Klaw: A chance encounter, you want to avoid the inevitable, the Klawchat.

Clark: Why do smart front offices make bad decisions?
Klaw: I feel like you should ask your rabbi that question.

Brady: Hi Keith, thanks for chatting. There’s been a lot of Shelby Miller for Jorge Soler speculation, but Miller had 2.5 more WAR last year than Soler has had in his career. Would you trade Miller for Soler straight up?
Klaw: Different service time and cost, plus higher innate risk of a pitcher, makes that a reasonable deal for both sides in my eyes.

scottdsimon: Would you give a quick preview of your Paste review of two-player 7 Wonders?
Klaw: I liked it (7 Wonders Duel), but it’s not quite 7 Wonders for two players – same theme, somewhat simpler mechanics, more direct interaction.

Anonymous: Keith, thanks again for the chat. Any surprises among the non-tenders, and anyone you’d think a good candidate on which to take a flyer?
Klaw: Nicasio jumped out at me. Some guys who were non-tendered just to sneak them off the 40, like Rosell Herrera or Domingo German (who had TJ last winter), would be worth a look. I don’t know what to make of Minor or H Alvarez, since both had shoulder surgery and I don’t know what their outlooks are. A little surprised at Chris Carter – I think I’d rather take another year of him than of Gattis.

mike: Aside from adding a power arm or two to the bullpen do you think the BlueJays are done adding to roster?
Klaw: I thought Shapiro said they were done with major adds. BTW, remember those stupid rumors about how some “source” said the Jays were David Price’s top choice, or that they were negotiating a deal? So much BS out there this time of year from people who want clicks or retweets.

Miles: Thoughts on Kivlehan?
Klaw: Fringe to non-prospect. 1B only, good approach, limited tools.

Bradley: After seeing what Zimmerman and Price signed for, $63 million over the next three years for Shields doesn’t look so bad to me. Yes, Zimmerman and Price are younger, but if somebody is looking for a solid No.2 or 3, Shields looks like a reasonable option.
Klaw: I agree. Seems like he’s got real trade value if they want to move him.

Tom: I finally disagreed with you on a board game. Tried Race for the Galaxy last night and loved it. First time for everything. Thanks again for all the reviews. You’ve singlehandedly increased our family together time by sparking my and my kids’ interest in board games. Always much appreciated. Keep up the good work.
Klaw: I’m in the minority on RftG. Most folks who like serious games love it.

James: Hey Keith, is there any worry about Luis Ortiz’s weight gain? I love his stuff but I’m worried that his weight becomes an issue if he doesn’t get it under control
Klaw: Absolutely. Guy’s as big as a house right now.

Donald X: Play the new Dominion app yet?
Klaw: Reviews are awful so no. Plus they want $15 for expansions, which is high comedy.

Chad: Why is Pandemic so much lower on your 2 player rankings, then your overall rankings? I bought it on Cyber Monday, and I primarily play with my wife, and I was just curious if there was a clear problem with the two man gameplay?
Klaw: I think two-person games turn into one-person games.

Ryan: With Jeimer Candelario’s showing in the AFL, is he a viable MLB player and is he only a 3B
Klaw: Can’t play 3b.

Pops: Alen Hanson PIT a starter at 2B for you or a utility guy?
Klaw: Starter.

Joe: Any chance Mark Trumbo can be a 2 WAR player again in Camden Yards?
Klaw: Not there or anywhere. OPACY is not this great hitters’ park that some folks (including media/broadcasters) think it is.

Bradley: What was your favorite dish at Thanksgiving this year?
Klaw: I was very pleased with the Kale Caesar with duck confit – I made Ruhlman’s Caesar dressing from his book Egg, using confit oil, and (since my wife does not eat any seafood) using about 1 Tbsp of white miso in lieu of the anchovies to keep some umami in the dish. Plus my daughter and I then ate all the extra duck legs for dinner the next few nights. But that wasn’t the biggest hit with the guests – they crushed the basics, including the from-scratch g.b.c.

Jace: Other than move to Australia, is there any real chance for living in a sane gun control environment in my lifetime?
Klaw: This is morbid, but if a major celebrity is killed in one of these massacres, that might do it. Or campaign finance refoHAHAHAHA oh my God I almost got that out.

Ryan: I don’t understand all of this interest the Mets are showing in Ben Zobrist. A long-term contract to a 35 year old second baseman? No, thanks. What is it about Dilson Herrera that the Mets don’t like?
Klaw: Hey, Zobrist is a good player, but four years? That makes no sense to me.

Jeremy: what is a reasonable comp for Benitendi? Adam Eaton?
Klaw: Like him more than that. More power.

Todd: If I told you five years ago Keuchel and Kluber would win consecutive Cy Young awards, how crazy would I have looked? Which guy surprised you more?
Klaw: Keuchel. Saw him in college, 5th starter type. Totally overhauled his arsenal before 2014. Guy deserves a ton of credit.

Vin: Seems like both Cueto and Samardzjia will get more than $100 million. Who would you feel more comfortable giving that contract to?
Klaw: Cueto.

Nick: How often does a guy who doesn’t take any walks, such as grichuk, change their approach to do so? Could he be an all star with an upped walk rate?
Klaw: It’s very rare for that to happen and last at all. I don’t think he’ll do it.

Alex: Would you give Grienke a 6th year? Sounds like that is going to be what it will take for either the Dodgers or Giants to get him.
Klaw: Yes.

Craig: What is Josh Hader’s ceiling after his AFL performance? #3 starter?
Klaw: still think that’s a reliever all the way. Low slot for a starter, lot of effort, questionable command.

Steve: Just wanted to say thanks for the recommendation on the food lab and the note it was 30% off at Amazon. About 50 pages in and it is a great read.
Klaw: That book is amazing other than its sheer heft.

Ray: What kind of player do the Dodgers have in Yusniel Diaz? More bat than power or a little of both?
Klaw: Power/speed guy. Lot of tools meaning high upside but more risk than Estevez, the other Cuban they signed the same day (both Boras clients, IIRC), who has better feel to hit right now but lacks the big tools.

Ryan: Know anything about Jose Miguel Fernandez?
Klaw: He was actually on my top free agents ranking last winter, prematurely as it turned out. Chance to be an above-average everyday player.

Bret: It’s not a major deal, but I was surprised that the Jays kept Justin Smoak around for $3.9M. What do they see in him?
Klaw: Platoon bat with plus defense at first. Slight overpay IMO – probably a $2MM player.

Ben: Byung Ho Park – thoughts on his deal?
Klaw: Less than I thought he’d get, which is good for the Twins and also an example of how this posting system sucks for the players.

Ian: Is Jose Berrios a (potential) front of the rotation starter? I know you’ve had concerns about his height limiting his ceiling.
Klaw: Don’t think so. He’s likely to be too homer-prone with that flat fastball.

Tyler: Can Jason Heyward be a above average CF defender for the likely life of the contract he signs this offseason (6-7 years+)?
Klaw: No, I don’t think so.

nb: Hey Keith – Thanks for these chats. They’ve become one of my favorite hours of the week! Just wanted to know when we will start seeing your organizational rankings on the mothership. Thanks
Klaw: End of January for the whole thing. I always do the entire prospect package at once, over a three-day span.

Ryan from Richmond: When is the Rule 5?
Klaw: Next Thursday morning. I fly home late that morning so I may not attend it in person – not that the rule 5 matters much any more.

Alan: Just wanted to let you know my thoughts and prayers are with you through this chat.
Klaw: Thanks, Alan, really feelin’ the love right now.

Patrick: I know that lineup order has been shown to not have much importance, but am I crazy to use it as the main thing I judge a manager on? It is the decision that the manager has the most time and information to make as opposed to in game decisions that need to be made in an instant. I equate it to an open book test where it is really inexcusable to get questions incorrect.
Klaw: You’re right if you’re looking at a manager who puts a low OBP guy in the 1 or 2 spots and you think he’s a moron for doing so, because he is.

Bob@TheGoldenTriangle: Your thoughts on Pedro Alvarez getting non-tendered (released, really), please. How did he perform based on what you saw of him as a prospect.
Klaw: I loved the power, saw high risk with the swing and miss and the inability to hit lefties. Also didn’t think the body would stay at 3b long term. I remember ranking him around #37 one year on my top 100, and getting called all kinds of names by (some) angry pirates fans. Some high-risk guys work out; that one didn’t.

Alan: Felt like every guy the Giants brought up was able to contribute (Crawford, Panik, Duffy, Tomlinson, etc) despite having a system that is always seen as pitching heavy at best. What’s the Giants secret sauce?
Klaw: Pretty good system for getting the most out of high-contact bats. Lot of folks in the game credit Meulens and Bochy. Some of that was fluky though – Tomlinson has so little power it’s hard to see pitchers even giving him the opportunity to hit .300, and Crawford’s first-half spike was a mirage.

Bill G.: Which do you believe will have a better career, Max Kepler or Odubel Herrera. Also, have you played with any of the simulation baseball games like DMB, if so which do you like best? Thanks!
Klaw: Kepler, and no, I haven’t played any sim games.

Vin: What have you heard about Kenta Maeda? Is he more of a back-of-the-rotation guy?
Klaw: I think that’s where he ends up if he comes here and has to pitch every fifth day. Plus splitter, average to slightly above avg fastball, very small/slight guy who doesn’t look very durable and missed a handful of starts in 2013 and 2014.

Ian: Early 2016 draft question but who goes #1?
Klaw: If Alec Hansen is healthy, he’s my bet. Jason Groome and AJ Puk are possibilities too, although I think that’s too much for Puk – if I’m going pitcher at 1-1 I want a better athlete.

Josh Bell: So, does this mean I’ll get the call quicker?
Klaw: Not if you can’t make a significant improvement in your defense at first base.

Tom: You mentioned on Twitter yesterday that fans complain about player salaries but not owner profits (hey, no one complains about movie actor salaries either) but shouldn’t fans be concerned how contracts affect teams’ abilities to put together future rosters? Or, say in Price’s case, how many guys have been productive in the 7th year of these long term deals?
Klaw: Those complaints are fair criticisms; I’m referring to comments like “$31 million is insane!” (actual comment on my FB page) or “no one is worth that much money for playing a game” (I made that one up). It’s economic illiteracy. The owners are raking it in; revenues are rising faster than salaries. The players are the product and should be able to earn the marginal revenue product of their labor; there are players who are worth $40 million a year in added revenue, like Harper and Trout, but good luck convincing the average fan who didn’t even take economics in high school that a guy making $20 million a year is “underpaid.”

Jack: Is there anything to like in the Orioles farm system?
Klaw: It’s in poor shape. Sisco is a prospect, Hess and Scott are big leaguers, and you can always hope Harvey and/or Bundy gets healthy at some point.

Logan: Surprised by the Henderson Alvarez non-tender? He should have a pretty robust market, yeah?
Klaw: Depends on what the shoulder looks like. If it’s just ground beef in there, then no.

Jeremy: Javy Guerra or Jorge Mateo?
Klaw: Guerra.

Ian: What’s the scouting report on Kohl Stewart? Twins fans are calling him a bust because of the lack of strike outs. Does he have time to turn it around?
Klaw: Twins fans calling a 20-year-old a “bust” by scouting the stat line are not actually Twins fans.

Fred: What is it with Mets starters that their stuff seems to get better in the majors? Harvey, deGrom and Syndergaard’s stuff have all been better in the majors than minors. Is it due to better instruction in the majors, elite athletes elevating their game as they reach a higher level or just a fluke thing?
Klaw: Their folks credit the pitching coach, Dan Warthen. Will be interesting to see what he can do with Matz (if healthy), where the stuff is pretty good already but the command isn’t.

Andrew: Does Carter’s release indicate that AJ Reed will be the everyday 1B by May 1 (assuming he hits in AAA in April)?
Klaw: I hope so, just because I think he’s close to ready and I hate seeing clubs hold players down for arbitration/service time reasons. It does a disservice to the game and the fans even though it is the right business move in many or most cases.

Kyle: Did you read the Bill James piece on the three man rotation? Seems crazy enough to work….but is there any team out there that would actually try it? And any agents that would let their pitchers take the mound for said team?
Klaw: No, but if this is three starters, none faces more than 18 batters idea, it’s been around for ~30 years. I also think something like that is inevitable given data that shows that pitchers are worse the fourth time through the order.

Rob: So is Wil Myers the new 1B in San Diego? Does he profile adequately as an everyday 1B? First division upside or not?
Klaw: I assume so – he was awful in the OF last year, and that’s a bad park for a below-average defensive outfielder anyway. I do think he can hit enough to play there if he’s healthy.

Ben: Do you see Greinke setting a new AAV record?
Klaw: I think it’s about even money on that. I wouldn’t hesitate to give him 5 and $160MM if I were a high-revenue contender.

Tyler: More likely in next CBA… A) Rosters expanded to 26-27 B) NL DH, C) International Draft D) None of those are happening
Klaw: Some form of C, which will take the current system, fix some of its flaws, and create new ones instead.

Jeremy: what do you think the Rangers should do with Profar? seems like they are locked into Odor/Andrus in the middle infield.
Klaw: Probably start him in AAA anyway to get him some at bats and some reps in the field. I believe these surpluses often work themselves out due to an injury or an unanticipated trade opportunity. No reason to force it now unless something comes to you. Maybe they’ll get a proposal next week for one of those three guys that makes too much sense to refuse.

Mike: What is Roughned Odor’s power ceiling?
Klaw: I could see a 20 HR season there. Hey, did you know that the Rangers signed his brother, who is also named Rougn*()_U#I@R##(strangling sounds)

Pat: The Rays held Desmond Jennings in AAA in 2011 until summer to avoid the super 2, and then he played so well that you could question whether bringing him up earlier would have made up the 1 game by which they missed the playoffs. Now he’s been underwhelming and getting expensive and it would be tragically ironic if they were to non-tender him after the 2016 season.
Klaw: One man’s tragic irony is another’s black comedy.

Jeremy: if salary weren’t an issue, would Aaron Judge be a better RF option than Beltran in April 2016?
Klaw: I thought that would become the case last summer/spring, but now I don’t. Judge would get eaten alive by MLB pitchers working him soft away right now.

Lewis: Do you consider the 2016 Draft good like 2011 or more of the same of the last few years?
Klaw: We may not see another 2011-level draft for many more years. That was an absolute delight to cover.

Bryan (Montclair, NJ): Klaw, thanks for recommendation on Carcassonne. I haven’t bought or played a board game in years, and my wife and I loved it. Since I’ve also enjoyed some of your other recommendations related to literature and cooking, do you have any book recommendations for expecting fathers?
Klaw: The Happiest Baby on the Block was our mainstay.

Jake: Greg Bird upside?
Klaw: Everyday DH. Low average, walks, 25 HR.

Thomas: Many seem to think opt-outs are bad deals for teams, but I don’t see it that way at all. The back end of contracts are always bad. Provide a door the player can step through to save you from the bad years. The Yankees should have done that with CC. Am I wrong here, and if not, do you see more teams using them strategically?
Klaw: I think they cut both ways, for the reason you cited. The argument that they’re always bad for the teams – a belief to which I used to subscribe, by the way – was that if the player performed well in Phase 1 of the contract, it indicated that he would continue to perform well in Phase 2. I don’t think that correlation is quite as strong as we once believed it was, especially for pitchers.

Jack: Isn’t Greg Bird’s upside technically sky-high?
Klaw: How sick?

Sam: Why in the world would the Diamondbacks say Cueto rejected their offer? Seems the only viable explanation is to let the fans know they are trying to spend money even if they eventually do not. Any way it comes off as bad form and since nobody else publicly releases rejected offers it seems petty.
Klaw: Yes, I believe that’s the reason, but in general, please don’t ask me why the current Diamondbacks regime does anything they do, because I sure as hell don’t understand it. This is the same club that sold Touki Toussaint to cover a budget shortfall caused by Yoan Lopez. I’d sooner explain magnets and the tides.

Jeremy: is JBJ the best defensive CF in the MLB?
Klaw: I was going to answer this question but Kevin Kiermaier just robbed it from the queue.

Jeremy: if Pedroia got hurt, is Betts or Holt a better replacement at 2B
Klaw: Betts.

Kirk: Do you think Miguel Sano has the ability to play right field every day?
Klaw: I’d try him in LF and Kepler in RF. I’d say 2 to 1 odds against Sano working out in the outfield, but well worth the try.

Scott: Should the A’s extend Reddick? I worry that he won’t be worth the amount he likely needs to stay put.
Klaw: I think they should shop or trade him.

Tom: Thanks, I’ve always thought it was funny that it’s common to hear “Hey, greedy (pro athletes) aren’t worth $20m a year” but no one ever complained when Tom Cruise/Jim Carrey, etc would rake in $20m per film. All of it’s entertainment, right?
Klaw: Yep, and indeed no one cares about celebrity salaries or musician incomes. If that player was your son, you’d want him to get every dollar he could.

Fred: Why is everyone forgetting about Wheeler with the Mets rotation? Correct me if I’m wrong, he still projects better than Matz? How is Wheeler not in the big four but Matz is?
Klaw: Because he had Tommy John surgery? I love Wheeler, but expecting him to step right back into the rotation and make 30 starts at his old level this year is a bit optimistic for me.

MFY: How did the Yankees miss on Anderson Espinoza? They spent so much that year and didn’t come up with the best prospect.
Klaw: Well 29 other teams missed too, right? Signing players in Latin America is about as difficult as it gets. You have to start when they’re 14 and often they already have (illegal) deals in place before their 15th birthdays.

Thomas: How could the O’s not sign Alvarez? Seems like he can walk right into Davis’ role.
Klaw: Well “walk” probably isn’t the ideal word there.

Matt: How much value, if any, would you ascribe the the notion of pitchers being “comfortable” with a certain catcher? I’ve been seeing a lot of criticism of the White Sox non-tender to Flowers based on the fact that Sale loves pitching to him, and I’m wondering if that’s something that should be considered in the FA process
Klaw: I think it’s a nice thing to have but not something I’d really pay for if the catcher didn’t have other tangible value, like framing or OBP or something. Otherwise it becomes unverifiable bullshit and I don’t pay for that.

Sooperjones: Can we get that Turkey and Soba Noodle Soup recipe?
Klaw: It wasn’t a recipe – lot of my dishes aren’t – I just made a very rich turkey stock, cooked it down enough that it barely set at room temperature and was a solid block of gel in the fridge, then heated it and added cooked soba noodles, leftover turkey, salt, chopped scallions, chopped celery leaves/hearts, and a splash of rice wine vinegar.

Michael: I’m trying to learn a foreign language. I believe you’ve been vocal against using Rosetta Stone. Before I spent hundreds on it, why?
Klaw: Because I don’t think their method teaches you the language at all. You learn some vocabulary and not in a way that increases retention. It’s very expensive for how little it delivers – but it feels like you’re doing something so people pay for it.

Ray: Will Brett Phillips hit for avg, power or both? Can he be a 15 HR-20 SB-.280-.350 hitter?
Klaw: Yeah, I buy that. Not huge power but he hits the ball hard and could peak at 20-22 HR.

Ryan E: Any thoughts on who the Phillies go for in the rule 5? Are any available outfielders interesting to you?
Klaw: The rule 5 draft is not interesting to me. There’s too little talent available. In a good year you get two guys who stick and do something. In most years you get one or none.

Scott: Is it just me, but have you noticed that people are much more defensive about their tastes in music, compared to movies, books, etc?
Klaw: Every year I do some best-of-the-year music posts, and every year at least one person shows up to insult me for my choices because I omitted some album/artist that person loves. Never fails. I don’t get it – these lists are inherently subjective and I claim nothing more for them than that they’re my opinions.

Joe: Baseball Prospectus has a lot of data on pitch framing, and basically it shows that the best pitch framing catchers get about an extra strike and a half per game. Long story short: do we seriously overrate pitch framing as analytics people?
Klaw: I think we do, and another major reason is that it doesn’t seem to correlate well from year to year. Wasn’t Rene Rivera supposed to be great at framing? Hank Conger? How’d those work out? Now we’re chasing exit velocity the way we chased framing a year or two years ago. The value in new statistics is learning their predictive value, not in arbitrarily deciding that this one or that one is valuable before we have proof.

Jeremy: does Henry Owens 2015 debut lower his ceiling for you? the changeup didnt seem to fit the 70 profile at the MLB level.
Klaw: Nope, it didn’t. And the deception wasn’t as effective as it was in the minors.

Billy: I’ve seen you mention that you have a few Celiac family members recently. My fiance was recently diagnosed and I was wondering what resource(s) you’re using to find recipes, suggestions for substitutions, etc.
Klaw: One gluten-free family member (non-celiac but medical reasons), one close friend who developed a severe wheat allergy after dying in childbirth. (She got better.) Bought KA Gluten-Free Flour blend and xanthan gum. I start with 1-for-1 substitutions in regular recipes (but not bread – you need gluten for real bread) and work from there.

DC: Comps for Josh Bell and Alan Hansen? Thanks
Klaw: I don’t do comps, sorry.

Thomas: Regarding Judge, is the slow away going to kill him permanently, or to-be-expected growing pains?
Klaw: To be expected but it’s a real hole he has to address now.

Jeremy: which of the 2016 draft prospects is most likely to crack your midseason top 25 prospects list?
Klaw: Right now I would guess none.

Josh: Back to the James Shields trade value q, I believe he can opt out if traded, which significantly lowers his value, because if he’s good, he will walk and if he gets worse then you are stuck. Worth more to the Padres than any other team I think.
Klaw: If he’s good, he walks, and you’re off the hook for what are likely to be worse years anyway. But yes, if he sucks, you’re screwed.

Jeremy: for a non-contending Phillies team, would you bring JP Crawford up in June/July 2016? or let him work in AAA until September?
Klaw: When he’s ready – when the at bats are good enough, when he’s no longer making some of the little mistakes that mar his game.

TodD: I read somewhere that many scouts believe this is the best draft class in 10~ years. Do you agree with that sentiment?
Klaw: I don’t think you read that anywhere because it couldn’t be further from the truth.

Jeremy: did you see anything in Seager in 2015 that would make you believe he could stick at SS for 3-4 years?
Klaw: I’d bet against it.

Kirk: So if Kepler in right and Sano in left, that leaves Rosario…where? (Assuming Buxton in center) trade chip? Super sub?
Klaw: Trade chip, most likely. Rosario’s not as good as the other guys and the makeup is not great either.

Michael: As someone who is socially liberal, but fiscally conservative (I can’t be the only one), I find that I basically have no political candidates to vote for. Would you make any changes to the election process in the U.S.? How do you vote? Do you prioritize certain issues over others?
Klaw: You’re far from the only one but there is no party that represents that set of views. I don’t talk much about specific candidates, but I can tell you this: I won’t vote for anyone who’s anti-science. If you don’t accept the reality of evolution, climate change, vaccination safety and effectiveness, and so on, you don’t get my vote. I don’t always vote for the same party, or for the same reasons, but I always vote science.

Vin: Since Crick looks destined to be a reliever, who’s the best pitching prospect in the Giants’ system?
Klaw: Don’t even think Crick is a reliever at this point. I’ll defer on the latter question till I do their rankings because the guy I have in mind would be something of a surprise.

Chris: You can add gerrymandering and a total misread of the 2nd Am as obstacles to reform, Keith.
Klaw: Gerrymandering is something of an anti-science (or anti-math or anti-technology) thing on top of mere self-preservation – exhibited by all parties and ideologies, by the way. Not a huge issue in my state, though, with a single Representative.

Frustrated Cubs Fan: Thoughts on Theo basically twiddling his thumbs when it comes to acquiring SPs?
Klaw: I think you should take a Xanax.

Jeremy: How does Santa act in your house? Reward the nice and punish the naughty? Or give gifts out of unconditional love?
Klaw: We have one child and overall she’s quite well-behaved so it’s not a huge issue. We do wield that hammer, though – behave or Santa will see – but in reality she’s going to get a ton of presents even if we chose to skimp.

RC in the 41Six: JA Happ to the Jays for $12 million? Better shore up the bullpen but I don’t see how losing Hendriks helps this cause. Are good relievers simply much easier to find than #3 or #4 starters and is this the way you would have rebuilt the post Price Jays?
Klaw: Didn’t like that deal or the Estrada one. BTW, I’ll predict here that Atkins gets the GM job, and while I’ve known Ross for years and like him as a person and as a baseball mind, that would be just another preordained handpicked GM “search” that should add to MLB’s list when examining obstacles to minority advancement.

Tom: Since LAA traded their one good prospect to shore up SS, what’s their best course of action to address the black holes in LF, 3B, and 2B?
Klaw: It’s money or nothing (well, or finding someone on the scrap heap, which isn’t a crazy idea, just not guaranteed).

robb: The problem with the athletes-entertainers comparison over salaries is that, if you don’t want to go see a Cruise movie, you can go see one with Hanks in it. If you get upset at the contracts the team you’ve followed all your life hands out, you don’t start following another team. That said, I don’t get why people complain about it at all. It’s not our money.
Klaw: And people who complain about that one contract – oh, I can’t believe they gave Estrada that deal – aren’t my target here. It’s the Blue Jays fan who gets mad at what Price and Greinke and Heyward make just because it sounds like a lot of money. It isn’t in the context of industry revenues.

Taylor: Pedro Alvarez is very limited but the power is… something. What would you do with a player like that and who do you think should pick him up?
Klaw: IMO always a place on the roster for a player with a huge tool like Pedro’s power. Just have to use him judiciously and be willing to accept the failure that comes with it. He’s not a zero or replacement-level; he’s a part-time asset. BTW, tough week for that 2008 draft’s college first basemen: Alvarez non-tendered, Smoak signs a small one-year deal to avoid non-tender, Alonso traded because he was about to be non-tendered and goes to a club to replace Ike Davis. The other college 1b taken in the first round are all essentially done – Brett Wallace, David Cooper, Allan Dykstra. Yikes.

Michael: Boston talk radio has already started with the Price-sucks-in-big-games narrative. Funny or sad?
Klaw: A sad commentary on our country’s innumeracy.

Jimbo: You mentioned somewhere (twitter?) recently that you’ve cured and smoked your own bacon before. How did you do the cure? Did you use nitrates or nitrites?
Klaw: Pink salt (sodium chloride plus sodium nitrite). Otherwise your bacon will come out grey and taste very porky, plus you’re slightly increasing the risk of some bacterial growth. Ruhlman’s Twenty has a cure recipe that I use as my base.

J: Love it that Adele has sold 4m copies of her new record. It shows that people are still willing to pay for music
Klaw: Agreed. I bought Grimes’ new album. I will say that the industry-wide jump from 99 cents a track to $1.29 a track did impact my purchasing – I didn’t expect to react that way but ended up a Spotify premium member instead of continuing to buy lots of singles.

Corey: With all their young MLB players, long term contracts + minors talent close or on the way, Boston doesn’t really have any holes to fill for a few years (Sam Travis at 1B, Hanley to DH) How would you manage the farm system and MLB roster if you were GM given there’s no place to put a lot of these guys?
Klaw: They become trade assets for now or July or maybe next winter. Marrero, Cecchini, Barnes, Owens, Shaw … they’re all useful parts of larger deals, or maybe pieces to get good relief options who are younger than free agents and maybe don’t have the mileage of a Darren O’Day.

Thomas: Have we flipped too far towards youth and prospects? Will “older” players become the new market inefficiency eventually?
Klaw: I hope so or else I have no shot at getting that one at bat to get me a page on Baseball-Reference. That’s all for this week’s chat – thank you so much for reading. I’ll be in Nashville for the winter meetings next week and may delay the chat till Friday around my travel, but I’ll be writing, tweeting, posting on my Facebook page, and perhaps doing a Periscope if I can find a good spot and strong enough wifi connection.

Klaw: You gotta go for what you know. Klawchat.

Ryan: What makes you such a believer in Javier Guerra’s power? There have been lots of prospects that hit for power in Greenville, then have it never show up again. Plus he has a distinct lack of power in batting practice, and all his home runs were hit right down the line.
Klaw: I’m not sure what other prospects you meant, or if any of them were 19. I see power in the swing, and he hit for just as much power on the road as he did at home. Home runs down the line are still home runs, last I checked.

