, Hawai’i, Kansas, Oklahoma, Alabama, New Mexico, Nevada, Louisiana.) I was in northwest Arkansas to see the Razorbacks host Vanderbilt, and have to say I was quite impressed by the depth of the food scene, the amazing Crystal Bridges art museum, and a much more progressive culture than I anticipated.

As for food, getting to Onyx Coffee was also a major goal for me whenever I got to northwest Arkansas; they’re a nationally renowned third-wave roaster whose beans I first tried in Louisville at Gralehaus. I went twice to the Bentonville location on the main square, which is also how we stumbled into the wonderful farmer’s market there on Saturday morning. Onyx does all the coffee drinks you could want, from pour-overs of single origins (they had one for $14 that I did not try) and espresso drinks to things with coffee and lavender that I simply can not abide. The coffee is amazing, though.

After Friday’s game, I went to Dickson Street and tried Los Bobos Taqueria, a late night (6 pm to 3 am) place that makes street tacos with 8-10 different filling options. I went with the shrimp and chicken, both of which were excellent, although I’d take the shrimp (which came with its own sauce) over the chicken (which was fine, but the meat was a little drier). Other options include al pastor, chorizo, cochinita, and veggie. They also have about ten sauces/salsas available on the counter, including a peanut-based one that had a hell of a kick at the end. They don’t have a working phone number but they are open.

Saturday, I ate at the Razorbacks’ ballpark, where Wright’s BBQ provides the food at the first base concession. Wright’s only opened its doors in October of 2017 after Jordan Wright, a former Tyson Foods employee, tasted Salt Lick BBQ in Austin and went on a whole barbecue tour of the state so he could open his own place back home. I always assume concession places like this lose something compared to the restaurant’s own site, but I can at least tell you the pulled pork at the ballpark didn’t even need any sauce – it was still moist enough (despite being smoked elsewhere and transported to the stadium) and had enough flavor on its own that I skipped the sauce entirely. I’m nobody’s BBQ expert but that’s a bellwether for me.

Pressroom is right next to Onyx in downtown Bentonville, offering lunch and dinner as well as brunch on the weekends. I had the chicken “sammy,” blackened chicken on a Hawai’ian bun with pickles, slaw, and mayo. They make the buns in house, and it was actually the best part of the sandwich – I thought it was brioche, even though Hawaiian buns have quite a bit less fat than their French cousins.

Some quick hits: Ozark Mountain Bagel is across the square from Onyx/Pressroom, and while nobody’s confusing this with the actual New York item, their bagels are pretty good, better than what you’d get at any chain … Susan’s “Internationally Famous” Restaurant in Springdale clearly has its devoted local following but it was pretty ordinary, and the biscuits were truly nothing special … Vault is a cocktail bar near the university campus with a very extensive bourbon collection and menu of classic cocktails and extremely ornate house cocktails with things like torched rosemary and acidulated oligosaccharide. It’s a cool spot but I was insufficiently cool to try one of their more complicated house cocktails, instead going old-school with a New York Sour.

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→ May 14, 2022
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Stick to baseball, 5/13/22.

For subscribers to The Athletic, I posted a minor league scouting notebook, with comments on players from the Red Sox, Orioles, Rays, and Nats systems. My first mock draft for 2022 will go up on Thursday, May 19th, and I’ll do some sort of chat or Q&A around it that afternoon.

At Polygon, I reviewed Ark Nova, the best new game I’ve played so far this year, a more complex title that draws heavily on Terraforming Mars but with streamlined rules and better art.

I sent out a new edition of my free email newsletter yesterday, and I have to thank all of you who’ve sent such kind replies. I mentioned the possibility of an in-person event in London in August, and it looks like we’re going to be able to make that happen, with the help of a reader who works at a bookshop there. Speaking of books, Smart Baseball and The Inside Game are both available in paperback, and you can buy them at your local independent book store or at Bookshop.org.

On The Keith Law Show, I got the band back together with Eric Karabell for a show last week. I was on the move most of this week (and then traveled again Thursday night) and didn’t have a recording window until Thursday morning morning, so I recorded next week’s episode with guest Jonathan Higgs of Everything Everything.

And now, the links…

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→ May 9, 2022
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The Love Songs of W.E.B. Du Bois.

Honorée Fannone Jeffers’ debut novel The Love Songs of W.E.B. Du Bois is one of the best 21st century books I’ve read, an epic work of historical and contemporary fiction full of three-dimensional characters, evocative places, and an exploration of how personal and generational trauma echoes through years and family trees. Winner of this year’s National Book Critics’ Circle Award for Fiction, it’s an actual heartbreaking work of staggering genius.

The novel follows two stories in the same family line, focusing on Ailey Pearl Garfield, who is three years old when the novel opens and a graduate student by the time it closes. She’s one of three sisters born into a well-off Black family in an unnamed northern city, but whose roots are in Chicasetta, a small town in rural Georgia that, as we learn over the course of the novel, went from Creek territory to slave plantation to village, with Ailey’s ancestors there throughout. Her narrative follows the traumas of her modern family, especially those of her sister, Lydia, and herself, as we learn early in the novel that both were molested by their grandfather over a period of several years.

