The Friend.

Sigrid Nunez’s The Friend won the National Book Award for Fiction in 2018, a surprising turn of events for a writer whose first book was published in 1995 yet had never found much of a commercial audience, even with significant critical praise for her work. A novel about a writer and a dog, about love and death, about the writer’s calling and the reader’s expectations, it’s a skillfully crafted work that asks a lot of you even as it is rushing past.

Nobody has names in this book except the dog, Apollo, who doesn’t appear until about 40 pages in. Nunez writes in the second person, as the narrator, a writer, speaks to her recently deceased friend, an acclaimed writer who often taught writing, slept with his students, married three of them, and was a fountain of insight (or merely opinion) on the nature of writing. His death has unnerved her and leads her to revisit much of the history of her friendship with him, but she also ends up taking in his dog, Apollo, an aging great Dane who is himself mourning his lost master, despite the fact that her rent-controlled apartment strictly forbids dogs.

From there, we get the relationship between the narrator and the dog while the narrator draws parallels to her relationship with her late friend, which was … complicated, certainly. She’s learning to cope with the reality of his death and the void this leaves in her life, in which he has been some kind of fixture for what appears to be a few decades. Walking back through her memories of him opens up extended thoughts on literature, what it means to be a writer, why writers write, and what readers want, or think they want, from what they read. On the one hand, the world needs another novel about writers writing like I need a hole in my head. On the other hand, The Friend is quite good, and these are most of the best parts. The idea of writing as a calling versus writing as a vocation is still an important one – maybe a more important one than ever, since, as Nunez points out in the book, the publishing world could simply stop publishing new books tomorrow and it wouldn’t make an iota of difference to the quantity of books available to readers. (The narrator wryly observes that it would have some impact on the economy, although those aren’t the same books that the narrator and her friend write.) We can write our own stories; can we write those of others? What obligations do we have to our subjects, even those we fictionalize? To what extent should privileged writers step aside for other voices from previously disadvantaged communities or groups?

The Friend also brings us two sets of interactions with students – one from college students in writing classes who come across as spoiled non-readers who don’t appreciate good writing and believe their own to be ready for the world, and another from the narrator’s experience working with victims of sex trafficking in a sort of writing therapy. The first group is there more for comic relief, although it becomes a launching point for some of the broader dialogues on why people write (and what a poor choice of career it might be). The second, however, could have spun out into its own book, and if anything gets too little time on the page, but it seems to stand in for the argument that writing can serve a purpose beyond satisfying the author’s ego.

Nunez pulls an authorial trick near the end of the novel that breaks any spell she’d cast to that point, partially redeeming herself with the last few sentences of the entire novel. Prior to that, however, there are some narrative gaps that never sat well with me – notably, why on earth does the narrator take the dog? She’s barely talked into it by Wife Three, and is fully aware it may cost her her apartment. (That also gets a bit of cheap resolution.) You may forgive all of these foibles because The Friend is driven by the narrator’s grief, not by plot. Little actually happens in the book, and what happens is mostly mundane stuff about the dog. You are here for Nunez’s thoughts on writing, on coping with unexpected loss, and what we give and get from our pets. It’s not perfect, but there are some truly lovely passages here, and the ending is so well done it should be punctuated by a bat flip.

Next up: Spike Milligan’s comic novel Puckoon.

Klawchat 5/30/19.

My latest mock for Monday’s MLB draft is up for ESPN+ subscribers.

Keith Law: Head in the clouds, your pockets filled with dreams. It’s Klawchat.

Kevin S.: A couple weeks ago in your chat, you mentioned that you felt the “Yankee voodoo” we joke about is actually something they’re doing developmentally that the rest of the league has not caught onto yet. Is it something specific you’re seeing (and if so, what?), or are you inferring this from their successes with guys like Voit and Urshela?
Keith Law: I’m inferring from their success with several hitters (and their ability to get nice velocity bumps from some young pitchers in the low minors), and from other writers’ coverage of the Yanks’ data-driven development approach. I’ve linked to a few things Lindsey Adler has written for the Athletic about this.

Jeff: Keith – Walker Buehler has been, on the surface, a little disappointing to date, but has an FIP in the mid 3s…assume you believe there’s no reason for concern?
Keith Law: As long as he’s healthy, yes, no reason.

alex: Callis said that Witt is the best SS draft prospect since ARod. Other folks have said Adley R. is the best prospect since Harper. Which is more offbase? I know you would pick Adley R. #1 (and I hope the Os do the same since going underslot may not work with the D-Backs and all their picks).
Keith Law: I don’t agree with either assessment – too many questions about Witt’s hit tool, definitely would put a few guys between Adley and Harper (Cole comes to mind, Buxton had absolutely elite tools). I have no issue with the O’s taking Vaughn, which I’ve heard a few times they are seriously considering, to go over slot at 42/71. There are enough good, tough-sign high school arms in this draft to make that work – especially since teams have a decent idea who other teams are on (e.g., we keep hearing that Arizona is on certain HS arms like Priester and Goss).

Jeff: Keith – Who are the most likely players to start falling that the Dodgers might scoop up as they did with Buehler & Kendall?
Keith Law: I mentioned Misner, who is very Kendall-like in his great tools/high strikeout profile but maybe a better pure athlete, in my mock. I bet they go with a good HS player with one pick (Brooks Lee’s name has come up twice with them since I posted the mock) and then take a guy who ‘fell’ like Misner or Zack Thompson.

Teddy: How fixable is Hunter Bishop’s strikeout issue? Is it a mechanical or pitch recognition problem?
Keith Law: Can it be neither?

Teddy: What percent chance would you give Kyle McCann to stick behind the plate?
Keith Law: Close to zero.

Dana: With Didi coming back and Torres moving to second, are the Yanks better off playing Urshela or LeMahieu at third?
Keith Law: Urshela and let DJLM move around.

Steve: Let’s say the O’s cut a deal with Bleday and Witt goes 2, do the White Sox go Vaughn or Rutschman? How much money would Bleday have to save GM KLaw for you to pass on Vaughn/Rutschman there?
Keith Law: I think White Sox would absolutely take Rutschman, but I hear directly conflicting stories on whether they would take Vaughn (what I put in my mock) or Abrams (which I believe Jim Callis & Jonathan Mayo had in their mocks). I keep hearing Kenny Williams is very involved in their draft room, which I don’t exactly understand, and that he favors Abrams. The last time the White Sox had a top ten pick and used it on a high school position player was … 1985.

Mattey: Kingery is starting in CF for the Phillies again today. Is he good enough of a defender to become the everyday player there?
Keith Law: I’ve never seen him do it – he was a CF until his junior year at Arizona, then moved to 2b, where I think he’s a potential 70 defender – but I believe he has the speed and instincts to do it, just not really the ideal arm.

Kevin : Does Tampa call up McKay?
Keith Law: I believe he’ll be up this summer. It’s time for him to give up hitting.

Bobby W: Any idea what the Padres’ pref list order looks like for Vaughn/Abrams/Bleday/Greene?
Keith Law: I don’t think there’s any way Vaughn or Bleday gets to them. Given the two HS hitters, I think they’d take Greene over Abrams.

Pete: Your reports talked about it and it looks clear seeing him hit — Austin Riley is going to strike out a lot. Once regression hits and he slows down, do you still project him as a regular?
Keith Law: 55 defender with his kind of power is a regular, definitely.

Eddy: If your mock had Jackson Rutledge off the board at 9, who would you have given to Atlanta?
Keith Law: Bishop. Texas is the only team ahead of Atlanta I could see taking Rutledge.

Danfromman: It seems that teams put quite a bit of importance on recent performance when evaluating their potential draft picks. Is this not a risk for SSS bias.
Keith Law: Maybe, but the flip side is that players that young tend to change rather significantly even year to year, and underweighting recent performance (and looks) risks missing players who’ve reached a new level of physical or emotional maturity or just learned something new.

Kyle KS: Parks and Rec question, my wife says the episodes with Louis CK are now ruined for her even though the one with Leslie preparing for the date is one of her favorites. She won’t watch those now. I’ll watch them based in the hope they didn’t know about his behavior. I’m not sure if you rewatch shows like this but how would you treat those episodes?
Keith Law: I almost never rewatch shows. I’d be more comfortable watching something from before a creep was outed than watching anything from afterwards. Like, Roman Polanski is terrible, but Chinatown was before he was convicted?

Eddy: What am I missing on Brennan Malone not being higher? Lot of athleticism, velocity, good breaking ball and changeup seems positive. Is he not higher simply because he’s a high school RHP or is there another concern?
Keith Law: HS RHP with good breaking ball, velocity but not life or high spin, not super projectable. I think he’s in the right spot.

Mark: I really do not think there is any reasonable argument to be made for not extending the netting in MLB parks. If it saves 1 life or prevents 1 traumatic injury it is worth it. Where do you think Rutchman, Vaughn, Witt, etc., rank compared to your preseason top 100 minor leaguers?
Keith Law: Rutschman and Vaughn would be top 25 prospects, the next tier (including Witt) might not be top 50. We’ve had a lot of graduations already this year, though, so if I redid a top 100 next Wednesday it would look very different than January’s.

Kyle: Hard Yordan Alvarez moved into your Top 100 yet?
Keith Law: Good example of someone who’d be on it now. So would Balazovic, who was on my ‘just missed’ list in January.

Rick Sanchez: Do you buy Luis Urias’ recent power surge at all, or is it just a product of SSS in a hitter’s environment with a juiced ball?
Keith Law: Power surge, no. High average/OBP, yes, I buy those.

Frank Viola: Wander Franco has been hitting out of his mind recently. How does Franco compare to Vlad when he was same age/level?
Keith Law: Pretty close overall but Franco offers more value beyond the batter’s box while Vlad Jr had (has) the exceptional power.

Moe Mentum: What was your primary motivation to stop eating beef? Also, were there any noticeable acclimatization phases (good or bad) when you first made this dietary change – e.g. fitness level, weight gain/loss, digestion, general health, food budget, shopping habits, etc.?
Keith Law: My daughter and I have an inborn error of metabolism that (boring biochemistry stuff) makes it harder for us to digest red meat. I realize now in hindsight that I felt really crappy after eating beef in particular.

Marshall MN: Are there any “obvious” sign under slot guys that you could see shaking up the top 10? I know you mentioned a couple as it related to the Orioles first pick, but I was just curious if there were any others?
Keith Law: Jung may not be very under-slot but he was the one I had in the mock who’s not top ten talent etc. but could go up there. I think the top ten go pretty chalk, but around the Phillies at 14 the potential for deals opens up a lot.

Marc: Should Pelosi move to impeach Trump and who should the Mets pick at 12? Also, can we get Kelenic back?
Keith Law: Yes, Manoah if he gets there (and he might), and sorry, no refunds.

Chuck: Mr. Klaw, your thoughts on the Carter Stewart news? Is MLB going to have to wake up and pay prospects what they’re worth?
Keith Law: I don’t think this moves the needle at all.

Shawn: Drew Rasmussen is flying up the Brewers system. Is he a top 100 prospect in the next re-tank and do you think he Starts long term or ends up in the bullpen (pen maybe this year?!)
Keith Law: Very few guys have two TJs and stay starters.

Pat: What has Matthew Boyd changed to all of a sudden become so good? Also, if you wereDetroit would you trade him ? 3 1/2 yrs of control left, good fit for SD with that park?
Keith Law: Added a cutter and uses it a lot – as he should as his fastball was unplayable. Martin Perez has done the same this year. Add a pitch and, assuming it’s good, you can become a totally different guy. Boyd wasn’t even a fifth starter for me with his previous repertoire. Now he’s a legit mid-rotation guy (and, apparently, a great, generous person, too).

Eric: did anyone project this kind of power from yelich? i’m a marlins fan, and his skillset was always pure hitting, but always felt he’d be capped at around 20HRs. this is incredible.
Keith Law: I think I’d projected 25+ from him when he was younger but I’m not totally sure. Of course everyone’s hitting more HR now because of the juiced ball.

Tom: Have you seen or heard anything on Forrest Whitley to change your outlook on him? When healthy, could the Astros promote him to see what getting him out of that envirnoment does?
Keith Law: He’s on the IL with a sore shoulder.

Ben: Any new articles can we expect to see from you these next couple days leading up to the draft? Thx
Keith Law: Next mock is Monday. If there’s sufficient news before then, I’ll write, but I’d rather hold smaller news back for the mock.

chauncey: what are your feelings on Andruw Vaughn?
Keith Law: I’m imagining this as Vaughn’s bat and Andruw Jones’ glove and that’s like Mike Trout without the speed.

Jake: Do you see Witt Jr. as a no doubt SS or could he be moved around the diamond based on his athleticism? CF?
Keith Law: He’s a shortstop, that’s no doubt.