Colin: Kapler or Roberts?
Klaw: I don’t know who’ll get it, and knowing nothing of Roberts as a candidate I can’t express a preference either.

SPC: Do you think what Matt Duffy did is sustainable? Improve?
Klaw: I can’t forecast any improvement given how much better he was in the majors than in the minors.

Matt: Are advisers necessary for college players in draft process?
Klaw: Hell yeah. Otherwise negotiating against the team(s) would be like bringing a butter knife to a gunfight.

Adam: How long before Ozzie Albies is ready?
Klaw: Two years.

Michael: What teams have the prospects necessary to land Jose Fernandez if he is traded? Cubs? Red Sox? Astros? Dodgers? Wouldn’t this have been a better use of Margot and Guerra(and Allen and Asuaje) than trading for Kimbrel? Fernandez seems like the perfect Dombrowski target.
Klaw: Yes, if that package would have landed Fernandez, it’s obviously a better use of the resources – but I would guess the Marlins would aim even higher, asking for Moncada for example. Don’t see the Dodgers doing it. Cubs, Red Sox, Astros all could. Braves could but wouldn’t. Rangers absolutely could. Angels absolutely could not.

Chris: Kolby Allard with a 2nd back surgery already, how concern should Braves be?
Klaw: I think that’s his first. March injury was a stress reaction. Not a concern.

Jeremy: what’s the optimal use of Swihart/Vasquez (once healthy). a trade? or having Swihart split time at DH/1B?
Klaw: I think it’s a waste of value to let Swihart play somewhere other than C, so I’d think about a trade at some point. Swihart has superstar potential, but perhaps a bit more risk (volatility in potential outcomes).

Matt: Price, Greinke, Cueto, Zimmerman. Your gut, who ends up where?
Klaw: I really don’t speculate on that stuff, sorry.

Jeremy: can you give your hypothetical 10-man HOF ballot? and full ballot if there were no restrictions?
Klaw: Raines, Bagwell, Piazza, Griffey, Bonds, Clemens, Schilling, Mussina, Trammell, Edgar. I could add one or two names beyond that, such as Walker, but I don’t feel like anyone HAS to be on there who isn’t.

Luis: Do you think it’s crazy that Hoffman and Wagner are getting HoF consideration? Really their only argument lies in the worst stat in baseball. Besides the fact that relievers don’t pitch enough, I find it baffling that pitchers who weren’t even good enough to crack the starting rotation could get Hall votes. We don’t have to acknowledge every role in Cooperstown with a plaque. We don’t put bench players, pinch-hitters, or pinch-runners in the Hall of Fame, and for good reason. I would argue that pitching so seldom sets the bar extremely, extremlely high to merit induction, and the only full-time reliever to have ever reached that mark is Mariano Rivera.
Klaw: It redefines what the Hall of Fame is about – or, I guess, it continues the redefinition that came with the insane induction of Bruce Freaking Sutter, who barely cleared 1000 innings pitched. Rivera is a yes for me, and that’s it for modern relievers.

Gary: I saw your write up on the AFL and your mention that Rowdy Tellez has trouble with fastballs. Yet, he still seemed to swing it well down there. Do you mean he will be able to hit some of the average heaters he will see in the minors, but will be overmatched by the better stuff in the majors?
Klaw: I’m assuming you’re scouting the stat line. He was behind better fastballs all week when I was there, just as he was in high school. It’s a slow bat.

richard: Does someone claim Becerra if the Mets expose him in the Rule 5? I think yes.
Klaw: I think yes and he gets returned. Can’t carry that guy all year. The rule 5 rules are kind of a mess – they expose Latin American kids to the draft too soon, but absolutely screw college draft picks with the extra year before they can be taken in the rule 5 (extra vs the old system, I mean).

Fitz: Is there any hope for Drew Hutchison? He had a pretty strong 2014 and completely fell off the map in 2015. That adjustment he made to his slider in the 2nd half of 2014 somehow disappeared this season.
Klaw: You answered it the way I would. If they find that missing slider – perhaps it was lost at customs? – then he can be that same guy again. Otherwise I think he’s a reliever.

Oilcan23: I understand that you think the Red Sox gave up too much for Kimbrell, and I really do understand why. That said, does it matter that the pieces the Red Sox gave up probably wouldn’t have played a Fenway over the next three years (maybe Margot makes it)? Do you place any credence in the idea that the Red Sox are a win-now franchise that can’t wait for players like Margot to develop when they have pressing needs today? I can’t speak for all Red Sox fans, but I can’t imagine “trust the process” going over all that well in Boston.
Klaw: No, it doesn’t matter, because the value of those assets they dealt is independent of whether they’re blocked in Fenway. If you insist on trading Margot, then get a fair return for him. They didn’t.

Bill G.: Keith, thanks for doing these chats. If you were starting a team, who would you want long term, Lindor or Corey Seager. Thanks.
Klaw: Seager. Nothing against Lindor, though.

Brandon: Who is most likely to get a shot in Houston first… Tyler White or AJ Reed? Reed looks like the better long-term bet to be good, but White has hit EVERYWHERE. Thanks, Keith.
Klaw: I think they give White a shot first because he’s a lesser prospect and they’ll be more concerned about manipulating Reed’s service time than White’s.

Jay: What are your thoughts on the Nats signing Heyward and moving Harper to CF?
Klaw: Certainly makes them a much better team. I believe Harper can play CF. At that point I’d look to trade Taylor, though.

Devin: Hey Keith, I’ve read a few reputable scouting reports on Jorge Lopez and they are saying he could be a solid #2 or #3 starter in the mlb. Do you share the same opinion? If so, what about him makes him a front/midldle of the rotation type of guy?
Klaw: A two seems a bit optimistic given his stuff, but he can really pitch. I see a three, mid-rotation type with a lot of above-average weapons but nothing that’s an absolute out pitch, and good feel and control. Good pick in the second round – projectable HS arm who came along “slowly” relative to what we demand out of prospects these days but actually advanced at a perfectly reasonable pace.

Tom: Is there any chance that during the CBA negotiations that the union tries to upgrade pay for minor leaguers as part of a proposal to raise the percentage of revenue spent on players? Or, is this a non starter since the union only represents the players already in the majors?
Klaw: Union has zero incentive to do this.

Buck: Mallex Smith, Roman Quinn, Socrates Brito – who’s more likely to become a legitimate top-of-the-order hitter for his team?
Klaw: Probably Smith. Not wild about any of them.

Joe: I saw on Twitter that the White Sox are willing to trade Avisail Garcia. Is that actually news? Aren’t most teams always willing to trade fringe major leaguers who are running low on options?
Klaw: Yes, although maybe it’s news in the sense that he was kind of hyped by his clubs (Detroit and Chicago) a few years back.

Steve: Would Papi get your HOF vote?
Klaw: No. Adjusted for era and position, it’s not a Hall of Fame offensive career.

Dave: I’m about 3/4 through reading “Crime and Punishment”, and I’m surprised by how witty and funny it is. I was expecting a dreary slog, but it’s been delightful (and exciting in places). Is there a book you’ve read out of a feeling of obligation (“I should really read that,”) that especially surprised you?
Klaw: Middlemarch and Tess of the d’Urbervilles. The latter was assigned to me in high school and I watched the movie instead. I read it when I was 33 and was blown away by the prose and the use of irony.

Kevin: Do you expect Beede or Blackburn to be called up to the show in 2016?
Klaw: Blackburn yes, Beede no.

Fonz: If baseball did not exist, do you think your career today would be in writing?
Klaw: I think now that it’s what I was always meant to do, but it’s not the career I originally chose for myself, largely because I was trying to meet others’ expectations for me.

Michael: There seem to be two approaches related to the fragility of pitchers: draft a ton of them and play the numbers OR value position players and hope to find pitchers to plug in. Do you prefer either approach?
Klaw: I’d be disinclined to go heavy on pitching early in the draft; there are always exceptions, but I’d lean hitter up top and look for projectable HS arms after the first or the top two rounds.

Fonz: Now that he’s improved contact, do you foresee Bogaerts starting to pull / drive the ball more, or has he transformed into a slap-the-ball-to-the-opposite field guy?
Klaw: I think the power’s still there, but as you said, he had to work on improving his contact first to get to that power.

Jay: Did you factor in the cost of draft pick forfeiture in the free agent rankings? Seems like that would sway the choice towards Price over Greinke if they were close to a coin flip to start.
Klaw: No, and I didn’t factor in any estimate of cost. It was strictly about on-field value.

Matt: Nothing says Thanksgiving like the xenophobia running rampant in this country. When this topic comes up at the dinner table, and it will, how do I keep my composure?
Klaw: Don’t – just serve kebab halabi made with turkey, some labneh, maybe some falafel…

Ken: assuming McCann is not blocking him, is Sanchez ready to catch full time or still need work defensively? If so, is he the back up this year?
Klaw: Still think he needs work defensively.

Derek Harvey: Do you think Trevor Bauer has room to improve or is back-end starter his likely role/caliber from now on.
Klaw: If he ever finds more control, he could have a huge breakout year. I have no sense of when or how that might occur, though. Remember when some folks argued he had to be the first pick over Gerrit Cole in 2011, based just on the stats? That was fun.

Archie: Is Herrera the starting 2B for the Mets next year? What could be expected from him?
Klaw: I think he could be, although this dalliance with Zobrist could affect those plans.

Zirinsky: What are you making for Thanksgiving dinner (assuming you’re cooking)?
Klaw: I am. I’m going to spatchcock the turkey (NSFW), and sides will include stuffing (at least one, maybe a second with gluten-free cornbread as we will have two guests who can’t eat wheat), a warm potato salad, roasted brussels sprouts, a beet dish, possibly a kale Caesar with duck confit (if I can get the duck legs), the dish-that-must-not-be-named (initials are g.b.c.), and at least one more vegetable side. Desserts will be pumpkin pie, probably apple pie, and a GF chocolate tart with an oat-nut crust.

Thomas: Do you see JD Davis a a future big league regular? If not, is it his bat or seeming lack of a position that would hold him back?
Klaw: Below. Little of both.

Diana G: I agree with the Kimbrel comments, but if he saves four WS games does the end justify the means?
Klaw: Not for me. For the Red Sox, perhaps.

Anonymous: Lance McCullers, you’ve said before you see him as a RP. Did he do anything this year to convince you he can stick in the rotation? Do you believe in the changeup?
Klaw: Three pitches are all there. Long arm action is tough to repeat and explains the below-average command.

ds: Music question – Have you listened to Wolf Alice before, your thoughts?
Klaw: Really liked it. Top ten album of the year for me.

Diana G: Any way to identify who may be a late blooming outlier like Arieta, Bautista, etc? Is it as simple as better coaching?
Klaw: Change of scenery, adding a pitch, tweaking a delivery or a swing, getting healthy, growing up … I try to tab some breakout guys every year, but those two you named were so completely out of nowhere that I didn’t see either one coming, and didn’t buy into Bautista for a while even after he was clearly a star.

Larry: Are you concerned with your cholesteral level? You seem to eat a lot of high-cholesteral foods, at least according to your Instragram
Klaw: My cholesterol is consistently in the 160-170 range, because genes play a big part in it. Also, I’m not a huge fan of food-scolds … it’s my body, I’ll eat whatever the hell I want to eat, and if it doesn’t affect you it’s not your business.

Corey: Darren O’Day looking for 4/$28m – 36 Soria too. With the trend to power pens, is either guy worth that sort of investment ?
Klaw: Neither, but Soria in particular seems nuts – he was borderline replacement level last year and his stuff is down. Teams have to see that, even with the Proven Closer tag.

Matt: I’m trying to eat healthier. What are some good vegetables to roast?
Klaw: Anything that isn’t leafy roasts well. I love to roast broccoli and cauliflower at 450, lightly oiled and salted, till brown and caramelized.

Eric: Maybe you can explain what the Braves are doing? I get “rebuilding” but trading players like Wood and Simmons seems a little odd for a rebuilding club. They were controlled for another 5 seasons.
Klaw: The Wood trade was about Olivera, whom I think Atlanta completely overrates. Simmons was about getting those two arms back (Newcomb and Ellis), and I think an underestimation of Simmons’ future offense. You named my two least favorite moves of their last twelve months.

Corey: Frazier’s rough 2nd half a red flag or a worthwhile trade target for higher end prospects ?
Klaw: I think it’s more fair to say that his huge first half was a fluke and not representative of a new true talent level. Still a good player and worth flipping a couple of prospects for.

Marco: I have read, and also believe, that Greinke will age really well because of the way he pitches, which can withstand declining stuff. Do you see Price the same way? He has 4 solid pitches….will he be able to work off of declining velocity over the next few seasons?
Klaw: I think Price has the intellect and the control to be highly effective even when his velocity drops, but it will require a greater adjustment for him than it will for Greinke.

Silv: Honest question: explain to me how Rich Hill, after a few months of the absolute definition of small sample size and totally inconsistent with his career numbers, gets 6MM guaranteed and David Carpenter, who was anywhere from pretty damned good to mediocre for the past three full seasons, is DFA’ed?
Klaw: Fair question. But if you watched those few starts, he did look like a completely different pitcher, and pitchers are more subject to those wild swings in value that Diana G asked about earlier than hitters are. I thought it was a good signing.

Master Pau: Does Eddy Martinez have star potential my friends think he is going to be a bust given he only signed for 3 million. Saying if he was a better prospect he would go for 10+ Million
Klaw: Something weird happened behind the scenes; I thought he had a $10 million deal with a specific club, yet it never came to fruition. He’s a potential star for me.

Craig: Does Javier Bentancourt project enough power to at least become a doubles guy or is he always going to project as a slap hitter?
Klaw: Line drive guy. Doubles but not homers. Can really play the heck out of 2b. Need to see who the two PTBNLs in the deal are to have a decent opinion on it though.

Larry: Brad Zimmer or Frazier?
Klaw: Zimmer.

Jake: Keith, I know you generally don’t like to use subjective measures in your evaluations, but don’t you think someone like Ortiz deserves some modicum of consideration based on matter that might be more subjective? I mean, isn’t the fact that it would be impossible to write the history of baseball from 2000-2015 without mention of Ortiz’s accomplishments, especially in the postseason?
Klaw: I assume the Hall (I haven’t been in decades) has exhibits on the various postseasons. Celebrate him there.

Steve: How do you expect Zobrist to age over a 4 year deal?
Klaw: Like a fine wine … that has been exposed to the wrong bacteria.

DodgerFan101: Do you think Pederson and DeLeon would be enough to land Shelby Miller?
Klaw: I don’t. I think it’s a good offer, though.

Ryan: At what age can I start reading to my daughter that would actually benefit her?
Klaw: I’ve been reading to my daughter since she was two. Back then I think she just liked having me in the bed with her before she went to sleep. Now of course she’s locked into the stories.

Archie: Are the Reds stretching out Finnegan to start? If not, would he make sense to close w/Chapman presumably being traded?
Klaw: He has to be a closer. Can’t start IMO.

James: Matt – your answer should be – Thank God we killed hundreds of thousands of Indians and Mexicans before the Internet.
Klaw: And then serve the popcorn course.

Corey: Benintendi ready by 2017, fast-tracked like Conforto ? And where would they put him – CF and move Betts to RF ?
Klaw: I’d treat him like the Cubs treated Schwarber. Leave him in CF, move him later when it becomes necessary. Might just end up trade bait, but he’s worth more as a proven CF in the minors.

Addoeh: Mmm, G.B.C.!
Klaw: No. Too much bread, and not even good bread, relative to everything else.

Fitz: Do you think Tony LaCava becomes GM long-term, or does Shapiro bring in someone external?
Klaw: I think they should keep him, but it sounds like they won’t. I saw a Josh Byrnes rumor this morning, which doesn’t make sense to me; I don’t see what he brings that Lacava doesn’t already provide, and Byrnes has had two poor experiences as GM already.

Jon: Keith, you talked in your Periscope chat yesterday about how it would be creepy to game with ballplayers. A friend of mine has suggested I game with you (I live in Lancaster) but it feels the same way to me, a little fanboyish maybe. Am I wrong?
Klaw: Not at all. I’ve played games with a couple of readers over the years. Also, I own the game Lancaster and haven’t played it. So let’s make that happen. I need some folks to help me test all these games to review!

Chris: I get the idea of listening on everyone, but not sure I understand trading Miller. Very reasonable contract, and I thought at the deadline last yr the Yanks were trying to ADD another top reliever a la KC
Klaw: Unless they think something’s wrong with him. Then I could understand it.

John: Freeman shouldn’t be off limits, right? Need to go full rebuild (given return value, of course)
Klaw: Right. In for a penny, in for a pound.

Adam Trask: What’s your Rx for getting more African-Americans into baseball?
Klaw: No easy answer to that. Have to make the game more accessible at the youth level, because kids who play it will be fans of it. But attending MLB games is prohibitively expensive for a wide swath of the population (of all races, of course), and that is going to lose a lot of fans to more affordable alternatives.

RBI, Wins, & Saves: Ah, HOF time, when the rest of the baseball world aside from you, Klaw, bows and worships at our feet! Did you see our new favorite HOF voter who included Smith, Hoffman, AND Wagner on his ballot? Now if we can only get Tommy John and Jim Kaat in through the Veterans Committee…
Klaw: I thought I was rid of you three when we left ESPN’s chat module.

Marco: Is it better to have a plus changeup or a plus breaking ball?
Klaw: Neither. It’s just good to have a plus offspeed pitch.

Alex: How do you split the oven time between the turkey and side dishes on Thanksgiving, without either getting cold?
Klaw: Turkey comes out, gets covered to keep the heat in, get the sides right in the oven. By the time the sides come out 30-40 minutes later the turkey is still hot and ready to slice. Also, I will serve a couple of room temp sides – the Caesar, the beet dish I have planned, the potato salad (served with a warm bacon-mustard dressing).

Addoeh: Never been to Cooperstown. Worth going once?
Klaw: The problem is it is located 80 miles from East Nowhere.

Jon: Keith, you mentioned yesterday about how you felt it would be creepy to game with ballplayers. Why do you think it would be different for you to invite readers to play?
Klaw: I am friendly with a bunch of players and was being somewhat facetious about that – I specifically said it would be creepy to be hanging out in the clubhouse playing a boardgame with them, mostly because I feel like the clubhouse is their place and I’m intruding.

Ron: Klaw, you seem to have a good sense of humor, but also some very progressive sensibilities. Which makes me curious how you feel about some of the “edgy” comics of today that are so successful – Amy Schumer, Louis CK, et. al. who are considered these comic geniuses, but also joke about language and topics that I would presume you do not have a sense of humor about.
Klaw: I know you’ve asked this before but I don’t have a great answer because I don’t know what material you mean. I have heard some of Louis C.K.’s stuff that was hilarious, and then I read about the allegations of harassment (Defamer had them earlier this year) and couldn’t call myself a fan any more.

Tom: Is Ahmed the best SS in the NL, now that Simmons is gone? If not, who is?
Klaw: Defensively? Probably Crawford. Speaking of whom, that contract he got seems to price in a little more power than I think you can reasonably expect from him going forward.

Jonny: How do you evaluate a guy like Ian Desmond? Do you write off the first half of 2015 as an aberration, and assume he’s one of the best SS in the game? Or do you assume he’s on a quick downward slide?
Klaw: Almost certainly better than he was in 2015, but I’d price him at some discount from the player I thought he was coming out of 2014. How much of a discount, I’m not sure. That’s a better question for an MLB analytics department.

Jay: Can you include overall (and optionally on the tools as well) grades with the prospect rankings? That would be a better reflection of value of the prospect than a relative ranking for a particular point in time which is dependent on the strength/weakness of other prospects.
Klaw: I won’t do that. I think they get misused and misinterpreted, and if I’m writing a couple of hundred words on each player I’d rather you read those than focus on a two-digit number.

John C: Most liberal scribe – you or Rob Neyer?
Klaw: I don’t know Rob’s politics. People who call me “liberal” are off base unless they mean the term in the classical sense, which today is somewhere closer to libertarian and combines ideas that are found on both sides of the center, from lower or less invasive taxation to social justice and equality.

Josh: Do you see Brandon Mauer being able to transition back into the rotation, or should the Pads keep him in the pen?
Klaw: Two pitch guy equals pen for me.

Bob: Thanks for the heads-up on the Ruhlman 20 special on Kindle… salting meat and eggs well ahead of time has already yielded some great results. Tried the short ribs… any suggestions on the next recipe to try in the book?
Klaw: Any of the duck recipes, especially the braised legs.

Paul Furlong: Then you are not eating Chicago Pizza!!!! Chicago pizza is like a pie crust. Not bread. Cheese and crust
Klaw: Pizza crust is bread. It’s yeast, water, flour, salt. That’s bread.

Archie: I know he’s still a few years away, but what do you think the Cubs do with Gleyber Torres? Trade bait?
Klaw: Two years out from that point, I think. Potential superstar whom I’d be loath to trade now for fear that I’d be selling too low, because he’s more potential than anything at this point. He’s wildly advanced for his age.

Anthony: Any thoughts on the Rangers/Mariners trade? I know it was minor, but Wilhelmsen is a nice add to a young, hard throwing bullpen. Possibly allows them to trade their “proven closer” for another piece or two.
Klaw: I’m also not much of a Martin fan – great defender who can’t hit. And I heard the PTBNL Texas is receiving is someone of value too.

Tom: You mentioned below that attending an MLB game is prohibitively expensive. I’ve always heard that ticket prices are not related to player salaries. So what drives it? Simply that MLB (and other pro sports) have found enough people to pay what they’re charging?
Klaw: Exactly (the latter). MLB teams are quasi-monopolists and set prices to maximize revenues. They don’t need the hoi polloi to attend games unless those folks are going to buy a lot of beer and food.

Brian: Could Swihart be the centerpiece of a trade for Jose Fernandez?
Klaw: In theory, yes. He’s good enough to be the centerpiece. Whether the Marlins would want him as such is something I don’t know.

alex: You mentioned that you saw Trey Mancini as a AAAA guy– what are the things that are holding him back– walk rate, etc? thanks
Klaw: Bad swing and lack of athleticism.

TJ: Had the conversation at work- what was your favorite Thanksgiving dish when you were a kid? Mine was the stuffing my mom made- loved it so much she had to make an extra side of it to keep me from devouring the turkey like a jackal…
Klaw: I’m Italian so Thanksgiving in my house always started with a pasta dish, usually baked ziti, which at the time I loved. I really don’t eat that kind of food any more, though.

James: Teheran and Newcomb to LA for Seager, who hangs up?
Klaw: Dodgers. They’re not trading him unless it’s for someone like Trout.

Oren: Will Gregory Polanco ever hit lefties?
Klaw: Yeah, i think he’s got tons of improvement ahead of him. That’s one guy I am not worried about (yet, I can always start worrying later).

Alex: Who will the Braves deal next? Do you think Jenkins, Sims, and Newcomb will play for Atlanta at some point this
Klaw: Sims and Jenkins might. Newcomb isn’t close to MLB ready yet. He’s not a sure thing IMO, although I know Atlanta loves him. Command isn’t there yet and it’s not something that they might fix with a delivery tweak.

Brandon: Assuming Boston needs pitching, what do you believe would have been fair return for Margot, Guerra, Asuaje, Allen? Short term control, 200-IP SP (i.e. Shelby Miller)? Mid-tier SP on undervalued contract (i.e. Julio Teheran, Jose Quintana)? All-star, non-arb eligible SP (i.e. Sonny Gray)?
Klaw: If I were Atlanta I would have jumped at that offer for Miller. Two potential impact everyday guys, a likely UT who might hit his way into regular status at 2b, and a quality 18-yo arm. Seems like a great return.

Roke: Have you played Twilight Struggle? I would think it would be right up your alley.
Klaw: No – I’m not really into games that typically take two hours or more.

Kay: Crazy for thinking Conforto will be more valuable than Schwarber, despite less power? He takes excellent at bats, have decent pop, and actually has a position. Schwarber has DH written all over him
Klaw: I think Schwarber is a LF in the long run, but Conforto will be a better defender and I’ll bet on him to have higher OBPs, whereas Schwarber will hit more homers. Not a crazy thought but I think it’s close.

michael: hi keith – saw ur comment re: power that you’re not sure we’ll be repeatable being priced into crawford’s sf contract. based upon that, do you think it’s a slight overpay or a massive overpay at $15M per FA season. The $5M and $8M salaries seemed in line with MLBTR’s arbitration estimates.
Klaw: Slight overpay. Defense should make the in years good value. Out years are what concern me.

Matt: International scouting – if a team like the Cubs or Dodgers goes big and then is out for 2 years, will they trim down the amount of international scouting staff they have? Or continue to deploy those same folks just to gather info for potential trades in the future since somebody is signing these guys?
Klaw: No because you scout guys down there starting at age 14 now. It’s the most incompetently designed system I can imagine.

Chris: Thoughts on Jon Gant and Rob Whalen? They seem like (at the least) useful relievers, which is a nice get for half-seasons of Uribe and Johnson.
Klaw: Yep, that’s about right.

JT: You mentioned Italian thanksgiving below. Ever had a pizelle? It’s a cookie my grandma makes dozens of every holiday season.
Klaw: Yes, I have. Never made them because you need a specialized iron for them and I don’t need more gadgets.

Jon: So assuming I start to feel OK about the whole idea of gaming with you, what’s the best way to contact you if I am not a social media user?
Klaw: Leave a comment anywhere on the dish with your email address. I’ll send you through the government’s vetting system and you’ll hear from me in 18 to 24 months.

Ray: Cody Bellinger – is he an org guy, every day regular, or future all star? 20+ HR power in that bat?
Klaw: i don’t think he’s a regular, or maybe I should say I didn’t, as even adjusting for league and park that’s a nice season for a 19-year-old in high-A. I believe he’s going to end up a full-time 1B, and he has to hit a lot more to be a regular there.

Jeff: Klaw, thanks for answering my question on Twitter re: whether or not you care if a HoF candidate has failed a drug test. Could you briefly expand on your answer, as far as how that information affects your ultimate conclusion? Do you treat players differently if one failed the “anonymous” testing and got outed, as opposed to someone who failed after the new drug policies were implemented?
Klaw: I think what I said was that I don’t care about PED usage in general. I treat all unfounded accusations as bullshit. A failed test is the one thing I might consider because it is within baseball – Bonds’ grand jury testimony was outside of the game’s jurisprudence and should never have become public anyway under federal (?) law, so I think it’s improper to consider it on two separate grounds. Palmeiro flunking a test is hard evidence, and for a player where I might be on the fence about voting for him, I’d consider it. But if a player never flunked a test, rumors and speculations are best flushed down the toilet.

Chris: Reasonable return for Aybar for Braves? Feel like they gotta flip him.
Klaw: He makes no sense for them and he isn’t even very good. One mid-tier prospect would be enough.

Kay: Why have teams moved away from using platoons? If you lack a star caliber player, I feel like you can combine a pair of useful guys into star level production by hiding their weaknesses.
Klaw: Having 12 pitchers on the roster means 13 hitters. In the AL, that’s four bench six spots, and one goes to the backup catcher, while another has to go to someone who can play short. Not much room for platoons. I agree with you that they’re really useful, but I’d also limit the bullpen to six guys and ensure that I had at least one long reliever at all times.

Rob: If the Yankees intent is to keep Sanchez, wouldn’t it make sense to begin giving him some reps at 1B to turn him into more of a Victor Martinez-type player, when he was younger. 50 games at catcher, 40 games at 1B (against lefties to sit Bird) 60 games at DH?.
Klaw: I agree and perhaps they’ll do that now, but I have a feeling that all of the hype now about him being better behind the plate – he was never as bad as reputed, and now he’s not as good as they claim – is an attempt to boost his trade value. He can hit and has power, and it’s a plus arm, but long-term he might not be a catcher at all.

Brad: Isan Diaz have huge upside with the bat?
Klaw: Huge upside? No.

Kyle: How does JBJ’s trade value compare to the returns for Martin and Hicks? Bit higher?
Klaw: More than Martin for sure. Maybe comparable to Hicks – Hicks has better tools overall, JBJ has a shorter period of big-league performance.