Their ancestry traces back to the Creek people who originally lived on that land until white colonoists tricked them out of it, eventually kicking them off the land and building a brutal cotton plantation there. The primary slave owner, Samuel Princhard, was especially vile and his crimes seem to pass through subsequent generations like a genetic inheritance, although eventually some of the slaves escape the plantation and create new lives for themselves after the Civil War. Ailey’s connection to her ancestors runs through three aged relatives still living in Chicasetta, especially her great-uncle Root, a former academic and expert on Black history who loves to debate the relative merits of W.E.B. Du Bois and Booker T. Washington. When Ailey makes her meandering way to graduate school, after an abortive attempt at pre-med to follow in her father’s and her oldest sister’s footsteps, it is Uncle Root who both opens doors for her in a predominantly white world and who coaches her through the worst moments. Along the way, characters die, come in and out of Ailey’s life, and dredge up old memories, all of which collides when Ailey’s research into her own lineage as part of her dissertation runs headlong into Princhard’s story and the many people who lived, worked, and died on that plantation.

The Love Songs of W.E.B. Du Bois runs to nearly 800 pages, but Dr. Jeffers has created an immersive world – two of them, really – where, for me at least, the reader is as close to the scenes as possible. Few writers can evoke images and create characters this real and solid, let alone in a debut novel. Ailey and Uncle Root are the standouts, but they’re just the head of a wide cast, and even many of the secondary characters are still memorable and move beyond stock status. Jeffers also weaves a discussion of intersectionality throughout the book, mostly that of Black feminism and the roles of women in Black American society as well as in American society at large – and yes, the phenomenon of white women leaving Black women behind in their fight for rights appears several times, including in probably the weakest character in the book, Rebecca, who only appears briefly near the end.

The historical passages in Chicasetta, on the plantation and before the white settlers seized the land, have the same gauzy feel of some of the great works of Black American literature set in that time period, including Beloved, with elements of magical realism at play. Jeffers centers the slaves in the story, treating the brutality of their lives as a matter of fact, which I found increased the horror of it – this was just an accepted part of their reality, living under a capricious, vengeful god in human form. She still does give time to the slaveowning family, but that’s because telling their story becomes a critical part of telling Ailey’s.

Ailey herself is a beautifully flawed, realistic character, often exasperating in her choices or even words but ultimately the hero of the work – and the hero of her family, the one who doesn’t just survive her trials but steps forward to reclaim the family’s legacy and take it forward for future generations. I imagine someone will try to turn The Love Songs of W.E.B. Du Bois into a movie, but this book has the rich storytelling of the best narrative television series we’ve seen. It deserves the longer treatment, or none at all. And of the candidates I’ve read for this year’s Pulitzer Prize for Fiction – which includes the very good Hell of a Book, by Jason Mott, winner of the National Book Award – this is by far my favorite.

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→ May 6, 2022
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Music update, April 2022.

April was a lighter month for good singles, but we’re heading into a heavy period of new album releases starting today (Arcade Fire, Belle & Sebastian, Sunflower Bean, Warpaint). We get new albums from The Smile, Everything Everything, Porridge Radio, Stars, and Liam Gallagher this month, and Bartees Strange, Foals, Soccer Mommy, and Post Malahahahaha I can’t even finish that, next month. As always, you can click here to access the playlist if you can’t see the widget below.

Kae Tempest feat. Grian Chatten – I Saw Light. Tempest is a poet and spoken-word artist whose work I was unfamiliar with, but this song, featuring Grian Chatten of Fontaines D.C., flattened me. I heard the song and thought they might be a poet, just because the lyrics are that good, especially the depth of imagery within them.

Belle and Sebastian – Young and Stupid. This is the sweet spot for me with Belle and Sebastian – lush and a little more uptempo, with Murdoch’s wry humor throughout the lyrics, which he also exhibited in this tweet on Wednesday.

Sports Team – R Entertainment. Strong lyrics might be the theme for this month’s playlist; Sports Team does that thing I keep mentioning that I like where we get some British singer sing-talking clever lyrics over post-punk backing music. They’re just the right side of obnoxious for me.

Just Mustard – Mirrors. I think this Irish shoegaze band is starting to come into its own heading into their second album, with a better sense of its sound, including a slightly more prominent melody, and better production that better centers the vocals.

Jessie Buckley and Bernard Butler – The Eagle and the Dove. Yep, that’s Oscar nominee Jessie Buckley and former Suede guitarist Bernard Butler. Buckley’s career started on a British reality competition show, where she finished second, with the winner getting a part in a new stage production of Oliver! … which is a long way of saying she was a singer before she was an actress. It turns out she’s great at both, which you can see in 2019’s Wild Rose.

Let’s Eat Grandma – Levitation. I understand the joke in this band’s name (the importance of proper punctuation!) but I still don’t like it. Their sound, though, has a very mid-80s synthpop vibe that is catnip to me as a child of that era. This is my favorite song from them so far, coming off their third album, Two Ribbons, released last month.

Everything Everything – I Want a Love Like This. One of my favorite bands of the last decade, EE will release their sixth album, Raw Data Feel, on May 20th. This is the third single from that album – a fourth, “Pizza Boy,” dropped this morning – and I’m pretty excited about the direction so far.

Foals – Looking High. Foals promised that their upcoming album, Life Is Yours, due out June 17th, would be upbeat and danceable, and the early singles have delivered on that promise.

Cory Wong – Power Station. Wong has worked with a few musicians who worked with Prince, and this track sounds a lot like something we might hear from Prince’s endless well of unreleased tracks. I’m in.

beabadoobee – See You Soon. Beatopiacomes outon July 17th; withthis and “Talk,” both very strong singles with different vibes (this one is quieter and more lush, “Talk” is more straight-up rock), coming out in the last few weeks, I’m expecting a big leap forward on her second record.

The Head and the Heart – Shut Up. Every Shade of Blue came out in April and it’s really all over the place – it sounds like the work of three different bands who split the album between them – with this my favorite track on the album.