Scott: Do you think there is a problem with the offensive explosion in the minor leagues, particularly the PCL? Can a team like Arizona accurately evaluate their players in Reno?
Keith Law: Yes, using the juiced ball in AAA has been a big mistake.

Harper’s Socks: How likely is it that one of the big 6 hitters (Rutschman, Vaughn, Witt, Abrams, Greene, Bleday) is available for the Reds at 7? Who would be most likely to fall and why?
Keith Law: I think those guys go 1-6 in some order and the Reds take Lodolo or, failing that, Kirby.

Eric: have you read michael lewis’ “the new risk?” even knowing that the government agencies under trump were bad, the amount of negligence to vital needs is still jarring.
Keith Law: No, because I think it’s going to just make me more angry at the low-key damage being done to our society and economy in ways that don’t make headlines.

ATL: You gotten any like at Dylan Carlson? Has he made any adjustments that could vault him into the top 100?
Keith Law: I’m a believer. I’d guess he’d make a revised top 100.

jeff: so i realize this injury is sort of murky for Correa, but is it fair to say injuries/durability are a real concern with him at this point?
Keith Law: He needs to come up with better injury excuses. Like, ‘my fiancee and i were trying out the new trapeze in the bedroom and the rope snapped, i’ll secure it better next time.’

Zac: On your prospect big board, there was a comment about Alex Manoah had no flaws in his delivery except he pitches out of the stretch every time, is that a knock against him for he doesn’t have a wind up so you don’t know if there are flaws?
Keith Law: It’s a knock because it’s atypical, but I don’t see why it’s actually bad.

Doug: Kimbrels market is going to explode once he loses the draft pick right?
Keith Law: I don’t think so.

Kevinkyle: Keith, love your work, thanks for all you do. I always find something interesting in your music recs. Have you ever spent any time listening to jazz or blues music? I grew up on hard rock and metal and somehow ended up enjoying a lot of jazz. Thanks again
Keith Law: I like it but don’t really know it well.

WhiteSoxAndy: Is Lucas Giolito for real? I want to believe. The truth is out there.
Keith Law: Yes. New changeup, tweaked delivery, better focus too. Gave up a 3R bomb in the first the other day and bore down afterwards to dominate.

CD: Based on your mock and Top 100, it appears Oakland would be reaching a bit on Greg Jones. Are you hearing them on any other guys closer to your draft rankings?
Keith Law: Yes – some will be gone, like Will Wilson or Busch, and some would be good value but higher-risk like Goss. They’re on all of them and Logan Davidson too. I just think Jones has a real hit tool question and can’t stay at short.

Will R.: Keith, per your recent mock draft it looks like you have Chicago kid Quinn Preister slipping a bit. His draft stock take a hit lately due to performance?
Keith Law: Not at all. Just that the industry doesn’t love HS RHP.

Michael: Can you explain Bellinger’s success? He hit one HR as a senior in high school. How does he go from that to perhaps the best power hitter in the league in such a short time. Is this projectable for anyone in this year’s draft class?
Keith Law: Swing changed a lot in pro ball. Also I think everyone missed what a great defender he was at 1b and that he could play at least average defense in CF (a really rare combination).

Adam D.: I’m not overly enthusiastic about Bryson Stott to the Giants. Seems like a high floor, low ceiling pick. Would you agree with that, or does he have a chance to be more than an average regular?
Keith Law: I had them taking Bishop, not Stott. I don’t think there’s a scenario where they end up with Stott, because one of Bishop or Manoah probably gets to them. If Bishop goes 9, I’d give the Giants Manoah and the Blue Jays Rutledge, and then Stott still gets to 13.

Aaron C.: What’s the plan for “Klaw-smas Day” (draft day)? TV hits? Running blog-like commentary/diary? Or, should I mind my own damn business?
Keith Law: Doing some TV hits on Baseball Tonight Sunday, then I don’t know about Monday yet. I’ll chat in the afternoon, for sure, and probably live-tweet that evening? I’ll file a day one recap that night for sure and do a second chat Tuesday afternoon after the third round.

Pete: Should the Mets just keep playing Dom Smith in LF until Nimmo returns so he gets regular reps for the time being or is it not worth the defensive hit the team would take?
Keith Law: They’re not going to the playoffs this year so I’d play him – and tell him his defense doesn’t matter, just worry about hitting – and let him get more at bats.

James: Is Dustin May a future #1? Separately, can he be useful in relief for LA later this year?
Keith Law: I feel like more #2 than #1 due to delivery but I wouldn’t be shocked if he turned into an ace in time. Great athlete with ridiculous shit.

Tom: Any scuttlebutt on who the Red Sox may their eye on at #43?
Keith Law: Very little, but I did hear them connected to the two hitters at U of Arizona, Quintana and Cannon. They’re just so far down that I don’t hear much gossip about them.

Dan: Hey Keith, thanks as always for the chats! I know we’ve established that ‘clutchiness’ doesn’t exist but what about the really extreme hot streaks? I’m talking about Arietta’s 2015 second half (0.75 ERA/0.727 WHIP in 107 IP) or Yelich’s 2018 second half (.367/.449/.770, 25 HR in 65 games). Are these guys just seeing the ball exceptionally well or have perfect arm action for months at a time? Or is this a mix of talent and a lot of luck in not having a bad stretch of games? I guess what I’m getting at here is if you’re up against one of those guys when they’re on a roll like that, is their recent hot performance a predictor of future performance?
Keith Law: The smaller the time period, the more frequent extreme performances will be.

Mark: do you have more faith in the Giants talent evaluation this draft than you have in the past?
Keith Law: Did I ever say I didn’t like their evaluations? I may not have loved some of their high picks but I don’t remember ever questioning their scouting staff.

Jordan: Will JJ Bleday be an above average regular in the MLB?
Keith Law: I think so. He might have the strongest hands/wrists in the draft. Even with that hitch in his swing, he can drive the ball to all fields like it’s nothing.

Teddy: Can you expand on your response to the Hunter Bishop strikeout question? Are you saying you don’t think he has a strikeout issue, or it’s not clear what the cause is?
Keith Law: I don’t think it’s mechanical or some kind of lack of pitch recognition.

Jonathan: Cameron Cannon has hit very well in college in this year. Thoughts on where he might go in the draft and is the knock on him his defense?
Keith Law: Specifically that he has no position, but he can hit.

Jeff: Do you agree that it’s best to combat anti-vaxxers with debate and not censorship? I ask because the refusal to debate/ growing push to censor them seems to empower them and even give credence to their ridiculous claims among those who are on the fence, at least in my small sample.
Keith Law: The best way to combat them is to ban nonmedical exemptions, and then educate the few people who fight it.

Matt Klentak: Keith, My track record in the draft is below-average. Who should I draft at 14?
Keith Law: I’ve heard them with all manner of players – I think my last list for them had a college bat, a HS bat, a college arm, and a HS arm. I’d like to see them not play it safe because that hasn’t worked well for them.

Alex: You mention the Nats routinely take “famous” players. Any reason or method to that for them?
Keith Law: It’s worked kind of well for them. Their record with first and supplemental-round picks is quite good.

Ed: Please tell me the Padres aren’t going with another arm in round 1
Keith Law: I only listed them with bats in my mock.

Rick Hahn: Coming into today’s game Zach Collins is hitting .248/.375/.522, which is very similar to Adam Dunn’s line with the Reds .247/.380.520. Is Dunn a good hitting comp for Collins, who looks to be a 3 true outcomes type of hitter.
Keith Law: I don’t think they’re close.

Mok: Do I have this right according to the party of science: misgendering someone or even being slightly skeptical of vaccines is literal violence, but killing an unborn child is “reproductive rights”?
Keith Law: No, you don’t have it right. And I don’t think it matters to you that you’re wrong.

JP: The Rays struggling to break 6,000 fans while playing .640+ ball is probably a harbinger of the future of baseball in St Petersburg, right?
Keith Law: Agreed. I’d really like to see them moved to another market at this point. Everyone says Portland but I keep banging the drum for Austin.

Brian: Keith, I understand that Wilmington is a tough park for hitters but the lack of contact by the Royals hitting prospects is alarming. When watching their games does something stand out why the contact rate is so poor among all their hitters?
Keith Law: Each is swinging and missing in a different way. Matias is the most alarming because he just swings really hard without any sign that he’s distinguishing pitch type or location.

JP: Klaw you’ve mentioned that you are in the final year of your current contract. Do you have an idea when we might know more? Not sure when my Insider/+ subscription expires but my decision to renew will basically be contingent on your status.
Keith Law: I don’t think I can answer that publicly, but thank you very much for the kind words.

Matt: Can you believe Trump is this petty and childish? Even though you hate *my favorite team* even I know you would never ask them to cover the name when you go to a game.
Keith Law: The next team to go to the White House after winning some championship should all show up in jerseys that say “MCCAIN.”

Michael: If someone had picked Trout top 5, how much grief would they have gotten?
Keith Law: I think a lot, between Billy Rowell (9th pick in 2006 from south Jersey, total bust) and Trout’s profile (white-right-right high school outfielder from the northeast, hits a lot of old scouting stereotypes).

Brian: Sorry if this is a dumb question but when you review board games do you play with other people or ride solo?
Keith Law: Not dumb at all! I play everything with at least one other person unless it’s a true solo game. Usually I try to play anything that plays 3+ with at least three people.

Gerald: Sports talk radio here in Arizona is so old fashioned and bad – also the main guy here ‘gambo’ says “wow NO WAY the Dbacks should have to eat Grienke salary in a trade” what he doesn’t realize is we would get better prospects in return, right ? And with this many high draft
Keith Law: He’s not good. I won’t go on their station because he slandered me on air. Your take is correct: if they pay more of the salary, they’ll get a better return.

James: Your tweets suggest that anyone who doesn’t want nets around the field has no feeling. I attend many games with my children, whom I generally like and desire to keep safe. And yet I hate the idea of nets from pole to pole. You cannot regulate away every risk, and the incidents of injury like we saw last night are extremely low. More people get hurt walking around the park than by batted balls. The nets would have a significant effect on the feel of the game and my enjoyment of it. It’s not cold-hearted to think that.
Keith Law: I sit behind nets all the time and I don’t notice them any more at all. Your brain will learn quickly to filter it out.

Steve: It feels like Anthony Volpe is destined to be a great player that is drafted too low, doesn’t it?
Keith Law: I do not get that feeling, no. I think he’s a fine prospect who’ll be a great college player, but his tools are limited. You have to absolutely believe he’s going to hit to feel as you do.

J: I know we’re mostly on the draft tip today, but thoughts on Devin Smeltzer and Zack Plesac moving forward this season?

Also, is Smeltzer-Plesac an 80’s jazz fusion band, or a chemical company?
Keith Law: I’m in on Plesac – had him 14th in Cleveland’s system last year, talked him up as a possible starter – less so on Smeltzer, who seems like a reliever to me.

Andrew: Difference between Nate Pearson his draft year and Jackson Rutledge this year?
Keith Law: Pearson was (is) a better athlete with a better delivery, I think. Rutledge is fortunate to come out in a way weaker draft and probably benefits from how good Pearson’s been.

Brian: Will you be Periscoping the draft again this year? If so, what will be your drink of choice?
Keith Law: If there’s demand, then yes, I’ll do that

Sue: Corbin Burnes has really struggled for the Brewers. They say they will still give him the chance to be a starter. Do you still believe he has a high ceiling as a starter?
Keith Law: I do, completely. Some absurdly bad luck, and very poor location on four-seamers. The former will work out in time; the latter is entirely fixable.

Andrew: Is there precedent/comp to J.J. Bleday’s swing? You mentioned he looks like he’s swinging an axe in your top 100 big board which scares me and that was enough for me to put Hunter Bishop ahead of him.
Keith Law: Hunter Pence’s hitch was worse, as I recall it from when he first came up.
Keith Law: He worked out OK.

Jerry Dybzinski: Are you related to Vance Law?
Keith Law: No, but Ty Law is my first cousin.

Chris: What’s the knock on Goss in the draft ?
Keith Law: None beyond that he’s a high school right-hander.

Andrew: Thoughts on high school prospect Jason Hodges?
Keith Law: If he’s signable, I think he’s a third-fifth round talent.

Austin: Have you seen any improvements with Adam Haseley or is this just Reading at it’s finest?
Keith Law: I haven’t seen Reading, but I have not heard about any positive changes to his swing that would make me think this is real.

Eric: What is considered success for an organization for a top-10 (or first-round) pick? Make it to the majors? Be a regular? Be an all-star?
Keith Law: If you get a regular position player or mid-rotation starter at picks 2-10, you did well. At 1, you should shoot for a star.