Chris Plouffe: Can Max Fried become an above average starter in your opinion, or is he headed to the pen?
Klaw: He’s been hurt for over a year with TJ. Let’s get him back on a mound first.

Jeff: Do you think a Jay Bruce for Zack Wheeler trade is equitable? I know it was discussed at the deadline and ended up not happening. But it could realistically come up again, once Cespedes leaves.
Klaw: If Wheeler is presumed healthy, that’s an inferior deal for the Mets’ side.

Fred: I know he gets a lot of hate for his defense, but what have you thought of Wilmer’s hitting so far in his MLB career? 20 HR 100 RBI guy?
Klaw: I think he’s going to hit – his OBPs are terrible to date, but he’s young, makes contact, has a good swing, and should eventually hit for enough average that his OBPs will end up respectable if never actually good. Not a shortstop, of course.

Tim: Atlanta still have Kevin Maitan lined up?
Klaw: I have answered this many times already. They have an agreement with him, but as it’s totally prohibited by MLB, if either side chooses to break it there’s no recourse. A player who signed a seven-figure deal this past July 2nd reneged on an agreement the day before and signed with another team that offered more money; there’s nothing the original team could do because their deal with the player wasn’t legal to begin with!

JD: Joe Musgrove seemed to move up some prospect rankings this year. I saw him last year in the NYP and he didn’t stand out. Has something changed? Did you see him last season?
Klaw: I think he moved up for people looking at the stat line. Control guy who got healthy but doesn’t have premium stuff.

Adam: You mentioned earlier that the Nats signing Heyward and moving Harper to CF makes them much better…….wouldnt Heyward be the better CF of the two?
Klaw: I think Harper would be, actually. Better runner. Both have great instincts.

Fred: I read such mixed scouting reports on Amed Rosario’s power potential. Some say its gap power, some say its HR power. What have you seen?
Klaw: HR power. He’s still just a baby. Lot of people will tell you Dom Smith doesn’t have HR power either. They are mistaken.

JWP: Would Dylan Bundy even make your top 100 now?
Klaw: Probably not, which is a damn shame. I said yesterday on the periscope that I wonder if he was just overworked so much in HS that he was going to break down no matter what.

Bob Pollard: What do you make of Jon Gray at this point? Can he succced in Colorado?
Klaw: I don’t like his stuff and lack of deception in that environment.

Max Footroom: How did everyone miss so big on Jesus Montero’s bat? It was supposed to be MLB ready years ago. I remember the hype when he was traded to Seattle and people were saying he was the perfect DH who will hit MLB pitching immediate and have 30+HR power. How did the evaluators en mass miss this one?
Klaw: Good question. I don’t see a single smoking gun here: He didn’t work hard at all, he didn’t stay in shape, he did eventually get nailed for PED usage. I got destroyed by Yankee fans one year for ranking him too low, then conceded that I was likely wrong and ended up ranking him too high the next year. BTW, he’s still just 26 this year and I think he carves out a career for himself.

Ray: Is Margot more of a gap power hitter than a HR hitter. How will his power play in SD?
Klaw: Yes, and I don’t think he gets to 15 HR a year as a Padre.

Adam: Wouldnt the Braves best bet be to unload Maybin now so you can play Bourn and Swish? Hope they have good first halves so you can unload them……even if you dont get anything back thats money off the payroll?
Klaw: I think the ship has sailed on both of those guys, unfortunately. They’re probably just dead money, especially Brohio there.

Jeremy: Would head coaching experience at the college level (at one of the major conference schools) be enough for you to hire someone as a major league manager, or is the job too different? Why don’t we see more college coaches making that kind of jump?
Klaw: The job is extremely different but I’d still count it as something. The games themselves are quite different as you’re not managing every day, rosters are different, bats are different, and of course they’re not professionals. But it’s still fundamentally the same sport.

Kingpin: No question, just want to say thanks again for continuing the chats in this format and here’s hoping the best Thanksgiving for you & your loved ones.
Klaw: You’re welcome, and thank you for the kind wishes. A very safe and Happy Thanksgiving to all of you as well; please eat to excess and, if you drink to excess too, stay off the roads. I will resume the chats the week after the holiday and will continue to post here and on ESPN.com in the interim, with a 2016 rule 4 draft preview going up tomorrow.

My analysis of the Yanks/Twins trade is up for Insiders, as is my buyers’ guide to starting pitchers. As always, questions go in the box here, not in the comments. Thanks!

Klaw: If there’s a new way, I’ll be the first in line. Klawchat.

Brandon: What do the Angels have to give up to land Tehran? Seems like a GREAT buy low guy.
Klaw: What do they have to go get anyone other than Newcomb? System is very thin and much of what’s good is so far away that the trade value is limited.

Nick: What type of ceiling offensively do you see for Conforto?
Klaw: .300+ average, 20 or so HR, high high OBPs. I think he’s a hell of a hitter.

Kevin: What do you think of the return the Padres got for Benoit? Is Nelson Ward a legit SS prospect?
Klaw: Very meh. Ward played six games at short all year, by the way. He’s a 2b.

James: How ridiculous is Simmons not winning the gold glove?
Klaw: Almost as ridiculous as caring about the Gold Gloves. I gave up on them.

Patrick: What’s keeping Christian Colon from being an everyday 2nd baseman? Not consistent enough stick?
Klaw: Yes. Although those high-contact no-power guys often hit their way into more regular playing time.

John: Is Herrera a reasonable upgrade at 2B for the Mets?
Klaw: I think so; what I saw of him in the minors told me he’d be an above-average defender at 2b, but he was erratic in the majors when he played there.

Dan: Not a question, but want to point out to those that call you arrogant that you listed Schilling on your fake HOF ballot. You personally oppose many of his viewpoints (and have had repercussions because of it) yet you are able to put that aside and recognize his accomplishments.
Klaw: I appreciate that, but people who call me this or that aren’t going to change their opinions based on facts because their original opinions weren’t based on facts either.

Addoeh: So no Math 55?
Klaw: Math 21 (multivariate calc with vectors) was it for me. I regret it – I would have enjoyed more math classes but felt burned out on math after HS and didn’t fully grasp what other areas of math (e.g., number theory, topology,, statistics) were out there to study.

Marshall: Speaking of political philosophy, can you recall a presidential primary so devoid of facts as what we have seen thus far on the Republican side?
Klaw: Are any of them ever built around facts? It’s more rhetoric and sound bytes, right?

Jason: Are the Braves truly and honestly rebuilding? Or is there a sense that Liberty Media is in cost cutting mode and mandating some of these trades?
Klaw: They’re rebuilding. I have talked to lots of folks there and no one has said anything about ownership mandating cost cutting.

Sean: 50 games for smoking pot? That has to be one of the most ridiculous things I’ve heard in a long time.
Klaw: And only for minor leaguers. I don’t get why MLB wanted it, or why the MLBPA signed off on it. If they want to come down harder on cocaine, I’d be fine with that – use that and you’re a serious danger to yourself and possibly your teammates, and it can clearly affect your performance negatively. Marijuana? Not so much. And it’s increasingly legal across the states.

Owen (London): What actually gets asked in managerial interviews ? Are GMs and owners looking for dazzling examples of in-game acumen or are they sounding out guys who agree to give good copy and toe the line ? In other words, what magic sentence did Dusty utter to land the gig ? I’m still baffled.
Klaw: I don’t know what exactly is asked, but a lot of those interviews are just eyewash – they’ve already decided who they want to hire, but have to go through the process for everyone else to see it. I do know a few clubs who ask very specific questions on tactics or on developing players, and I think those folks – Tampa Bay is one certain example – get better results.

Todd: Hardest class you took at Harvard?
Klaw: Never took anything that hard (partly my fault; I didn’t exactly seek out the challenges) but had some that were so excruciatingly boring that I didn’t fare so well. I remember a government (political philosophy) class my freshman year where we had to read the classics of the field – Locke, Rousseau, Mill, Huntington – and for the first and only time in my life, I hated reading.

Scott Upham: Alex Meyer had a trying season in 2015 (being polite). What is his future outlook – closer/reliever or starter?
Klaw: Has to be reliever at least for now.

Pat: Lot of angst about giving up Shelby Miller for Heyward, but what people don’t understand is that Heyward now understands what is means to play for the Cardinals. That has to go a long way in getting a hometown discount. Can you see the Cards getting him and a front line starter like Price if both take a little less to win?
Klaw: Hometown discounts don’t exist, and also, it’s not his hometown – Atlanta is, more or less. And by the way, players can get full freight and still go to a winner. It’s not like Heyward would sign with, say, Boston or the Yankees and never sniff the playoffs again.

Marshall: Adam Brett Walker has immense power, but horrid OBP skills – given his age is there much precedent in him developing that ability enough to be a useful MLB player?
Klaw: I can’t think of an example of one. He’ll get an opportunity, but he won’t succeed barring a huge change in approach.

Sam: Do you think Kelby Tomlinson has the tools to play the outfield as the Giants hope?
Klaw: No, nor do I think he’ll hit enough to play every day.

Jay: Chris Young a perfect Schwarber caddy?
Klaw: Yes, but I wouldn’t want to platoon Schwarber – let him face lefties and learn to hit them.

Jason: Keith, did you see Jacoby Jones in the AFL? What do you think is his ultimate position, IF, OF, or both in some kind of UT?
Klaw: Utility only. Don’t think he’ll hit enough to play anywhere every day. And not a shortstop at all.

Archibald Meatpants: How do most scouts weight fastball velocity vs. fastball movement/command when evaluating pitchers? Just asking, because there are some guys in the upper 90s who seem to get smashed, while other guys really make 91-93 play up.
Klaw: Should be two separate categories. You can have an 80 fastball with 30 life. Seriously, you can have it, because I don’t want it.

Todd Benzinger: Would a Betts for Thor trade work for both sides?
Klaw: That’s a lot better although I’d still rather have Betts.

Glen: Is Ian Clarkin going to turn into a decent starting pitcher?
Klaw: If healthy, he should. Still has the size and the breaking ball. Arm actually works fine. Pitching is brutal, man.

Matt: Would you really consider the White Sox having a “surplus of pitching”? Outside of Sale/Quintana/Rodon there isn’t much quality there, right?
Klaw: When I was doing the starting pitcher trade targets today, one thing became pretty obvious: No one has a surplus of pitching, really. Even the Mets are five deep and only five deep. If someone – I’m not even saying a name, not that I believe in such woo but I don’t want to seem like i’m wishing for it – there gets hurt, who steps in? They’ve traded any possible fill-in starter who was close.

Moose: Is Christian Arroyo for real? MLB comp?
Klaw: Can hit, not a shortstop.

Scarface Joe: What kind of package is Chapman going to bring back? He’s dominant, but it’s one year for a reliever. Who’s the team that pays up for that?
Klaw: Dombrowski? Has to be a team with an ardent desire to win now and willingness to move prospects for immediate value.

mike: Haven’t heard the Russell hot rumor but what dj you think about a quintana for baez package?
Klaw: I would want a little more for the White Sox there. Baez has a very high beta – still a good chance he’s not even a regular. Quintana’s very good and cheap.

Flaming Buns: Let’s say Gray and Sale are truly unavailable. Who’s the most logical young #1 starter target for Boston? Carrasco, Ross, Archer?
Klaw: Carrasco. Not saying he’s AVAILABLE, but that I think they’d listen to a rich offer. That’s a guy I’d go after with Swihart.

Tyler: Did you get a look at Manaea in AZ? Possibility for a midseason call-up?
Klaw: Yes. Better than I’d seen him in July. Check my AFL blog posts for more details.

Ken Rosenthal: Benoit to M’s
Klaw: I had this written for the buyers’ guide for tomorrow (and will now be taking it out of the piece): Benoit is a “good when healthy” guy, although even that underrates him a little since he’s thrown at least 54 innings in six straight seasons, just missing most of the last six weeks of 2014. The Padres picked up his $7.5 million option for 2016, which seems awfully steep for a guy who might be worth a win above replacement if he throws 65 innings, but they may also have figured he has some trade value if they agree to pay a third or so of his salary. He’ll show three above-average pitches, with the changeup plus, and was in the top dozen relievers in the majors for contact rate (according to Fangraphs) in 2015. He’s 38 with quite a bit of mileage on him, but would be an upgrade for a lot of teams in the 8th inning.

Ryan: How would you vote with the 10 person limit? Do you just pick the best 10 or do you try to “game” the system and leave off the sure thing to get some other guys in there?
Klaw: Ten best guys because I think that’s the mandate. I don’t like gaming the system even though the system is a bad joke.

JA: What do you think of Baggarly’s proposed trade of Maybin and Teheran for Pagan, Strickland, Beede, and Williamson?
Klaw: Don’t like it for Atlanta. Beede’s value has dropped with his velocity as he’s now a sinkerballer with poor control.

Glen: Thoughts on Mateo possibly moving to 2nd base?
Klaw: Don’t get it – thought he had at least average defender potential at short, maybe more. Certainly fast enough to play anywhere on the field.

Roddy: I truly believe the White Sox are going to surprise people next year. With a surplus of pitching do you see them moving Quintana? Hot rumor is a trade with the Cubs for Russell to replace Alexei.
Klaw: That’s a hot rumor that makes no sense for the Cubs.

Michael: Is the contract Heyward gets a sort of litmus test for how far sabermetrics have come in front offices? It seems like 10 years ago, he would have been way undervalued.
Klaw: I agree … and I agree.

Joshua: Swihart to Nats for Reynaldo Lopez? Start to a discussion, or a complete hang up?
Klaw: Nowhere near enough for Swihart. I think Lopez is more likely to end up in the pen.

Bruce K: My son is 12 years old and a high level reader. It is tough to find books that challenge him that are still age appropriate. Do you have any suggestions?
Klaw: Running into similar trouble with my daughter. Have you tried Fforde’s Last Dragonslayer? That’s a series now, and the vocab is appropriate.

Tyler: Did the Hall Board reject the increase from 10 to 12 names on the ballot as a backdoor way to make it more difficult for PED guys to get in? Otherwise, I don’t get the “not the right time” talking point.
Klaw: There is no question in my mind that that was their intent. All the more reason for us to vote for Bonds and Clemens!

Chris: Any favorite slow cooker recipes?
Klaw: All questions allowed. Still a big fan of throwing a pork shoulder in there for carnitas. Also love short ribs with dried figs and a bright red wine.

Jack: Just curious, at what point after posting a question should I assume that specific one won’t be answered – 5 minutes or so?
Klaw: I could probably stop taking questions now and be set for the rest of the hour. I see all the questions but can’t possibly answer them all. Sorry.

Georgia: Even taking away the “I won’t vote for him first year” crowd, how does a HOF candidate go from 55% to 75% over a few years? Are voters not taking it seriously? If you think Raines is a HOF guy, or not, it shouldn’t change much this year to next.
Klaw: But it does/has over history. The process is awful, and it allows for way too much wanking by the voters over their own ballots. Part of me would like to get that ten years in and get the ballot. Part of me would like to drive the bulldozer that razes the building to the ground.

Mark in Toronto: Have your thoughts on Rowdy Tellez’s chances changed?
Klaw: You’d know the answer if you read my AFL posts…

Chris: Would you trade Swihart for pitching assuming Vasquez comes back?
Klaw: Yes, if the pitching was high-end enough. I think Swihart has a chance to be a star too, a plus defensive catcher who hits. It may take time to get to that value, and that is the only reason I’d be willing to discuss moving him.

Bob Pollard: Max Kepler – star or just a guy?
Klaw: Chance for a star.

Andy: What are the chances of Bagwell getting into the Hall on this years ballot?
Klaw: I think Piazza and Junior – who, by the way, was well-known within the industry as an unpleasant person (I’m being kind) while he was a player, yet is revered by fans who revile other players of higher character – get in, and Bagwell makes a big move up. Raines is the one who worries me most – he needs a big jump this year to get in spitting distance for the final-year bump.

Scherzer’s Blue Eye: Percentage of GM Speak we should believe: 18%. Over or Under?
Klaw: Under. They have little incentive to tell us the whole truth and nothing but the truth.

Michael: A lot of Yankee blogs suggest Gary Sanchez has matured–apparently he had a kid. Is that not what you’re hearing or are you basing your opinion on old reports?
Klaw: If they reported he had a kid I’m sure that’s true. I just saw the guy play in the AFL a few weeks ago, so “old reports” doesn’t apply here.

Haymaker: Cubs and Royals are apparently asking Boston about Jackie Bradley, Jr. Do you think his bat will play at the Big League level long-term? Also, what is your best guess as to what it would take from the Cubs to entice Boston to move him (based on your knowledge of both systems/needs)?
Klaw: I think it’ll play, without much power. He’s better when he stays short to the ball and uses the opposite field. When he gets long to try to hit the ball out, the strikeouts pile up. Maybe eventually he can do it all at the same time, but I haven’t seen any of that from him.

Scott Upham: Which current minor leaguers resemble the Mike Trout- / George Springer / Mookie Betts multi-tool profile?
Klaw: Benintendi has a lot of that – CF, run/power combo, people love the feel to hit, although he doesn’t have the explosive speed of the guys you mentioned. Lewis Brinson comes to mind too.

Gary: I’ve scene you review a lot of sci-fi novels. Have you ever read Asimov’s Foundation trilogy? If so, thoughts? I’m getting ready to start Foundation.
Klaw: Read it in HS and loved it. Books 4 and 5 started to slip and I never read the books in the series by other authors.

Michael: What would you realistically do if Mike Trout did what Jose Reyes allegedly did? Would you actually release or trade the best player?
Klaw: I’d trade him, yes. Or I’d quit. But you all know I’m weird like that.

Jake: Would the Padres look to deal Ian Kennedy if he accepts their QO?
Klaw: They can’t until June 15th.

Alex in Austin: Aoki’s $5.5M option seemed like a given. Instead Giants buy it out for $700k? If you exercise, at worst is that not a tradeable asset?
Klaw: Probably a tick overpriced given age/health concerns (just in the sense that he’s probably not a 140-150 game player). But salaries are moving up so fast that it could end up seeming like fair value by February.

Mike P.: Would you move Giles no matter what? Or only if blown away? And what would it take to be blown away?
Klaw: He’s in tomorrow’s buyers’ guide post. Only if blown away.

Scherzer’s Blue Eye: Can the Nats actually expect to field a lineup that has Taylor, Ramos and Escobar/Espinosa and expect to compete?
Klaw: I have a feeling, based on nothing but my own gut, that they’ll do something in CF. Can’t see them running Taylor’s bat out there every day.

Tim: Did you care for the new Grimes album? Any standouts?
Klaw: Loved it – one of the best of the year. Flesh Without Blood, California, the new version of REALiTi, the title track, Venus Fly all great.

Archie: I know you mentioned him in your write up, but do you think Kepler starts Opening Day now that Hicks is gone?
Klaw: I think he’s ready, and he’s already on the 40-man, and this is the team that pushed Hicks to the majors before he was fully ready (so it’s not like they’re wildly service-time conscious). I think there’s a decent chance, at least.

Bob: Thanks for the board game list. However, I’m suffering form information overload here. My wife dislikes board games because I’m too competitive or they’re too complicated. Knowledge-based games are no good because I know so much strange stuff. Therefore, we haven’t played a new game since Trivial Pursuit. Thoughts on a good two-person game that might bridge the gap?
Klaw: I put a list of the best two-player games below the main list. Start at the top of that and work your way down…

Scott Upham: With Hicks now a Yankee, who is the odd men out in Minnesota’s OF between Buxton, Rosario, Kepler, Arcia et al
Klaw: I think Rosario is probably out, and I would guess Arcia is/ends up on the outside too. A lot depends on whether Sano can handle an outfield corner.

Justin (DC): Love the board game lists. I didn’t see much turnover this year over last year though. I think Broom Service at 17 was the highest new board game. Quiet year, or just the best games are already out there?
Klaw: That’s correct. Broom Service won the Kennerspiel des Jahres, so I’m not alone in thinking it was the best of the year. Nothing came along like Splendor to upend the whole market.

Mike: Mark Simon wrote an article today about a hypothetical Mookie Betts for Matt Harvey swap. Good deal for both sides?
Klaw: I’m not dealing five years of Betts for three of Harvey.

Tim: Noticed you didn’t include Jay Bruce in your outfielders offseason guide. Is his value (with the option) so low that trading him wouldn’t get the Reds a decent (#75-100) prospect in return?
Klaw: He might – those guides aren’t supposed to name every single player who might be traded. I pick a few I find interesting/likely but I will miss a few who get moved.

Busty Daker: What do you think the Dodgers would realistically have to give up to make a Simmons trade happen?
Klaw: I’ve talked to a few folks in Boca who said the Simmons stuff is overblown – everyone’s talking every player, but unless Atlanta gets blown away, he’s probably not going anywhere. His contract is so cheap they really can ask for the sun and the moon – Seager and DeLeon too much? OK, we’ll keep Simmons instead. Thanks.

Michael: Do teams use advanced stats from minor league games or is evaluation 100% based on scouting?
Klaw: Lots of advanced analysis on minor league data going on.

Marshall: A team like Detroit seems to be stuck in a sort of purgatory – not going to win their division, not many good prospects, aging players signed to long contracts. Do they keep spending until the wheels fall off of Miggy, or make everyone (including Miggy) available right now?
Klaw: Sounds like they’ll spend to patch the major-league roster now while slowly trying to build the system back up. Dombrowski viewed the farm strictly as currency for trades. Avila views it as a real farm system, one that should produce players for the major-league roster too.

JA: Would you buy low on Doug Fister? Do you believe he can be a quality starter in the rotation again?
Klaw: I would, but recognize the risk. You could get him and he posts a 6 ERA by mid-May and you have to release him. It’s not likely but it is a nonzero probability outcome.

Geoff: What can you tell us hopeless Rockies fans about Antonio Senzatela? He doesn’t seem to get mentioned with the other promising arms in the system but his stats suggest he should.
Klaw: I had him 14th in their system going into the year. Strike-thrower without great stuff, needs a better swing-and-miss offspeed pitch.

Tom: White Sox do have a pretty decent “surplus” of pitching prospects, no?
Klaw: They do? I’m not sure anyone really has that right now, but I don’t think the White Sox do. Houston would have a good argument that they have the biggest collection of potential SP prospects.

Rich: Another thank you for the board game list, specifically the mention of the games for which quality apps are available. I can’t decide if having my books and games on my iPad is progress, or something else, though.
Klaw: I do both – apps and physical games, dead trees and ebooks. Sometimes the ebook is just cheaper. And you can’t exactly bust out Stone Age on the plane.

Bob: When Houston tanked a couple of years ago, did they build up the farm system through the draft or through trading vets for prospects or a combo? My real question is if it’s really possible in this environment to significantly upgrade your farm system through trades?
Klaw: Both. They picked first overall three straight years. They hit on a handful of lower-round picks. They traded sharply. It’s a model for other teams – not THE model, but A model that works if you have the right personnel in your front office and on your scouting staffs.

chris: read that the yankees should sign heyward, where exactly would he fit in with that roster? nobody will take beltran to ellsbury
Klaw: Beltran’s got a year left, so that’s just dead money they could even release. Ellsbury is harder to figure – is he a sunk cost at this point? Could they swap him for a bad pitching contract?

Barry. Florida: Would you describe yourself as a progressive or libertarian?
Klaw: Probably neither. I just am.

John: How far away is Dom Smith?
Klaw: Figure he starts at Binghamton, and if he does what I expect, finishes in triple-A and could make his debut as early as September but more likely next year.

Rob: Do you think you’re going to try Pandemic Legacy, or does that concept not really appeal to you? You ranked Pandemic highly and PL is zooming up the BGG charts.
Klaw: Don’t like the concept of destroying the board. Plus the idea of playing a single game 15 or 20 straight times … have you seen my collection? Not happening. The BGG charts are useful but often bonkers. Lots of 3-4 hour games all over the top of their rankings. Those are not my people.

Chris: Would you tender Ruben Tejada at $2M or so? Read something about Mets considering just going w/ Reynolds and Flores next year. That wreaks of cheapness, to me.
Klaw: Feel like you could tender and trade him. That’s peanuts for a second-tier starter/good UT.

Andrew: Does the Astros IF future have Bregman at SS and Correa at 3B?
Klaw: Doubt it. Correa’s a better defender than Bregman.

Jack: Any update on Nimmo? Feels like he isn’t really progressing. Is he a 4th OF?
Klaw: Yes, I’m in that camp now. Gave him a lot of chances, but can’t play CF and has too little power/doesn’t hit LHP well enough for a corner.

Sam: Should I be concerned that mets prospects seem too far away. By the time they are producing, pitching will be close to free agency.
Klaw: I agree. It was the price of those big acquisitions this summer.

sam: I know the thought of a 6 man rotation seems ridiculous, especially given the diminishing return of a 6th starter, but given all the injury concerns for the Yanks (& Severino’s awkward delivery & small frame), would you try it if you were them to try to keep all 6 as fresh & productive as possible? That way, if one breaks down 2 months into the season, you still have a 5 man rotation that’s had its innings reduced for 1/3 the season.
Klaw: Someone’s going to try it soon. I think we’re coming up on an era of experimentation with the whole pitching paradigm. The Rays had three starters in 2015 who were twice-through-the-order guys. Maybe someone goes with a 4-man rotation where no one ever faces more than 18 batters?

Ryan: Reading Lance Lynn knew there was something wrong in June but refused the idea of surgery. He went on to have a pretty poor September and was a non factor in the playoffs. At what point is it the player’s responsibility to recognize you are injured and stop trying to tough it out?
Klaw: Maybe he thought he was helping the team … I agree that players should speak up when hurt but don’t like the idea of criticizing a player for trying to stay on the field.

Marshall: KLaw you raise a salient point, people act as if there is A singular model to building a team. In the end, the teams that most accurately judge and and acquire talent are the teams that win. In a lot of cases that ability is not something that can continually be sustained over the long haul.
Klaw: For example, what Kansas City just did probably isn’t replicable. It took them nearly a decade to win the WS – not criticizing them, BTW – and they had to have so much go right the last two years, in terms of players all developing at the same time, maxing out returns on major trades (the Greinke deal went from “okay” to “holy crap arrest Dayton Moore for larceny”), and key guys staying healthy. You can’t just put that in a business plan.

Johnny: Where the hell has Top Chef been??
Klaw: December 2nd return. Can’t wait.

Chris: Ugh just remembering the Mets traded Meisner for Clippard AND Robles was probably more effective down stretch is nauseating. How could a club give Clippard more than a year in FA?
Klaw: I wouldn’t – that’s why I didn’t list him on my top 50. Everything pointed down for him in the first half; that’s why there wasn’t much of a market for him until the Mets showed up.

Tom: With your characterization of Griffey below, is the lesson to be learned between him and Bonds is that, if you’re going to be a jerk, don’t do it where the public can see you?
Klaw: No question.

Steve: Hi Keith. A difficult question to answer, I’m sure, but here goes. I’m married to a woman from Vietnam, and she’s interested in learning new approaches to critical thinking and logic, because her formal education in those skills just wasn’t very good (her opinion). Do you have any recommendations that might help her improve in those areas? For example, a certain board game, or book, or anything else you think might help her better develop these specific skills. Thanks a lot.
Klaw: That is a difficult question. Most great board games are built somehow on math or logic, even if it’s not directly visible to the players. Knizia’s games, like Samurai or Tigris & Euphrates, have that as a huge component. I’d also suggest books like The Invisible Gorilla or Think Twice as highly accessible books that discuss things like cognitive illusions and improved decision-making. Oh, and don’t watch the Republican debates.

Andrew: There is a narrative out there which suggests that the Astros have a negative reputation and will have trouble attracting FAs. Is this overblown and/or has recent success diluted this notion?
Klaw: Nonexistent. What a dumb narrative. You know what attracts free agents every time, without fail? Money.

Michael: Do you know what it is about baseball that makes injuries to a star or great player diminish him so much that almost any replacement could be better? Is the difference between being good and bad that small?
Klaw: I would guess – no science here, just a quick reaction – that it is a function of the minuscule degrees of timing required in hitting a baseball or throwing one well enough to hit a spot or miss a bat. Interfere with that in the slightest way and the player is a fraction of himself.