Arcade Fire – Unconditional I (Lookout Kid). I definitely worry any time Arcade Fire puts out a song with a second part, but this is actually a simpler and less pretentious affair than Win Butler has offered on similar diptychs (“Infinite Content,” the Orpheus/Eurydice tracks from Reflektor, or the two singles they released in March).

Interpol – Toni. The lead single from their forthcoming album The Other Side of Make-Believe, due out July 15th, is an understated affair from Interpol as they celebrate their 25th anniversary, a change from how they usually announce new albums – “PDA,” “Slow Hands,” and “The Heinrich Maneuver” were all heavier rock tracks and the lead singles from their respective albums.

Sunflower Bean – I Don’t Have Control Sometimes. This jangle-pop trio’s third album, Headful of Sugar, comes out today, featuring five songs we’ve heard already – four advance singles as well as the bonus track “Moment in the Sun,” a one-off single from 2020 that made my top 100 from that year.

Fontaines D.C. – Skinty Fia. Speaking of these Dublin punks, they dial the intensity down on their third album, as on the title track here. It’s hit or miss, unfortunately, as I think they’ve lost the righteous anger that made their last album, A Hero’s Death, more successful.

Iceage – All the Junk on the Outskirts. This track was left on the cutting room floor during the recording of 2018’s Beyondless, but they’ve “reconfigured” it and released in advance of their summer/fall tour.

Buzzcocks – Senses Out of Control. I assumed the death of Pete Shelley in 2018 would be the end of the Buzzcocks, but here they are … and this is actually pretty good, wth 66-year-old Steve Diggle handling vocals.

Working Men’s Club – Circumference. I don’t know if WMC qualify as “darkwave,” but I love their darker spin on new wave, which at least has strong roots in 1980s darkwave bands like Clan of Xymox and Bauhaus.

Wet Leg – Ur Mum. I’m just not on this duo’s wavelength despite the wide critical acclaim; the weird high/low vocal delivery just rubs me the wrong way, and I find myself in the minority in thinking their lyrics aren’t that witty. That said, there are three songs on their self-titled debut album I like, this one “Angelica,” and “Wet Dream,” which is a pretty solid effort.

SAULT – Luos Higher. SAULT changed their entire sound for their sixth album, Air, released last month with no advance notice, as with their previous records. They’ve dispensed with the ’70s funk and soul sounds, and all of the Black Lives Matter-themed lyrics are gone … in fact, just about all of the lyrics are gone. Air is almost all instrumental, highly experimental in music styles and forms, and simultaneously impressive and disappointing. I respect the ambition here, but what made SAULT’s first four albums in particular so incredible was their combination of smart, incisive lyrics and a modern twist on classic genres of music. Bring that beat back, Inflo.

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→ April 30, 2022
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Stick to baseball, 4/30/22.

For subscribers to The Athletic this week, I offered my first “overreaction theater” post, looking at the first three weeks of games from players who made their MLB debuts this month. I also held my first Klawchat in a while on Thursday.

Over at Paste, I reviewed the game Skull Canyon: Ski Fest, which combines a Ticket to Ride-like mechanic with extra rounds where you go get bonus cards that help you rack up more points or do more things with each turn. It’s quite good.

On The Keith Law Show, I spoke with Dr. Ellen Hendriksen, author of the fantastic book How to Be Yourself: Quiet Your Inner Critic and Rise Above Social Anxiety (which you can buy here). You can subscribe via iTunes, Spotify, Stitcher, amazon, or wherever you get your podcasts.

I sent out a new issue of my free email newsletter yesterday. You can find both of my books, Smart Baseball and The Inside Game, in paperback anywhere books are sold, including Bookshop.org.

And now, the links…

  • Why is the Conservative Political Action Committee (CPAC) holding its convention in Budapest, home to Hungarian President Viktor Orbán, an anti-Semitic Putin adherent? Maybe because they agree with his views – and perhaps are trying to find new funding sources now that Russia’s spigot is off.
  • A beautiful response: A Florida resident is circulating petitions to ban any mention of the Bible in public schools there, which has a lot more basis in our Constitution than the state’s attempts to criminalize any mention of sexual orientation or gender identity.
  • Texas Gov. Greg Abbott’s stunt at the border turned up no drugs and no migrants, but it will cost the state $4.2 billion. I thought the Republicans were the party of fiscal responsibility? How is any taxpayer there okay with this much money, about $425 per Texas household, being thrown away?
  • He’s also sending busloads of migrants to Washington, D.C., using people as objects – which, I suppose, is in line with Texas’ history prior to 1865. You can join me in donating to this GoFundMe to help these immigrants travel to their ultimate destinations or provide them with other needed items.
  • All the progress we’d made on reducing exemptions to childhood vaccination mandates is eroding, and we’re going to end up worse than where we started as religious zealots seek to further expand those exemptions (even though no major religion opposes vaccinations).
  • Eagle-Gryphon introduced a pair of new games from Portuguese designers, Lisbon Tram 28 and Porto.
  • Paradox Interactive, which makes video games and has co-published board games based on several of those titles, announced dates and info for PDXCON 2022. I attended this event in 2018, at their invitation & expense, and enjoyed it quite a bit, although I stuck to the tabletop stuff.
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→ April 28, 2022
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Klawchat 4/28/22.

Starting at 3 pm ET. My latest column for subscribers to The Athletic looks at the first few weeks for players who debuted in MLB this month. For Paste, I reviewed Skull Canyon: Ski Fest, a new Ticket to Ride-like game with an extra phase that lets you pick up more gear for the next day on the slopes.