Chris P: Where does Leiter need to be taken to pry him away from Vandy? I’m assuming he’s not good enough to go top 15, so he’s off to school.
Keith Law: The consistent rumor is that he’d sign with the Yanks or Mets but no one else. What that might cost, I don’t know. I don’t even know if that’s accurate, but I keep hearing it.

MJ: Alek Thomas on course for the next 100?
Keith Law: Yes. I had him as a first-round talent last June and so far he looks like he was one.

Greg: Now that it looks like Pedroia is done…Do Utley, Pedroia, and Cano all go to the HOF? Does Utley benefit the most from retiring first?
Keith Law: I’m going to guess none of the three get in. Utley may have the best case.

Eric: Byron Buxton is fun and awesome. No question, just wanted to remind everyone.
Keith Law: I agree. One of the most exciting players to watch today.
Keith Law: Hell, the Twins are *fun* as a whole.

Jeff: If the padres wind up with Vaughn would it be to eventually trade him? Hope for the DH in the NL?
Keith Law: Or to think they can dump Hosmer at some point?

Brother: Deivi Garcia: how short is too short? What chance does he have of actually starting in MLB?
Keith Law: Not too short. He’s like 6′. He might be too slight, but that’s another question.

Sean: Please start promoting Dr. Gunter’s upcoming book, already have one pre-ordered.
Keith Law: I have a copy but haven’t read it yet.

Lobster Klaws: Sorry if this has been asked, but have you tried the Impossible Burger? I want to try it, but fear that by the time they get it into supermarkets, the price will be too high. Same reason I don’t buy bison (which is better than regular ground beef in some regards).
Keith Law: Yep, it’s really good.

HugoZ: Seriously, you think Polanski suddenly became a pervert in 1977?
Keith Law: No, I think that’s when he got caught. (I’ve actually seen The Pianist, which came out way after 1977, but the idea of considering the sins of the artist when choosing what art to consume hadn’t even occurred to me yet. I do still struggle with those decisions, especially when it comes to works of art that are acknowledged classics and highly influential, meaning that you have a hard time talking about contemporary works without knowing what came before.)

Pat: If you had to handicap it, what are the chances the O’s take Adley? 85%? Worse?
Keith Law: 50/50.

Mike: How big of a mistake/reach would it be in your opinion if the White Sox take Abrams?
Keith Law: Since Vaughn will be on the board in that scenario, then yes, it’s a significant mistake. And I don’t say that very often in the draft. They’d just be passing on a much better player to take someone who is very risky, and their history with players like Abrams (prep kids with a couple of plus-plus tools but questions about their ability to hit) isn’t as good as it is with college players.

Teddy: We’re seeing young player after young player get to Atlanta. Why did Anthopoulos fire the guy responsible for picking those players in Bridges?
Keith Law: He didn’t fire him, and I do not believe AA would say anything negative at all about Bridges’ drafts (which, as you say, were good at the time and look even better now).

PhillyJake: As the parent of a high school student, I’ve read lots recently about adjusting the start time of the school day. Minor league baseball has lots of kids just post high school in America, and high school aged in the DSL (and others, I’d bet) Is there word they’ve seen these studies and have adjusted their schedules for these kids?
Keith Law: I know several teams that have tried to teach prospects more about the importance of sufficient, high-quality sleep. Unfortunately games that run to 10:30 or later aren’t conducive to maintaining good sleep hygiene.

NHSI Guy: Hi Keith. No question. I’m the guy you spent like 20 minutes talking with as we walked out of the NHSI together in April. Because of work, I’m rarely available to read your chats live, so this is my first chance to say I enjoyed our chat and thanks for your generosity.
Keith Law: You’re quite welcome. I enjoyed our chat!

Pat: Have you heard any concerns about Rutschman’s shoulder? I’ve read that he had to stop playing quarterback in HS as a result, but I don’t know if that’s a nothingburger or not. Do teams have access to medicals before the draft?
Keith Law: I’ve heard that there is a medical report on him teams will see, but whether it’s a real issue, I don’t know and likely wouldn’t say unless folks like Callis/Mayo discuss it first (since they’re affiliated with MLB). I am very uncomfortable discussing non-public medical reports prior to the draft.

Joshua: How quick do you think Shea Langeliers could move up and play in the majors? Thanks Keith
Keith Law: I think his defense would be ready quickly, but his bat may be 2-3 years away.

Jack: How quickly does Rutschman reach the majors?
Keith Law: He should be up by the end of 2020.

Mose Allison Brie Larson: RE: netting from foul pole to foul pole – in Japan, where baseball is nearly a religion, they employ such a set-up. No one minds any all, and having attended games there, I can opine that it takes nothing away from the in-person experince.
Keith Law: It’s the most specious of complaints, and the benefit is reduced injuries.

Sam: What’s the highest spot you see Keoni Cavaco going?
Keith Law: I could see him going in the 25-35 range. Maybe the Dodgers or Cubs.

Adam D.: This is a bit of a crazy idea, but given how loaded the 2020 class is, would it make any sense at all for a team picking in the top-10 or so to pick one of the likely un-signable kids safe in the knowledge that not signing them means multiple first round picks next year?
Keith Law: No. People suggest that frequently in drafts that seem down, but 1) next year’s draft could always turn out to be worse than we think 2) a player today is worth a lot more than a player a year from now and 3) the GM/director in question could always lose their job before they get that extra pick.

Joe Don: In Mock 2.0 you report hearing that Texas could be changing from its long-standing preference for high-ceiling draftees. How come? The game is changing (TTO)? Disappointment with past results (Dillon Tate)? Something else?
Keith Law: They haven’t had great results with players like Jenkins or Thompson in recent drafts … maybe they’d take those players with lower picks, and try to lock in value with safer guys when drafting this high?

Joules: Draft periscope please!
Keith Law: Well, I guess that settles it. I’ll do a Periscope Monday, depending on whether TV needs me at all.
Keith Law: That’s all for this week – I’ll be back to chat again Monday afternoon after my final mock is posted. I’ll also be offline for a bit this weekend (longtime readers know why), so I may be less visible here or on social media. Thanks as always for all of your questions!

Stick to baseball, 5/25/19.

For ESPN+ subscribers, I posted my 2019 MLB draft Big Board, ranking the top 100 prospects in this year’s draft class. I’ll tweak that before the draft but this is the last complete re-ranking. I also held a Klawchat on Friday.

I’m behind on just about everything else these days, but I’ll have a fresh game review up for Paste this upcoming week, and I swear there will be a new email newsletter issue soon. Really. I promise. Mostly.

And now, the links…

Klawchat 5/24/19.

Keith Law: Let the melody shine. It’s Klawchat.

Rob D: Is Adley a better prospect than Posey was in his draft year?
Keith Law: No, not in my opinion. I do think there are scouts/execs who disagree; Posey wasn’t projected to hit for as much power as he did, and Adley is a better defensive catcher right now than Posey was on draft day, but I think Posey was a much better pure hitter at that time.

Mark: Has Anthony Kay pushed into a top 100 guy? Seems like his stuff is back and maybe better than ever.
Keith Law: Stuff is back, healthy, don’t think the stuff is any better but he needed more time to recover his command and be able to hold his stuff deep into games. I’m like a broken record on this but not every guy who has TJ comes back fresh as a daffodil the moment he returns to pro ball. Some guys take way longer, some need a second surgery (Espinoza and Ragans already this year), some just never come back.
Keith Law: Anyway, yeah, Kay’s pretty damn good.

TC: what has been the craziest/most intense high school or college game you have ever scouted at?
Keith Law: I saw Byron Buxton create the tying run in the bottom of the 7th with his speed when I saw him in HS, in Baxley, Georgia, and his team ended up walking it off a few batters later. I think it was an important game for the team and there were far more people there than at almost any other HS game I’ve ever attended.

addoeh: How many Republicans will look the other way when Trump inevitably ignores both the Courts and Congress with regards to investigating his finances?
Keith Law: All of them? All of them. Susan Collins will express her concern, though.

Eric: Barring an unexpected drop by Adley, is Abrams the pick at 3 for the White Sox?
Keith Law: He’s a possible pick. If 1-2 are Adley-Witt, I think the White Sox would choose between Vaughn and Abrams. They’ve been linked to HS guys a few times in recent drafts only to revert to college on draft day.

Justin: A couple of years ago you correctly predicted the twins regression after a hot start to the season, any thoughts on the team this year?
Keith Law: Legit. I said this winter I thought they were a more likely contender than people thought. Granted, I don’t think they hit 400 homers this year or whatever they’re projected to hit, but I do think they are a 90+ win team.

addoeh: Would you ever take your dog to a bark at the baseball park promotional event?
Keith Law: I don’t have a dog but if I did I wouldn’t, mostly because I’d be so focused on the dog that I wouldn’t enjoy the game. I was at a Wilmington game recently and sat next to a very large, sweet-tempered dog … who just didn’t like this one other dog who kept walking past us and so he’d briefly lose his mind.

Phil: Hey Keith. Has Gio Urshela made sustainable changes or is this still small sample size?
Keith Law: Both of these things can be true at the same time.

Jesse B: What are your thoughts on the season Dylan Carlson is having so far?
Keith Law: That kind takes some really exceptional at bats for his age.

Matt B: I know you weren’t a fan of how Jim Penders handled his pitchers, but Anthony Kay and Tim Cate are having darn good years this season. What are you seeing or hearing on them?
Keith Law: Answered a little above, but I think those guys are succeeding in spite of Uconn’s handling of them.

Damien : Has Giolito finally arrived?
Keith Law: I’m in. It’s weird, the guy who kept asking me in chat when I was going to admit that Giolito would never be more than a fifth starter hasn’t asked me that in a long time.

Jeff: Any truth to the underslot deals for Brett Baty in the top 10 that’s going around? He seems to be either be loved or down on the board because of his age.
Keith Law: I never want to say never, but I don’t think he goes that high. If he were 18, then yes, he’d go top ten, we might even talk about him as a top five talent. But analytical models are going to destroy him for his age. Part of me wonders if that’s too extreme because we simply don’t have comparables – when was the last really good HS position player who was 19.5 or more on draft day?

Brian: I know you’ve commented on the Phillies disastrous first round picks in recent weeks. But is it a little early to give up on Moniak at 21? He’s had a very good May after a strong second half last year & his power is up, with it actually being better on the road than at Reading.
Keith Law: Avoid that kind of thin-slicing unless you know of an actual mechanical or physical change to justify it – and there isn’t one here.

G: So..this version of Josh Bell came out of nowhere, huh? I don’t recall ever seeing raw power grades on him equating to the types of bombs he’s hitting lately.
Keith Law: I think he’s always had that kind of power, but didn’t execute in games in a way that would get to it – like many Pirates hitters he was more focused on contact and going the other way until this year.

Matt: How does a guy like Torres hit 10 HR’s vs 1 specific team but 2 vs the rest of MLB? Is it SSS or is he able to see the ball better in Baltimore?
Keith Law: There is no “see the ball better in” park X. The Orioles’ pitching is kind of terrible. I also think Gleyber’s pretty good, BTW.

Jeff: First player to the big leagues from the 2019 draft?
Keith Law: I think Vaughn and Rutschman will move very quickly, or a polished starter like Manoah. I don’t see a reliever who’s going to fly through a system (and half the time that doesn’t work anyway).

Chris: How do you think Kevin Cron will fare in the major leagues?
Keith Law: I think he’s going to strike out way too much. Those 21 HR are a function of real power + Reno’s ridiculous environment + AAA using the silly ball now.

Dylan: Stupid question that likely only I am interested in – any thoughts on which potential top 5 pick has the most fantasy upside?
Keith Law: Abrams, if he goes top 5, has 80 speed and might be a 30-40 stolen base guy. Rutschman I suppose has a lot of value as a catcher who should hit 20-25 HR a year.

Nate: If Bryan reynolds has below average power and can only play left field can he still be a major league starter?
Keith Law: I don’t think either part of your premise is true.

Cw: Who do you think is the ideal fit in the draft for the Phillies system?
Keith Law: The best player available.

Paul: So glad to see your expectations for Devers come true. Approach, conditioning and natural skills all coming together now!
Keith Law: Still young, too. More power to come.

Jeff: Is Bobby Witt’s age any concern too or is he that good where it won’t end up mattering in the top 5?
Keith Law: I think that his age should be a little more of a concern and Baty’s should be a little less, but that neither guy should be eliminated or massively downgraded for it. Witt’s good. Baty’s good. Their age is one variable among many. I also think Witt’s going 2 so it’s probably not affecting him at all.

Bradley: Congratulations on staying aboard the Giolito train. White Sox fans have to be feeling very encouraged after his start to the year and especially last night. Does he still have the TOR potential that was expected of him as a prospect? Ceiling?
Keith Law: I do think he does, especially with that plus changeup he’s using now.