Eric. Florida: Are you for free-speech zones? Do you think this is very progressive?
Klaw: I don’t even know what that means. Free speech is a right guaranteed us all by the First Amendment. It means if you want to run around in blackface, the government can’t arrest you for being a racist asshole. But if you want to run around in blackface on campus, the college can suspend or expel you, because that’s a private institution. Do it at work and your employer can fire you. Do it on TV or on social media and the same can happen. Free speech doesn’t protect you from private consequences. It only means that the government can’t stop you or punish you.

Michael, DC: What do you think is the most efficient way for a small market (read, cheap owner) team like Cleveland to allocate its offseason resources? Trading from SP depth to get a power bat, buying a few mid-low level FAs or continuing to develop from within?
Klaw: Developing from within is always the answer, but isn’t an offseason plan: If the players aren’t there yet, you have to do something else. Trading a starter for multiple young pieces when you know you can’t go buy stars in free agency makes sense. You take on the risk and the time lag (acquiring players who might produce less in 2016 than the established pitcher you gave up) as the cost of doing business with low revenues and a tiny payroll.

Tom: Keith, Zack Greinke is the only free agent who said he went to a team (Dodgers) because they offered him the most money. Every other free agent wants a chance to win. That’s what they say. So I think you’re WAY off there.
Klaw: Oh, well, if that’s what they say, it must be true, because no one ever mouthed a platitude to the media just to satisfy the likes of you.

Forsyth: Does JBJ for Carson Smith of the Mariners make sense for both sides?
Klaw: Not at all.

Alex: Do the Cubs benefit more from trading say Baez or Soler or Castro for pitching, and signing say Heyward? Or signing Price, and holding on to the kids a bit longer and see how things shake out?
Klaw: I say keep Soler, who has the best combination of upside and the probability of reaching it. Trade one of the other two, because there aren’t enough AB to go around otherwise anyway: Bryant 3b, Russell ss, Baez/Castro 2b, Rizzo 1b, Schwarber LF, Soler RF.

Dave: How would you rate the Mets big 5 pitchers going forward? Would you think of trading any of then for a bat?
Klaw: Harvey, deGrom, Thor, Wheeler, Matz. I’d deal Matz, who has the worst history of durability of the group. But then they’re short a starter.

N: Out of the box question klaw. First off, thank you for all the non-baseball stuff you indulge in on your blog, perirscope, twitter and here in the chats. I recently started dating someone who considers herself to have a mild anxiety disorder and has been diagnosed as manic-depressive. We’ve been together for a few months and things have been great and are getting serious. Considering your background with anxiety, do you have any recommendations for someone on the other side of it in a relationship? I don’t suffer from either of those illnesses, but want to be as sympathetic and supportive as I can.
Klaw: That’s not an easy question – and I’d advise you to talk to a therapist who deals with such issues if you can, just to better acquaint yourself. Learning to recognize the signs of someone who’s “off” is probably the biggest key; whether it’s forgetting to take whatever meds she’s supposed to be on or facing a trigger like stress or otherwise losing her routine, it can change her personality, and you have to be ready to provide support while also managing the change in her mood, demeanor, even language.

Drew: Any chance you see Roark bouncing back to anything approximating his 2014 form? Or should the Nats replace him with Cole?
Klaw: Scherzer, Strasburg, Gio, Roark, Cole. Did I forget someone?

Noah: Is Maikel Franco a future superstar?
Klaw: I do not think so. I think he’s an above-average regular.

Richie: Any chance the Mets look to trade Plawecki considering they need a bat and arent likely to trade any of their pitchers? What could a guy like him bring back?
Klaw: I think someone asked me that in the periscope yesterday and I don’t have a good answer. D’Arnaud could be an All-Star, a top 25 player in the league, if he could stay healthy and catch 130 games. I don’t have a ton of confidence that he’ll do that. If you keep Plawecki, you can move d’Arnaud around, give him a few days off now and then when he needs it, and still get production from behind the plate. If you move him, you will get a lot of zeroes from back there.

Jay: Are the Braves in on other international FAS besides Kevin Maitan? And is that handshake deal still legit?
Klaw: I haven’t heard about others but I haven’t looked into it. Those deals are totally illegal and nobody cares.

@RationalMLBfan: Lots of talk in NY about the Yankees trading Brett Gardner. Granted, he’s a LHB in a LHB heavy lineup and has slumped in the 2nd half for 2 consecutive seasons, but isn’t a valuable player valuable, regardless of distribution of success of handedness? And he has an affordable contract. What is the urgency to trade him?
Klaw: I don’t see the urgency. I could see them saying they want to move Ellsbury for another bad contract, but Gardner in LF and Hicks in CF and any non-Beltran solution in RF looks pretty good to me.

Drew: Ross is the other potential Nats starter I had in mind. Does he need more time in AA/AAA?
Klaw: Ah, you’re right, I did forget someone. I’d put him over Cole in the depth chart and probably over Roark, although that may be my longtime affinity for Ross speaking.

Patrick: I must have missed your comments regarding Gary Sanchez. Do you think he can be a backup this season and eventually the #1 in NY?
Klaw: I think he needs to go to AAA and catch every day so he can work on receiving, framing, and being focused on every pitch. The one thing he can really do back there is throw, though.

Sean: Cubs need two SP. Would seem one will come from a trade but instead of huge $ pitcher with Arietta voming up mext year, how about Leake? Seems it would be reasonable $/ouput and be a more consistant Hendricjs type of pitcher with more track record and ground balls. Agree?
Klaw: I do agree, but I think Leake is a fit for about 20 clubs, and also I read that as “Arietta vomiting up” next year, which disturbed me.

Jason: With the latest setback for Reyes is he going to be able to break the rotation next year in St. Louis?
Klaw: Maybe midyear? Stuff is there, command isn’t, also missed a lot of time with that shoulder issue and the delivery isn’t helping matters. Don’t think the suspension costs him that much.

Bret: Keith, I know you’ve written about how medications for your anxiety has made such a difference for you. How would you suggest speaking to someone about opting to try medication for mental health challenges if they don’t seem open to the idea?
Klaw: Send him/her to a therapist first. I was fortunate in the sense that I have people close to me who were already taking SSRIs and I knew how they worked and that that was what I needed. Talking to a professional might help your friend.

Noah: if your the Phillies and you’re picking first, do you draft one of the top players that’s willing to sign below slot?
Klaw: If there is no clear 1-1 on draft day – there isn’t one yet – then you make your board, talk to the top 2-3 guys, offer each of them slot for #2 (or maybe #3) and see who takes it. You want that savings so you can go over slot with your next pick, maybe your next two.

FireDrayton: Sorry for re-posting, but figured I’d try again. What level of starting pitcher has comparable value to an elite closer? In other words, you’d rather have X starting pitcher than Chapman, with X being the worst SP who is still more valuable than an elite closer.
Klaw: I’d rather have a mid-rotation starter than an elite closer. 200 innings vs 60. WAR tends to agree with that. You have to place a very high value on performance in high-leverage spots to favor the closer there.

Jason: Who is the best prospect that no one knew of at the beginning of the year?
Klaw: Willson Contreras?

Jack: Was d’Arnaud exposed defensively in the WS like people seem to think? I mean, it was the Royals after all.
Klaw: The Royals exposed a lot of people this year, by which I mean they were just a really fucking good baseball team. That’s all for this week – thank you all so much for coming and firing so many questions at me. I’ll chat next week on Thursday, most likely, and I’ll reveal my NL Rookie of the Year ballot on Monday when the results are announced. Cheers.

My top 50 free agent rankings are up for Insiders.

Klaw: Too late to beg you or cancel it, though I know it must be Klawchat time.

David (Fort Worth, TX): If offered will Gallardo be the 1st to ever accept the Qualifying Offer?
Klaw: I’m thinking Estrada might be the first to accept. If anyone makes him a better offer, I hope they have some prayer beads.

George Evanko: What, in your opinion, is Lucas Giolito’s ETA in the big leagues? And how does he compare in terms of long-range career projections and immediate impact to Harvey, deGrom, and Syndegaard?
Klaw: Mid-2016. I think he could help sooner, but there’s no reason to rush him and there are things he could still work on (e.g., command and feel for the changeup).

Zack: On the 20-80 scale, how would you rate your arrogance? Advance scouts are saying you’re a first ballot HOF.
Klaw: Big talk from a guy who obviously doesn’t know what advance scouts do (or that they barely exist any more).

Marc (Las Vegas): I have a quick book question for you as you read about as often as anyone I am personally aware of. I love reading, but have a tendency to become extremely tired within the first 10-15 pages. Even if the material is right up my alley I just can’t seem to avoid this. Any chance you have any advice on overcoming this and being able to actually enjoy the books I read without being half asleep? Thanks again and your chats are as insightful plus entertaining as anyone out there.
Klaw: No joke: Better lighting. And try getting more sleep in general, of course, but I’ve noticed (as someone who can often fall asleep at the drop of a hat) that lighting makes a huge difference.

Jack: If you were a GM would you ever sign a top 25 free agent? I don’t disagree with your assessments, but your ideal contracts are very far below what they will actually receive. If there’s a good fit for a winning team do you just need to bite the bullet and realize you’re getting ripped off?
Klaw: Those numbers I offer are pretty abstract because the marginal revenue product of a win varies from team to team. If you’re the GM of an 87-win team on paper, adding a six-win player is worth a hell of a lot more to you than that same player is to a GM of a 70-win team. And market size matters too, and revenue elasticity relative to win total. Add to that the winner’s curse – in an open auction, the bidder with the most optimistic (and therefore likely too favorable) projection is the probable winner – and you will find nearly all of my “recommendations” are lower than the actual market values.

Owen (London): Hello Keith- While the Lerners seem to make their fair share of new owner mistakes, shouldn’t we give them credit for batting .500 in minority hires for manager ? That comes with the obvious caveat that it appears Bud Black was offered the job first but when that fell through they didn’t try to lure Davey Johnson back and win a PR exercise. It would be nice if other clubs did more than just go through the motions.
Klaw: I have no complaint with that. But how about giving one of the many qualified, not-famous managerial candidates of color a chance, rather than the guy who has shown no ability to improve or adjust over his last three jobs?

Nick (DC): Yesterday in his introductory press conference, Dusty Baker said: “Supposedly I ruined [Cubs pitcher Mark] Prior. There was no such things as pitch counts, and we had unwritten pitch counts ourselves.” No one called him out on this, but I find it hard to believe that in 2003, pitch counts were not on everyone’s radar as a major concern. Any thoughts on this?
Klaw: There were absolutely pitch counts, and Dusty ignored them. Worse, in my mind, is that game 6 when Prior was visibly laboring in the 7th and Dusty sent him out for the 8th with no one up in the pen. If you couldn’t see that Prior was done, you can’t manage a team.

Brady: Not a question, but I was worried you left ESPN. No chats on there any more and no content for a bit until the organizational rankings. Glad you’re not gone and that I found this chat. Can you post something on ESPN telling people where to find your chats? Thanks!
Klaw: I’ve been chatting here for two months, but since I don’t have any editorial control at ESPN (I don’t even post my own articles), I can’t help you with the latter point.

Dan K.: I know you were high on soler’s upside. Do you still feel the same after watching his defense this past year? Would you trade him if you were the Cubs for pitching? Thanks for your great insight.
Klaw: Still a big believer in the offensive upside. Defense has been less than expected. I would be willing to make him, Baez, Castro available in trades just because I think they have a surplus of bats.

Andrew: Overall thoughts on Reds naming Dick Williams GM ? I know Walt will still be in an “advisory role”. Have you had any interactions or what others are saying about the move ? Thanks !
Klaw: Don’t think there’s any substantial change in direction there, although it does allow them to skip a full GM search next offseason when Jocketty was expected to retire.

James: Hey Keith thanks for the chats, I’ve always loved them. So Dave Cameron predicted the Rangers sign Yoenis Cespedes for a huge deal, but do you really see them adding another 100 million dollar player to their roster? I mean it’s impossible to get rid of Fielder’s deal, and Choo’s in the same boat it seems.
Klaw: I wouldn’t recommend they do so given the presence of Mazara, Brinson, and perhaps Gallo as cheap, productive outfield options.

Tyson: How much is a prospect’s stock affected by how well they do in the AFL?
Klaw: For a significant prospect, not at all. For a fringe guy – maybe someone you’re considering protecting from the rule 5 draft – it can make a difference because scouts are bearing down a little more. Most AFL scouts have lists from their teams of guys to focus on because they might be exposed to the rule 5 or otherwise available in trade.

Anthony: Recommended course of action for the Mets this offseason? I presume it doesn’t include resigning golfing enthusiast Yoenis Cespedes or GLAAD award nominee Daniel Murphy, right?
Klaw: Nope, but spending on one bat wouldn’t be the worst idea. The problem I see is where: You probably want Herrera at 2b, Conforto and Granderson are locked in the corners, finding a CF who’s a real upgrade over a healthy Lagares (grade 80 defense with a smidgen of bat) isn’t easy. Shortstop isn’t easy to upgrade either.

Konk: Didn’t know you were into craft beer. Your stock is rising Mr. Law
Klaw: Zack the Coward thinks I should only drink Arrogant Bastard, though.

Aaron (Texas): KLAW, how did the “bathroom” scare tactic obtain almost 2/3rd of all votes? Also what are your thoughts on turducken?
Klaw: Because there are a lot of bigots out there and equal rights should NEVER be up for a popular vote. Turducken is an abomination, though, no matter which bathroom it uses.

Hermione G: What is the best thing to cook in a slow cooker? And why don’t you post the recipe for that pie you use as your twitter avatar?
Klaw: The pie is the peach pie from Baking Illustrated, and the easiest/best slow cooker meal is carnitas – slice some onions, season a boneless pork butt (shoulder), rest it on the onions in the slow cooker and give it 6-8 hours on low.

Alex: Is this the year someone accepts a QO and if so who do you think is the most likely to do so?
Klaw: Yes, see above.

Ivan: Will Hayward get interest from teams looking for a center fielder
Klaw: Yes, but I would not sign him there. I think you’re giving up a huge advantage from having his glove in RF and I would worry about him staying healthy in CF as well as he’s done so in right.

Derek: Would Melvin Upton’s poor performance the last few years give you any pause in signing Justin Upton at a similar age? One part of the process is looking for comps, and there are plenty of reasons to think Melvin and Justin aren’t good comps. But isn’t it possible that the bloodline provides some insight into aging that we might not get from using statistically similar comps? What I’m saying is not that Justin is going to play like Melvin, but that maybe Melvin’s experience should cause us to think Justin might “get old” faster than some of his similar comps.
Klaw: I believe a huge part of Melvin’s problem was Atlanta’s hitting coaches, who screwed up quite a few fine young players through 2014, including Heyward and Justin too. Melvin actually had a decent season for San Diego, I think his best since before he left Tampa.

Brian: Loved a Confederacy of Dunces. Any similar books you would recommend? Ever read Lucky Jim? Thanks!
Klaw: Loved both. ACoD stands a bit alone in that I’m not sure I’ve ever read anything quite like it, but I think Infinite Jest, Inherent Vice, and some of Philip K. Dick’s works have similar elements.

Kyle: I may have missed this, but what are you reactions on the M’s front office moves? After such a horrible string of player development, I have to admit that I’m excited. Thanks!
Klaw: Progress, certainly. Tom Allison deserved another shot to oversee amateur scouting; his results in Arizona were good then and only look better in hindsight. I know nothing about the guy they hired to oversee player development. I also know they let some good people go in the shuffle this summer and fall.

Chris: Please rank these options for next year at Mets SS: Tejada, Drew, Rollins.
Klaw: Tejada, no, no.

Mike: Joey Bats trade value will never be higher, do you think Shapiro would trade him to restock the farm System based on his comments.
Klaw: I speculated that on TSN 1050 the other day. You’re not re-signing him or Edwin, so do you trade one for prospects, or do you just ride out the window and go for it one more time? I’d choose the latter. I think Shapiro would choose the former.

Tom: When Klentak says the Phils need to strengthen their pitching as step #1, aside from their arms getting promoted here and there would that include some fliers on mid level guys like bringing Happ back? Based on your description on his presumed price/commitment and potential to firm up positive results from last year is that the kind of arm we’re looking at? Does Thompson get called up sooner rather than later to the big league rotation?
Klaw: I think that’s exactly the kind of move they’d make – sign some depth guys without big upside but who won’t hurt financially, maybe adding one more significant starter to a 3-4 year deal who’ll still be able to help when the big club is better. I don’t think Thompson will be rushed in that scenario, especially with Nola and Eickhoff probably locked into rotation spots.

Silv: In anticipating the Dodgers offseason plans as to pitching a couple of weeks ago you neglected to include Ryu’s return at (anticipated) full strength in 2016. Given that, and making the reasonable assumption that Greinke is resigned, do they really need to put added dollars into Kershaw/Greinke/Ryu/Wood/McCarthy? Lee, Bolsinger, and even potentially DeLeon and Urias are there if anyone falters. This also goes into my question as to how much roster flexibility the Dodgers actually have? Peraza and Seager seem locked at 2b and SS for 2016 (assuming Kendrick doesn’t accept the QO, which he won’t). If they can’t move an OF or find a substantial upgrade at 3b (and Turner is pretty much fine there), do you see them completing any material transactions?
Klaw: I didn’t neglect him; I wouldn’t count on Ryu at all. He had surgery to fix a torn labrum, not TJ, and if he comes back with less velocity he’s not going to be close to his prior level of production. I also don’t think Lee or Urias is likely to contribute anything in 2016, and McCarthy may be back in late April but I wouldn’t pencil him in for 27-28 starts in his first year back. They absolutely need some depth. I could also see them upgrading the outfield and wouldn’t be the least bit surprised if they traded Puig.

Anonymous: I realize it is early, but what is Dylan Cease’s ceiling and probability? Thanks Keith!
Klaw: Number two starter, still a long way off especially due to command.

Dave: Is it frustrating that you basically have to re-write your Top 50 Free Agent intro to answer questions about it right after posting it?
Klaw: No one ever reads the intro, ever.

Derek Harvey: Last week you said you think Josh Hader is a reliever. Is that because he doesn’t have a good change-up? His command? His delivery/mechanics? Something else?
Klaw: Delivery/mechanics. He’s a max effort near-sidearmer.

Tom: Do you have any information on what Bud Black was asking for and what the Nats offered that they could not reach a deal? I cannot remember anything like this happening in the past. Thanks.
Klaw:All secondhand info, but it sounds like the Nats lowballed him and he justifiably balked.

Rob: Did you ever read Grantland? And, if so, what were your favorite aspects of the site?
Klaw:Sometimes, but never their sports stuff – only the pop culture and entertainment material. I loved the concept of the site – hire good writers and let them go long, rather than hewing to the dead model of column-inches as a scarce resource – but if it wasn’t profitable, I can’t blame my employer for shutting it down. (Disclaimer: I know nothing of Grantland’s financials beyond what’s public.) I feel terrible for the writers affected, though. In a tough environment for professional writers, watching a good, seemingly secure job vanish in a matter of months has to be devastating.

Bill: Unfortunately, when you reference a previous chat answer we have to “see below.” Any chance you could fix the direction of the scroll?
Klaw:I can’t – not my software. I post a full text-only transcript after the chat is done.

Kingpin: Did you get to see Patrick Wisdom? Derrick Goold reported that Wisdom had made significant swing changes. If you observed Wisdom, do the changes make a huge difference? Is he still a fringy, at best, prospect?
Klaw:Yes. Not good.

Michael: I’m pro-LGBT rights, but equal rights should never be put up for a vote?! America’s foundation–both good and bad–is built on letting the people decide for themselves.
Klaw:No. We’re a republic, not a direct democracy. Besides, the 14th Amendment kind of cleared this up forever: Everyone gets equal protection under the law.

MJ: Was Juan Uribe considered for the back end of the top 50? What are your thoughts on him as a player and prediction for the deal he’ll sign (and team)?
Klaw:No, because it’s all character and makeup but no production. I’d hire him as a bench coach straight off, though.

Huh?: Bad contract swap: Bourn, Swisher, Maybin for Hanley? Boston takes on more money but for only this year while Braves take the 3 remaining years of Hanley.
Klaw:Maybin’s isn’t a bad contract.

DO: I’ve seen varying reports on Moncada’s timeline — some say not until 2017-2018. Is it possible that he could get to the big club at the end of 2016 (provided he gets to at least AA)?
Klaw:It’s the “provided he gets to at least AA” part that stops me. He’s not that advanced yet, and he might just get to AA and stop there in 2016. He didn’t tear the Sally League apart, and while I still rate him very highly as a prospect I have no tangible reason to forecast a big step forward in productivity (or just in approach) now.

Tito: Klaw, if you had to pick between Gleyber Torres and Franklin Barreto for the first 6 years of their major league careers is one a better choice than the other? Who has more offensive upside?
Klaw:Torres has more overall upside, Barreto has more of a now hit tool.

Scherzer’s Blue Eye: What’s your opinion of Anthopolus trading the farm this past year?
Klaw:All good with me. You trade the farm to put your team in the playoffs. You don’t trade the farm to save your job or make a bad club mediocre.

Patrick: Will this Mets generation of pitchers redefine pitching for the next century?
Klaw:This pretty much never works out, right? Atlanta’s big 3 is the last example, and even they were the big 2 for a while when Smoltz got hurt and went to the pen.

Dave: Were you to be the GM of the Red Sox, what is the approach to adding pitching this offseason? One “ace” and fill out the rest with their in house options, or trade/sign 2 front line starters?
Klaw:Sign one, trade all this offensive depth for one.

Hugo Z: Melvin’s OPS in the first two months of his first season with Atlanta was .476. Those coaches must be fast workers.
Klaw:They altered his swing right away, that first spring training.

Jay: Sorry…but I lost track of your chats while moving and traveling for the past six months. I found this on FB…is this the place to look?
Klaw:All chats are here now. Click the “klawchat” tag below this post to get the archive of all of the past ones (I think this is the 9th one since we moved here).

Bob: In games 1 and 2 of the WS, the Mets seemed not to make pitching adjustments against KC. Only two Ks for each starter and the constant contact by Royals’ hitters eventually turned into runs. In game 5, Harvey seemed to make adjustments and pitched a shutout through 8 with 9Ks. Surely, advanced scouting had prepared them for the way that KC hits. Why were they unable to make those adjustments ahead of time? That may have been the key factor in the WS. Do you agree?
Klaw:I don’t agree. If it were that simple…

Tommy: Klaw I saw Harrison Bader hit some this season… He looks like he could be an impact hitter…Am I what you call a bad scout or does he look like a good hitter?
Klaw:I was not a big fan – saw a very stiff body and just adequate bat speed.

Jimmy: Dombrowski is talking about bringing Barnes in as a reliever in 2016. Is that a good move?
Klaw:Yep, two-pitch guy who throws a lot of strikes, should succeed there. But I also think he could have value as a starter for another team.

Allan: Would you skip High Desert with Luis Ortiz and Dillon Tate? Or would experience in that environment benefit them?
Klaw:It might help them the way Mark Watney’s experience helped him.

Fred: Is Miller for Karns an equal opportunistic swap for both parties involved? (No tread on the other guys)
Klaw:Seattle got the best guy (Karns). Rays filled two, possibly three smaller holes on the roster and had the depth to deal Karns. Seems reasonable for both sides, if not very significant.

JR: I realize you don’t watch much TV, but I would highly recommend adding Fargo Season 1 and Season 2 to your list – it’s a really, really good show.
Klaw:No interest. I didn’t love the movie … very well done and smart, but so grim and misanthropic.

AN: This is a few years old so you may have already read it: http://www.newyorker.com/books/page-turner/the-curse-of-reading-and-forgetting I thought of how much you read in a given year while reading it and wondered whether you experienced forgetting something you’d read pretty recently given how much you read? Is it something that concerns you? Lastly, Span to the Mets make any sense?
Klaw:I keep (mentally) what I enjoy, and forget what I don’t. It’s not a system, but just how my head works. Span to the Mets might make sense on paper but if his medicals give the team any pause about him staying in CF I’d stay away.

George: Another Nats prospect: Victor Robles. What are your thoughts on him?
Klaw:Haven’t seen but have gotten rave reports. I wrote a sentence or two on him in the Future Power Rankings.

Rob: What would the White Sox need to give up to get Profar (assuming he’s possibly available).
Klaw:I don’t believe he’s available at all, but if he were, hypothetically, I’d probably ask for Rodon (and expect to be shot down).

Michael: If the Jays made Osuna a starter, how quickly do you think he could get back to the big leagues?
Klaw:Midyear? I think the year closing would prove to be very valuable experience, but I would also be ultra-cautious in stretching him back out. That’s a great arm that has already blown out once.

Ray: How many “scout wanna be’s” do you see when you are scouting? Are there people that want to be a scout traveling the country or just local games?
Klaw:Not that many. There’s nothing wrong with wanting to be a scout, certainly, but yes, I do see folks who are trying to play the role.

Casey: Did you get a chance to take a look at Chad Pinder and/or Renato Nunez? Thoughts?
Klaw:Pinder looked like a 4A guy. Nunez still has a chance to be an everyday player thanks to the pop.

Roy: Was it a mistake for me to pre-order an Anderson Espinoza Jersey last week??
Klaw:Nah, you should be good.

Steve: Enjoyed the Top 50, as I do every year. Quick questions: Assuming no Maeda because we don’t know if he’ll be posted? And do you not think David Freese is worth even a few million dollars on a one-year deal?
Klaw:What little info I have made me think he won’t be posted. There are a lot of guys who didn’t make the 50 but would be worth that 1 year/$3 million or so hypothetical offer I suggested.

Ben: Any thoughts on Peet’s buying up Intelligentsia?
Klaw:It’ll be in the Saturday links post (and they only bought a majority share).

Gus: Keith, this year will be the first that I am deep frying a turkey for Thanksgiving. Have you done so before and do you have any tips/recommendations (aside from defrosting the turkey)?
Klaw:Yeah. Get a good fire extinguisher and don’t do this anywhere near the house. I’ve never done it because I don’t want to burn anything down.

Mark: You have mentioned many times how the Jays’ shortening of Sanchez’s stride has resulted in higher effort and less command. Two questions, 1) why do you think they made the change and 2) does this make it less likely for him to be a viable starter long term?
Klaw:I don’t know if they did it or he did it, and I really don’t know why he hasn’t changed it. You don’t see short-stride starters stay healthy.

smith: Eduardo Rodriguez. Possible #1, 2? something else?
Klaw:It’s ace stuff. I think he will get there in time.

Bob: Who makes a good scout? Former players? Former coaches? Or just people with good observational skills? I doubt that I could do it, but I’m not sure what kind of mind works.
Klaw:I think good observational skills, critical thinking, and an understanding of the vagaries of “the game” are all key. You don’t have to have played, but of course I’ll say that as someone who probably couldn’t turn on a 40 mph fastball.

Mike P.: If Alfaro doesn’t stay at catcher, where could you see him playing? I’ve heard “too athletic for 1B” a couple of times – so I’m just curious where else you could see him playing?
Klaw:I’d put him in right field. He’s still not that great a receiver.

Kevin: A couple years ago you had Montreal Robertson as a sleeper for the Tigers. He is older now (26 I believe) but seems to had a bit of a comeback after a very rough minor league start. Have you seen him at all and think he still has a shot as an effective bullpen arm in the next couple seasons?
Klaw:Saw him, great great stuff, below-average command.

Michael: Do you ever read a book, such as a classic, just because you think you should read it? Plenty of classics imo are boring (see Moby Dick and A Tale of Two Cities), but I still feel somewhat obligated to read them.
Klaw:I’ve read a ton of them – I was going to say “most” but I don’t know what the actual total list would be – and some turned out to be shockingly good (Return of the Native, Middlemarch) while some were abysmal (Moby Dick, An American Tragedy).

Andy: One of the things that I noticed most about Kang in spring training and from reading about him in Korea, he had really good power to right center. Does Park have that or is he all pull power?
Klaw:Looks like more pull power.