Keith Law: In the final seconds, who’s gonna save you? Klawchat.

Matt: Why doesn’t MLB just stick Angel Hernandez at 3B rather than let him call strikes in a nationally televised game?
Keith Law: Don’t think they can dictate that? The umpires rotate through their positions, and I imagine there’d be a huge fight – maybe another lawsuit – if they denied him the right to work the plate in a nationally televised game.

Aaron C.: Cristian Pache has two walks in his first 63 PAs. A’s seem content to bat him 8th/9th. Even in a lost/rebuilding year, when does it become untenable?
Keith Law: He should be in triple A, and I say that as someone who is a longtime Pache believer.

JR: If the choices for the Mets next Monday are to cut Cano or Jankowski, or demote Smith, cutting Cano is the smartest option right?
Keith Law: Yes. If they don’t want to use Smith, and clearly someone in that FO does not like him, demoting him would hurt any trade value he has less – and I know other teams that like him.

Matt: When you worked in Toronto, did you ever get the sense that players “know” when a teammate sucks? Like say a #4 hitter is up. Does he feel pressure because the #5 hitter ( I’m talking to you Joey Gallo) couldn’t hit the broadside of a barn from 2 feet away? Or is the mindset more along the lines of hitting is hard, he’s a professional, he’ll get the job done.
Keith Law: I don’t remember that per se, but I do remember we could tell when players clearly didn’t like someone as a teammate – you could see the body language differ in the clubhouse, or who was talking to whom.

Aaron C.: Understand if you’d rather not name names, but have you ever scouted a kid with significant “make up” issues who ultimately turned his sh t around and thrived in the bigs?
Keith Law: Yes. But in some cases I can think of, I have wondered if the makeup concerns were overblown. Javy Báez comes to mind – his makeup was fine, he was just a ‘showy’ Latino player and (white) people didn’t respond well to it. They were wrong.
Keith Law: I don’t know about someone with, say, REAL makeup issues, like a drug problem, getting to the show and succeeding. The ones who come to mind never panned out.

JR: If you were in a front office for a team that planned on contending next year, after the draft would you try and sign Conforto to a 2 year/20-22MM contract? Basically guarantee him the QO $ he turned down last December + a little extra for this year to get him in your system? Or would it not be worth trying?
Keith Law: Yes. Not sure Boras would go for it, but yes.

zuke: Ugh….Bench clearing brawls. When will baseball start suspending guys for leaving the dugout and especially the bullpen to go push each other in a scrum?

10….over/under on how man bench clearing incidents the mets are involved in this year. Not even may and already over the old-school baseball macho BS.
Keith Law: I haven’t watched any of this stuff, sorry. I would much rather watch actual baseball. If I’m at a game and a brawl breaks out, I take out whatever book I’m reading. Never liked it in hockey either.

Aaron C.: Any new weeknight meals/recipes in the rotation? My ungrateful ass family has apparently grown weary of the usual blood, sweat and tears I serve them during the work week.
Keith Law: Have been doing one of pasta alla vodka or all’amatriciana more or less every week lately. Neither is very hard, and you can just use good-quality bacon if you’d rather not hunt down pancetta (which is unsmoked, and definitely has a more porky flavor) or guanciale (my favorite, but it’s expensive and harder to find). Otherwise it’s all stuff you probably have in your house. Trader Joes now sells bucatini for $1.70 a pound, and it’s great for pasta all’amatriciana.

Aidan: Is Ezequiel Tovar a top 50 prospect? What he is doing in the Eastern League at age 20 is impressive.
Keith Law: He’s a prospect. It’s only two weeks, though.

Snit: Thoughts on Kyle Wright so far this season?
Keith Law: Cautious optimism. Was so high on him out of college, but his fastball didn’t play the same in pro ball and he was heavy on the slider, which I thought would be the out pitch. His curveball is easy plus now and he’s locating his fastball as well as ever – he might have 70 command, although SSS applies.

ProjectHanyo: What do you think of the NIL and the potential changes in scholarship caps and third paid assistant? Thinking the threat of college becomes a bigger risk which could lead to a few things, like higher minor league salary. But my fear is that MLB will take the NCAA like the NBA and NFL have and make it its de facto minor league system and get rid of the minors.
Keith Law: I think Rob Manfred would be very happy to farm out player development to the colleges, which would be worse for baseball and for players. I don’t think the NIL rules affect baseball. More scholarships would.

Terrified Citizen: Are we going to full-blown war with Russia if this course of events continues?
Keith Law: I don’t think so, but, hey, I’m no Eric Feigl-Ding.

Buster: Hi Keith, do you think Maddux Bruns is the real deal based off his early showings this year and what he showed in spring training? Also, how much longer can the cardinals keep Michael McGreevy in High A as he’s just mowing em down and quite frankly, it’s unfair for those hitters lol.
Keith Law: Don’t think McGreevy’s developing there either. Command starters from college should do this in A-ball. I’m in on Bruns.

Jeff: Hi Keith, Twins fan here. Is this Joe Ryan for real?
Keith Law: No – see my comment under today’s piece. It’s not sustainable.

Noah: Are any of the royals “starters” salvageable. Talking Kowar, Singer, and Bubic. Brady just got sent down
Keith Law: Bubic is the one I think just needs to pitch. Kowar needs a breaking ball. Singer needs to go to the bullpen.