88 Skis: Lots of talk about the Rangers going under-slot at 8, overslot at 41 and/or 50. Assuming they go underslot at 8, who are the names we should be watching for them to go over for with the next two picks?
Keith Law: Yes, I’ve heard this, but then again the advisers of the players they’ve supposedly tried to negotiate deals with already say nothing of the sort has happened. I think this is more Texas casting a wide net, knowing that they may not get anyone they love if 1-7 all go with slot guys.

Kevin: Buxton looks like a bust for former #1 prospect. Why everyone projects he will hit for average and power in the minors?
Keith Law: Buxton has a 111 wRC+ and 1.6 fWAR already this year. Did you type this question in February and only hit send today?

MMitchell: What do you make of teams no longer waiting until the projected Super 2 cutoff to call up premium prospects. Should the Astros move on Yordan Alvarez now?
Keith Law: Where would they play him?

Ker Pal: When you worked for the Jays, were you aware that Victoria Day was a big deal in Canada? The tone deafness of giving your only attraction (Vlad) a routine day off on one of the biggest attendance days of the year was pretty incredible.
Keith Law: I was made aware of it by the Canadian natives in the office, so, yeah, this was a surprising choice by the team.

joe random: have the Giants been linked to any player in particular?
Keith Law: A lot of players, including a couple of HS arms (Allan), and Hunter Bishop if he gets there.

Jeff: 2 former SS to play for us. Who is the more surefire big leaguer? Shewmake or Will Wilson?
Keith Law: Wilson, I think.

Beau: Why do you think so many teams/ scouts missed on Franmil. What has he changed?
Keith Law: He changed his approach midyear 2018, after a demotion to AAA. Before then, he was overly aggressive and very vulnerable to breaking stuff. He came back a different guy.
Keith Law: He went from someone I tabbed as a low-OBP fourth OF before 2018 to one of my breakout picks for 2019 (so far, that one looks good).

romorr: Have you heard of any concrete changes to the Orioles pitching philosophy in the minors? Some guys are putting up some huge K numbers than before, and a few control/command guys are walking more.
Keith Law: No and I saw Frederick’s whole rotation but one and I don’t think anything has changed there … they just have some good arms. No bats though.

Jeff: How close was Quin Cotton to the top 100? 4th OF or future starter if it all works out?
Keith Law: Fourth OF most likely. In the next 20-30 names.

Jarred Kelenic: How good will i be and will trading me be one of the Mets’ worst moves ever?
Keith Law: Frequent all-star and yes. Dunn’s good too.

Mike: How can we get legislators to understand that giving huge subsidies (tax breaks, cash incentives and gifted municipal property) is a really, really bad idea that does not pay off economically in any way, shape or form?
Keith Law: Only by voting them out every single time. For now, legislators see it as a way to stay in office.

Eric: Best way to cook a whole chicken?
Keith Law: Spatchcock.

Zac: Has Jake Rogers changed his approach this year or is it a case of SSS?
Keith Law: SSS.

G: Have you watched Fleabag season 2? Easily my favorite show of 2019 so far. Phoebe Waller-Bridge is so talented it makes me angry with myself.
Keith Law: That’s my next binge-watch, actually. She’s amazing. I’m also still working through Doctor Who, of course.

Jordan: Who will win the Indy 500 on Sunday?
Keith Law: It won’t be the measles! http://www.espn.com/racing/indycar/story/_/id/26807623/indy-500-offici…

Ryan: Will Gore be the #1 pitching prospect in baseball at the start of next year?
Keith Law: Probably … depends on whether Whitley turns his season around and gets the call.

Cape Guy: Where do you see Tyler Dyson being drafted? Was impressed with him this summer at Falmouth but looks like there was some regression at UF.
Keith Law: I don’t think he goes in the top three rounds. He could fall to the eleventh if he still wants top 100 kind of money.

Ant T: Who are the Mets most linked to at 12?
Keith Law: College guys, mostly, a bat if one falls, an arm like Manoah or Kirby if not.

romorr: Zac Lowther continues to pitch well, chances he is more than a back end guy? Dreaming of a Hall, Rodriguez, Lowther 1-2-3.
Keith Law: More back-end guy with the marginal stuff but a good/fun one. Some #4/#5 starters are just more fun to watch than others.

Josh: Did Buck’s abuse of Bundy in 2016 contribute to what he is now, or do you think the damage was already done and this is the best version of Bundy that could possibly manifest given his injuries?
Keith Law: I think it is impossible to separate the two. He was overused badly in HS, leading to elbow and shoulder injuries, then came back quickly and was forced into a heavier workload than you’d want for someone with his history.

Josh: Zach Plesac have a chance to be a mid rotation type or more back end?
Keith Law: That sounds like his range of outcomes, barring injury.

mark: If Vaughn is the only “top 6” hitter left at 6 , who do you think the Padres take?
Keith Law: They should take him, but I wouldn’t be surprised if they passed for Lodolo and the Reds took Vaughn.

Hank: Biggio is coming up, and he wasn’t on your top 100. He has good numbers, but I know you say not to scout the stat lines. So what is it about him that you (and others) feel sets him apart from others with similar numbers, and what can we expect in the majors?
Keith Law: I’ve seen him a lot and he has never hit decent quality pitching. It’s dead-pull power, not a good feel to hit, with a passive approach, and he has no real position.

Alex Failla: Has Kevin Newman recaptured the magic he had at the Cape? Bat has looked good this year, and he looks smooth at SS. I know, SSS, but it’s been promising. I feel he’s been overlooked.
Keith Law: I was always a fan, so I’m probably too inclined to say yes … but yes.

Paul Q: It is fairly common in the other Big 3 professional leagues for a college coach to make the leap to the pro’s. Would that ever be feasible in baseball, and if so, who are some of the coaches you think are potentially most capable?
Keith Law: Several college pitching coaches have done so recently and I think that’s the most likely pipeline, rather than head coaches, who make a lot of money at top colleges and may not see the benefit.

TP: Kevin Cron a guy or a GUY?
Keith Law: No, just a guy.

Jeff: Do you think rushing a guy like Ryan Wagner to the bigs hurt his career or it was bound to happen? Thank you!
Keith Law: He was a blowout risk from the start, so moving him quickly was a good idea, but he had about 9 minor league innings before he reached the majors – because the GM at the time was trying to not get fired – and that part did hurt him.

Timothy: Sorry if I missed it but did you give your thoughts on Stewart going to Japan?
Keith Law: Yes, on Buster’s podcast. Until Stewart signs a contract, this is all hypothetical – and could be posturing. I want to see the draft abolished, but I don’t think this is the right test case, and I believe Stewart is walking away from a non-guaranteed but potentially much higher payday in the US. He would benefit far more from going into an MLB farm system and getting the coaching he needs – he regressed badly this spring, in part a function of going to a JC without any track record of developing players because he could stay at home, and a pro system would likely straighten him out (literally!) in short order.

Alan: Any chance Mets could go underslot at 12 and float Leiter to round 2?
Keith Law: If the rumored ask for Leiter is true, then no. I’ve heard he might only consider the Yanks or Mets, or that he wants a top 5 bonus, or that he’s unsignable at any price.

Chad: I remember you not being high on Ryu when he first came over. Was that a miss or has something changed that has allowed him to pitch like an ace since coming back from injury last year?
Keith Law: He’s thrown a lot harder here (when healthy) than he did there or even when I saw him that first spring training, when he was working 87-90.
Keith Law: Didn’t one of the other Dodgers pitchers also teach him a curveball? I have a vague recollection of that. He was a big changeup guy in Korea.

Matt: Since reaction time slows when you age, do you think the day is coming where it will be rare to see a player over 30? At some point, pitchers are throwing too hard for the hitter to react in time.
Keith Law: It’s already starting to happen. Rare might overstate it, but this is becoming more and more a young hitter’s game.

Eric: Man, Keith, you totally got got by that guy trying to Old Takes Expose you by saying [checks notes] … Gleyber Torres was the second-best prospect in all of baseball when he was 20?
Keith Law: That was a strange one. Don’t people know Fred (the guy behind OTE) is pretty sharp, and tries to highlight the most egregious takes?

BigDaddeh: Is this version of Joey Gallo real?
Keith Law: The .400+ BABIP won’t last but as an above-average to star-level offensive player, yeah, I’m in.

Tone Deaf: How about the Cubs starting Addison Russell on Women’s Empowerment Night.
Keith Law: The most tone-deaf of all.

Josh: Thank you for never sticking to sports
Keith Law: You’re welcome. It sort of amazes me when (a small fraction of) people think you can separate sports from the rest of the world. Sports encompasses politics, race, gender, economics, even a little science. There are no silos any more.
Keith Law: Maybe there never were.

Blake F: Usually in the draft, the Nationals like to go for players who have dropped a little due to injury and chase their ceiling. But I can’t see an obvious candidate for that at #17, so where do you see them going in round one?
Keith Law: Next mock will be Tuesday but I think there will be enough famous, higher-ceiling guys around for that pick that they’ll get a typical Nats guy.

Brian: The Phillies system seems to be off to a rough start. But are there any players who you have heard good things about in the first two months?
Keith Law: Unfortunately the answer was Spencer Howard but he’s still on the IL.

AJ: Which 2nd base prospect do you think will stick this year – Biggio or Urias?
Keith Law: Biggio isn’t a 2b.

BigDaddeh: What’s the deal with this Callihan that the Yankees are connected to? Seems like a stocky LH hitter with no real defensive position?
Keith Law: One of the best pure hit tools in the class. Stocky might be misleading – he’s strong, and not fat or heavy or anything.

paul q: Niche request, but who are some of the top prospects coming out of the AAC this year and what are their landing spots?
Keith Law: Hoese could get into the first round, very likely top 40. Brickhouse and Feoli should go in rounds 3-4.
Keith Law: (I had to look at the list of AAC schools. I’ll never keep that conference straight.)

Paul: On the earlier question about Vlad, would the front office ever relay to a manager not to bench a certain player – or advise them to bench that player on the road?
Keith Law: Of course. All the time.

Joe: Martin Pérez? Real or fake?
Keith Law: I think the breakout is real. Using that cutter like a third of the time (HT to Aaron Gleeman for tweeting that stat) and it’s a legit weapon for him – especially since his lack of a real average breaker was always a problem.

Eric: If you were Rick Hahn/Nick Hostetler and Adley and Witt were off the board, who would you select?
Keith Law: Vaughn. Big gap between him and next best available player.

Dylan: Does Gilolito getting it back together cement your status as not just a genius but certainly a very stable genius at that?
Keith Law: I’m very calm. Aren’t I calm? Dylan, tell them I was calm.

Rick: I’m having my “no more kids” surgery next week and figured that weekend would be a good time to start getting back into reading. What are a couple of good, immersive/enthralling books you’ve read over a few-day span recently that you’d recommend?
Keith Law: Shame Alex Speier’s book Homegrown isn’t out yet – I just tore through it in about 36 hours. Lisa Halliday’s Asymmetry and John Carreyrou’s Bad Blood are two of the best books I’ve read this year.

Adam: We got Pandemic, got Catan, got Ticket to Ride – family loves all of them. What’s the next family game to get?
Keith Law: Splendor, Azul, Stone Age (longer playing time), 7 Wonders (I think you need kids to be at least 10 to grasp it).

Joe: Too early to give up on Austin Hays?
Keith Law: I don’t want to, but he looked terrible rehabbing here with Frederick.

jbar: Higher upisde, Michael Busch or Logan Davidson?
Keith Law: Davidson has more upside but I would pick Busch.

Eric: Bundy’s high school coach is who should be to blame, right?
Keith Law: Yes, but his father has to take some of that too – especially when, at the time, he would talk openly about how durable Dylan was.

Ridley Kemp: ’bout time The Verve got some love (and money).

As an unabashed fan of Good Omens, I have to ask: Did you laugh when you got to the bit about the four other bikers of the apocalypse? That one gives me the giggles every time.
Keith Law: Yep, that was a bit of genius. The book is a little uneven, unsurprising with two authors and a bit of a slapdash premise, but there are some parts that are really brilliant.

RJ: In the scenario where Vaughn falls to Detroit, I assume you’d take him over Greene?
Keith Law: Yes. I would probably take Adley 1, and then if he’s gone, Vaughn would be the next name I’d take over anyone. When I posted my top 100 this Tuesday, that is my best approximation of what my board might look like if I ran a draft room (bearing in mind that an actual scouting director would have seen all of the candidates for his first pick, and has an entire team of scouts plus an R&D department to help build that board, not just me playing pretend).

Ryan: Has Biggio changed something this year to lower his k%? Is it real?
Keith Law: Yeah, he got to AAA where the ball is different and lots of not very good hitters are going off.