Owen: In response to Gus about the turkey; heat your oil to 400 degrees before (slowly) lowering the turkey in – that will keep the skin crisp and non-greasy. I fry one every year.
Klaw:Thanks. BTW, I assume “Gus” was a reference to Delirious. It’s my house…

Joel: It seems almost inevitable that Grienke goes back to the dodgers but don’t the Giants have to be involved if nothing else but to drive up the price the dodgers have to pay?
Klaw:Every team that is near contention and needs a starter should be involved. So, not the Mets, but every other contender.

Tom: I understand the need to be patient but for a big market team with a much improved farm system when do you think it’s advantageous for the Phillies to go for it in free agency? Not trading prospects but make moves that get them closer to an 80 win non embarrassment as they wait for the kids. This offseason or 2017?
Klaw:Be opportunistic now, “go for it” after 2017 probably when more of the kids have arrived and started to establish themselves.

Jack: Cecchini/Herrera middle infield by the All Star Break?
Klaw:I like Cecchini, but if his throwing doesn’t get to be more consistent they’ll hesitate to hand him the shortstop job. He’s definitely feeling for the ball a little bit.

JR: In 2012 when you wrote your “re-draft of the 2002 draft” (one of my favorite annual columns, btw), you wrote something to the effect that Kazmir was done (not criticizing as that was the common view at the time). How impressive has his comeback been these last few seasons? He’s gone from being toast to being on your top free agent rankings and will be getting one more nice payday. Impressive.
Klaw:Absolutely unbelievable – and a great story. BTW, that’s a completely fair criticism. I said he was done, and he wasn’t. I don’t feel bad about that mistake, because how on earth would I have foreseen it … but holy cow, he’s remade himself completely AND seems to have gotten over some chronic arm problems too.

Ray: Alex Verdugo: org guy, avg big leaguer or future all star?
Klaw:Huge beta. If he’s a big leaguer he’s probably an above-average one (or more).

Tom: When teams sign players in their 30s to 7-10 year contracts, is their logic that they are paying a total sum rather than thinking they’re going to get actual value from the players in the last few years of the contract?
Klaw:Yes, but they can’t even think of it as “logic,” right? Those deals don’t work out and often you’re fired or gone before the deal even hits the midpoint. Jack Z won’t be around for years 3-10 of Cano, and DiPoto will have that but won’t have years 6-10 of Pujols

Gus: Would you say that deGrom was the Mets best starter this year, Harvey will probably be the best in 2016 but Thor has the potential to be the best of the 3?
Klaw:I think that’s a reasonable possibility, but if you asked me which guy I think provides the most total value over the next five years I’d take Harvey.

Michael: You are outspoken about violence against women. How do you view a person like Patrick Kane after his accuser refused to go forward with the case and there isn’t too much public evidence?
Klaw:My personal opinion is that the vast majority of rape accusations are true (the false accusation rate isn’t known precisely but is somewhere under 5%), rapes are underprosecuted to begin with and are difficult to prove, so in any specific case I’m more likely to assume guilt than innocence. To put it another way, I think the guy walking around two weeks ago at Epcot in a Patrick Kane jersey (while charges were still possible) was being an asshole..

Andy: So Clippard pitched 32 innings of perfectly fine relief ball for the Mets and 7 innings of poor relief in the playoffs. It’s odd there were people arguing that trading a pitching prospect for that wasn’t overpaying.
Klaw:You said it, not me. 0.2 rWAR, too.

Rob K: Mets added Josh Smoker to the 40 man. Possible he starts the year in the big league pen?
Klaw:Another great story, BTW. I assume it’s a possibility entering spring training, depending on how he pitches.

Sean: No Aoki or Byrd in the FA rankings, were their options declined too late to be ranked, or neither made your top 50?
Klaw:Neither made it. Aoki would have fit, Byrd no.

Ray: Who has the better career: Nick Williams or Brett Phillips?
Klaw:I’ll take Phillips. Big fan of that toolset and makeup.

Bob: If Shapiro trades major league talent to restock the farm, then he is not only repudiated AA’s work, but is punting on 2016. They were so close in 2015. I think I would be upset if I were a Toronto fan.
Klaw:Absolutely you should be. This process was poorly handled from the start.

Chris: Is Mickey Jannis any good? I’m hoping he has some Dickey in him!
Klaw:I didn’t think so – but knuckleballer development is like quantum entanglement. Even people who understand that stuff don’t always know exactly how it works.

Kevin:
What moves would you make to help improve the Padres? Is there hope in the near term?
Klaw:Get a shortstop and a centerfielder, get some balance in the lineup, either play Hedges or send him to AAA every day, see if you can trade Shields for a few (lesser) individual pieces and try to develop some of your own starters again since your home environment is so favorable.

Michael: It was a long time ago, but did you get a sense that any of the corporate suits at Rogers knew anything about baseball? That’s my fear as a Jays fan…
Klaw:No but they left us – really, Paul Godfrey and JP Ricciardi, not me – alone.

Adam: Is Pierce Johnson destined for bullpen duty?
Klaw:IMO yes.

Corey: Gordon worth giving up the 12th pick if you’re Boston? and then including JBJ in a trade for pitching ?
Klaw:I hate giving up draft picks … but if you’re going to give one up, maybe do it for a top-end starter? That seems like a bigger need.

Kevin: Does Michael Fulmer have a #1 starter ceiling, or is that a bit bullish?
Klaw:I think a #2 is more realistic.

Franklin: Do you see S.F.’s refusal to pick up the options on both Aoki and Byrd a sign that they are going to be in the market for a bat like J. Upton or Heyward?
Klaw:I read it as a recognition that neither guy was likely to be worth the cost. Byrd especially seems to me like a guy who’s nearly out of value.

Anthony: I was surprised to see that Soria didn’t make your Top 50 Free Agents list. Is he really not a better player than Rich Hill?
Klaw:Soria was down across the board this year – stuff and results. I gave him a lot of consideration but couldn’t put him in the top 50. I think I was quite clear on what Rich Hill is (or, that we have no freaking idea what he is).

Ian: Have you read Kenji Lopez Alt’s article on spatchcocking a Turkey? Having successfully tried that approach with a chicken, I would imagine its equally as impressive with a turkey. Have you tried anything similar?
Klaw:No but I think I’m going to do this for Thanksgiving now, since I am feeding more people than usual and will want more empty oven time.

Esau: Carson Fulmer, Dillon Tate, Blake Snell, Sean Newcomb. What order would you rank them as future starters?
Klaw:Snell, Newcomb, Tate. Fulmer is a very very likely reliever for me. Yes, I’ve said the same on others who made it as starters … but I still can’t believe that high-effort delivery and lack of command is going to work in the rotation.

Scott: The Padres had Trea Turner………………..ugh!!!!!!
Klaw:Yes, yes they did. That’s all for this week. Our chat has ended, let us go in peace. I’ll see you all next Thursday (most likely).

Klaw: The bridge you burn is gonna take its toll. Klawchat.

Drake: Who do you think could replace AA as Blue Jays GM? Would they promote LaCava?
Klaw: The name I keep hearing is Ross Atkins, who has overseen the farm system in Cleveland for several years now.

Steve: Since more people are killed by knives than by rifles, do you think there should be laws limiting knife ownership?
Klaw: I think this question further illustrates how bad American public schools are at teaching math.

David: Thoughts on Bud Black to the Nationals?
Klaw: Solid, but how solid depends on whether some of his in-game tactics improve. He gets high marks within the game for his behind-the-scenes work, and I know when Hoyer was GM there Black’s in-game management was better, too.

Bryan: Will Almora be an early season call up next year?
Klaw: To do what? A no-power CF with poor on-base skills isn’t going to help the major-league club.

Aaron Gershoff: It seems like Harvey and deGrom are hitting the end-of-season wall…they were both missing in bad spots (as opposed to missing off the plate). deGrom especially was missing right over the heart of the plate…even the worst MLB teams can hit a 95mph fastball right down the pipe. I also thought deGrom’s arm was at a lower angle…I’m guessing this would take some movement off his fastball and make it easier to track for KC’s hitters. Thoughts?
Klaw: Lower arm slot generally leads to more movement rather than less, but also I think the Mets’ plan of attack vs KC didn’t work: most hitters miss their fastballs, but the Royals’ hitters didn’t and probably won’t.

Sam: Which Astros pitching prospect has the best stuff? Do you still see Appel as a top of the rotation guy?
Klaw: Prospect as in still in the minors? Probably Martes. Appel has more like #2 starter stuff but still needs better command, and the Astros need to let him become primarily a two-seamer guy because pitching up with the four-seamers isn’t working for him.

Derek Harvey: What is your opinion of Josh Hader? I heard he was hitting 97 in instructs and now in the AFL. Do you think that’s a real change for him or is it more likely he’s unloading because he’s only pitching in short stints?
Klaw: I saw him hit 96 or 97 in the C-C All-Star Game here last year. He’s a reliever for sure but filthy with the life on the sinker and the hard slider.

Kingpin: What can you tell us about Byung-ho Park? Can he be at least an average big league first baseman? From what I’ve read, he is limited to 1B so the bat has to be pretty darn good, right?
Klaw: And there’s a lot of swing and miss too.

J: This is a bit of an open-ended question, and maybe one less well-suited for a chat than another forum. You’ve been adamant about the loss of efficacy for a starting pitcher the 4th time through a line-up. At the same time, pitching staffs are already overstuffed to an annoying degree. How can baseball recalibrate to handle what feels like, if not contrary, then at odds thoughts – less complete games and less specialization. Perhaps the answer is in what we’re seeing after two games of the WS with Niese, Colon, and Young – the joys of a good long reliever. In short – how can we get back to an 11-man staff, tops, and accommodate new understandings of pitcher fatigue?
Klaw: Employ some actual “long” relievers – which in this day and age means anyone who can pitch to more than four batters without being hauled back into cold storage.

Jonathan (St. Louis): Randal Grichuk question: The knock on him is that the hit may not be good enough to get to the power. His OBP this year was about 330. To my (uneducated) ear, that sounds good enough. Is it? Is he likely to repeat it, or was that him playing over his head?
Klaw: Playing over his head in a short season with some judicious usage.

My real name is Matt: Hi Keith. Is Schwarber at 3B a crazy idea? Seems like a all-state linebacker candidate in high school would have good quickness/lateral movement- at least enough to man third. Bryant to left. What say you?
Klaw: Yes, it’s a crazy idea. Also a very bad one.

Brian: Any chance the Mets can dig themselves out of this 2-0 hole to win this thing? The Mets look overmatched and their pitchers look frustrated. Thanks!
Klaw: Of course. That’s pure recency bias – they’re the same team that swept the Cubs. And plenty of teams have come back from 2-0 to win seven-game series in MLB history.

Eric: Hi Keith, should Tony LaCava get any consideration for the GM job in Toronto?
Klaw: Yes but apparently he won’t.

Sriram: Did you read the Rosenthal piece on the hiring practices of MLB – agree, disagree, it’s complicated?
Klaw: Agree. We’ve had one Black manager or GM hired this offseason and he’s white.

Derek: Perhaps the best way to improve the Nats’ lineup is to move Harper to CF and buy FA for RF (e.g., Heyward, Gordon, Upton, etc.) What do you think about Harper in CF (it sure seems like a good way to maximize his insane value; he’s been a competent CF in the past)? The reasoning is that the spread of potential outcomes for M.A. Taylor in CF is too much risk for a contending team like the Nats to bear. What do you think? If the plan is to go with Taylor in CF, I think I’d want a premium 4th OF who could step in if he craters. You probably can’t sign a guy like that, so you’d have to trade for him. Do you think AJ Cole could fetch somebody who fits that mold?
Klaw: I agree with you on Harper – I think he can handle it and be at least an average defender. Taylor’s glove is much better, but there’s huge OBP downside risk. Also, I don’t see the Nats (or most teams in this situation) giving three significant roles to rookies – CF, SS, and a rotation spot. Cole could (should) fetch you a fourth OF or better as I think he’s an MLB ready starter right now.

Jason: My buddy is trying to tell me the two best teams in baseball are playing right now, I countered that the Jays are better than KC…. Settle this for us…. He told me that Price just isn’t good in October
Klaw: The playoffs don’t determine better or best. They determine the winners. Once your friend accepts that those two things aren’t the same, and that you don’t have to care about the former if you don’t want to, he’ll enjoy the playoffs much more. And Price looked just fine to me.

Jesse: Granted the trades were probably necessary and Tulo’s got some years left, but on a scale of “coincidence” to “coincidence, my ass,” where do you rank AA gutting the farm, then declining an extension and ultimately moving on elsewhere?
Klaw: Absolutely a coincidence. Your read on the situation is comically wrong.

Blake Guyer: What’s your take on the Royals adding Raul Mondesi Jr. to their World Series roster?
Klaw: Joe Sheehan’s newsletter piece on it was great: if this is indeed a way to cover for Ben Zobrist possibly leaving if his wife goes into labor early, then Yost and company deserve a ton of credit for doing so and for handling it as they did. Because Mondesi has basically no way to help this team right now.

Alex: We know the Cubs will pursue Price and/or Zimmermann, but what do you think the likelihood of a trade is? Do they flip one of the kids for a more reliable bat or do they keep the band together and hope everyone just learns from experience?
Klaw: How about both? They have more bats than they can use. Castro and Baez can’t both be on this roster in 2016.

Pat: Did you notice anything last night that would lead you to believe de Grom was tipping his pitches? It seems like the Royals knew what was coming once he got into the stretch.
Klaw: Many people have said that, but I doubt I would have seen it even if I’d watched the game live, which I didn’t.

Greg: As much as I wish I could read through great novels like you seem to, I prefer comics. Easy quick stories but still complicated plots, great humor, and never ending twists. Did you as a kid or even now read comics?
Klaw: Never – neither comics nor “graphic novels.” I like words.

Scott: Is strikeout rate an improvable skill? Specifically, do you see the Cubs young hitters capable of improving that skill? If you don’t, how much will that hamstring them?
Klaw: The skill is the ability to make contact. It can be improved, although some of it (e.g., hand-eye coordination) is likely innate.

Greg: Assuming Daniel Murphy leaves the Mets, how do you see the infield shaping next year with Herrera, Flores, and Tejada. Would you play Herrera at 2B, Flores at SS with Tejada the back up? Do you see a FA infielder that you think fits with the Mets well?
Klaw: Flores is not an everyday shortstop. Neither is Herrera, though, so they may have to look outside – and may have to decide now if they believe Cecchini is likely to fill that spot for them in the next 24 months, before Rosario becomes a possibility for the major-league job.

Casey: What’s the ceiling for Patrick Wisdom? Is he just a bat off the bench or could be an everyday player?
Klaw: Bench or less.

Casey: Where will Alex Reyes start next season and could he be in the Cardinals bullpen or rotation by the end of the season?
Klaw: I assume he starts in AA or AAA and finishes in their rotation if healthy. He looked outstanding in the AFL but I can see some delivery issues that might have contributed to the shoulder problem.

Rick: Which white Ivy League graduate will replace AA in Toronto?
Klaw: The Ivy League bit really pisses me off, and I think I can go after it because I went to one of them fancy schools. It’s less about white – Harvard’s population is only a little less diverse than the US as a whole, at least in terms of African-American and Latino students – but more about privilege. Ivy League is not a good proxy for intelligence, and it isn’t even a great proxy for wealth, but it is a damn good proxy for privilege. It’s damn hard to get there unless you grew up in the right circumstances. And if we are closing the door as an industry on anyone who didn’t grow up in those circumstances, then I won’t be supporting the industry for much longer.

Alex D.: Did you happen to see Bubba Starling during your AFL visit? If so, have you seen anything different that would lead you to believe he can be an everyday major leaguer, or is the window closing?
Klaw: I did, and it was more of the same. He’s marginally better than he was in 2014, with more consistency to the swing, but not enough that I’d say he could hit enough to be a big leaguer.

Adam (PHX): What are your initial thoughts on Olivera? Needs to improve his approach? Defense to stick at 3rd?
Klaw: All of the above. Defense might not even stick at third, so that has to improve too.

Dino: What are your thought on Jemier Candeliaro and W. Conteras. Are we looking at Major league regulars?
Klaw: Yes on Contreras. Candelario hits enough to be a regular at 3b but is a 40 defender there.

Ray A.: What do you think of Christian Arroyo? Get a chance to see him during your Fall League trip?
Klaw: I did but not enough. I like the swing – I did when I saw him in the AFL in 2013 – and I don’t think he’s a shortstop.

David (San Diego): Gardenhire and Sofield are allegedly the two finalists for the manager’s job in San Diego. Any thoughts on these gentlemen?
Klaw: White guys! I don’t know anything about Sofield but Gardenhire was so bad tactically and showed zero improvement in Minnesota that I think I’d rather take the complete unknown (from a great organization).

Alex: Did I make a good choice?
Klaw: I’m behind anyone who chooses family, job satisfaction, or personal happiness over money or prestige.

Jon V: Cleveland allowed Shapiro to leave for a lateral move and now could lose a top front office guy (albeit to a promotion). Are they being “too easy” to work with?
Klaw: Not a lateral move (he was not involved in baseball ops in Cleveland) and maybe they were OK with him leaving too?

Jeff: Opinions on the Matt klentak hire?
Klaw: I think it indicates that MacPhail will be very heavily involved in baseball ops. Klentak is very sharp and has a strong resume, but I read his hiring as one of Andy choosing someone he knows and with whom he’s comfortable. Given this trend in so many front offices now, MLB has to bear down on hiring of Presidents because they’re becoming the de facto GMs – and I think there’s exactly one of color in any organization.

Anonymous: So, what coaching position will AA get with the Red Sox? But seriously have you ever seen anything like the Amaro move? The closest I can think of is Farrell himself. I believe he was Cleveland director of player development before becoming pitching coach. But that’s neither as high as GM nor as low as 1B coach.
Klaw: I love it. I never cared for Ruben’s work as GM, and my limited interactions with him weren’t positive, but it takes a lot of character to start relatively low on the totem pole (first base coaches don’t have a ton of responsibility) like he is.

Adam D.: Have you ever found yourself giving a prospect the benefit of the doubt simply because you’ve met them and like them as people? The other way around? More harsh on a guy because you know he’s a bad character guy? Any examples?
Klaw: No on the former. I would suck at my job if I did that stuff. A “bad character guy” who has a lousy work ethic or doesn’t listen to coaches is legitimately a worse prospect, though.

Randy Burgess: Since being signed, there has not been much discussion of Yadier Alvarez. Do players in his situation have to wait before working in the minors or do they workout at some kind of extended full-season training?
Klaw: He’s had trouble getting his visa to get to the US.

JR: Do you get a kick out of all these articles we see this time of year about how player X has made/cost himself $$ due to postseason performance? Do they really think GMs are going to toss out years of data based on a 10-18 game sample size (or even smaller for pitchers)?
Klaw: I bet that stuff used to happen 15-20 years ago but now it’s just filling column-inches for lazy writers.

Michael: Where does Cooper Johnson rank among amateur catchers?
Klaw: Among the best. It’s a bad crop, but he look like a legitimate potential first rounder.

Ryan: Is it weird to be at the AFL while the Series is going? i.e Conceptually strange at all to be so completely focused on the future at the cost of the present?
Klaw: I’m back from the AFL but no, it’s not weird to be there in October. It’s my job and one of my favorite trips of the year.

Ryan: As a Rangers fan, where should I set my expectations for Profar?
Klaw: I think he’s all the way back as a hitter. I have no idea what his throwing will look like once he’s cleared in the spring, and of course they don’t have an obvious place to play him.

Mike: If you were Bud Black, what would do on your first day on the job in Washington?
Klaw: Call Bryce Harper and make sure we’re on the same page as much as possible. He’s the center of the team right now, and while you’re his nominal ‘boss’ you want to start that relationship off on the right foot.

JA: Thanks for taking time to answer q’s on your vacation Keith! What have you seen out of Mac Williamson during the AFL? Is he ready to contribute in SF next season?
Klaw: Bat speed looked good, recognition of sliders wasn’t, seemed to be limited throwing (nursing an injury?), still a great athlete who runs well and should be very good in RF.

Austin: What do you make of the comment that Shapiro was upset with Anthopolous for trading so many prospects? Should Jays fans be worried about a decrease in payroll, or anything of the sort?
Klaw: If that’s true, and I don’t know if it is, it seems awfully shortsighted (ironically enough) given the mandate to win and the market’s desire for a playoff appearance. AA used those prospects the right way – to get high-impact players in return.

Ryan: You have a youngish child. Is it a problem that MLB has playoff games ending at 2:20 am EST on a school night?
Klaw: I can’t stay up that late for the end of a game. She wouldn’t either, assuming she cared about baseball.

Hermoine G: Is there any chance that baseball will address its anachronistic and self-defeating blackout policy. It seems that a sport with a declining viewer base doesn’t really want to arbitrarily limit demand.
Klaw: Yes. Really, the whole TV policy is going to have to change as more homeowners cut their cable/satellite subscriptions. We’re going to deal directly with content providers more frequently.

Keith: There’s currently 1 minority manager (Gonzalez) and he’s bad. I don’t buy that there’s just not any good/qualified minority managers, so are teams just failing in their searches and not giving enough minorities consideration?
Klaw: I think like hires like, and people hire people they already know. With whites all over the top of the game, you’re not getting much consideration of minority candidates below them because (I believe) the white execs just don’t know enough people of color within the sport.

Michael: What generally happens to the scouting and front office infrastructure after a move like AA’s? Will the scouts/executives move on and/or get fired?
Klaw: Over the next twelve months you’ll probably see a lot of them move on, either because they wanted to or because they’re not renewed.

Anonymous: You have to think this spells the end for Gibby in Toronto, no? I think he’s done a great job but he was AA’s guy
Klaw: I think it’s the end for him. Look for Shapiro to bring in someone he knows/likes – maybe my colleague Eric Wedge?

Ken: I was surprised with the number of relievers throwing high 90’s, low 100’s in AZ. What is holding them back from being on a big league roster? If they flame out, it seems the best strategy is to get them up and use as many of the bullets as you can.
Klaw: Lack of command and/or secondary stuff.

Tim: The Royals and Giants both strike out at very low rates. Given their recent success, does this weaken the “a strikeout is just another out” thinking by some FOs? I kind of see both sides.
Klaw: The strikeout is just another out thing is true from a direct run-expectancy perspective, but that’s not the same as saying that there’s no added value in making contact, because not all contact is created equal.

Evan: Am I crazy to think the Cubs should do nothing with Schwarber (as in keep him in left)? I have seen way too many people (on the internet granted, not to self: don’t go on the internet) ready to trash him as useless for the Cubs.
Klaw: Play him in LF. He’ll be fine and he’ll hit a lot of homers and everyone will be all YAY SCHWARBER again.

AJ: Hi Keith any thoughts on Chris Shaw? He had a good short season and showed some power the Giants seem to lack in their system
Klaw: Has power, power over hit though, and decent chance he’s a DH not a 1B in the long run.

Justin: Considering Toronto is the only team in Canada, which, while lovely, has a different exchange rate, tax rate, and an additional immigration component, is it harder for the Jays to find front office talent? What about coaching, scouting, and player talent?
Klaw: No, that’s just a myth. You pay very slightly more to cover the tax issues and you’re fine. Plus it’s an amazing city from April to September. As long as I don’t have to spend the winter there I love it.

John: Looking at the Nats’ selection process, Black is clearly a better choice than Baker. Do you think teams game the system with respect to which minority candidates they bring in? Like, “Ok, we checked the box by interviewing Manny Ramierez, but all of you can clearly see that he has some defects compared to our first choice.”
Klaw: There’s no question they do. In many processes it’s more important to get a minority than to get the right one.

Dan: Asking once more then I’ll leave you alone (respecting if you don’t want to answer and I don’t want to bug you) – are there any prospect annuals you would recommend to someone who doesn’t know much but enjoys your yearly ranking columns?
Klaw: No, sorry. I haven’t bought or used any books like that in years.

nb: Keith – Andrew Knapp tore things up in Reading after his promotion. Did you see him in Arizona? Do you see him or Afardo as the Phillies catcher of the future? Thanks.
Klaw: Alfaro. Knapp’s stat line doesn’t match the scouting report. You can beat him pretty easily at the plate.

Julius (Oakland): Have you seen Matt Manning in person yet? He seems to be getting a lot of helium in the fall showcases. Could he be working his way into first round consideration?
Klaw: Longenhagen saw him good this summer and I heard from a scout Manning was 91-95 with a good CB in Jupiter, so I think he’s a possibility for the first round – but it is SO early to make any bold statements on that topic.

Jeff: Keith I am sort of “getting back” into reading but generally prefer nonfiction. Of the little I have read of his, Malcolm Gladwell’s writing appeals to me. Have you reviewed his work in the past? General opinion of him?
Klaw: Tends to gloss over some details to craft a stronger narrative. Michael Lewis does the same; both are wonderful writers but their work doesn’t stand up that well to deeper scrutiny.

AJ: Hi Keith what are your thoughts on Tyler Beede? Is his low K rate a concern? Reports are that he’s lost some velocity. While he did well in high A, he also got hit quite a bit in AA
Klaw: He didn’t lose velocity per se but switched to a sinker and is now 88-89. He no longer misses bats and his control has gone backwards. I think there’s still a big-league starter in there, but the current iteration doesn’t look like one.

Kyle: At the time the Rangers were thought to “sell the farm” for Hamels. IMO I think they actually sold Williams on a high and that Brinson will be a better overall player especially defensively. Thoughts?
Klaw: I’ve always preferred Brinson, for defense, power, and makeup. Williams’ approach at the plate isn’t that good – he had a few weeks of walking and then went back to his old self – although he has made himself a viable major-league glove in CF.

Mike: Likelihood of Price back to Jays smaller now, or nil?
Klaw: It was always nil.

Travis: How high could Ian Anderson go in the draft next year? Between him and Whitley this year, it’s been an unusually strong couple years for upstate NY prep talents.
Klaw: He’s in that group with Manning of possible first-round HS arms, but it’ll all depend on how they pitch in the spring (and who stays healthy).

Bob: I know you were on the radio in Toronto talking about the AA situation. I have seen anything from you in writing yet. Do you have a short capsule you can share here in chat?
Klaw: I’m not going to write about it (I’m on vacaaaaaation) but TSN1050’s Twitter feed has the linnk to the audio.

Michael: Would you be in favor of preferred hiring for entry-level jobs? I’m white (and yes, had a fairly privileged upbringing), but I’d be fairly disappointed–I have tried pretty hard for years to get a job with a club–if someone got a job on less than merit.
Klaw: Plenty of meritorious candidates of all backgrounds out there. Supply far exceeds demand at the entry level.

Kevin: You were always high on the Royals system, Mouse and Hosmer especially. Is this what you envisioned out of them, or did they take a different path from your scouting, but still manage to turn into very good players
Klaw: Hosmer is getting closer to what I envisioned from him but I still think there’s more in there. Moustakas is right about at the realistic ceiling I expected – but both guys took longer than I would have guessed to get there.

Robert: Have you gotten a chance to see Joe Rizzo in action? Wondering where position you would project him as a Pro, not sure he can stay at 3rd base.
Klaw: Saw him a bunch in August, feel very good about his hit tool, not sure on his position either because I didn’t get many reps in the field.

Rob: You seemed to be down on Domingo Acevedo in your quick mention the other day. Does he even project as a MLB reliever at t his point, or am I reading too much into what you wrote?
Klaw: He’s a possible ML reliever. There are a lot of guys with his size and stuff kicking around the minors.

Steve: My problem with having a youngish child and the WS isn’t start/end times, it’s the fear that she’s paying attention to the commercials and is about to ask me what an erection is.
Klaw: Better that than she ask you what “daily fantasy” means.

Hugo Z: Did you mean that Mauricio Cabrera should literally throw all fastballs for the forseeable future? How will he make progress that way?
Klaw: That’s a bit of a straw man, in a couple of ways. He needs to make progress with his fastball command, and because his fastball has life at 98 mph (a little less at 102, natch), he can get away with throwing it an inordinately high percentage of the time.