Seth: Your thoughts on Bryan Ramos? Is he now the Sox best prospect?
Keith Law: He was #11 on my White Sox top 20 before the season. I think he’s in their top 3 now.
Keith Law: Colás is off to a great start in A+, too.

ProjectHanyo: What do you think is causing all the higher than normal TJ/elbow injuries among the draft class? Last year would have made more sense given how colleges and high schools were restricted due to COVID with training.
Keith Law: Hypothesis: Guys barely pitched in 2020. Then they all pitched in 2021 like they hadn’t missed a year. Now the piper comes calling.

Eric: Why do I have to watch Cavan Biggio when Samad Taylor exists?
Keith Law: Preaching to the choir on that. The Jays fans mad online about my opinions on Biggio have been quiet.

Johnny Mo: If you’re the Cardinals can you rationalize moving Edman to SS and bringing up Gorman?
Keith Law: I can’t imagine that … I feel like it’s a big defensive hit to take. I also was looking at Edman’s batted ball data the other day, and, jeez, I missed on that guy completely.

Michael: I made an insensitive comment to you on your CODA review and want to apologize for that
Keith Law: Oh, thank you, but that’s truly not necessary.

Book: Sorry if I missed it, but have you recently made any good reading recommendations fiction/non
Keith Law: I’ve been reading more the last few weeks with more travel. Jason Mott’s Hell of a Book was amazing. Black Swan Green was excellent too. Emily Fridlund’s History of Wolves was very good. Non-fiction … I interviewed Dr. Ellen Hendriksen (How to Be Yourself) and Kathryn Schulz (Lost & Found) for my podcast after reading and enjoying both of their books.
Keith Law: Currently reading Eating to Extinction by Dan Saladino, about rare foods we’re at risk of losing due to globalization, climate change, or other stupid human tricks.

BD DC: Luis Garcia is killing the ball at AAA.  Has the light gone on?
Keith Law: I don’t believe in any hitter who has that much big-league time going back down to beat up inferior AAA pitching until he does it again in the majors. Not saying he hasn’t changed, but any varsity player should be able to hit JV pitching.

Elon Musk: Gonna stick around, Keith? Free speech for everyone!
Keith Law: I’m not going anywhere. I did set up an account on counter.social, @keithlaw, for folks who fled there from Twitter, but I am not deactivating my Twitter account.

Joe: I assume Gore is getting some help from bad teams but he looks pretty damn good considering where he was a year ago?
Keith Law: Both of these things can be true at the same time. I’m very pleased with where he is. I still see work to do.

Bob: You mentioned passivity in your report on Evan Carter. Have you found that to be somewhat innate and hard to change or the kind of thing a good development team should be able to help improve?
Keith Law: Depends on the person. No hard & fast rule there. Jeremy Hermida just watched this question go right by him.

Kevin: What’s up Klaw. Hope all is well. Long term for A’s…Murphy or Langeliers? Who would you prefer?
Keith Law: I would trade Murphy and promote Langeliers. Nothing against Murphy, but Langeliers provides a similar skill set, and Murphy should return a big haul. Of course, when you’re playing Christian Bethancourt at first base…

John Standing: Hey Keith, are you a believer in Taylor Ward’s start? Thanks
Keith Law: He has a .531 OBP. I am going to boldly predict that that will come down.

zuke: Does the international draft help players. They already gave away any real benefit when they capped it. But does the draft at least help with the “agent” issues?
Keith Law: If that’s coming to pass, I will write about it at length on the Athletic. I don’t think I could do it justice in a chat answer.

David: Does Jacob Berry have the type of elite bat where he could be a top 5-10 pick even if he ends up at 1B/DH?
Keith Law: I don’t think so. Maybe someone takes him there. He’s a DH.

addoeh: Any resto recs in Virginia Beach/Hampton Roads?  Couldn’t find any articles on The Dish.
Keith Law: I actually have not been down there since high school, other than a day trip to Norfolk to see Neil Ramirez about 15 years ago.

Adam: When Manny Machado says to the media that he’ll be “a very mad, mad, man” if Hosmer gets traded off the Padres, should that affect the FO’s actions at all?
Keith Law: No.

J: Another make up question-how does a parents make up issues (thinking of Jay Groome in the past, Justin Crawford this year with Carl’s record label fighting with an artist) affect the player’s standing
Keith Law: The Groome stuff was bullshit. Groome’s father ended up in jail for a whole host of crimes. Jay has had no makeup trouble I’ve heard of in pro ball – just trouble staying healthy.

Pepe: Thanks for your coverage of mental health topics over the years Keith. I suffered from social phobia my whole life but only later learned there is a strong comorbidity with ADHD, which i was recently diagnosed with. One aspect of ADHD is the ability to hyperfocus on things that a person is interested in or when a deadline is looming. This is sometimes framed as a superpower, but most acknowledge ADHD overall is burden to live with.

I saw a recent high draft pick mention he had ADHD on twitter and immediately wondered if teams factor conditions like this into evaluations? I feel like statistically an ADHD person may or may not be more likely to succeed in the bigs (not sure which). To me it seems like being able to focus in the moment or hyperfocus in preparation/training/theory would be a superpower, but also if baseball becomes unfun it would be much easier for these players to “check out”. Have you heard anything about this line of thinking when selecting amateurs?
Keith Law: Teams have different philosophies on such players – some view it as a negative, some don’t care, most I think would just want to know beforehand. A player with a real ADHD diagnosis can get an exemption to take medications, most of which are amphetamine derivatives, while playing, and those medications can confer real advantages to players – which is why some players try to use them without the exemptions.
Keith Law: I don’t know if I can answer any more concretely than that. How specific teams view these diagnoses I do not know.