Dave: If you could un-do one prospect injury from the last 10 years and see how the player would have turned out, which would it be?
Keith Law: I will always wonder what Fernando Martinez’s career would have looked like without the leg injury/issue that more or less ended his career.

HankQQ: Braves at 9. If not hunter bishop, who do you think they would take?
Keith Law: Corbin Carroll. Could be a wild-card third name in there, I’ll hold that till Tuesday because I’m not that certain.

Michael: Could you explain the logic behind why you would want to bat your best hitter at #2? I get that it is the most optimal, but is it just because it maximizes the number of plate appearances as well as having runners on base for them to drive in?
Keith Law: That’s quite a good summary.

jay_B: Albert Almora seems to be swinging for the fences a lot more this season. Think he can be a league average bat to go with his solid CF glove, maybe a 3 win player?
Keith Law: Yes, that’s the logic I had in mind when putting him on my breakout list. His breakout has really just been a few weeks, though, so I don’t want to get too confident.

Jack: Has Owen Miller in the Padres system registered anywhere on your radar? All the kid does is hit wherever he goes. I know many of his tools seem average, but it feels like he could be a solid utility player at the next level.
Keith Law: Yes, he was on my Padres’ farm report in January.

Andrew: I know you don’t eat beef anymore Keith but what’s the best way to cook beef or pork ribs?
Keith Law: Smoke.

Noah D: What do the Brewers do with Huira when Shaw comes back from the DL?
Keith Law: I’d rather play Hiura ROS than Shaw.

Ryan: Soooo are you still worried about Austin Riley’s bat speed? Or has your opinion changed at all?
Keith Law: Soooo are you saying a week of games should change my opinion? People who rush to gotcha anyone over this tiny a sample must have just started watching baseball in the last few days. Junior Lake had a pretty good first week too, as I recall. (Austin Riley is a real prospect; Lake wasn’t. Riley was on my top 100 this winter and Lake might not have made a top 500.)

Andrew: Do you buy guys that are older ages in high school tend to bust more?
Keith Law: If they bust more, the difference in bust frequency is small, and you risk missing some pretty good players if you just dispense with all 19+ high schoolers.

Andrew: I have an anxiety disorder since my diagnosis of bipolar disorder and with my main medication, I’ve been given an anti-anxiety medication to help me not feel anxious all the time. The only problem is that they make me drowsy and I haven’t taken it in years. Should I stop tryna find ways to deal with my anxiety head on (Toastmasters/cold showers) or take the anti-anxiety medication daily?
Keith Law: That’s really a question for your doctor and/or psychiatrist. I do take anti-anxiety medication and tried several, including varying doses, until I got to a combination of efficacy and minimum side effects that I could live with.

Noah D: Can Jung from Tech rise up much more than in the 20s and teens where he is currently projected?
Keith Law: Don’t think so.

Bill: Love your stuff. Rhulman 20 recommendation was a game changer. My question is: why are there any yankee fans who dislike Cashman? He rarely gets burned in trades and he seems to repeatedly discover cast offs.
Keith Law: I’m not sure. Don’t you also have to credit their R&D strength and the player development machine that takes those castoffs and some unconventional-looking prospects and turns them into valuable big leageurs or trade pieces to him? He oversaw the construction of this organization.

Mike: How soon after the end of the draft can the remaining free agents be signed by teams without giving up draft compensation? Like, immediately after the last pick or midnight, the next business day, etc?
Keith Law: I think after the draft ends on the 5th.
Keith Law: I’m not totally sure.

Warren G: In a previous article you mentioned that Corbin Carroll’s arm doesn’t project to average, but Perfect Game has him recorded as having hit 91 from the OF. This is not intended to be a gotcha question, but I’m curious what about his throwing has led you to believe that it will not reach average. Is it lack of carry? Velocity? Accuracy? Thanks for all your draft work.
Keith Law: I didn’t say that. Sorry.

Paul: You weren’t as high on Andres Gimenez as others, but do you think he’s better than what he is currently showing?
Keith Law: He’s only 20 in AA – can’t give up on him yet. The slow start shows a tiny bit of my concern about his lack of ceiling, but it’s also less than two months and he’s so young.

Alex: Let’s take the prospect injury question and expand it to any player, any era of baseball. Who do you wish had stayed healthy? I’d have loved to have seen Eric Davis meet his potential.
Keith Law: Brien Taylor.

Michael: Hey Keith- What should the Phillies do with Nick Williams? Does he have any trade value whatsoever at this point?
Keith Law: Almost no trade value there.

Seth: If Bart were in this draft where would you have him ranked?
Keith Law: Somewhere in the 6-10 range, as opposed to around 12 where I believe i had him last year.

Nate in Seattle: Wondering your take on Corbin Burnes struggles. Knowing your success rate with breakout guys, Will he start the 2020 all star game?
Keith Law: Heh. Giolito was a breakout pick for me in 2018, so maybe?

Jay: On Busters’ podcast, you mentioned that scouts don’t like dealing with Vanderbilt. Why is that?
Keith Law: They complain they have a hard time getting access to players (which is part of the scouts’ jobs) and that seating behind the plate for scouts is very limited (true, although the park is small). I will say that they have always treated me very well, going back over a decade now. This is the first time in ages I didn’t go to Nashville to see them at home – I saw Bleday on the road, along with Austin Martin, who looks like a top ten pick for next year.

Soto: As great as Paddack has been in 2019…..Can he continue to succeed with only a fastball and a changeup?

Only throwing his curve 7-8 times a game.
Keith Law: I think so. 7 change, 7 command, 6 fastball, just a show-me breaker. Rare package, but it works.

Jake Lawson: The Rangers should be looking to move Minor at the deadline, right? What sort of return do you think Daniels should be looking for?
Keith Law: I say yes. Could get two prospects for him, right?

Michael: Do you have any thoughts on the use of cbd to treat anxiety?
Keith Law: If you believe it works, go for it. Clinical evidence is lacking.

FunInTheSun: Best sophomore or 2020 draft eligible player in college baseball?
Keith Law: Lot of candidates. Two named Martin – Austin I mentioned, Robby at Florida State (whoops, see below). Torkelson. Wilcox and Hancock at Georgia, Wilcox better for me right now. Saw Mitch Abel at the Future Stars event in Arizona over Labor Day and he’s a GUY. So is Zac Veen. JT Ginn is draft-eligible next year. I’m probably missing ten guys, too, since I don’t typically look a year ahead – those are mostly guys I’ve seen myself plus a few I’ve heard about from scouts. It looks *loaded*.

Steve: “Gotcha” people might be the worst. I feel like they are very unhappy in their lives.
Keith Law: It’s one of the worst parts of Twitter for me personally, although as a straight, white, cis male, I don’t get a fraction of the abuse some other folks get. But still, if that’s your instinct, to come be obnoxious to me because i didn’t sufficiently praise your favorite team’s prospect, save your breath.

Ricky Dempsey: My brother is very liberal and is all about letting his child make its own decisions (he gives the child clothes and toys targeted to both genders to play with). He wants to give his child the choice of whether he should be vaccinated. The child is almost 2 now. What is do you think is the best way to talk to discuss vaccination this with him without being offputting and infringing upon the child?
Keith Law: Point out to your brother that the child can only make that choice later if he’s not dead.
Keith Law: Also, it’s the fucking responsibility of a parent to make that choice.

Jessica: Robby Martin is a freshman at FSU and not draft eligible until 2021
Keith Law: Yep, you’re right, thanks. De Sedas too. Had Robby on the brain because I just edited the video I shot of him an hour ago. He can hit.

Ken (Cleveland): Very strange question but it is an issue I am thumbing through in my head. I consider myself somewhat of a blend between a conservative and liberal whatever that really means today. I believe in fiscal responsibility but I believe in investing in long term social programs that work to help those who need assistance. I am pro-choice and believe governments shouldn’t own our bodies. However, in a certain sense, they do. Prostitution is illegal. Ingestion of certain drugs is illegal. Mostly suicide and assisted suicide is illegal. Selling a kidney to pay for a surgery to save your child’s life is illegal. Literally, the government (if they brought back the draft) could force you to fight and die for your country or otherwise jail you. To me, the government clearly owns our bodies. Based on that, although again I am very pro-choice for an individual even if my own personal choice is pro-life, why should abortion be legal when these other things aren’t from an owning your body perspective.
Keith Law: The things you cite as illegal aren’t signs that the government “owns our bodies” but that we have a 250-year history of legislating morality. Why shouldn’t sex work be legal, as long as all parties are consenting? If we took the resources spent on arresting, trying, and imprisoning sex workers, and put that towards stopping sex trafficking, who would be worse off?

Gus (Portland, ME): I read at the beginning of the season about Trejyn Fletcher maybe being a 1st rounder. Now I see he’s maybe at the bottom of a top 100, if ranked at all. Did his move back to Maine cause the drop or something else?
Keith Law: He was never that kind of prospect. Not sure where that sort of hype started. Anyway, I think he ends up at school.

Tom: Does ASU have any legitimate MLB prospects on its roster besides Bishop?
Keith Law: Torkelson for next year. Marsh should go rounds 3-5 this year.
Keith Law: Time to wrap this up to write some things and also go out to dinner with my daughter – we are celebrating both of our birthdays tonight, since mine falls right before the draft (thanks, MLB) and hers was the night before my last trip and a crack-of-dawn flight. I hope everyone has a safe and enjoyable Memorial Day weekend. Please don’t drive if you drink, and if you drive, be extra careful on the roads. I’ll be back with a mock draft Tuesday and another chat on Thursday. Thank you as always for reading.

Killing Commendatore.

I’m a huge fan of Haruki Murakami’s two peak novels, the dreamlike The Wind-Up Bird Chronicle and similarly surreal Kafka on the Shore, but have found some of his earlier and especially his later work disappointing, as if he’s trying to recapture the spark that lit those two novels but can’t find it. His newest novel, Killing Commendatore, might be the last straw for me, as it’s not just a disappointment – it is awful, lacking any of the magic or creativity that Murakami showed in the first half of his career, with a boring plot and some outright creepy details that someone should have told the author to cut.

The novel is narrated by its main character, a painter and portrait artist who is never named, and who begins the book by talking about his wife leaving him for another man, a shocking announcement that unmoored him and led him on a winding path to living in the disused house of his friend’s father, a well-known painter named Tomohiko Amada. (The narrator mentions in passing that he and his wife have reunited, one of many throwaway subplots in the book that has no fulfilling qualities when it’s resolved.) While there, the narrator discovers an unknown painting by Amada called Killing Commendatore that depicts a violent murder from the opera Don Giovanni; multiple characters in this painting come to life over the course of the novel, notably the Commendatore himself. Meanwhile, an eccentric, wealthy, handsome loner named Menshiki, who lives nearby in the mountains, shows up and asks the narrator to paint his portrait, but has an ulterior motive involving a young teenaged girl, Mariye, who lives nearby and might be Menshiki’s daughter.

The fundamental problem with Killing Commendatore is that Murakami doesn’t seem to give a shit about what’s happening in the book, and as a result, I didn’t either. In nearly 700 pages, only one tangible thing happens with actual stakes, and everything else is a mystery that Murakami can’t even be bothered to resolve. (I’ll warn you now that you don’t find out if Mariye is Menshiki’s daughter.) There’s a pit and a bell that seems to ring by itself, which is a mystery of sorts but not a particularly interesting one – and is also poorly resolved – while Menshiki’s own backstory is shrouded in another mystery that didn’t grab my attention. Eventually, the characters from the painting appear and Murakami’s trademark magical realism shows up, but it’s a relatively minor part of the book – this is my personal view, but I think magical realism needs to be suffused throughout a work of fiction if it’s there at all; a little bit just feels like a cheat – and the connection between the characters and their roles is extremely tenuous.

Murakami’s lead characters tend to be stand-ins for him – at least, they share a lot of personality quirks and interests with the author, often working as creatives with loves of classical music and cooking. The painter-narrator here has all of that, as well as the passing knowledge of baseball that shows up in many Murakami novels, so it’s fair to wonder how much else of the narrator’s character also applies to the author – especially because the narrator is kind of a creep. He’s completely obsessed with the growing breasts of pubescent girls, referring both back to his sister, who died of a heart defect in her teens, and again to Mariye, who is herself obsessed with her changing physique, with an excessive attention to their busts. It goes nowhere in the plot, and it doesn’t seem like anyone around the narrator is the least bit perturbed by this – including Mariye, who you would think would be uncomfortable talking to an adult male she barely knows about her breasts, or hearing his thoughts on the matter. The result was just gross to read.