Tom: Non-baseball question: are there any books that would crack your top 102 if you updated the list today?
Klaw: Looks like I’ve only tagged two that way – Middlemarch and Infinite Jest. https://meadowparty.com/blog/tag/klaw-103/

Sean: Keith, thoughts on why someone like Jason McCloud is not getting more traction for GM positions. Seems like a sharp guy and for those who care, fills the minortity quota.
Klaw: I am still floored that Milwaukee didn’t ask to interview him. He’s 90 miles away, in their division, hits all of their alleged criteria, and is a minority (Pacific Islander), yet they never called – perhaps because, as I’ve said before, they knew who they were going to hire before they went through the whole interviewing process.

Julia: I’m stunned by the number of books you review. You don’t seem to have a lot of down time. Are you catching up or do you really read a book a week?
Klaw: I’m on pace to read over 100 books this year. I think I read fairly quickly, at least when the book engages me. And when I fly, I read. I knocked out nearly all of Inherent Vice on the flights to Phoenix (that was such a great fucking book).

Ed: You often mention that Severino is a reliever for you. In an admittedly small sample size, I see why (physically) you say that. It’s all arm as you say, but his performance was the best on the team besides Tanaka. Do you mean you think he breaks down and they have to put him in the pen because he can’t come back and handle the load? I mean, what is the path by which he becomes a reliever now that he is clearly one of their top starters?
Klaw: Yes, that’s the main thing I mean. I don’t think he’ll ever have good fastball command – he has very good control, though – but the durability is the main concern. They were also very smart about limiting how deep he worked into games. I think guys like him and Reynaldo Lopez will have a hard time staying healthy as starters over multiple years. Perhaps I’m wrong on one of those specific guys, but if you give me, say, 20 minor league starters who throw like that, I would bet more than 3/4 of them end up in the pen. Maybe even that’s too low.

Kevin: Do you see anything in how Aaron Sanchez pitches that makes him so bad against lefties. I imagine he will go back to the rotation next season, but those splits were ugly.
Klaw: His stride is too short. He hasn’t been the same guy since that changed – I once rated him over Syndergaard because he had better raw stuff and just as easy a delivery. Once the delivery changed, the stuff got a tick worse and the effort level spiked.

Addoeh: Staycation then?
Klaw: We went to Disney for 3 days to do Food and Wine at Epcot. My daughter loves that and Soarin. There were some pretty good dishes this year – the pork belly at Brazil, the frozen chocolate mousse at the Chew Lab, the bulgogi at South Korea (although that wasn’t kimchi; those were pickles), the venison at New Zealand. I skipped the haggis though.

Michael: You often point out that people give jobs in baseball to their buddies, but then you praise Eric Wedge and Alex Cora, two people you are very close with. Are you falling into the same trap?
Klaw: No.

Greg: Thoughts on Luke Weaver?
Klaw: Reliever or very back-end starter. Below-average slider.

Dallas: With the World Series almost being over the countdown begins for the Gaylord Opryland hotel; feel the heat!
Klaw: I hate you.

sriram: andy green to sd, thoughts?
Klaw: I’m glad to see someone actually hire a manager who has managerial experience in the minors.

Corey: Speaking of starter/relievers, is Joe Kelly closer material ? if so, should Boston work him into that role or try to trade for Chapman to eventually replace Uehara ?
Klaw: I think that’s his best role in the long run.

Michael: If you were the Yankees though, would you gamble with Severino and keep him in the rotation–even if the odds, as you think, are against him sticking there?
Klaw: Hell yeah – i’ve never at any point advocated they put him in the pen.

Jason: Should left handed hitters spend more of their time in development hitting left handed pitching? It’s amazing how few of them actually hit lefties well.
Klaw: It’s kind of hard unless you know of a parallel universe to which they can travel and face lots of left-handed pitchers for practice.

Greg: Give Lackey a QO?
Klaw: Yes.

Tom: My mom went to Phoenix to visit her sister. I made her go to Cartel to get me some coffee. She texted me a picture of her at the place and brought me back beans. Just wanted to let you know your influence is spreading.
Klaw: I went three times last week, brought home a bag, and sent a bag to a coffee-snob friend of mine recovering from surgery. I miss that place.

Joe Mauer: Should I just catch again?
Klaw: Sure, traumatic head injuries are totally no big deal.

Mike: Why are there no catchers who throw lefthanded? Can it be done?
Klaw: We call them “pitchers.”

Jeff: How would you compare Jason groome to Brady Aiken?
Klaw: Not even close. Aiken was way, way more polished with better offspeed stuff.

JG: How do you not look like the love child of Rich Garces and Bob Wickman with your love of good food and drink?
Klaw: Portion control plus a decent metabolism, a weak stomach, and occasional exercise.

BK: Can the Jays, in fact, NOT have nice things?
Klaw: No, they can’t, but you can just by visiting the dish! Thanks for all of your questions this week – I’ll still be scarce on social media for the next few days but will have posts up here, and am back to work as usual on Monday. Enjoy the rest of the Series … it’s just about all we’ve got until spring training.

Klaw: Time to eat all your words, swallow your pride … Klawchat.

Noah: If you were the Phillies, who would you pick first overall in the 2016 draft?
Klaw: I don’t believe there’s a clear 1-1 candidate in this draft yet. I think if the draft were today it’d be Alec Hanson of Oklahoma, but this isn’t a Harper or Strasburg situation, and even Gerrit Cole, who I thought was the clear 1-1 in his class, didn’t emerge as that until March or so of his junior year.

Darren D.: Not to overreact, but would you give Marco Estrada a QO if you were Anthopoulos? Assuming Price and Buehrle are gone, the ’16 rotation right now is Stroman, presumably Dickey, Hutchison and I guess Sanchez?
Klaw: I probably would not, because I think regression for him is almost inevitable, but I wouldn’t say that it was the wrong choice if they did so. Same for Daniel Murphy – not going to be worth the QO, but I can’t tell you it’s a bad move, just not what I would do.

Mark: How good is Willson Contreras defensively?
Klaw: I’ve heard more than just playable or average. So far I’ve only seen him hit here – two doubles and a homer yesterday – and I love what I see at the plate.

Andrew: Do you ever see Ray Black becoming anything more than an interesting arm in the minors? The BB/9 issues are Crick-esque, and he’s a 25 year old in A+ ball, which makes me think he won’t be much in the majors, despite the great velocity
Klaw: He needs a viable second pitch and then I think they really have something. I’m not concerned about his age because I don’t think it matters for relievers and because he has a good reason (missed 2.5 years with injuries).

Mike in Nashville: THE METS KEITH THE METS! What’s the over/under on Mets World Series appearances the next 5 years?
Klaw: Two? I do not believe this is their last one in this run – they’re only getting better.

Chris Plouffe: Does Jacoby Jones have enough at the plate to be considered even a major league utility player?
Klaw: I don’t think so. Great athlete, could still figure it out.

Jay: Keith, can i get your thoughts on Alex Reyes’ first AFL start of the year and his outlook moving ahead?
Klaw: You can’t, because I wasn’t in Arizona yet, but I will see him in about three hours!

Bob: Did your wife also go to Harvard — or some other highly thought of institution?
Klaw: Nope.

JR: The full Kyle Schwarber was on display in the NLCS: great hitting, not so great defense. Is it something the Cubs keep living with and hope the defense improves, or do they look to trade him to an AL team for pitching?
Klaw: I think he ends up an average or fringe-average defender in LF. I doubt they trade him – the front office believes very, very strongly in his makeup.

Kraig: You have talked several times about players you have missed on, one way or another. Have you adjusted your evaluations based on any of thoses misses, for example did you find yourself over or undervaluing certain attributes? Or is it more than baseball is very hard and things just don’t always turn out like you expect?
Klaw: Both, no question. I pay a bit more attention to certain stats, to certain skills (e.g. questions around hand-eye coordination), worry less about body types, etc. You have to adjust, but you’ll also never get everything right in this business and IMO you can’t try to change your approach for every failure either.

Bob: In the past, someone would have grossly overpaid for Daniel Murphy, a decent regular 2B, based on October. Have GMs gotten smart enough that this is no longer the case?
Klaw: I think it’s much less likely now but not impossible, and there are always owners who want to make the big splash by saying “we signed the World Series hero!”

Julio: What level would you expect Eddy Julio Martinez to be at to start next season (assuming not some EXST for extra ABs, obviously)
Klaw: Probably low-A to see what his approach is like, because I don’t think anyone knows how advanced or raw he is in that regard.

SB: Thoughts on Dan Dakich calling you “lil” Keith in your exchange last night? Not sure what your size has to do with anything.
Klaw: That ended the conversation for me. I am short and slight and I don’t think I need to apologize for either.

TC: I’m excited you say the Mets are only getting better, but how do you see them reloading on offense in the offseason assuming Murphy/Cespedes are gone and the only other bat in the lineup headed for his prime is Conforto?
Klaw: Smith is coming reasonably quickly, Herrera should be a real asset on offense, Cecchini may be as well, Rosario is still a potential all-star. They’ll probably need to add one bat this winter to bridge the gap to those kids.

Logan: Was anybody else in on Dickey when the Mets looked to trade him? d’Arnaud I’m okay with, but including Thor really hurts.
Klaw: We have to give the Mets credit – I think every major trade Alderson and company have made has worked out near the top end of the possible outcomes, like a 90% outcome on just about every deal. I’m sure there’s some good fortune there but credit their pro scouts and analysts too.

alex: Trey Mancini– is he a potential regular, or a 4A guy?
Klaw: I think he’s a 4A guy.

Tim B: Regarding Estrada – isn’t he in line for one of the mid-rotation 4-$50 million contracts now? I think the QO is an easy decision in that case.
Klaw: Woof, I wouldn’t give him that. Maybe someone will and if Toronto thinks so then yes, they should absolutely offer it.

Chris, Larchmont: Thoughts on d’Arnaud defensively? He seemed to steal quite a few strikes with his pitch “presentation” skills in Cubs series.
Klaw: I’ve always believed in his defense – pitchers loved throwing to him, his receiving always looked great, and his throwing was always good. My main concerns on him have been the ability to stay healthy and the ability to get on base.

Bob: Speaking of Harvard, do you think that its reputation was an asset to you in job searching? Do you think that the education was actually better there?
Klaw: Reputation yes. Education, probably not.

Brian: Keith, if the Mets decide Matt Harvey is too much of a headache and decide to trade him. Could the Red Sox put together a package that doesnt include Betts or Bogaerts that could get him? Should they? Thanks!
Klaw: If I were Alderson I’d hold firm on one of those two kids, because I don’t think getting someone farther away like Devers makes quite as much sense for a team that is already a legitimate contender, but in the abstract, Devers and a second prospect of note would be reasonable for Harvey if you agree with me that Devers is a monster in waiting.

Jordan: Have you seen Lucas Sims yet in AFL? What’s the outlook for him moving forward? Completely confused as to his career projections after such a weird year/year-and-a-half.
Klaw: Going to miss him unfortunately – he’s pitching today in the other afternoon game, and I’m going to see Reyes instead.

EC: Have you been to Enrique Olivera’s new restaurant, Cosme, in NYC? Went to Pujol earlier this year and it was one of the best meals I’ve ever had.
Klaw: Yes, went there with Harold Dieterle and had the duck carnitas and the blue corn pavolva … both absolutely mind-blowing dishes.

Andy: Which would be the better job, Dodgers or Nationals? You could easily see both of them in the playoffs next season.
Klaw: Depends on what you want to do as manager. If you want more autonomy, Washington. If you want more input from the front office on moves, tactics, lineups, then LA. I’d actually prefer the latter myself – I want to be more armed with info so I can do a better job.

fats: why did every prospect writer basically miss on pillars defense?
Klaw: He wasn’t anywhere near this good in the minors.

Addoeh: Can a player add a clause to their contract that a team cannot give them a QO?
Klaw: Yes. Most free agents from NPB have no-arbitration clauses that gives them unrestricted free agency when their deals expire, even if it’s before six years of service. Some Cuban FAs have done the same. No reason a US-born player couldn’t do the same.

Jon: Keith, in the baseball cards with your “game used” clothing, what was it that was used? Tie? Shirt?
Klaw: Shirt. Didn’t fit and it was kind of loud so I thought it would still ‘pop’ a bit on the card. I wear too much monochromatic stuff and I didn’t think anything plain would look good on the card.

Dan: Do you believe that players can be on a hot streak? When someone like Murphy is on a hot streak like he is, do you attribute that to small sample size (i.e., he’s just getting luck and bunching his hits together) or do you think he’s actually seeing the ball and swinging the bat appreciably better?
Klaw: A player can be on a “hot streak” in the sense that he’s performed appreciably better than his norm or true talent level in a short stretch, but it has no predictive value. It has narrative value though!

Joe: Do you see Arrietta staying this good? I mean he’s 29 years old already and just finally had his first 30 start season.
Klaw: I see no reason to argue that he won’t.

Mike: Can outfielders be taught to run better routes to the ball?
Klaw: Yes, and I think some fielders can learn better reads – I know I’ve seen players improve in that regard – but neither is easy. You can’t just wave your hand and say “he’ll get better.” It takes the right coach(es) and the right player makeup too.

j: Your thoughts on Domingo Acevedo? Know he throws really hard, but from just watching his delivery (front side opens, max effort) is he destined for the bullpen long-term?
Klaw: Haven’t seen yet – he’s out here – but it does sound from what scouts have told me like he’s a power reliever with big upside in that role.

Young: What do you think of Braxton Davidson so far? Seems to have very impressive discipline.
Klaw: Yes and there’s power in there too. Probably 1B only in the long run so the standard is high for his offense but I do like his chances – thought it was a very good pick where they got him last year.

Dave: Do the Dodgers sign one of the top FA starters?
Klaw: I think so – I think they have to do so even if they retain Greinke. What’s their rotation otherwise? Kershaw, Wood, and, uh, I mean, well, McCarthy will be back at some point…

Jordan: No question here, just follow-up: don’t blame you at all for going to see Reyes. Also, thanks for doing this! It’s great to experience a little piece of your job/interaction with fanboys like us.
Klaw: You’re welcome and thanks for the question. I’m bummed that I won’t see Sims, for myself and because I know Atlanta fans wanted me to see him, but rain on Tuesday killed his game (but not the one on the other side of town, so I raced across Phoenix and got eight innings of the alternative) and he ended up pushed back to Thursday.

Rob: Do you think Jameson Taillon can put it back together and recover enough to become a top starting prospect again?
Klaw: Yes, I do. He’s had some rotten luck but nothing that would prevent him from coming back and eventually working as a starter. Look at how much time Matz missed … he’s still a viable mid-rotation starter.

Bob: IS the philly Cornelius Randolph love justified? he doesn’t seem to have one loud tool
Klaw: That boy can hit. I don’t know where he plays but the hit tool is “loud.”

Andy: On your ESPN page, there used to be a wonderful spot where it linked to your preseason prospect lists, your midseason list, and other various useful prospecty things. As far as I can tell that is no longer there. Can you please let the people who re-did (ruined) the site know that there may be times in October where that sort of information would be nice to be able to access quickly?
Klaw: Unfortunately the redesign did not play well with the formatting of lists. I was told a while back that they’d be doing some retrofitting to restore those, but I know everyone is already rather well taxed by ‘current’ work and I would never expect that to be a top priority. The people you don’t know at ESPN work very hard so that people like me can just do what we do and not have to worry about getting stuff formatted and posted and linked.

Sarah: Have you ever seen a pitching staff with as much stuff as this Mets one?
Klaw: Not off the top of my head. People sometimes complain on the twitters when I post a remarkable velocity number for a pitcher, saying velo isn’t everything … well, no, it’s not everything, but it’s still pretty fucking nice to have.

Bob: Most prognosticators believed that KC would suffer enough regression this year to probably miss the playoffs. Now they’re one game away from the WS which qualifies as a successful season. What’s your take on why they were able to exceed expectations.
Klaw: Development of their young bats, especially Hosmer and Moustakas.

Jake: Wanted to thank you for the Samurai review – it’s now one of our favorites. We’ve played 7 Worlds with 3 people but usually it’s just my wife and I. Worth trying out the 2-player version, or should we stick with the usual 2-person fare (Splendor, Dominion, TTR, Lost Cities, The Camel Game)?
Klaw: There’s a two-player standalone game called 7 Wonders: Duels coming soon. I’m working on getting a review copy.

Ed: Can Duffy keep up a similar level of play at 3rd for the Giants?
Klaw: Probably – the power is a bit surprising, but I spoke to the area scout who signed him for SF who talked a bit about why Duffy showed no power as an amateur (injuries and of course the terrible home park at Long Beach were major reasons) so maybe he can be a 10-12 HR guy going forward.

Andy G: Have you ever read A prayer for Owen Meany?
Klaw: I have not – never read any Irving.

Patrick: Do you see Teheran bouncing back to his 2013-14 type seasons? Regardless he’s a horse who goes out there every 5th day. Three seasons in a row averaging 30+ starts/200+ innings.
Klaw: I don’t have a good explanation for what went wrong this year, and I think I’d need that to answer your question fairly.

JG: Have you gotten to see any of the Twins prospects in the AFL?
Klaw: I’ve seen all six teams already, about half the starting pitchers and maybe a little more than half the relievers, so yes – but it will help me if you have a question on a specific player because I don’t have my notes or rosters in front of me as I do this. (I do have a crepe with pork belly and maple bacon in front of me, though.)

Matthew Sciannella: Currently at the hospital while my wife is in labor. Suggestions?
Klaw: Uh … put the phone down?

Robert: Can you understand why the heck Ausmus is returning to the Tigers? While his team didn’t have enough talent, he seemed to make things worse.
Klaw: I can’t. After he left Norris (best wishes to him in his fight against cancer) out there for nearly 60 pitches in that one inning, he should have been fired on the spot. Like, you don’t even get to use our showers. Just pack your knives and go.

Rob: It is my understanding that clauses to prevent a QO are not allowed. This is from page 90 of the CBA on MLB’s website: ” A Club and Player (or their designated representatives) shall not enter into any agreement, understanding or contract, or make
Klaw: Ah, my mistake. That would not proscribe such clauses for NPB/KBO/Cuban free agents, because those are not “qualifying offer” clauses but disallow offers of arbitration. Thank you for the correction.

Jesse: Any new places to eat you have enjoyed Phoenix during your AFL trip?
Klaw: Welcome Chicken (second visit but still great), Noble Eatery, La Piazza al Forno all great. EVO was kind of a disaster.

Dan: So many Mets fans, and reporters, are giving Omar Minaya all the credit for the Mets this year but completely ignore the collapsing teams he was responsible for in 2007 and 2008 and the horrible teams in 2009-2014. Also left the farm system in ruins, which Sandy has done a great job replenishing. Do you know why people are trying to give Omar credit and was he actually a good GM and I’m just missing something? I get he drafted Harvey and deGrom and Matz but he didn’t develop any of those guys.
Klaw: You can give an old GM or regime some credit while acknowledging mistakes too. I think Omar and his people deserve just that – some credit, but not the bulk of it. Sandy didn’t inherit a winner, but there were assets already in the system around which he (and his group) built a winner. I said on Buster’s podcast this morning that this is actually a good baseball story: they weren’t built with money, like you might expect a large-market team to be, but through good scouting and player development.

Sage: What offseason moves do you see the Cubs making?
Klaw: Add a starter, maybe two (one higher-end, one for depth), use some of that infield logjam to acquire pitching help.

Matt: Hi Keith. I’ve gotten some good board game recommendations from you, thanks. I’m wondering if you grew up playing video games, or if board games were always your thing. Take care.
Klaw: I liked boardgames as a kid but there weren’t really many good ones – it was Monopoly, Risk, Scrabble, and other games that I just don’t like now. I played some video games but was never that hardcore about it – I didn’t have a Nintendo or Playstation or anything.

TedT: Since the Red Sox have pipeline of major and minor league centerfielders (Bradley, Betts, Margo, Benintendi), who do you think the Sox should keep and to trade to get some pitching?
Klaw: I’d work to use JBJ in a trade because of those four he has the lowest upside, yet his trade value should be reasonably high because he’s ready right now. There’s significant value in the ability to say to another GM “I’m giving you a capable centerfielder who’ll earn just $1.5 million over the next three years for you.”

John: What do you do if you’re the Rockies? Trade Cargo and Nolan? Just completely blow it up, grab as many power arms as possible and hope a few make it? They are many seasons away from competing no matter what they do.
Klaw: Trade CarGo for sure. Arenado … god, there’d be a riot in Denver, wouldn’t they? But you’re right in that they’re unlikely to be, say, a 95-win team while he’s still there.

Ryan: Do you think Atlanta’s Maricio Cabrera will ever find enough command and control to be a solid reliever in the bigs? He’s been clocked as high as 102 mph.
Klaw: Yes, I do, and BTW I was one of the folks who got the 102 reading yesterday (twice). He gave up two hits in his inning, both on offspeed pitches. He should just throw the fastball, which has some sink on it, until hitters show they can catch up to it.

Andy: Assuming Greinke is the most sought after starter on the market, who’s #2?
Klaw: Price. Or Price is 1 and Greinke is 2. Take your pick – both are bona fide aces.

Ridley Kemp: Do you think Jacob Nottingham can stay behind the plate, and if not, does hit hit enough to play anywhere else? P.S. Thank you for continuing to sow the seeds of love and do these chats on your site. You’re the highlight of most of my work weeks.
Klaw: I do think he can stay behind the plate, never great but certainly playable there.

Rory: Word on the playground is the Marlins waited on their managerial search to see what Mattingly’s fate would be. Given the history of that position, is it fair to assume a likely highly-sought guy like Mattingly would take ANY job other than that one?
Klaw: Two reasons he might take that job. One, I’m not sure a better offer materializes this winter for Donnie, and he may just choose to take the bird in the hand. Two, the Marlins have a reputation within the industry for paying staffers extremely well, and it’s hard to turn down big money even if you know you might not love the working conditions. I couldn’t do it, but I would never tell you you’re wrong to do so.

Andrew: who’s closer to cooperstown for you? Greinke or Price?
Klaw: Trick question: Neither, because Cooperstown actually isn’t close to anything.

Robert: At what point does Price’s sky high postseason ERA over 7 starts enter a GM’s analysis especially when this post season it’s actually been worse?
Klaw: Any GM who considers that is stupid and will get what he deserves, which in this case is not having David Price.

Kyle: What do the Twins do with Sano going into next year? Dh again, move plouffe and plug him at 3b, or (the unlikely) do something with mauer and put him where he belongs at 1b?
Klaw: I say DH him. Mauer’s not going anywhere, and I think Sano would be below average enough at 3b that they’d end up looking for another solution anyway. Their surfeit of centerfielders has to generate some trade conversations this winter, right? Use one of them to get a better starting pitcher, or maybe to acquire a third baseman who provides more defense and settles Sano in at DH.

Leo: Do you get more or less questions through this form of chat as opposed to the old ESPN model?
Klaw: I think fewer in total but of a much higher quality.

Maple Bacon: Can a pitcher ever develop better control, as in can Nick Burdi learn to throw the ball over the plate?
Klaw: Yes, but it involves a number of variables, from learning to repeat a delivery to developing the mental skills required to execute something consistently and to learn to maintain an approach even when, say, you throw that ‘perfect’ pitch and the hitter still makes good contact.

Bob: Am I right in thinking that AFL includes players who have already been on the Major League team, players who are just about ready to get there, and players who are a couple of years away? All there for different reasons? If so, then it must be challenging trying to scout the player while ignoring the competition.
Klaw: Yes, you are correct, so the focus here is more on tools/skills. I usually note the pitch type when writing down what a hitter did, good or bad, so later I remember, “yes, he hit that homer, but it was a hanging slider” or I can see, “hey, I have him swinging and missing on four fastballs up from same-side pitchers.”

Drew: Do you think Matt Williams has any future as a hitting coach?
Klaw: I promise I’m not picking on the guy, but do we have any idea what he actually does well?

Mark: How soon can Wilson Contreras get a look in Chicago? Montero’s second half and playoffs worries me greatly.
Klaw: I think he can be part of the catching solution there next year, not right away but over the course of the whole season.

John: I have a 9 year-old son who loves baseball and wouldn’t hesitate to play it year-round. I’m inclined to work other sports into the mix for the sake of diversity of muscle movements. Any thoughts or advice?
Klaw: The new consensus among sports medicine folks is that mixing up sports and activities is better for kids’ long-term health than early, year-round specialization.

Andy: Is it weird that I saw a tweet about Adam Miller and thought it was the ex-Indians prospect and I was glad he got his stuff back?
Klaw: Nope, I did the same thing earlier this year when I first heard that he was bumping 100 mph.

Aubrey: Do the Astros have both DH and 1B answered for 2016 with White/Reed (or at least give them legitimate chances to fail)? They should be much better than Gattis/Carter, right?
Klaw: I believe so, and that’s an org that isn’t afraid to play the rookie over the veteran. Maybe Reed starts in AAA but both guys should get significant playing time in Houston in 2016, because that will make the club better.

Brian: Local media in Chicago is already speculating that Kris Bryant will be moved to the outfield next year. But if he can handle 3rd, which the limited data we have on him says he probably can, isn’t there where he would provide the most value? It’s easy to shore up an OF spot than a 3rd base spot, right?
Klaw: Buster asked me this on the podcast too – I think he can play third. Good arm, good hands, range might be a bit limited, but he has instincts and is another great kid with a good work ethic. He’ll never be worse than “adequate” there. FWIW, I like his chances to stay there more than Gallo’s.

Shawn: I think Gabe Kapler and Alex Cora would be good managers
Klaw: I agree on both. Kapler got unbelievable raves when he managed a year in Boston’s system, and you all know I’m a fan of Cora’s. Cora may get a job before LA gets a chance to talk to him, though. LA should also interview Dave Martinez, since Andrew has the relationship with him, and, having coached under Maddon, Martinez should be familiar with the front office-heavy model they’d like to employ.

Aubrey: Did Correa show more power as a rookie than you’d anticipated? How long would you say he should stay at SS?
Klaw: If you’d asked me when he was called up, I would have guessed a lower HR total than he put up, but I knew he had power potential. I’d give him 3-4 years at short, although it’s possible they’ll end up with a better defensive option who pushes him to third even though he’d still be average or better at shortstop.

Andy: Would the Cubs push for a vote on the NL adding a DH in this year’s winter meetings? Between Schwarber, Baez, and Vogelbach they would be able to exploit it better than most teams.
Klaw: That’s a CBA matter and MLB doesn’t want it because it’ll raise player costs.

Frank: Which side of the pitching rubber would you suggest for a guy with good sink and run? I think being on the far glove side would create better angles to hit the outside corner against oppo sided hitters and gives you more of the plate to work with against same sided hitters. My buddy thinks you should be on the arm side, because you can get inside on same sided hitters much easier. What say you?
Klaw: No clear answer. I prefer if guys don’t throw across their bodies, primarily for health reasons but also because it’s hard to locate to your glove side like that, but if the pitcher is more comfortable there and can indeed locate to the other side, then let him stand on the arm side. It has to be individualized and you only make a change when one is required. This is why I’ve been after Showalter for moving Gausman to the other side of the rubber – there was NO GOOD REASON to make that change, and the results have been negative.

Bill: Does the fact that the Mets made the WS change your opinion at all about the deadline moves they made? I know you weren’t a fan of the clippard/ces deals at the time…but while process is important results have to count for something too. Thoughts?
Klaw: No, it doesn’t. One, the Mets couldn’t know at the time of the deals that they would make the WS – they could consider it as a possibility, but the odds of such an outcome were quite low on July 31st. Two, they clearly overpaid for Clippard, and I think they overpaid for Cespedes based on his market at that time – and they couldn’t have known that he’d turn into Barry Bonds for a month. However, is that even if they don’t win the World Series, I don’t think anyone there is going to look back and regret the trades even if Fulmer becomes a number two starter – the process wasn’t great, but the outcome was. It renders what I’m saying a bit academic – fans shouldn’t really care about that while they’re celebrating, should they?