J: With the NFL draft today, who is the biggest loss that you think baseball as a sport has lost to another sport
Keith Law: As a player? We’ve lost a few two-sport guys out of high school – Brandon McIlwain comes to mind – who could have been really good if they’d stuck with baseball, and then didn’t pan out in football either. (He’s with the Mets now and struggling.) Pat Mahomes was a prospect but everyone knew in HS he’d end up playing football, which I think was the right choice for him.
Keith Law: It’s often hard to say because even the best baseball prospects need a lot more time and reps before they get to the big leagues, and if they quit, it’s at age 17 or 18, before they’re finished products.

Adam: Have you noticed any specific changes that has allowed Nestor Cortes to become this effective? Granted between last year and this year we are still only looking at about a 1/2 year of innings, so it’s still small sample size territory? Is this likely just a great stretch, or do you see a potential mid-rotation guy going forward?
Keith Law: The cutter is the new thing, right? I don’t think he had that before he was waived and traded and sent to Scriberia or wherever. It might be a 70, though.
Keith Law: He might have the most interesting zero-to-hero story of anyone, though. The Yankees had him, lost him in the rule 5, got him back, got rid of him, got him back again, and now he’s (waves hands) this.
Keith Law: Lindsey Adler wrote about some of the Yankees’ pitch design stuff earlier this month, including the slider they call the “whirly” (there’s got to be a better way to say that).

addoeh: Can Keegan Thompson be a back of the rotation starter or is he more of a multi inning reliever?
Keith Law: 5th starter maybe?

Deke: Literally any reason to believe in Eric Hosmer being productive (not THIS productive, but productive)?
Keith Law: All available data says no.

Guest: Matt McLain- guy, Guy or GUY?
Keith Law: Guy. Maybe a 55 in the end.
Keith Law: He was on my top 100, and here in my Reds org report.

Tony: What is missing with Mitch Keller? Pretty much since he came up, his adjusted numbers make him seem like a solid pitcher, but his results are just so bad. Is he basically the anti-Matt Cain?
Keith Law: No changeup, for one thing. The FB is pretty true and I think hitters see it too well. LHB have given him trouble since AA, but now right-handers are too. I’d love to see him try a splitter.

SG: Do you think Elly De La Cruz will stay at SS or do you see a move to the outfield in the future?
Keith Law: He’s awfully big for SS. If he hits, we won’t really care where he plays.

Jon: What are your thoughts on Bauer’s leave being endlessly dragged out? I’m surprised the PA wouldn’t be urging for a quicker decision.
Keith Law: I do not understand it … it feels like both the union and league are kicking the can down Sinister Street (this is an obscure reference even for me).

Dr. Bob: RE: Today’s piece. If a young player is being overmatched, should the team send him down to the minors for a few weeks or let him try to figure it out in the majors? Is there a best development path?
Keith Law: I would not advocate for any of the players I mentioned today to be sent down. I don’t think it would benefit any of them.

Guest: Who would you draft first- Prelipp or Lesko?
Austin: Does Ivan Melendez (the Hispanic Titanic!) have a pro future or is hitting dingers every night in Austin his baseball peak?
Keith Law: Top 5 rounds.

Michael: We are seeing pitchers throw 104 now.  That was unthinkable 20 years ago. Do you think it can go much higher?
Keith Law: I don’t. There has to be a physical maximum, right? I recall an old study that put it around 105.

Appa Yip Yip: Any notes on Samad Taylor?
Keith Law: I was surprised they didn’t protect him. See my Blue Jays top 20 for more.

Mike: How does the last week or so change how we look at Andrew Painter? Does he start sliding up prospect lists?
Keith Law: It doesn’t. A week of performance shouldn’t change anything. And the #1 thing I would want to see from Painter this year is health.

Matt: Have you watched Winning Time? Gotta love the real life Lakers Barbara Streisanding the whole thing.
Keith Law: I haven’t. Never been much of a basketball fan.

Jonathan: Are you buying Tyler O’Niell going forward? Not necessarily as a consistent top 10 MVP candidate but as a legit above average player or is there still too much swing and miss?
Keith Law: He’s been horrible. He homered Opening Day and is slugging under .200 since then.
Keith Law: I’m just saying I don’t know what I would buy. I expected regression. This is more than that.

Pat D: Will starting pitchers ever pitch 7 innings again?  How many teams do you think will keep 14 pitchers during May with the new ruling?
Keith Law: I think the new normal is starters twice through the order. Expanding rosters might keep pitchers healthy but it will also ensure that we see more pitchers per game and no more 200 inning starters.

Cal: Hey Keith, I remember you being higher than most on David Calabrese in the 2020 Draft. Still very young, but any update on him?
Keith Law: Very young but the lost summer/fall really killed him. He needs to get stronger, and he needs to play. He’s in extended and I think he has a ways to go.

ProjectHanyo: Speaking of 2-way players, wonder how much Maurice Hampton regrets rejecting 1.8 million out of high school as he plays baseball only at Samford
Keith Law: I agree, but he did get a championship ring at LSU (football). That’s something. He’s actually hitting a little better lately at Samford and could go in the top 10 rounds

Walt: Following up on losing prospects to other sports, am I recalling correctly that you thought Jake Locker was potentially a high-level baseball player? Got a nice payday as a high draft pick, but never really panned out on the football field.
Keith Law: YES. That’s the name. Great memory.

UGW: Any chance Brady House stays at SS?
Keith Law: I would say zero.