But wait, there’s more! Murakami’s prose has never bothered me before, but this translation feels like a mess – his prose is wooden and his sentences awkward and terse, sometimes even broken into fragments. It feels like an unedited manuscript at far too many points. One of the translators, Philip Gabriel, has translated several Murakami works, including Kafka on the Shore, which I loved; while the other, Ted Goossen, translated Men Without Women, which I found generally inert. In neither case did Murakami come across as an amateurish stylist, however, which is an overwhelming sense I got from Killing Commendatore from the very beginning. It’s harder to get lost in a plot when the prose keeps jarring you out of the reverie, and the story here didn’t absorb me the way some other Murakami novels did anyway. When you add the the main character’s failure to evoke any interest – he seems totally disconnected from life, but there’s no explanation of why – you get a complete dud from an author who has shown he’s capable of so much better.

Next up: I’m reading an advance copy of Homegrown, Alex Speier’s forthcoming book on the building of the 2018 Red Sox.

Stick to baseball, 5/17/19.

For ESPN+ subscribers this week, my look back at the 2009 draft went up, with a redraft of the first round and a look at the first-round misses. I also wrote a scouting post on some Orioles, Royals, Yankees, and Blue Jays prospects, including the top prospect in each of the first three organizations coming into the year. I held a Klawchat on Thursday.

And now, the links…

Klawchat 5/16/19.

My 2009 redraft piece and note on that draft’s first-round misses are both up for ESPN+ subscribers.

Keith Law: (Brief delay – I’m just finishing up a call with a scout)
Keith Law: And when I die, put a soundsystem in my hearse. It’s Klawchat.

Joe: “Josh Bell can’t play. He’s not a good defender. He’s a big lump. He has bad agility, bad footwork. He can’t run. Supposedly he’s a big power threat, but he hit 12 home runs at first base. This is not a kid! This is his third year in the big leagues! I don’t think he’s got the ability to get better.” – Anonymous Scout, SI

Has any ever been owned harder?
Keith Law: I’ve said this on twitter – if that scout was real, he should not have a job any more. His evaluations were poor, but worse, he was borderline racist.

Sean: Keith, I have two questions regarding Matt McLain: 1) How far has he fallen as a draft prospect this year? 2) Do you think the Dbacks intentionally drafted him and undercut his asking price to either get him cheaper or not sign him, giving them an extra first round pick in this draft knowing they’d have a huge bonus pool?
Keith Law: He’s not in this draft, so I don’t think it’s fair to assess his draft stock now, when he’s got 25 months until he’s back in the draft. As for 2, no, that is absolutely, 100% inaccurate. They wanted to sign him.

Zach: The Pirates have had a suspect recent history in developing raw power prospects, so I remain cautious of Josh Bell. Should I drop the skepticism? I was burned by Pedro Alvarez!
Keith Law: No, you should buy in – I wrote in March that I thought they could have one or more breakout hitters thanks to the new coach/change in approach, and I think I mentioned Polanco specifically.

PhillyJake: As someone who’s given up red meat, are you a fan of either Impossible or Beyond?
Keith Law: Yes to both.

Bobby: When scouting a prospect, do you change seats between innings to view at bats or pitches from different angles, or is there one “best” angle from which to see everything? Thanks, klaw!
Keith Law: For a pitcher, I try to watch at least two innings behind the plate and at least one up the line from his open side. For a hitter, I just want to go up the line to watch his hands.

BigDaddeh: Are there certain orgs/GMs that get attached to prospect pedigree well after the shine has worn off? It seems like when there is a former top 10 draft pick who washes out and is a minor league FA, the same two or three teams have to take one last look at him.
Keith Law: It’s a good question without a firm answer. You might also say that former top 10 picks were often top 10 picks because of fundamental physical attributes that may still be present when they wash out.

Kevin: Do you think Jarren Duran has the potential to be an everyday player on a 1st division team?
Keith Law: Potential everyday player, yes. I don’t know how to answer that more specifically yet.

Mike G: Should we expect Jordan Balazovic to recieve helium during the midseason reranks? Numbers aside, his stuff looks very impressive.
Keith Law: He barely missed my top 100 this winter, so I think I had him in the right range then. He’ll move up due to so many graduations ahead of him. He could move up more now that he’s pitching at a higher level.

adrags: If one was to scout a stat line they may look at what Nate Pearson is doing and consider him one of the top pitching prospects in the game. In reality, what have you been hearing, and what do you think he is? Can he be an ace at the next level? His per inning numbers this year are off the charts, even when factoring in the level he is pitching at.
Keith Law: Two-time top 100 guy – he already was one of the top pitching prospects in the game, certainly. On the right night you will see two pitches that are 70s. But he’s also being used judiciously, to manage his innings, and that may skew the results too – he threw just two innings his last outing, a planned short start, and so he’s not taking on the same workload (or pacing himself, or turning lineups over three times) that most starter prospects would. Doesn’t make him a worse prospect in any way, just a factor to consider when watching his line scores.

Eduardo: Looking at your 2009 recaps, how surprised are you that Tim Wheeler never got a chance with the Rockies, or anyone for that matter?
Keith Law: If I had had more time, I would have looked into that one. It doesn’t make any sense to me.

Mike: What is Griffin Canning’s perceived ceiling, floor? Is he anything other than a potential mid rotation guy?
Keith Law: Potential #2 if healthy.

Blueberry Johnson: Hey KLaw, you going to be at PAX this year? I’m designing a board game that I hope to have ready by then… Would love to meet you and maybe get your thoughts??
Keith Law: PAX Unplugged, yes. Actually going to Origins for two days, Gen Con, and PAXU.

Ameen: Keith – you mentioned that your contract is soon up for renewal and I wanted to let you know that you’re the sole reason why I pay for the ESPN subscription. Hope that you will be justly rewarded soon. SSS aside, how do you assess Nick Allen’s current standing/future outlook? Could he be one of those prospects who somewhat flies under the radar and ends up being an average major leaguer? Is his ceiling of an average major leaguer a reasonable outlook at this point?
Keith Law: I like that kid quite a bit despite his size. He can run, he can really play short, and when I saw him in March I thought he had enough hand strength to hit for average without power, even as the pitching gets better. He’ll always be dinged for his height and concerns about future strength – the difference between him at the plate and Nick Madrigal is small.

Joe: Which bat profiles better: Riley, Huira, Rodgers?
Keith Law: Hiura.

Greg: Any belief that Austin Riley can handle LF this season?
Keith Law: Don’t see why not but I’d rather see him get more reps at 3b.

Mason: I think we made a mistake by forgetting about Aramis Ademan after last year
Keith Law: He’s hitting .255 (with a lot of BB) while repeating the level, and it’s still a lot of weak groundouts. He’s only 20 so I am in no way burying him, but you’re getting way ahead of yourself.

Jon: When you do your re-draft, are you going straight best (in hindsight) player available? Eg/ would the Braves have taken Brandon Belt with Freeman already in the system?
Keith Law: I don’t consider the teams drafting at all for that.

Amed Rosario : What do you think of me? Seems like the bat is coming around but now defense has been iffy
Keith Law: Cautiously optimistic – early days, small sample, but he’s young and showing real across the board progress. No idea what’s going on with his defense.

Ralph: Do any of the Yankee fill-ins- Urshela, Tauchman, Thairo- project as a MLB regulars or at least solid bench contributors?
Keith Law: The Yankees seem to have some sort of woo with these hitting castoffs they find, but I will say I liked Estrada as a prospect before he got shot, and Urshuela was a prospect once upon a time.

Robby: Did Anthony Kay’s stuff jump or something?
Keith Law: No, stuff was great last year too, but he tired a little bit and was also just back from TJ. Fully recovered now. Very promising.

TC: New Of Monsters and Men album coming soon. Have you heard the first single & have any thoughts on it?
Keith Law: Really liked it.

Arnold: The Giants top pitching prospect, Shaun Anderson, made a good debut the other day. Is he good enough to be a top of the rotation starter or are we looking at #3 or #4 guy?
Keith Law: Back of the rotation.

Plz: Giolito. I want to believe but I’ve been hurt before. Can I embrace it yet?
Keith Law: I’m in, but then again, I’ve probably been his strongest advocate as a prospect.

AGirlHasNoName: Been thinking about the Ben Zobrist news, and how impossible it is to keep stuff private, people seem to love to consume the scandalous stuff, but does that mean someone has to provide it to them?
Keith Law: I don’t think this should be any of our business whatsoever. If a player does something criminal, that’s one thing, but the private lives of players should be off limits.

Jordan: Any chance Corbin Carroll falls to the Mets at #12?
Keith Law: Nonzero chance, but very unlikely IMO.

Andrew: Best way to cook a chicken spatchcock style with what seasonings?
Keith Law: Just salt it heavily, set it on a rack in the sheet pan, and pour water in the pan itself so you don’t set off your smoke alarm.

Dave: When do you expect Baum (UNC) to come off the board? Been the Friday guy for UNC this year, shown good velo with a good chance but kinda lackluster off speed. That’s my .02 couch analysis
Keith Law: Third round … I think? College arms may fly off the board this year because there are so few real first-round onezs.

Mike: Hey Keith, after viewing your top prospects for the upcoming MLB draft I noticed that Vanderbilt Ace Drake Fellows was not listed. Where would you rank him/ what round(s) (if any) would be the range for him?
Keith Law: Third to fifth rounds.

Dave: What makes the time travel in Doctor Who tolerable if it’s a dealbreaker for you going to see Endgame? Asking as a fan of both
Keith Law: It’s baked into the premise of Doctor Who. It was tacked on as a plot device in Endgame.
Keith Law: Doctor Who is a time traveler by definition. Same as Connie Willis’ time travel novels – they are inherent to the stories.

Mike: How high are you on the bat of Dodgers Will Smith?
Keith Law: Above average regular if not more. I think the power he showed last year is real, the result of a tangible swing change.

JG: That Balazovic pick of yours is looking good. Kis has been nearly lights out
Keith Law: No, some guy on twitter told me I’m never right about anything.

Andrew: Does Triston Casas really have 70/80 raw power?
Keith Law: Not what I saw form him in HS.

Joe: What do you make of Christian Walker? I thought he was more of a AAAA type player going into this season and so far he has done way more than I expected. The .380 BABIP and 30% strikeout rate have me questioning how sustainable it is though.
Keith Law: It’s not sustainable.

Mark: I suffer from depression and anxiety and I have a big problem with public speaking. Any ways to overcome this?
Keith Law: I’m not a therapist, and that’s something you should discuss with yours … but I can speak to my own experience, that I have found public speaking became easier with practice, and that I still experience a lot of anxiety right before starting that fades quickly once I’m in front of the crowd.

Ethan: Just a comment . . . I have learned a ton about baseball and other things from you. And while I don’t always agree with your stance(s) (I am a strong Christian), I will say that I am most impressed with you as a dad and your care for your daughter, especially as it is clear the high priority she is in your life. I have an 11 y/o daughter dealing for the first time with some mental health stuff, and I think we need more dads like you. Thanks!
Keith Law: Good luck to you and your daughter – it sounds like you’re on top of it, and getting her real medical help now could avoid a lot of problems for her in her later teen years.

Tom: Hey Keith, it seems like the Orioles actually have some pitching talent in the minors.. Rodriguez, Hall, Kremer, Knight, Lowther, Akin, even Harvey. Is that reason to be optimistic, or just wishful thinking?
Keith Law: I’ll see Hall tonight, and have a post up on him, Kremer, Sedlock, and Bishop tomorrow or this weekend. I don’t think all of those guys are starters, but they have some bulk pitching on the way.

Keith: Does Moncada being in the 99th percentile for exit velocity make you believe his production is sustainable? 3-4 WAR season?
Keith Law: I believe his ability to make hard contact is real, and that he’ll continue to strike out at a rate that makes a WAR higher than that unlikely.

Andrew: Any 80 raw power guys in this year’s draft like Nolan Gorman was last year? How about 70-75 raw power guys? Your tools assessments on draft prospects is what helped me determine Nolan Gorman should be ahead of Casey Mize who’s been a stud.
Keith Law: I wouldn’t put Gorman over Mize, FWIW. Hinds has 80 raw, and swings and misses more than Gorman. Bishop probably has 70+ raw. Bleday too.

ck: First round in 2009 looks historically bad in retrospect. Can you think of any worse?
Keith Law: 2000 is the gold standard for bad first rounds, I think.

Josh Nelson: Hey Keith. Andrew Vaughn fits what the profile of who the White Sox have drafted since Nick Hostetler took over. How likely do you think they go in a different direction by selecting CJ Abrams?
Keith Law: At this point, I don’t have enough information to answer that other than to say I believe they are looking at both players, and aware that Rutschman could slip to them.

John Farrell: Can a guy who swings and misses as much as Chavis project out positively? Also, do you think he can stay at 2B longer-term?
Keith Law: 2b would really surprise me.