Camden: Does whichever pro scout recommended Sam Dyson to target in trade for the Rangers deserve a raise?
Klaw: Yes, but then again, all scouts deserve raises. Those positions don’t pay very well relative to what they ask scouts to do in terms of giving their time to their jobs. Speaking of time, I’m out of it if I want to get to BP up at Scottsdale. Thank you all, as always, for all of your questions and for reading. I’ll write something up on the AFL as soon as I get another chunk of free time, and I’ll try to work in another chat next Thursday. And happy Alex Reyes Day!

Klaw:Started with a pow, and I’m gonna end it with a bang. Klawchat.

Ray Michael: As a Giants Fan this Eddy Julio Martinez thing is just so strange. What is the latest you are hearing? Who has the edge the Cubs or the Giants?
Klaw: He has an agreement with the Cubs that should be binding, as he didn’t sign the term sheet with the Giants … and I know there’s a disagreement over whether the Giants’ term sheet reflected their initial financial offer to the player.

A Canadian: Have you ever seen anything less Canadian (or generally unedifying) than Toronto fans raining debris and abuse onto the field?
Klaw: Idiots are idiots regardless of nationality, unfortunately.

Jim (on the ledge): Okay, Keith. Washington’s first managerial interview is with Dusty Baker. I’m hoping it’s just a “courtesy” interview, although saying he’s “better than Williams” doesn’t reassure me. Granted the Prior/Wood issues were over 10 years ago, and lineup construction can be overrated, but still, how worried should I be?
Klaw: He’s absolutely not worth hiring. It would be a dumb PR-oriented move that would be more likely to set the franchise back rather than forward, and with the Mets ascendant and only likely to improve from here – it’s pretty easy to forecast them as a 95-win team in 2016 with only marginal changes – the Nats would be shooting themselves in the face by hiring someone so regressive.

Nick: Hi Keith…was Matt Arnold a good choice as Asst. GM for the Brewers? Does his background and/or strengths and weaknesses compliment David Stearns’ in your opinion?
Klaw: Nice guy, extremely well-regarded by his colleagues and the scouts who worked for him in Tampa, but the last part of your question does address one of my questions too – are they too similar in background and philosophy?

Will: Now that Corey Seager has graduated, is JP Crawford the best prospect in baseball?
Klaw: Seager has not graduated; I use rookie eligibility on my lists, so players like Seager and I believe Steven Matz remain eligible despite having some major-league service.

George: Which player would you say most inexplicably barrels-up baseballs (hits the ball hard), in spite of poor plate discipline and/or swing mechanics?
Klaw: Have you seen Hunter Pence hit?

Johnny (Billerica, MA): Would you say that Anderson Espinoza is the most highly touted pitching prospect after Urias?
Klaw: Highly touted is a subjective term; he’s certainly receiving tremendous praise and publicity for a 17-year-old, but neither of those guys is the top pitching prospect in the minors right now.

Derek: What’s your favorite wintertime braise?
Klaw: Favorite is short ribs with red wine and dried figs, but that’s a once or twice a winter thing because they are so unhealthful (and I need to at least pay attention to that stuff).

Derek: True or False: Trea Turner should be on the Nats opening day 25 man roster.
Klaw: True.

Kingpin: I know you wrote an Insider piece on Eddy Julio Martinez, but I don’t have Insider access. (I’m a single dad with 3 teenage sons, so I have incredibly limited disposable income. Thanks for continuing the chats for those of us who can’t afford Insider but really love your work.) Any way, how refined is Eddy Julio’s game? What is his MLB ETA?
Klaw: I appreciate your honesty … I’ve had folks come to me at games and openly mock Insider, saying they could pay for it but refuse to on philosophical grounds, which strikes me as a rather bizarre place to make an ethical stand. Anyway, I don’t have any idea of his plate discipline, but I love his swing, body, and athleticism, and would probably start him in low-A with an eye toward a quick promotion if he shows his approach is advanced.

Dana: Should the Yankees go all in on Jason Heyward even though they have Gardner/Ellsbury/Beltran in the OF next year?
Klaw: Beltran can barely move in RF; you could argue they have Judge almost ready for that spot, but of course you’d rather have Heyward out there. I think it depends more on what they intend to do with Ellsbury; if he’s really this bad a player now, does he become a contract to dump, in which case they could put Gardner in CF and Judge in LF?

Robert: Was Matheny ignoring Siegrist’s reverse splits against lefties the worst managing decision of the Divisional Round?
Klaw: This has been such a huge debate – whether there’s such a thing as a LHP with a reverse split – but from a scouting POV it’s pretty evident that a lefty who has a good changeup/split and almost never throws breaking balls is going to have a reverse or neutral split. Matheny treating him like a lefty specialist is the mistake, because all available evidence, statistical and scouting, says that Siegrest is NOT that.

Jock Thompson: Glad you’re over here and restriction-free on your opinions. And thanks for reminding us of these chats and transcripts over on Facebook. Though we don’t always agree, yours is one of the more valuable on-line voices in informing my baseball opinions.
Klaw: I wouldn’t expect anyone to “always agree” with me, but if readers think I make good arguments then I’m happy.

Christopher: What is the greatest threat to the future of humanity? Climate change, or bat flips?
Klaw: Democrats say … nope, wait, not going there.

John: Why do you so easily want to give away your second amendment right? There are already thousands of gun laws. It’s a slippery slope when citizens give away rights.
Klaw: The slippery slope fallacy is a fun one. Anyway, your bigger error is assuming that your interpretation of that right mirrors mine or everyone else’s. Haven’t we all spent 200 years arguing over what exactly that right entails – whether the “well-regulated militia” part matters, and whether it proscribes any restrictions on the types of guns citizens may own?

Dan: Do the Cubs have another step forward ahead of them? As a Pirates fan I’m afraid they are going to get squeezed between some good (and somewhat lucky) Cards teams and a potential dynasty Cubs.
Klaw: Yes, I think they do. I think they’ll go after a top starting pitcher FA this winter, and there are still a few prospects on the farm who haven’t reached the point where they’re widely known yet.

Alan: Three of four series go to game five. Homeruns that still haven’t landed. Awesome pitchers being awesome. Yet, i haven’t heard a “fyeahbaseball” in forever. C’mon Keith! it’s for the children! (Provided the children are 35 year old men who absolutely should be paying more attention in this meeting they’re in right now)
Klaw: To be honest, and I know this won’t be a terribly popular opinion, I thought the Jays/Rangers’ game sucked. The Rangers took the lead on a freak play – correctly adjudicated by the umps, by the way – that led to idiot fans throwing garbage. Then the Jays tie the game on three errors before Bautista does that thing he does so well. The whole inning took something like 40 minutes and it wasn’t 40 minutes of baseball, but like 15 minutes of talking and arguing and cleaning up. It’s just an aesthetic opinion, but that’s not the kind of game I’m hoping to see in the playoffs.

Adam: Question the world has been debating, unless you are party-killer Sam Dyson: Better bat flip – Yo or Joey Bats?
Klaw: Bautista. There was some serious fuck-you in that flip.

Brint: What is the likelihood that Aaron Altherr becomes an above average regular in OF? Is his defense athleticism enough to overcome his potential shortcomings as a hitter?
Klaw: Very low.

J: Hey now! Do you think Arcia and Crawford break camp with the Brewers and Phils? Or start @ AAA?
Klaw: Both AAA. No reason for either team to promote those players too soon.

Michael: Would you say that fouling off a tough pitch rather than putting it in play softly is a skill or just luck?
Klaw: It’s a skill, IMO.

aaron, houston texas: With astros bullpen being terrible, does that change your thinking on “pay for relievers”?
Klaw: No – they paid for two of those key guys, Neshek and Gregerson. The problem was that they didn’t get guys who miss bats, not in the free agents nor from their own system. They need to figure out which of the hard-throwing prospects is better suited to the bullpen – Feliz, Velazquez, McCullers, etc.

Donnie: Who do you have winning the LAD-NYM series. Your response in last week’s chat conflicted with your ESPN article. Thanks.
Klaw: OH MY GOD I CHANGED MY MIND ON SOMETHING HOW DARE I DO THAT

Nicholas: Thoughts on the Jerry Dipoto hire?
Klaw: Strong choice. Surprised he hasn’t made more changes below him, though.

Kent: Was rangers 7th inning collapse in your opinion the biggest “choke” in post season history?
Klaw: One, no, and two, I hate using that word for the way it implies some kind of character failure. It’s baseball. One team will lose and there will probably be a mistake or two along the way.

KC: Can you explain why you were ok with the bunt in the Toronto game?
Klaw: I’m not exactly sure which bunt you mean. Didn’t Goins bunt vs a LHP at some point? He’s an automatic out vs lefties anyway.

Jim Boden: Hi keith. Khris davis for Aiken and Bobby bradley. Fair enough for both brewers and indians? Indians need a cheap right-handed slugger(empty DH slot) and brewers need high ceiling prospecrs. What do you think?
Klaw: Good grief that’s a stupid trade for Cleveland.

JR: I know I shouldn’t be, but I’m still shocked at the lack of urgency managers will show in important playoff games. For example, it was obvious Mchugh didn’t have his best stuff last night. No way he should’ve started the 5th (and bringing in Fiers to start the 5th would’ve probably been much more comfortable for him). Same thing in Cubs/Cards game 3. It was obvious Wacha was ineffective. Matheny had the opportunity to pinch hit for him in 4th and turn it over to bullpen but sent him out to hit and he got hit hard in the 5th.
Klaw: The Wacha situation was worse because of that AB and because that game was still very much in reach. Had Hinch pulled McHugh after 4 for Walter Johnson they would still have lost that game.

Chris G.: I know you work for a cable network, but it seems really stupid to me that I can’t stream the play-offs live online because I don’t have cable and blackout rules apply in my area. Why won’t the MLB take my money?
Klaw: I agree completely. MLB has to adjust to the increasing number of households who are ditching cable/satellite. I may be joining that number this winter.

Corey: Boston seems to have a group of almost-but-not-quite players who are blocked at AAA – Cecchini, Brentz, Coyle, Marrero, Brian Johnson, etc Do you retain as taxi squad insurance or do any of them have any trade value?
Klaw: I think you shop all of those guys who have value – that’s Marrero, Cecchini, Johnson (if healthy), Holt, JBJ – particularly targeting high-end arms.

Ben: Between the Mets and Dodgers, which team would you say the Cubs have a better shot against?
Klaw: Probably Dodgers. BTW, I didn’t clarify my answer above – when I actually sat down to write my real predictions (which aren’t worth much anyway), I thought the matchup favored the Mets much more than it did at first glance, which is why I picked them to win the series in four. Those odds change a bit now with Greinke pitching again and the game in LA, but I’d still give a very slight edge to NY.

Ethan: RE: last night’s freak play – time to revisit the rules around live balls now that the batter can’t leave the batter’s box? Doesn’t it seem like a return ball hitting the batter will happen a lot more now?
Klaw: I think we’d need to see it happening a lot, or batters trying to sneak the bat out there a little bit to make something like this happen, before we change the rules. It was weird, but it is extremely rare, and the umps got the call right. I do wish Dale Scott hadn’t confused the issue by calling time, but oh well.

Cody: Do you think Javy Baez has raised his stock enough that he can return something interesting this off-season or would the Cubs still be selling low? More likely Baez or Castro is moved or neither?
Klaw: I don’t have a great sense for the market for Castro, but I think I’d rather move him and roll the dice on Baez pulling a Chris Davis. I doubt Castro becomes a star, but he’s very valuable because of his contract. Baez has a higher bust probability but he could become a star much more easily.

Hugo Z: Why DFA Gattis if you can find a trade partner in the AL?
Klaw: What kind of trade value would he have? There wasn’t much of a market last winter, and now it’s even more evident how limited a player he is. I think I said this elsewhere, but he would have been valued more highly and more valuable in fact twenty years ago, when teams had larger benches (and didn’t care about OBP).

TJ: Looking at the number of effective relievers in the majors who failed as starters (both setup guys and closers like Britton, Andrew Miller, etc), is investing in failed starters as bullpen arms be a better strategy than paying big money for “proven” relievers? Any help my beloved Detroit Tigers can get in building a decent bullpen would be appreciated…
Klaw: No question. How many guys drafted and developed as relievers turn out to be great relievers in the majors, at least as a percentage of the guys who were drafted and developed as relievers? The failure rate there is incredibly high, I think in large part because those guys were already relievers (in college, usually) for a really good (that is, bad) reason.

Corey: Do you not trust in JBJ to be a starter compensating for dry spells with an A+ glove or Boston has enough OF options that he’s expendable ?
Klaw: More that they have so many other options.

Gavin: Would you give a QO to Span or Wieters? I assume both teams would hope that neither would accept, regardless, correct?
Klaw: Span, if our medicals said he was OK, then yes. Wieters, probably yes because I doubt Boras would want him to take it, but also a healthy 2016 from him is probably worth something close to that $15.8 million anyway.

KC: Would you take Schwarber 1-1 in hindsight or still too early to tell?
Klaw: Way too early to even suggest that.

ds: RE: Relievers – Which is why the Twins strategy of drafting RP’s and trying to turn them in SP’s makes me cringe.
Klaw: Well it just hasn’t worked. They took Nick Burdi, who legitimately throws 100 mph, last June, and he stunk this year. They took another guy who threw 100 with awful mechanics (Cederoth) and are trying to make him a starter. Then a round or two later they took a more unheralded college reliever in Jake Reed and he’s the best of the lot.

Sal: Keith – thoughts on the mets turning degrom and thor into 3-4 inning pitchers for this game? Let them go all out for those 3-4 innings each and only have them face the lineup 1-2 times through. Both of them threw a lot of pitches in their first start and a shorter outing could maximize their effectiveness…
Klaw: Oh I’m all in on that. Yes, I understand it will cost you one start from Thor in the NLCS, but 1) you have to get there first and 2) it’s not like Matz is Derek Holland. He’s a hell of a fourth option.

JQ: What is your overall strategy for camel acquisition/dealing in Jaipur? Beyond clearing the market when my opponent has a full hand so that they cannot steal all the high-value goods, I am not sure I know when to go after them. For dealing them, is it worth a turn/resources to exchange them for multiple low-value goods or do you stick to dealing them only for silver/gold/diamonds? Thanks K-Law
Klaw: I love that game but I don’t know that I have a clear strategy for that. I try to focus more on the three higher-value goods, both acquiring them and preventing my opponent from doing so.

Chris: If you’re the Dodgers, do you resign Kendrick this offseason or give the job to Peraza? I assume they’re keeping Seager at SS and Turner at 3B.
Klaw: Peraza is the best SS of the group, but doing that would probably require Turner to go back to 2b, where he wasn’t very good in limited MLB time. I’d like to at least see what that looks like before committing to Seager at SS, as I don’t think he’s an average defender there in the long run.

Justin (DC): May I make a plug for Acquire? It has become our go to game for new gamers, and its been very popular. I don’t know if it is because everyone we introduce it to has (fake) fond memories of monopoly or we’re all lawyers (and thus megalomaniacs), but its been a popular go to for us.
Klaw: One of the only classics that holds up well. It’s been on my annual game rankings every year.

Justin (DC): What are your thoughts on the valuation of draft picks and international money? For example, at what price point does a trade or free agent become worth the lost draft pick/international slot?
Klaw: Two thoughts. One, if MLB tries to combine these two, or even create an international draft, they’re going to have a hellish PR issue on the gap between the values of drafted kids (US/Canada/PR) and Latin American kids from everywhere but PR. Two, it depends on two factors that prevent a generalization here – where that lost pick is (pick 11 is worth a lot more than pick 25 in expected return) and where that team is in the success cycle (win now vs still building). In conclusion, don’t give up a pick for Michael Cuddyer.

nb: Keith – I’ll be in Phoenix the weekend of the AFL All Star Game. Will you be there?
Klaw: Nope, going Monday the 19th through Friday the 23rd.

Mike: It appears we are seeing a lot more starters who throw 95+ for 100+ pitches than ever before. What is this attributable to? Is it possible to teach velocity?
Klaw: Pitchers have been getting bigger and stronger for a while now, and I think we select them for velocity and then develop them to do just what you said. The results may include the spike in elbow injuries, of course.

John: Thought on Bogar as favorite for M’s job
Klaw: I don’t know if he’s the favorite – there really isn’t a favorite in these things, right? Someone gets the job and there’s no second place – but I like that he has substantial managerial experience in the minors. We’re seeing more candidates with that experience now – him, Nevin, and Alex Cora, whom I know well and recommend highly.

Fredo in Tahoe: Hi Keith, an ambitious three questions. 1. Any insight into the Dodgers jettisoning Engle and the International Staff? Thought they were well regarded. 2. Have you ever read Metropole by Kermode? 3. Pour over coffee? Aeropress?
Klaw: 1. Yes, limited insight, but I’ve heard they felt they were paying too much for international talent and not getting anywhere near the return outside of Puig and Urias. 2. No, sorry. 3. Pour-over although I’m still an espress guy at heart.

Nicholas: DIpoto has made it clear that the M’s need to get more athletic (which is obvious). The biggest need that I see is CF. Who can you see them targeting to fill CF? JBJ?
Klaw: He’d fit, although I think his defensive ability is more routes and reads rather than athleticism – he’s not a plus runner or anything. By the way, you know why they need to get more athletic? Because they haven’t drafted athletes in years. It’s been more polished, lower-upside guys, which can certainly work out but has not been at all fruitful for them. They need a new draft strategy.

Noah: Who is your guy to go first overall in the draft?
Klaw: Nobody has separated himself for 2016 yet. There are a half-dozen guys who could do so in the spring, and I’m sure we’ll get one or two names out of nowhere the way Jonathan Gray burst on the scene in February of 2013.

Geoff: Who is Kiley McDaniel and why are Braves fans so excited that he’s been hired to their front office?
Klaw: Used to work for me before moving on to other sites, including leading Fangraphs’ prospect coverage this past year. I’m a big believer in his evaluation skills. (Fans are excited because they know who he is, as opposed to someone less well-known like, say, Matt Arnold.)

Corey: Clay Buchholz – pick up the option and trade or keep and consider Owens/Wright as his replacement when he gets hurt ?
Klaw: Pick it up and keep him.

mike: 2-3-2 format in CS, favours Toronto doesn’t it? Steal one of two in KC then you can close out at home.
Klaw: Sure, if you assume you’re never going to lose a home game, even though you lost two of three in the last round.

Steve: After his season will Acevedo end up on your nyy list or are cheching his AFL results before?
Klaw: He’s in their top ten for sure.

Alex in Austin: Any reason why former Cavaliers Papi and Howard struggled in their debuts?
Klaw: Papi was coming off a hand injury and was a zero for two months before playing better (but not as well as he should have) after that. I thought Howard starting was a mistake; I don’t know if that was at all related to his complete loss of control even after he returned to the bullpen. Guys who put up lines like that are often hurt.

Ben: Despite his rather lackluster season, is Raul Mondesi still KC’s top prospect in your opinion?
Klaw: I don’t know. He’s super young and has the most ability of any of their prospects, but they’ve promoted him too quickly, and having him work so much on bunting has retarded his growth as a hitter. It’s probably still him but this isn’t the future I envisioned for him two years ago.

Bret: There is been some speculation in the Toronto media that the Jays feel David Price is “gassed” and/or tipping pitches. Have you seen anything scouting-wise that would indicate that?
Klaw: Doesn’t look gassed. I couldn’t tell you if he was tipping unless I was watching him from behind the plate (and even then I might not catch it). If he were gassed, using him in relief in game 4 would have been an even worse idea.

KC: I wish all kids could sign for whatever they can get, but what is the argument for not putting Latin American kids in the draft? I don’t get why everyone doesn’t have the same rules.
Klaw: Two different scouting staffs, operating on two very different calendars, evaluating 18- to 22-year-old players for the draft and 15- and 16-year-old players for July 2nd. I saw some 14-year-olds take BP in Santo Domingo last week. They were impressive, but I kept thinking, “what the hell am I even looking at?” I’ve seen exactly one U.S.-born prospect that young before – Bryce Harper at 15, who was already Superman – and this is a totally different world of evaluation.

Mike: Of all the possible FA pitchers this offseason, assuming Grienke opts out, who would you be most comfortable giving a long term big money deal to?
Klaw: Greinke and Price. I’m still a big fan of Price’s and I think his skill set will age pretty well.

Wally: Would Rendon and maybe a prospect for Carrasco and Frazier be roughly comparable value? Would that make sense for Nats to supplement the lack of any upper level OF prospects (and a statue in LF)
Klaw: That seems to create one hole to maybe fill another. Even if you rate Frazier more highly than I do, you’re making the 2016-17 Nats worse while you wait for him.

Jim Boden: How about Khris davis and Will smith for Aiken and Bobby bradley? Gattis for Folty and Ruiz. Tumbo for Skaggs and Eaton(Arizona gave two for Trumbo). Are those two trades also stupid?
Klaw: Those trades were stupid, yes, and I said so at the time.

Pat: The difference between the cheapest cable package that includes ESPN and the biggest one that doesn’t include ESPN is $25. Therefore, ESPN costs me $25 per month, regardless of what ESPN charges the cable company. That’s a lot of money.
Klaw: I assume that gets you ESPN plus our other channels plus some others, but yes, I hear you. We watch fewer than a dozen channels frequently. Why are we paying so much for them? More channels with substantial archives need to go the HBO route. If the BBC created an app with their entire archive of video plus new shows, is that not a huge value at $10/month?

JF: Other than AJ Reed, what other prospects in the Astros system could help their offense as early as next year?
Klaw: Don’t sleep on Tyler White. Bad body but ridiculous track record of performance.

Pat: How was the coffee in the Dominican?
Klaw: I didn’t get to explore at all, which was probably for the best as I was an anxious wreck for two days before the trip and much of the time I was there.

Jim: Keith, could you clarify Cora’s experience? My understanding was he has the GM position in the winter league, and can’t find any reference to him working as a manager anywhere (which may be me). Thanks!
Klaw: He manages Caguas.

Mike: Should the Mets give Murphy a QO for $16mm, or let him walk given cheaper and probably better internal options (Flores, Herrera)?
Klaw: Let him walk. Despite the 2 HR this series I don’t think you want him to take that offer at all.

John: I think the Braves did the right thing by getting the rookies into the rotation this season, but the results were less-than-ideal. Should they just keep the same guys next year and bank on improvement, or would they benefit from signing a mid-tier FA starter for some stability? Looking toward 2017, obviously?
Klaw: You can’t bank on improvement but you should have learned something about each of those kids, who’s learned something from the experience, who’s working well with coaches, who might be destined for the bullpen. None of that is a reason to stay out of free agency this winter, though – there’s value in adding a guy who can give you 200 innings and avoid blowing out what is already a not that good bullpen.

KC: Some of these kids get 100k, spend it all in the States, get injured or don’t make it and then go home with nothing. That’s not a service.
Klaw: Better that they stay desperately poor? It’s not like they’re going to school there. They might even learn English in a few years in the US, which is an actual skill.

Anonymous: Speaking of relievers who were starters, is Joe Kelly destined to be a closer? he seems to have the right stuff for the gig
Klaw: I think so. Tough to repeat that arm action 100 times a game enough for fastball command.

TJ: Stephen Piscotti in the playoffs- SSS or a glimpse of what we might see in the future power-wise?
Klaw: Obvious SSS but he can really hit and will hit for more power in the majors than the consensus was for him out of the draft or in the minors.

Ridley: I’m gutted to see my Rangers out of the playoffs, but the future looks pretty bright. Darvish is back next year, and Joey Gallo is going to be fun to watch. How would you work Gallo in to the team? Are there any other youngsters likely to make it to Arlington?
Klaw: Gallo should start in AAA to continue to work on making contact in the zone, and I haven’t given up on him as a 3b long-term. You’ll see Mazara in the majors at some point too.

KC: By that logic, poor kids in the US should also be able to get drafted/sign at 16.
Klaw: Poverty in the DR is a whole different kind of poverty than what we consider poor in the US.

Dan: Do front offices ever reach out to local media to run interference for (give cover to) non-mainstream managerial decisions? I’m imagining Alderson reaching out to Francesca and other NY-area loudmouths prior to tonight’s game to preemptively defend Terry if he decides to piggyback deGrom and Syndergaard (irrespective of how well deGrom is pitching).
Klaw: Don’t know. I haven’t run into that before the fact, but I do hear from folks afterwards to discuss questionable decisions, which I find helpful because often there’s a variable I didn’t know (e.g., Joey Bagodonuts woke up with a sore shoulder and wasn’t available) or consider (e.g., something in batted-ball data that we don’t have) before.

Chris: Assuming the Dodgers get past the Mets (big assumption) and they don’t use Kershaw on three days’ rest again, would you start Brett Anderson or Alex Wood in Game 1 of the NLCS?
Klaw: Anderson. But maybe get Ellis behind the plate because Grandal’s pitch-calling has left a bit to be desired so far.

Dave: Love the questions about SP moving to RP — the Reds have about 4000 young-ish guys who are nominally SPs. If you are the Reds, who do you abandon as SPs?
Klaw: I think Lorenzen and Finnegan are relievers for sure. Howard is already in the pen. Give Garrett, Mella, and Travieso more time to start; Mella may end up in the pen too. Reed can start.

Chris: Looking forward to hearing your thoughts on Clarkin, Austin, and Sanchez after your visit to the AFL. All have something to prove. Clarkin unspecified injury, Austin generally disintegrating and Sanchez supposedly improving behind the plate.
Klaw: Saw Austin (no bueno) and Sanchez (same maddening combination of skills and disinterest) this year. Sanchez just isn’t that much better behind the plate, but I also never thought he was as bad as reported online either. He came out of the womb a better receiver than Montero.

Alex (CA): Who is more likely to reach his ceiling, Hedges, Sanchez, or Alfaro?
Klaw: Hedges … if they ever let him play.

Ridley Kemp: I’m gutted to see my Rangers out of the playoffs, but the future looks pretty bright. Darvish is back next year, and Joey Gallo is going to be fun to watch. How would you work Gallo in to the team? First base? DH? Third base? Left field? Are there any other youngsters likely to make it to Arlington?
Klaw: Gallo should start in AAA to continue to work on making contact in the zone, and I haven’t given up on him as a 3b long-term. You’ll see Mazara in the majors at some point too.

Klaw: That’s all for the chat this week – thank you all for joining me, as always. I’ll be in Arizona next week, where I hope to see many of you in person. I’ll try to do a chat one morning local time near the end of the week once I’ve seen everyone take BP. Keep an eye on Twitter and my Facebook page for details.

Señores y señoras, nosotros tenemos más influencia con sus hijos que tu tiene. Peros los queremos. Creado y regalo de Nueva York … Klawchat.

Jaypers413: Do you think Cal Ripken could do a competent job of managing the Nationals?
Klaw: I don’t see any reason to think he could. He has zero experience managing anywhere, and we’ve seen that those hires have a very high failure rate. Meanwhile, AJ Hinch, who was not good as a first-time manager with Arizona, has been one of the best in the game the second time around. Experience needs to trump the interview, or, in Cal’s case, the name value.

Jason: So are you not chatting on ESPN anymore? If not what is the point of insider anymore?
Klaw: Well, since my articles are all Insider, and my chats were not Insider, nothing has changed.

Mark: Did Manny Machado have one of the quietest ~7 WAR age 22 seasons ever? Seems like he was constantly overlooked due to the usual suspects of Harper/Trout (deservedly so) and a massive graduation of top prospects to the majors.
Klaw: Yep, I was even shocked when I looked at his stats in early September and saw how good his year was; the Orioles’ disappointing year dampened coverage of how good he was. He’s no longer a future star – he is a star, a top 5 player in the AL. And if he goes back to shortstop full-time … whoa.

Bob: Fun game last night (except for Pirate fans). On Twitter, you seemed uncomfortable with Arrieta facing the lineup a third and fourth time. In this game, the results were no worse the third and fourth time. Can elite pitchers be trusted to go longer into games or do you think this was the wrong move that just happened to work out? Also, do we factor in that Maddon may not trust his bullpen?
Klaw: Calling it the “wrong move” might be a little strong; going to a fresh reliever vs letting the starter go through a lineup the fourth time is the higher-probability move. You’re playing the odds here. If you’re betting on the roll of a regular (fair) die, and I tell you that you can bet on 1-2 or 3-6 with equal payout on both, which bet do you take? If the roll comes up 1 or 2 and you lose, did you make the wrong move?