Matt: Jan 6th Committee just said there will be 8 public hearings starting in June. Think it matters?
Keith Law: I think they are right to do it but I doubt it matters. A third of the country thinks those traitors were right.

Frank: What are your thoughts on using an opener?  Have you seen any data related to its effectiveness or lack thereof?  Lastly, is TB use of openers primarily to protect its young arms?
Keith Law: I understand the rationale. I find it annoying to my inner fan.

Rob: Acknowledging that it’s two weeks, are there any other prospects who look arrows up similar to Bryan Ramos?
Keith Law: Not for nothing, but he’s walked 2 times all year with 12 Ks. That’s at least worth considered as a counterbalance to the strong performance on BIP.

Andrew: What’s better for you- clicking to your articles through your Twitter account or just read from the Athletic app?
Keith Law: Doesn’t matter. I’m happy you’re reading. And so are my bosses.

Guest: What was the answer to my Prelipp/Lesko question- didn’t see the answer posted below the question
Keith Law: Prielipp will be able to throw before the draft, and that higher level of certainty helps him quite a bit. But we have basically no scouting looks on him since high school – four starts before the pandemic in 2020, seven innings total before he blew out last spring.

Pei: When someone asks a question such as “Is Joe Ryan for real” and you point out that his current start is obviously SSS and unsustainable, are you implying that you do not see nor have heard anything that suggests the player is tangibly different from how you evaluated him before the season? Because as a reader, when I see a question like that, I am interested in if there is any difference in the player at all, not if his SSS is real or not, which is an obvious answer
Keith Law: I see no difference in Joe Ryan 2022 versus Joe Ryan 2021. But, for better or worse, I take most questions literally. Is his performance this year sustainable? No, absolutely not. Is he a major-league starter? Hell yeah. I believed he was before 2022, too.

JR: I know you’re not a NBA guy, but can you recall the equivalent of Ben Simmons in the MLB? a seemingly healthy, all star caliber player, that can’t play likely due to mental health issues.
Keith Law: I can recall some minor leaguers, but not a major leaguer.

Marilyn: You as shocked as I am with what James Wood is doing?
Keith Law: Mostly. He mailed it in last spring, according to multiple scouts I know who saw him several times. Does he respond the same way when he struggles in pro ball?

Jay: Prediction time. Do you think the GOP flips one or both houses in midterms?
Keith Law: Yes

Ian: Obviously Daniel Espino is not going to have a K/9 approaching 20, but is he legitimately a #1 starter at his peak?
Keith Law: Yes.

TomBruno23: Wet Leg…9/7 at Delmar Hall, looking forward to that one.
Keith Law: The album disappointed me. I often like that droll sing-talky British style of vocals … but theirs annoys me more often than not.

Jim: Didn’t Greinke take time off because of mental health/social anxiety issues?
Keith Law: He’s going to the Hall of Fame. I was trying to think of a player whose career was derailed or substantially altered by mental illness.

Kevin: Would you consider yipps a mental health issue?
Keith Law: Depends very much on whom you ask.

Sam: Where does Kumar Rocker go in this draft?  Will he regret not taking the offer from the Mets, however low it may have seen?
Keith Law: My understanding is that the Mets did not make an offer. They did not have to do so because he declined to submit an MRI to MLB before the draft. Had he done that, they would have had to make a minimum offer to guarantee compensation in this draft if he didn’t sign. (which is a long way of saying the MRI program is unfair and anti-labor, but participating in it is better for the player than not.)

Guest: Is Dewon Brazelton Jr a prospect? Did you scout his father at all?
Keith Law: He was at NHSI. Looks a lot like his dad (who was before my time – saw him in the majors, not as a prospect). I don’t think Jr is a prospect, not now.

zuke: khalil greene comes to mind on players impacted my mental health.
Keith Law: Excellent one, yes. Clearly I should have you guys answer these questions.

Ed: Gordon Graceffo had the velo jump this spring. Short sample, but rolling in HighA.  Seems to be overqualified for that level.  Anything interesting there?
Keith Law: Yes, see my March scouting notebook that mentioned him.

Johhnycakes: James Triantos an MLB regular?
Keith Law: See the link in the last response.

Michael: College seasons are short and they use metal bats. So it’s SSS and has a huge variable. So how do you scout hitters there an feel that you are accurate?
Keith Law: You’re not scouting the stats, though. You use systems to handle statistical analysis. You scout the swing, the approach, the athleticism.
Keith Law: The metal bat is a problem, though.

Mike: Andrew Toles re. Mental health?
Keith Law: Schizophrenia, in fact. Talented, but not a very skilled prospect. The Dodgers continue to keep him under contract so he can have health insurance. That’s a kind thing that they’re doing and a sign that our country’s health care system is a fucking travesty.

Jim: Regarding mental health impacting a career, you could also make an argument for Jimmy Piersall, no?
Keith Law: Came to mind, but that is literally before my time, and I don’t know his story well at all.
Keith Law: That’s all for this week. Stay tuned for a draft ranking next week, going to 100 names, and then my first mock the week after that, probably going up on May 12th. I should have a draft notebook early in the week on some more players I’ve seen in person. Thank you all for reading, as always, and for your patience with the absence of these chats – Thursdays are often very busy for me and I’ve been traveling a bit more than usual. I’ll do more chats here and some Q&As on the Athletic too. Take care.

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→ April 16, 2022
→ By

Stick to baseball, 4/16/22.

For subscribers to the Athletic, I had one new post this week, a roundup of top 2022 draft prospects I’ve seen, including Druw Jones, Termarr Johnson, and the now-injured Dylan Lesko.