Eric: From a fair labor stand point, what’s the best replacement to a draft? Is there a way to do it that protects labor and keeps things competitive to avoid too much going to one team? Or am I overstating competition issues?
Keith Law: I don’t care much if at all about competition issues – I want players to be paid what they’re worth, not what some artificial regime says they can get. League officials and owners have so successfully brainwashed fans (not you specifically) into believing that drafts are necessarily to maintain competitive balance that fans respond negatively to discussions of how players like Zion W are exploited by drafts, and forget that MLB instituted its draft to stop the “bonus baby” phenomenon of the late 1950s/early 60s.

Mom’s spaghetti: Assessments of Yordan Alverez vary…what do you think of him? Can he at least hit…and I think he really needs to HIT to be successful, right? Any prospect of him playing 1B at all or just OF?
Keith Law: Well below average in LF or 1b. Probably a DH ideally. Should hit.
Keith Law: So your second point, that he needs to hit more to be valuable relative to his position, is accurate.

Brandon: Good to see Mitchell White back and healthy this season. Can you see him getting starts in LA this year if he keeps this up?
Keith Law: Yes, or in relief.

Redefined racism?: Hey Klaw, not trying to troll, but … can you explain how Anonymous Scout up top is “borderline racist”? I keep rereading it and I don’t see it. Thanks.
Keith Law: Read the whole SI piece. I didn’t say those specific comments were racist.

Huge KLaw Fan: Hi Kieth, do you think that you rate Hiura higher than the others as some sort of white guilt? Like you said in the Bell question, that guy was definitely racist towards Bell. But do you think you may go too far the other way and subconsciously try to be not-racist and like Hiura more than you should? Thanks! I second only having insider because of you.
Keith Law: This would be a great argument if Hiura were white, which he is not.
Keith Law: Also, j/k, it’s a stupid fucking argument.

Matthew: Do minor league results ever drive prospect tools grades? Or are those always based directly on scouting observations?
Keith Law: No, results do not determine tools, ever.

ck: When do you sous vide as opposed to any other cooking method?
Keith Law: When a precise internal temperature is paramount, or when I want to cook something a long time at a low temperature without using the oven.

Butts: Feasible for the White Sox be able to grab Abrams at a savings and float a mid 1st round talent to 45?
Keith Law: Probably not. Abrams’ floor is pick 6 or so.

Amari: Is Lodolo’s stock enhanced by simply being the best arm in a pitching-weak draft class? 1st round sure, but doesn’t seem like the kind of guy who would’ve gone top 10 in years past
Keith Law: I think so. I think the industry would disagree.

j: Are you surprised that Anthony Seigler isn’t on a full-season team? Figured a player with his skills would have broken camp with the Yanks low-A club Charleston
Keith Law: He’s been hurt.

Ryan: Corbin Carroll reminds me a lot of Alek Thomas. Could you please compare and contrast them? Thank you!
Keith Law: Similar but Carroll has more pop.

Steve: In your updated top 50, you didnt have Austin Riley. Other than your question about his bat speed, why did you keep him out of the top 50?
Keith Law: I’m not sure what list you mean; the only updated top 50 I’ve posted recently was for the draft.

Lee: It’s pretty obvious that our dear leader would be looking at prison time right now if he weren’t president. Should Congress do the right/moral thing and impeach? Or should they hold off on the chance that it may lead to voter backlash and actually lead to 4 more years of this buffoon? A very difficult choice IMO
Keith Law: I don’t think any Congress should delay impeachment for political expediency. If you think an elected official has committed some crime worthy of impeachment, then you should do something about it.

mike sixel: I don’t think I’ve ever seen your thoughts…..do you like Dr. Who?
Keith Law: I’m a fan through two seasons at least.

Bill: Jose Israel Garcia was a near miss guy for you. Had a good 2nd half in warmer weather and seems to be maintaining that this season. Is he a guy worth monitoring?
Keith Law: Only 18 games so far, so tiny sample, but yes, a guy worth monitoring. Chance for high contact with good defense.

Sean: Ketel Marte is showing legitimate raw power from both sides of the plate, though he still has issues hitting enough fly balls to take it to the next level. Are you buying on him at 25 years old?
Keith Law: He was on my breakouts list for 2018. I have a bad habit of being a year early on those.

Kevin: Do you think Devers can have a 300/420/550 slashline either this year or in the near future?
Keith Law: That’s MVP level … I love the kid, believe fully in his bat, but that seems like a best case scenario and is way out of reach for 2019.

Greg: Whens the next mock?
Keith Law: I think the day after Memorial Day. Big Board next week, ACC blog post, then mock.

Jordan: Does Jackson Rutledge have serious ace potential?
Keith Law: No.

Conine: I’m going to Marlin’s Park for the first time this weekend. Anything worth checking out while I’m there?
Keith Law: Lol no.

Dr. Bob: You talk about watching players from different angles. HS shouldn’t be a problem, but do you ever run into problems at colleges or minor league parks? Or do they accommodate scouts?
Keith Law: Usually fine – high schools are actually more of a problem because sometimes you can’t get down one or both lines. That’s also an issue at Duke – I won’t scout a pitcher there because of it.

silvpak: jeren kendall is now 23 and still at A ball, with no perceptible improvement in his approach at the plate, other than walking more (which doesn’t really matter, given he’s hitting under .200). two and a half years in – was this a wasted pick?
Keith Law: It was a decent gamble that isn’t working out.

Garrett: What are you hearing on Josh Lowe? Anything moving the needle there?
Keith Law: Great athlete, power/speed combo, hitting .226 with lots of swing and miss so no, needle is steady.

addoeh: Any new Chicago eats from scouting Priester?
Keith Law: Only one: My daughter tagged along and she wanted to try deep dish, so we went to Pequod for lunch before the game, and it was … well, she loved it.

Dave: If Trout’s the best player of the last 50 years… does that mean you think Bonds’s late-career surge should be discounted? Bonds averaged 11 WAR in his late-30’s prime.
Keith Law: Bonds had 50.3 WAR through his age-27 season. Trout will clear 70.

Often Sad: How do you separate seemingly good people from their horrible opinions? This weekend, my father-in law and his sister were really lobbing it back and forth with horrible takes, such as “AOC is the next Hitler, I’m serious,” and constant babble about “Fucking Democrats” ruining the country, even though I’m not sure an actual point was made. These are the people in my life, like it or not, and are what I think good people, but sometimes it’s hard to see that.
Keith Law: Sorry to hear that, but my only solution is to cut those people out of my life.

Joe: Fair to be a bit disappointed in Gleyber Torres so far? I was expecting better plate disciple than he has shown. Outside of games against Baltimore, he hasn’t played well.
Keith Law: He’s 22 with a 118 wRC+ … I don’t understand why you’d be disappointed in that.

Bob Pollard: How’s Wander Franco looking this year? Still #1 prospect-y?
Keith Law: He is the #1 prospect in the minors right now.

Jameson: Do you tend to grade trades purely on the factors at the time, or is hindsight a fair way to grade trades?
Keith Law: We can discuss whether a trade worked out for one side, but it is not fair to criticize a trade based on factors that no one could have known at the time of the deal.

Hinkie: WVU LHP Nick Snyder isn’t getting much attention, but is having a great junior season. What do you know about him, and how can he go in the draft?
Keith Law: Not a draft prospect, sorry.

Josh: What is your guess onthe root cause of the Phillies recent draft woes? Klentak has done a fantastic job, overdelivering on this re-build. Is this more a scouting issue or driven by guidance from ownership?
Keith Law: I don’t know – and BTW, it’s really the first round. They’ve botched several first-round picks, at least the three outfielders (Randolph, Moniak at 1, Haseley). Whether that is people or process I do not know.

Michael: Did the Angels know what they had in Trout that summer?
Keith Law: Yes.

Jack: Even if the consensus is that Zack Collins can’t catch at a major league level, is there a chance the Sox call him up this year and let him try anyway?
Keith Law: There’s some risk to doing that with a catcher that isn’t present at other positions – viz. that it will adversely affect the pitchers he’s catching. So I think not.

Mike: Keith, with your travels & your love of coffee, do you ever stop for a quick cup somewhere or always coffee houses? Any favorite quick stops?
Keith Law: No, nothing I would say I like.

wickethewok: Is this the power that Josh Bell was originally projected for or just an early season fluke?
Keith Law: This is the power I projected for him. Whether it’s real or a fluke is another question … I think it’s real, that the Pirates as a whole are encouraging hitters to drive the ball more even at some cost of contact.

Huh?: Is there any logical point that could be made to call Cortez the next Hitler? Is one of her main proposals genocide?
Keith Law: This is from the same people who think the Nazis were socialist because they used the word in their party’s name (they were textbook fascists, not socialists).

J: What is your favorite guitar riff?
Keith Law: The opening riff to Crazy Train is absolutely brilliant, and fun to play; Rhoads’ classical background showed better on that riff than anywhere else. Nothing in music makes me sadder than to think of the songwriting we lost when he died.

Ron: HI Keith- Buxton is healthy this year. Just sayin’! He looks so much more relaxed this year, even only if it is a SSS. His arm is as good as his speed and if he just hits .250-270, he is a star. There is some serious pop in that bat when he squares one.
Keith Law: I thought he was a star in 2017, then he was hurt most of last year, and now he’s healthy and what do you know, he’s a star again.

Michael: Do you ever scout a player who looks the part including the swing and bat speed, but just doesn’t put up numbers? I’m thinking Josh Vitters
Keith Law: Vitters is often my go-to example for this – beautiful swing, ton of power, and in the games he could never figure out when to swing and when to take.

OC Joe: What’s the ceiling for Soroka if he stays healthy? His ERA (duh) won’t be this low all season, but the only real negative in this SSS is a higher than expected walk total
Keith Law: Health is the #1 concern, obviously. Second is whether he can continue to dominate LHB as he has, despite not really using his CH and a low arm slot. If those stay true, #2 starter for me.

Joe: Keith, why do some minor league games start so early during the week, like at 9:30 or 10?
Keith Law: Schoolkids’ special. I love those games – I can go to one and be home in time to pick my daughter up from the bus.

James: Why do prospects generally lack a quality changeup? Hard pitch to master, or less sexy to have than a slider or curve?
Keith Law: In high school, especially, they almost never need one – the axiom is that, when you throw 95, throwing a HS hitter a changeup instead of your fastball is doing him a favor.

Andy: Do teams have portable Trackman things? Like can they go a couple hours early and set things up in a high school stadium to get spin rate on a high school pitcher in game?
Keith Law: Yes. Rapsodo makes a portable device teams use for some of those measurements.

Jonas: Keith, is Urshela’s performance sustainable? And at this point, is Luke Voit for real?
Keith Law: I think Voit is for real, given the details we have now (Lindsey Adler wrote about it for the Athletic) on changes to his swing and approach. Also, Yankee woo. I’m telling you.

Clifton Law : So Keith, based on your earlier Urshela response, you think there is something extra to putting on the pinstripes
Keith Law: I actually think they have some developmental ideas that haven’t generally spread out to other teams, yet, and that they’ve taken very good advantage of this temporary edge.

Harold: I, for one, can’t wait until the next election when a Democrat can be elected and the death in the streets, innocent people being locked up for not being white supremacists, and puppy kicking will finally end.
Keith Law: It’s really stupid to send me this shit from your work computer, buddy.

La Pantera: Do you think the Rodon, Jones, Dunning and Kopech injuries should make the White Sox reconsider their organizational pitching approach, more than an annual self-scouting review would do? Could this just be normal for clubs and freak occurrence that it’s happening to higher profile players for the Sox?
Keith Law: Nah. Rodon had a tough delivery and was badly overused in college, but also had one of the best sliders in amateur history. Kopech wasn’t even in their system all that long and almost nobody who throws that hard (other than Verlander?) can maintain it for long without elbow trouble. Bad set of coincidences.

Joe: Zac Gallen a potential Ace?
Keith Law: No.

Erik: you stated in your re-draft post that Trout would have went to the Yankees at pick 25 but wouldn’t it have been likely that the Angels would have snagged him at 24 instead of 25
Keith Law: If you’re assuming the Yankees kept that pick at 25, you should also assume the Mets kept pick 24.

Dan: It’s 2019 and some Boston sports media and plenty of fans were actually complaining that Cora took out Chris Sale when he did (108 pitches) because he could have gone for 20 strikeouts. Ntm, his injury issues the last two years.
Keith Law: I’m shocked (not shocked).

Bob: How would you rate Daniel Lynch’s secondary pitches?
Keith Law: Will write up on Friday. I am all in, though.

Tyler: Who has a higher ceiling: Fried or Soroka?
Keith Law: Fried.

addoeh: At least your daughter liked Pequods. I’ve probably recommended it a time or two here.
Keith Law: It’s not that it was bad – I just don’t like that style of pizza.