Over at Paste, I reviewed Cascadia, one of the best new games of 2021, from the same publisher as Calico. It’s another hex tile-laying game but simpler to learn and play, with variable rules you can fine-tune to allow kids to join.

My own podcast returned with the Productive Outs guys – Ian Miller of Kowloon Walled City and Riley Breckenridge of Thrice – as guests. You can subscribe via iTunes, Spotify, Stitcher, amazon, or wherever you get your podcasts.

I’m due for another issue my free email newsletter this upcoming week. You can find both of my books, Smart Baseball and The Inside Game, in paperback anywhere books are sold, including Bookshop.org.

And now, the links…

  • Vanity Fair has a long investigative piece on EcoHealth Alliance, a nonprofit that has been at the center of the discredited lab-leak hypothesis, showing how EHA’s leader, Peter Daszak, made the situation worse both before the pandemic began and after the search for SARS-CoV-2’s origins began.
  • Writing in the New Yorker, Pulitzer Prize-winning writer Elizabeth Kolbert writes about how two Florida lakes are suing to stop a development that would destroy nearly 2000 acres of wetlands. The lawsuit includes one actual human, as well as a marsh and a stream, and is the first of its kind in the U.S.
  • The Texas Observer, a progressive investigative journalism magazine that had a particular focus on Indigenous affairs, lost most of its staff in the last six months due to a series of bungled situations and a divide over the periodical’s mission.
  • Biologist David Sabatini resigned his tenured professorship at MIT after three senior officials at the school recommended revoking it in the wake of sexual harassment allegations against him and concerns over his behavior towards other members of his lab. He is still, however, suing one of the women who has accused him of harassment.
  • The British national who killed MP Sir David Amess was a “textbook example of radicalization” who started reading extremist propaganda online during the Syria conflict.
  • Texas is a shitshow in so many ways. Gov. Greg Abbott’s political stunt at the border has led truckers to demand that he stop inspections of every truck, a move he put in place due to baseless claims about border security. For a party that claims to be pro-business, this is a hell of a way to show it.
  • Opinion journalism is beset by structural problems and bad actors. There are ways to fix both of these issues, from better labeling of opinion vs. news pieces to proper editing (in a world where most publications have reduced editorial staff substantiall).
  • A Toronto man amassed a huge cache of guns and killed two men at random before his arrest, which may have prevented a mass shooting given the arsenal he had in his apartment.
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→ April 15, 2022
→ By

Playground.

I have what appears to be a false memory of an American movie critic  Playground, Belgium’s submission for this past year’s Academy Award for Best International Film, was the best movie of 2021. It made the Oscars’ shortlist, but didn’t get to the final five, and after a very limited theatrical release here this winter it hit streaming (amazon • iTunes • Google) this Tuesday. It is a marvel of small cinema – it tells a simple story, with few characters and no gimmicks, in under 80 minutes, and it’s just devastating.

Playground follows two kids, Nora (Maya Vanderbeque), aged 7, and her brother Abel, about 10, and takes place entirely at their school – mostly in the schoolyard, which is a brutal place, and Abel even tells Nora that he’s going to beat up some of the new kids with the school bully, Antoine. Nora has a very hard time leaving her father on the first day of school, and ends up clinging to her brother, which causes Antoine and the other bullies to turn on Abel. When Nora sees this, she wants to tell her father, but Abel orders her not to, for fear it will make things worse – and, it turns out, it does.

First time writer/director Laura Wandel shot nearly all of Playground at the kids’ height, and in soft focus, so Nora in particular is always centered in the shot and the story. Nora’s anguish is the beating heart of the story; the adults who ostensibly run the school let her down at nearly every turn, and even when she believes she’s doing the right thing by protecting her brother, he turns on her as well, blaming her for his switch from bully to victim and for his growing isolation from the other kids. Wandel declines to shift the focus to the adults – when we see them in full, it’s because they have bent down to talk to the children on their level – because the failure of the teachers and administrators is not the point of the story. It’s simply assumed. The adults are often kept out of frame entirely, and sometimes their words are muffled, to further evoke the overwhelming disorientation of being a young child in a new environment where the rules are unclear and adults don’t always fulfill their obligations to you.

Vanderbeque gives the best performance by a child actor I’ve seen since Brooklynn Prince’s in 2017’s The Florida Project. Her wide-eyed look conveys fear and determination in turns, and her facial expressions reveal the inner torment Nora faces as she realizes that none of her actions have unequivocally positive consequences. When Nora’s choices lead not to Abel’s liberation from bullying, but to his ostracism and her own isolation, Vanderbeque’s features tighten up as the character holds back tears, and if you’re a parent, just watching her doing that might rip you apart. Nora is forced to make decisions she’s not equipped to make, which only deepens her torment, and after several turns of the screw we see her start to feel the effects of this pressure. She’s still just seven and a young-looking seven at that, so despite her role as the protagonist, eventually her youth and immaturity take over and she begins lashing out at classmates and her brother – more so after her own few friends start taunting her over her brother’s unpopularity.

At a taut 72 minutes, Playground can move through its story without ever letting its foot off the gas – it’s as tense as a thriller and never telegraphs its direction, which also underscores that feeling of dread that most children experience in such apparently hostile settings. The playground of the school constitutes so much of the kids’ experience that the film’s original title, Un monde, means “a world.” It’s a nasty, brutish place, and perhaps Wandel’s way of showing us a microcosm of what awaits Nora and Abel when they grow up. You’re just hoping they make it okay until the bell rings at the end of the last class.

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