PD: Pretty big assumption that person actually has a job.
Keith Law: Oh I know exactly where he works now. And he’s been insulting me for a few weeks here.

Mike: At this point, do you think Drew Rasmussen can still start? The stuff is great, but the injury history still making me think he’s better off in the bullpen.
Keith Law: Two time TJ guy … I wouldn’t even chance it.

Mom’s spaghetti: What do the Astros do with Fisher, Tucker, Alvarez, and to a lesser extent Reed (seem to have ruined him)? Fisher almost has to be in a trade this summer but does he have enough value? Also, would you sell high on Alvarez? His stock can’t get higher!
Keith Law: Tucker and Alvarez would have some real trade value now; the others don’t seem to have much at all. I know they shopped Fisher in bigger deals this winter but he wasn’t enough to lead a package.

wickethewok: If the the 2009 Nationals were given Storen’s stats from 2010-2015, would they still make the pick? I know by most reasonable measures, including yours, he is a bust, but was this what the Nationals expected?
Keith Law: I didn’t call him a bust – that was an editor’s decision – and it’s not possible to separate the pick from the fact that it was unprotected and they had to have a predraft deal in place. (Of course, Trout would have signed for slot there, no question.)

Ozzie Albies: Have I ever seen a pitch I don’t like?
Keith Law: Pitch, or contract offer?

addoeh: What are the odds Keuchel, and perhaps Kimbrel, get close to their original asking price once the draft pick compensation goes away after the draft?
Keith Law: Keuchel more likely. Kimbrel I think gets one-year offers.

JR: Should the Mets aggressively be trying to give Conforto one of those extensions that are all the rage these days? I would.
Keith Law: I would too. Not sure he’d take one, but worth trying.

Dave: Sorry I should have been more specific: I was assuming Trout wouldn’t suddenly improve markedly in his late 30’s for, y’know, whatever reason. If he does, no argument, but I was wondering if you were assuming a similar path, or discounting Bonds, or really thought Trout was so much better young that he could reach 162 with a normal aging pattern. I’ll take your answer as meaning the latter.
Keith Law: I don’t think we can ever predict anyone to have Bonds’ aging pattern, but if there were a player alive today whom you might predict to have it, isn’t it Trout? Plus he might enter his 30s with a substantial WAR ‘lead.’

Sean: Gonsolin ceiling?
Keith Law: He and Balazovic were both on this list of : prospects who just missed my top 100.

AJ: Balazovic! Great call on your part. Do you see him as an above average starter and is it crazy to think we could see him before the end of 2020?
Keith Law: Above average starter but not in the majors before 2021.

Dr. Bob: One unknown factor in the redraft discussion is how a team may have mishandled a player’s development. It is possible that some ‘busts’ might have been solid major league regulars given a different course of development, maybe with a different team, right?
Keith Law: Absolutely. I wonder if Ackley’s career is different if he doesn’t go right to AA.

Zander: Hey Keith – any recent non-fiction recommendations?
Keith Law: Bad Blood, on the Theranos scandal.

Bobby: Best way to cope with death? Burying a family member tomorrow and it’s been rough.
Keith Law: See a counselor if you can. I don’t know any good way to cope, but I know lots of bad ways and it’s important to try not to fall into those traps. I’m very sorry for your loss.

Thornton Mellon: You ever read the Three Body Problem?
Keith Law: Yep, three years ago: my review.

Drew: I’m having trouble cutting activities out of my life that I’m pretty sure I don’t actually like or enjoy, but just kind of doing them out of obligation or fear of change; any opinions on how to stop?
Keith Law: Got me wondering what you might mean, but in the absence of that information, what about simply prioritizing other activities you do like or enjoy, so that the choice goes from “not doing X” to “doing something instead of X?”

Thornton Mellon: Is the new Tommy La Stella legit? You really see a 4-5 WAR player here?
Keith Law: It seems incredibly hard to believe, given the absence of any such power in his track record, but there’s also nothing obviously fluky in his numbers (other than the sample size).

alex: You mentioned the possiblity of the O’s not drafting Adley R. to save money on tougher signs. Doesn’t AZ have a lot of pool money and picks before the Os 2nd pick to scoop up these folks? Any candidates who are worthy tough signs?
Keith Law: Lots of HS guys who’d be worth it but the O’s can’t set their hearts on any one guy, because of Arizona specifically.
Keith Law: That’s all for this week – more phone work to do before the top 100, plus another ESPN project for draft week that needs my attention. Thank you all, as always, for all of your questions. I don’t know my exact schedule next week, other than that I’m planning to hit the ACC tournament briefly – I don’t think I’ll be revisiting the SEC tournament, held in Alabama, any time soon after the law they just passed – and may not be home for a Thursday chat. I’ll keep everyone posted on social media, though. Thanks again.

Reef.

Emerson Matsuuchi has come on the gaming scene with a bang the last couple of years thanks to the trilogy of games under the Century banner, beginning with Century Spice Road, which is – and this is generally a compliment – a great game to try if you like Splendor. In between the release of Spice Road and the second Century game, Eastern Wonders, he also released a very light pattern-matching game called Reef, which is a fun trifle of a game that I think is a great game to play with younger kids or folks entirely new to gaming.

Reef’s setup and components are themselves quite simple. The game comes with coral pieces in four colors, and you use a fixed number depending on how many players are playing. Each player has a 4×4 board, and begins with one coral piece of each color, arranging the pieces as they wish on the four central spaces. There’s a deck of cards with two coral symbols on top and some sort of pattern on the bottom that you’ll try to match. You begin the game with two cards, dealt to you at random, and then there are three cards out on display.

On each turn, you may take a card from the center of the table, or play a card from your hand. If you play a card, you execute two steps: You take and place the two coral pieces shown on top, and then you can score if anything on your board matches the pattern shown on the bottom. You can stack coral pieces, but the only color on a stack that matters for matching purposes is the one on top – so you look at your board from the top down to determine if you’ve matched the pattern. Regular patterns can include anywhere from one to four spaces, and may require you to have one or more stacks of specific heights. For example, it might require you to have two stacks, diagonally adjacent to each other, of height two with purple coral on top. You can score a pattern multiple times, but each stack can only contribute to one pattern per turn. Although you could potentially score more for certain cards, across many plays we’ve found it’s extremely rare to score more than ten points for any of these cards. (I believe my daughter did so once, and that’s it so far.) There are a few special pattern cards that can score quite a bit more – they give you two points for each stack topped by color X adjacent to your tallest stack of color Y, which can get you up to 16 points (four orthogonally adjacent spaces, four diagonally adjacent spaces).

The cards are well-calibrated so that the colors shown on the top don’t contribute to the pattern on the bottom, which means few if any cards beyond the special pattern cards are objectively more valuable than the rest. There’s a bit of strategy involved in collecting cards that will allow you to build toward a pattern on a card you already have while also letting you score something for the patterns on the new cards, but you’re limited to the three shown on the table and those will often be less than helpful. (You can take the top card from the deck in a blind draw, but have to place one or more point tokens on the lowest-valued card on the market, which is probably a terrible move.) With a hand limit of four, you can’t do too much long-term planning, and you’ll regularly have to change your strategy because the cards don’t cooperate or an opponent took the card you wanted.

The game ends when the supply of any color of coral is exhausted or, less likely, the deck of cards is exhausted. At game-end, each player can then score every pattern on cards in their hand, but only once apiece, so saving cards to try to score more points has a bit of risk involved.

That’s all there is to Reef – if anything, it’s simpler than my very detailed explanation implies – and the game doesn’t vary in practice with the number of players. It plays in a half hour or so, with moves very short and your decisions quite limited in practice; you can put your two new coral pieces on any of the sixteen board spaces, but most of those will make no sense at any given time. The flip side is that the game itself is shallow, pun slightly intended; I don’t see any way to play this with a long-term strategy, so you’re just drifting along with the current, playing the best cards that become available to you. Even holding two or three high-value cards doesn’t make much sense because you can usually score those patterns no more than twice and you need to churn your cards to get the coral pieces you need.

Reef’s pattern-matching should work for pretty young kids – it’s color and number matching, and there is no text reading required whatsoever – with turns short enough to keep them occupied, and stacking the coral pieces is oddly satisfying. Each color has a unique shape as well in case any players are unable to distinguish certain colors. As a lightweight, filler game you can teach and play quickly, Reef works, but I don’t think it’s going to be in heavy rotation for us.

Good Omens.

I’m a definite fan of Neil Gaiman’s work, having loved American Gods and also enjoyed Anansi Boys and The Graveyard Book, but have yet to get into any of Terry Pratchett’s output, including his famous and very popular Discworld series. With amazon about to release its adaptation of their joint novel Good Omens on May 31st, I picked up the novel a few weeks ago to prepare myself for the impending apocalypse. For a book written by two authors, it’s remarkably fluid and consistent, and, as you might expect given their reputations, it’s quite funny.

As the marketing campaign for the series has probably told you, the end of the world is nigh and someone has misplaced the Antichrist – more specifically, the forces of good and evil have discovered that they’ve lost track of the infant spawn of Satan, who was switched at birth with another baby thirteen years previously in a swap that went awry without anyone noticing. The ads sell the book a bit short, at least, as there’s much more going on than that particular mix-up; the book focuses far more on the angel Aziraphale and the demon Crowley, who turn this book into an unlikely buddy comedy as they try to get the eschaton back on track even as events spiral beyond their control and, in Crowley’s case, various other agents of the devil come after him for possibly screwing up the apocalypse.

The Antichrist, meanwhile, grows up as Adam in an unsuspecting family, and gathers a few friends around him in a little gang of mischief-makers called “Them” by the adults in their community, a group of four mirrored later in the book by the appearance of the Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse (although Pestilence has been replaced, a gag I won’t ruin here). The novel’s subtitle refers to an old book of prophecies by a witch named Agnes Nutter, the only truly accurate such book ever published, which of course means it has been summarily ignored throughout history – but one of her descendants arrives in the novel with an annotated copy and index cards referring to specific prophecies with attempted interpretations. There’s a modern-day witchfinder general (not this one), and his helper, Nelson Pulsifer, no relation to Bill, and the witchfinder’s dingbat landlord, a self-proclaimed medium (and, naturally, a fake). The narrative bounces around these different threads as they all converge, for whatever reason, on Tadfield, which is to be the epicenter of the eschaton.

Despite the quasi-religious underpinnings of the book, its best aspect by far is the interplay between Aziraphale and Crowley, who sit on opposite sides of the dualistic divide but appear to be longtime friends who, in this case at least, share a common interest in moving the plot along while encountering many obstacles, mostly of the physical variety. The book is substantially funnier when they’re on its pages, and, while never boring without them, it definitely lags a bit when neither of them is involved in the action. Their banter is snappier, and Gaiman and Pratchett clearly had more fun writing these characters and twisting their personae so that they appear to be acting on the ‘wrong’ sides of the good/evil dichotomy. There are various running gags around these two characters, notably around Crowley’s car, that work extremely well and, like any good running joke, get funnier the more they appear.

For a light farce like Good Omens, sticking the landing is helpful but not quite mandatory; the point is to enjoy the ride, and if the resolution is satisfying, so much the better. Gaiman and Pratchett do stick the landing, however, especially since we know from the start of the book the world isn’t actually going to end – I mean, mild spoiler, I guess, but it’s obviously not that sort of book – and they have to write themselves out of that predicament. It’s a well-crafted ending that doesn’t feel cheap or contrived; I didn’t predict it but after seeing the resolution I could see in hindsight how the authors had set it up. Given how well Good Omens delivers its laughs – and I laughed a lot – a solid ending feels like a bit of a bonus. Now I can’t wait for the TV series to arrive.

Next up: I bailed on James Kelman’s Booker Prize-winning novel How Late It Was, How Late after about 80 pages and around 200 uses of the c-word, so I’ve moved on to Haruki Murakami’s latest novel, Killing Commendatore.

Stick to baseball, 5/11/19.

I had two ESPN+ posts this week, my first mock draft of 2019 and a draft scouting post on some prospects at Vanderbilt and Louisville. I also held a Klawchat on Thursday.

At Paste, I reviewed Noctiluca, a fun, light, dice-drafting game from the designer of Raiders of the North Sea. My daughter and I have really enjoyed this one.

Before I get to the regular links, here’s a GoFundMe that might be of interest to many of you. Luis Vasquez, a former Mets farmhand, developed bone cancer in his leg last year; he has survived it, but surgery to replace his knee and tibia has probably ended his career. Jen Wolf, who worked with Luis while she was with the Mets the last few years, has set up a GoFundMe page to help Vasquez move into a safer house in the Dominican Republic, as his family’s current home is falling apart and lacks electricity or indoor plumbing.

And now, the links…