Double Stuf Oreos: Heyyyyyy buddy where you been? We miss you.
Klaw: Go away. You are an abomination.

Alan: The Washington post ran a column titled the “7 decisions that got Matt Williams fired” – I think 6 of the 7 were pitching changes. I don’t get it. Aren’t the countless runs he lost during the season through bunting and intentional walks more important than getting some 50/50 pitching changes wrong?
Klaw: I actually think what got him fired was the team missing the playoffs. Had they taken 5 of 6 from the Mets in those two key series instead of losing all six, even with all his awful tactical management, they might have made the playoffs and saved his job.

Drew: Is Bud Black the best fit for the Nationals’ Manager gig?
Klaw: I think he’s a good fit. I think Alex Cora (whom I know personally, which isn’t true of many of the top candidates) would be a better fit.

Bill (Thpftt): How did you mange to score MeadowParty as your domain? You must have been an early adopter of this www thing. Can I get it back for my campaign?
Klaw: I’ve had the domain since 2000. And I’m happy to run some campaign ads for you and Opus.

Jeff: Is there any defense for Cuddyer over Conforto against Kershaw? Better yet, any reason for Cuddyer over Lagares?
Klaw: Can you give me a reason for Cuddyer? That would be a good start.

Charlie: Kyle Schwarber or Addison Russell for the 2015 postseason. Who do you take?
Klaw: I have a few of these questions in the queue but I’m not sure what exactly you’re asking for. Bat? Schwarber. total value? I mean, give me the shortstop with the plus glove.

Derek: Keith, do you think Wilmer Difo has a future as an MLB regular? How big a setback is the hand injury?
Klaw: Yes, at least an everday 2b for me. Broken hand sucks, can sap power for up to a year, but players who have hand/wrist injuries do recover fine in time.

Chris: Clint Frazier turn a corner in the second half?
Klaw: Saw him in the playoffs, looked exactly the same – swing and miss in the zone, not recognizing offspeed. You should expect any minor league player to play better in the second half if he’s not promoted because of promotions of other prospects – so for example, Frazier didn’t have to face Giolito, Lopez, Pivetta for Potomac in the second half because they were all in AA.

Dave: How dumb do you have to be to intentionally hit a batter and put a man on base when you are down 4-0 in a winner take all game? Not even getting to the “unwritten rule” aspect or the fact that the guy you hit is a friggin’ pitcher.
Klaw: I heard it on radio – was driving home from the airport – and Boog and Chris both expressed no doubt it was deliberate. Going off their opinion, yeah, that was pretty stupid. I hope that was just Watson being an idiot.

Ken: By the way, this is just a thank you for continuing to do these chats. You and Buster Olney are the main reasons that I continue to pay for Insider. You are able to explain the analytic stats in a way that older fans like myself can understand and I always learn something new from your chats and columns. Keep up the great work!
Klaw: You’re welcome, but really, I continued them because of you guys. No readers, no chats, no Klaw (well, no writer Klaw … I think I’d continue to exist).

Anonymous: What did you think of Archer and Mendoza in the booth? I thought they were both fantastic.
Klaw: I didn’t hear any of it (travel) but Archer did show plus-plus hair.

Mike Charlotte,NC: What kind of ceiling to you project for Lindor? Is a Barry Larkin type career out of the question or am I just an over excited Indians fan here. Thanks.
Klaw: Hall of Fame comps are kind of tough, no? High average/OBP, modest power, plus-plus defense and baserunning, great instincts, fans will adore him. I think that’s good.

Dan: Thoughts Dave Martinez as manager?
Klaw: His reputation within the game is strong, and players love him. I have two questions: One, why has he interviewed for six different gigs, including one with the club that employed him for six years, and never gotten a managing job? Two, is seven years’ experience as a bench coach for a great manager equivalent to actual managing experience? I’d like to think it is.

Adam: Wait, if you like Oreos, how do you not like Double Stuff Oreos?
Klaw: It’s the ratio, man. It’s all wrong.

Nick: What are your expectations for Carson Fulmer in 2016? Is it reasonable for him to be called up midseason, and will it be as a reliever or starter?
Klaw: I think he ends up a reliever. I don’t know of a big-league starter with a delivery that violent. It makes Alex Wood’s look clean and simple.

David: Does Cora have managerial experience? Isn’t that your #1 criteria?
Klaw: Yes, he does. He manages los Criollos de Caguas in Puerto Rico every winter and handles a lot of the GM-type duties in assembling the roster.

Alex: Are you not doing Periscope anymore? Also, any update on Profar’s rehab? Where does Baez play next year? Mazara top 5 prospect?
Klaw: Maybe try the decaf? Periscopes will return soon but I have been traveling – I was in Santo Domingo Tuesday and Wednesday this week. Profar will DH two days a week in the AFL. I bet Baez is someone’s second baseman next year … but I don’t know if it’s for the Cubs. Mazara was in my top 10 when I did my last update.

Adam Trask: Can we all just stipulate that Jessica Mendoza is very good at what she does and the fact that she is hotter than Ashley Judd is irrelevant?
Klaw: There is no such thing as “hotter than Ashley Judd” for me.

michael: hey klaw – how would you rebuild the SFG rotation? Assuming that bum, heston, and cain will have spots, would you spend your money on leake and another 3rd/4th starter type, or would you rather spend it on an ace (a price type) and a 5th starter?
Klaw: Not sure why Heston would have a guaranteed spot, but I do think Leake is a great fit there and very much in line with what they seem to like in starting pitchers. I think they need quantity as well as quality, and if that means foregoing an “ace” FA to sign two mid-rotation guys, so be it. They have a great defense and the offense should be better if everyone is healthy next year.

Joe: Watching the AL Wild Card game, Tanaka was in trouble in the second with bases loaded, two out, and the 9-hole hitter coming up. All I could think was, “Thank God this isn’t an NL game where Tanaka would basically get a free pass out of the jam.” Isn’t that the perfect argument for the universal DH?
Klaw: It’s not one I’ve made, but it’s a very good one.

Adam D.: Are you hearing anything else about why the agreement between Eddy Martinez and the Giants fell through? Do you think the Giants will still pursue him after this?
Klaw: I have one side of the story, much of it off the record, but I think I can safely say that the two parties do not agree on what the actual agreement was in the first place. He is looking for more than that $2.5 million figure and, having seen him take BP on Tuesday, he is worth it.

Mike P: Thoughts on David Ross admitting to grabbing Sean “Karate Kid” Rodriguez by the throat in the scrum on the field yesterday? Doesn’t that seem like something that MLB almost have to suspend him for (even a meaningless game)?
Klaw: You would think so. There shouldn’t be a ‘good guy’ pass for choking someone.

JP: top candidates for 1st pick in the 2016 draft?
Klaw: Hansen, Ray, Groome, Rutherford, maybe Puk (I think that’s a reach). There isn’t really a clear 1-1 guy right now, just a lot of guys who are easy top 5-10 picks.

Adam Trask: Si quieres credibilidad en español, tienes que aprender usar la ñ (además de los accentos)
Klaw: Yes, but they don’t display easily in HTML because you have to use special codes (usually & + the letter + a few letters indicating which accent); I’ll replace them manually in the transcript afterwards.

Mark: Starling Marte has been pretty consistent for the past few years now as a high 700’s OPS guy with speed and plus defense. Do you think there’s still potential for a Carlos Gomez-type breakout season in there (ie OPS in the high 800’s/low 900’s while retaining his speed and defense) or is this who he is (which is still a great player)?
Klaw: Potential, yes. Probability, low. Never liked his approach at the plate and I haven’t seen a ton of improvement there.

Ridley Kemp: Is Eppler a good hire for the Angels? If so, what’s the outlook?
Klaw: Good hire, but big question is how much autonomy he’ll have. If Scioscia is really going to run player development from Anaheim, it’ll be a big challenge for Eppler.

Michael: And Ausmus managed Team Israel in the WBC, but that didn’t qualify as experience?
Klaw: If you’re trying to claim that’s equivalent to managing a team in a winter league, I am openly laughing at you right now. It’s like telling me you can beat Solitaire on your computer so you’re ready to take on Deep Blue.

JR: RE your Ashley Judd comment, hopefully Mrs. Klaw doesn’t read these chats….
Klaw: She knows the deal.

Jeff: Regarding the bonehead from Atlanta and all of the internet misogynist warriors that claimed there were dozens of “more qualified” people than Jessica Mendoza….I gotta say, that’s a misnomer. You are either qualified or you aren’t. And she is qualified to do the job she has. Period.
Klaw: I agree – and that bonehead made it ten times worse by referring to her by a body part, which is a great trick if you want to dehumanize your target. Her gender is irrelevant to her qualifications, and now that she’s doing the job, even her qualifications are irrelevant. She’s performing her job right in front of us – judge her on that and nothing else.

Michael: Does Tyrell Jenkins start next year in the Braves rotation or because he was shut down for a few weeks at the end of this year, does he start in Gwinnett for a month or so before he gets the call??
Klaw: No rush, still better stuff than command/feel, unsurprising for a guy who missed so much time over the last few years.

Mike: Any chance we’ll ever get meaningful gun regulation in this country? Not no guns, but no guns for citizens that can spray bullets. Limit it to hunting rifles and hand guns.
Klaw: I do not believe there is any chance of that happening.

Dan: Ellsberry worst contract in baseball? Think there is anyway the Yankees could trade him this offseason?
Klaw: Bad contract, not sure I’d go with worst. I don’t think he’s movable except for another really bad contract.

Zach: Who do you have in the World Series?
Klaw: Toronto vs LAD.

Michael: Is there a reason why clubs don’t allocate more money to scouts, executives, and interns. Seems like more bang for the buck than a couple middle relievers.
Klaw: Supply and demand, but I do think that’s starting to change a little bit. Their salaries are creeping up.

Matt: Are your new chats a curse free zone or can we let the expletives fly?
Klaw: Go for it. I won’t say anything goes, but it’s not G-rated here.

Eric. Tampa, Florida: Could you argue that Baseball is just as popular as the NFL? If you took out gambling and fantasy, how many people would watch an NFL game?
Klaw: Bit of an academic point there. Baseball is still popular, and has work to do to grow or maintain its popularity in certain demographics – and to maintain accessibility for people with less disposable income. NFL/NBA are more popular abroad, which is a tougher road for baseball to hoe because it’s so much more complicated than basketball, American football, soccer, or hockey. All other major team sports involve one team trying to move an object straight down a field to put it in a net or a specific area of the field, and the other team tries to stop them. Baseball defies such easy explanation.

Josh: What is Angels Tyler Skaggs ceiling assuming a health comeback for next year?
Klaw: I thought he was headed for #2 starter when he got hurt.

Mike: Did you know that the Orioles traded away Arrieta? As an O’s fan I’ve only been reminded of it 1000 times today. My real question is do you get any sense that the Orioles see they need to change their approach to developing pitchers? Shouldn’t they get the message by now that they need a new philosophy?
Klaw: Really? I hadn’t heard that (in the last five minutes). I get the sense that Buck believes his way is the right way and nothing is changing while he’s there. You can draw your own conclusions as to whether that is the best thing for the Orioles.

Andy: With the current trend in bullpen usage, “damning” someone to a bullpen arm isn’t that bad. Wade Davis is just a bullpen arm, but I bet he makes more money in his career than he would have if he had stayed a mediocre starter. Heck, Joe Blanton has resurrected his career by being a bullpen guy. If you can’t be an above average starter, turning into an ace reliever may be a good personal move.
Klaw: Nope. I try to remind people of that when I say that I think guys like Severino, Reynaldo Lopez, Carson Fulmer, etc are all relievers in the long run. You can be a 3 WAR reliever and make $10 million a year. The game has changed and if anything it’s shifting further in that direction.

James: Which manager are you most surprised kept his job so far – Ausmus, Price or Weiss?
Klaw: Price, although Ausmus keeping his job after the Norris debacle was ridiculous.

Mike P: Do you think any club goes to the GM meetings without having a GM?
Klaw: No, I think the Phillies will wrap theirs up by the end of the month, although MacPhail could certainly handle the GM meetings by himself. They’re just going to be very discreet about their process.

JR: IOW, in the chat we’ve upgraded from #fyeahbaseball to #fuckyeahbaseball?
Klaw: Fine with me. Can’t say that on Twitter though. I don’t swear for its own sake, but you know, if you’ve ever talked to a scout or an exec, you’ve probably heard that such-and-such a pitcher has “good shit.” It’s a technical term.

Steve: I know you’re not a fantasy player but where do you stand on the legality of DFS. Also, do you think MLBs heavy endorsement of it is good/bad for the game?
Klaw: It’s legal gambling, right? If we try to make it illegal it’ll just move offshore, so you might as well regulate and tax it. More transparency is good for the consumer. Then again, I think state lotteries should be illegal because they’re just a wealth transfer from the poor to the middle- and upper-classes, so my views here aren’t simple.

Imre: Who ya got between my beloved Cubs and our arch-enemy Cardinals?
Klaw: If the Cards were totally healthy I’d pick them. Now I’m not sure but I’m leaning slightly toward the Cubs.

Steve: Speaking of Wade Davis, how well do you think he holds up w/ that velocity? He effective for several years?
Klaw: We’re entering a new era with some of these relievers; Kimbrel and Aroldis have held up longer than most top-end closers ever did, so perhaps the paradigm is shifting. Two years ago I would have said “not much longer.” Maybe that’s no longer true.

Steve: Sox will have lots of SP candidates under contract for next year (Buchholz, Eduardo, Kelly, Porcello, Miley, Owens, Brian Johnson, Steven Wright) but no true ace. Think they’ll a) invest $200+ mil in Price, b) sign someone from the text tier (Zimmerman, etc.), c) trade for an ace, or d) go with existing options?
Klaw: My guess is they sign one top-end starter and trade for one. I hope for their sake that they keep Rodriguez, who has ace upside, and try to package some of these major-league ready guys like Marrero, Cecchini, JBJ, etc. who have no obvious places to play in Boston any time soon.

John: How do you scout players with unconventional mechanics, but good results? I’m thinking Johnny Damon’s swing, Jared Weaver’s motion or Hunter Pence’s Hunter Pence.
Klaw: Good question without a simple answer. To some extent, you have to consider whether the player can make the unconventional mechanics work for him – can the hitter with a big hitch in his swing still get the bat head to the zone quickly enough to make hard contact and/or adjust to changing speeds? Can the pitcher repeat that delivery and command the fastball without getting hurt or wearing down? Those guys are the hardest to evaluate because scouting is so much about heuristics – general rules of thumb that, when they break down, often do so spectacularly (e.g., Chris Sale).

Thomas Feeley: Travis Shaw – Small sample size? Can you think of any comparable guys who’ve put up pretty “meh” numbers in the minors only to find their mojo at the major league-level? Should the Sox pencil him into the lineup at 1st next year? I know you’ve had some nice things to say about him in the past, I’m just trying to get a realistic sense of him going forward.
Klaw: Don’t think he’s a star or as good as his MLB line would indicate but he is probably in that group with Marrero and JBJ of guys who could start for someone else, but probably not Boston. It hasn’t hurt his trade value any to have him up and performing, at least.

Evan: What do you think of Moustakas’s season (fluke or real)? His walk rate was the same. His K rate was a bit down but not drastically. He gained 20 points in BABIP, but this also corresponded with a large reduction in his pull rate.
Klaw: He hit LHP well too, if I remember correctly, and if that’s not a one-year fluke, that would tell me more about his evolution as a hitter than anything else. I’m inclined to think it’s real, especially because he’s not trying to pull everything any more, which means a lefty spinning a breaking ball away from him doesn’t get that free rollover to second base.

Jordan: When Smoak was a prospect, did he profile as a true switch hitter?
Klaw: I thought so, but pretty much everything I thought about Smoak turned out to be wrong. At least I know a lot of scouts agreed with me, but, still.

Dave: Where’s Aaron Judge starting the 2016 season: Scranton, or New York?
Klaw: Scranton, working on plate coverage.

Dave: Better long term outlook at shortstop, Gleyber Torres or Orlando Arcia?
Klaw: Arcia but I think both are stars.

James: Do you have any postseason award ballots this year?
Klaw: NL Rookie of the Year. Filed last Friday.

JR: I live in Vegas and a Shake Shack just opened 1 mile from my house. Over/under number of lbs I gain in the next year?
Klaw: That’ll leave a mark. Although I lived close to In-n-Out in Arizona and after a couple of months the novelty wore off. Shake Shack is way better, but still, I can’t eat like that on even a somewhat regular basis.

Chad: I have hated the Ellsbury contract the minute it was signed. Garder is the same (better?) player at 1/3 of the price, and they are redundant. Following on your reply below, what about sending him to SD (needs a real CF) for Shields (terrifies me in Yankee St admittedly) and Gyorko to play 2B? Or maybe to Cubs (Theo conn, will need a CF) for Castro if they even out the money?
Klaw: Why not offer to take Melvin Upton back from the Padres too? Put him in LF, Gardner in CF, evens out the money a bit more. I like the idea of getting Gyorko; I’m not a huge fan, but I think he can be an average regular, while I don’t think Refsnyder’s defense will permit him to do that.

Enad Girondian: I have two good friends who are college baseball head coaches. Both have independently told me that a particular MLB starting catcher who often gets critical praise “calls an awful game.” Is there any objective way to discern this or is it just perception?
Klaw: I don’t know of an objective way to measure that, but some teams might. The problem I can see is that you don’t always know how much the catcher is determining the game plan.

Bill: If you had an NL CYA vote who would you have given it to?
Klaw: Kershaw. I get the arguments for the other guys and I don’t feel that strongly about it, but he missed more bats than anyone in the league and didn’t walk a lot of guys and really we’re talking about some tiny differences between these guys. It comes down to whether you think BABIP and HR differences are all about the pitchers.

Dara: Do you have any amount of Trekkie in you? If so, what percent?
Klaw: I think as a kid I saw the entire original series, and I probably watched 2-3 seasons’ worth of TNG, but then nothing after and none of the films.

James: Are the A’s ever going to get to move, even if it’s not to San Jose?
Klaw: Ever, yes. Soon, no, although I hold out far more hope of Manfred allowing franchise moves than I ever had under Selig. Manfred is going to get some things done that Bud never would have. I hope that means we get the Rays out of St. Pete and a team in Austin.

Jay: Would you have the Mets over the Dodgers if it was a 7-game series? LAD have a better 1-2 combo, but Mets have better pitching depth
Klaw: In that case, though, you’d get an extra start from Greinke too, and I don’t know if Harvey would get that second start.

Frank: Before year’s end, Manfred will decide on Pete Rose. Predict the outcome for us.
Klaw: No change in status.

JR: Thoughts on the one game wild card? I’m OK with it. Don’t need to extend.
Klaw: I don’t particularly like it, but this year it turned out to be a great thing because the Cubs deserved to be in the playoffs (and it was good for fans to have them in the playoffs). I don’t want longer playoffs; this isn’t the NHL or NBA.

Imre: Kershaw also is 1st in fWAR by 2.4 1st in xFIP by .51…………BUT, stats are stupid and I like Jake and his beard and his yoga and his riding home from games in rickshaws while jamming some Beck.
Klaw: I don’t disagree but fWAR assumes BABIP fluctuations are entirely out of the pitcher’s hands, and that may not be true and certainly isn’t something the voter pool is comfortable with yet.

Mike P: In front office thinking, what defines a “successful” draft? I’m talking, 10 years later. Like, hitting on your 1st rounder and another player? Having 3 average regulars out of 1 draft? Just curious as to what the “standard” might be.
Klaw: I think any draft where you either hit on your first rounder or find a star in a later round (a Goldschmidt in the 8th round) is a successful one, although from a process standpoint you should always examine and question why you missed on your first pick. You should get 4-5 big leaguers, including guys who are just up-and-down types, from a typical draft, with one or two of them regulars or more.

Joe: I know the Cy Young is a full season award…but philosophically, do you think it’s okay to give extra weight to Arrieta’s amazing second half? Would that really be any different than considering peak vs. longevity on a Hall of Fame ballot?
Klaw: Yes, it would be very different, like, Shake Shack vs McDonalds’ different.

Jay: Any new TV series that you like?
Klaw: We liked episode 1 of The Muppets. That’s the only new show I’ve seen so far.

Jay: What should the Yankees do with Bird?
Klaw: Full-time DH next year with Teixeira back at 1b.

Bruce: Thoughts on the Brewers new GM?
Klaw: Very sharp, personable guy. Need to see who he hires to fill some key positions and whether he gives that player development staff the overall it needs. Also he needs to stop reminding us how young he looks. Never apologize for something you can’t control!

Jason: How good is Bobby Bradley?
Klaw: Good but not great. He’s a solid prospect but not an elite one. 1B only and I don’t know that he’s going to be much of a power hitter.

Danny: Do you think if Jagielo plays a fringe 3B, he would be an upgrade on Headley?
Klaw: I don’t think he can play a fringe 3b.

Andy: Do you remember when Arizona won the Justin Upton trade because they got to re-sign Martin Prado? Going through old chat archives is fun.
Klaw: Exactly. That trade was so bad on its face and yet we had a lot of people trying to defend it for AZ.

Chris: Does that mean you think they can trade A-Rod?
Klaw: No, but if Bird is better, isn’t that who you play? A-Rod was a cipher in the last two months and looked every bit his age – and I’m a fan of his. His salary should not be a factor at all in determining his playing time.

Tom: Why would Odor not be suspended for that “slide” into Giavotella? Looked like a deliberate and malicious intent to injure to me.
Klaw: Has anyone been suspended for a slide like that? My understanding is that the players themselves are fine with such slides and don’t want to see them curtailed or banned.

Mike S. Carolina: Any thoughts with Cleveland’s front office moves?
Klaw: I think they are mostly paper moves – the reporting structure and responsibilities aren’t changing dramatically. We’ll see how that plays out.

Dan: So do the Mets just let Murphy walk at season’s end and install Herrera as the evryday 2B next year? Will the end of Lucas Duda’s usefulness and the arrival of Dom Smith align nicely?
Klaw: Yes, and probably.

Chris: Cashman said yest that Sanchez can now be a high end major league catcher. Is that just inflating his trade value or was there real improvement this year behind the plate (and between the ears)?
Klaw: Not in what I saw but there is no physical reason why he couldn’t be at least an average receiver. He has a 70 arm and can hit.

Matt: I know you’ve been very vocal with “if you need help, please get it” when it comes to mental illnesses such as anxiety, depression, etc. In light of CC’s admission of a problem and action to seek treatment, I can’t stress enough how important getting help is. As someone going through alcohol abuse recovery currently, getting treatment from professionals is critical. If you think you have a problem, be honest and be good to yourself. (steps down from soap box)
Klaw: Yes, yes, a thousand times yes. And I cannot send enough good wishes your way. For whatever it’s worth you have my support.

Andy: That plan would also keep A-Rod and Teixeira fresher. A-Rod getting 300 ABs, Tex, with 400, Bird with 450 doesn’t seem like it would be a terrible plan.
Klaw: A fair point as well. Might sit Bird vs some LHP.

Brian: Can you speak on Travis Shaw’s potential at 3B? I always assumed he was an emergency only option at third, but a quality source cited him as a 55 defender at 3b with growth potential. If so, he seems like the perfect Hanley/Sandoval insurance.
Klaw: First base only for me. Not a 55 defender at third now.

Jay: What are your thoughts about Puerto Rico and the draft?
Klaw: I agree with the industry consensus that putting it in the draft hurt baseball in Puerto Rico, and that even today players drafted from there are unfairly discounted relative to US-born and Canadian players. Next year is a bumper crop in Puerto Rico, the best since 2012 and the best or second-best in the last twenty years or so, and if players there are still getting cheated on their bonuses like that then it’s time for MLB to step in and make it right.

Greg: You’d rather see a team in Austin than back in Montreal?
Klaw: Yes, for a variety of reasons, but the biggest one is that the Expos were just not that well-supported by the population there. MLB needs to go for growth markets, too, and the Austin/San Antonio corridor has over 3 million people and lots of corporations to buy luxury boxes and stadium signage.

Jeff: Is the pocket watch (in the picture above) a reference to game (1 min to make a move)? Or is it because you actually like pocket watches? Or something else?
Klaw: Stopwatch, for timing players’ running speeds or catchers’ throws to second base.

Jay: Do you think there will ever be a MLB team in Mexico?
Klaw: No. All due respect to Manfred, who probably has more info on this than I do, but I don’t think you can possibly guarantee player safety there, and the income gap is enormous. You are more likely IMO to see a team in Havana in the next 25 years than in Mexico – and it would be easier for MLB to effectively subsidize such a move.

Mookie: What possible line of thinking underlies the Rangers’ announcement that Martin Perez will start game 3? An assumed 2-0 lead going back to Arlington?
Klaw: I missed that announcement. I think I like it – betting on stuff rather than veteran presents, perhaps?

Dave: Speaking of the Dominican, when will see your 15 year old rankings? It really boggles my mind the bonuses teams give those young kids. Just joking about the rankings but how can you really tell at that age?
Klaw: I watched three 2017 prospects – fourteen years old – take BP and field a little. It’s insane that we’re even looking at them now, and that they can even look like that taking batting practice.

J: Chat’s going into extras today
Klaw: Yeah, but I have to wrap it up and take care of about a million other things, including making sure my ALDS preview post is OK (I filed before the chat). Thank you all, as always, for all of your questions and for continuing to read these chats every week. I can’t say enough to express my gratitude. I’ll chat again next Thursday ahead of my Arizona Fall League trip.

Klaw: Snarky action at a distance … it’s Klawchat.

MikeyMike: Lindor your choice for AL RoY?
Klaw: Yes, he would be, slightly over Correa, with Sano a distant third after those two.

@outfieldgrass24: Thanks for the chat Keith! When a player makes his stateside debut in Instructs at 18, should that signal that the org sees particular value in him or are they sometimes just getting him extra work?
Klaw: I wouldn’t read into it because, as you just hinted, the club may simply have wanted him to work with a specific coach or get some extra games. But I will say that there’s no negative to it. It means something good, I just don’t know exactly what.

Dan: Ausmus says he doesn’t care what people say about his handling of Norris because they don’t know the game like he does. Can the Tigers hit the reset on their decision?
Klaw: Except that all available evidence is that he doesn’t know the game. That was unconscionable; two AGMs texted me during that first inning to ask what the fuck (their word) Ausmus was doing.

Chris: Our country is petrified by the threat of terrorism, but we’re 1000x more likely to be killed by our own citizens with guns. At this point, what sort of disaster is required to enact any meaningful change to gun regulation?
Klaw: Barring the child of a prominent politican getting killed in such an event, I do not expect to see meaningful gun control laws enacted in my lifetime. Our gun culture is truly the only thing that would cause me to want to leave the U.S. to live in another country.

Jay: What kind of hitter will Andrelton Simmons be in the next couple of years? Is that 22 homerun year a complete aberration or will he find some of that pop again?
Klaw: I don’t think he can hit for that kind of power and simultaneously do much else at the plate. His ideal profile is a very low-K, low-power season where he hits in the high .200s just by putting the ball in play all the time.

Damon: Who’s your NL Cy Young? I don’t remember if you answer these questions or not
Klaw: I’ll answer on any award except NL ROY (which I have – and the form explicitly states DO NOT REVEAL YOUR BALLOT). I’d have Kershaw first, but I don’t think Greinke or Arrieta are a ‘wrong’ choice here.

Bob: Have you seen Jerad Eickhoff, yet? I realize the change up is making lefties hit him, but it looks like a huge mistake for the Rangers to almost let him be a throw in on the Hamels deal. Can he stick in the rotation? Slider is a plus pitch according to Pitch fx and well the amount of strike outs.
Klaw: He wasn’t a throw-in, not according to either side at the time of the deal, but he was not as highly regarded by scouts I talked to who saw him this year. He’s clearly something – maybe a mid-rotation guy if that changeup improves substantially (or he adds a splitter or something along those lines).

Justin: Is evolution going to make your top board games list? I saw your paste article and I’m intrigued.
Klaw: It’s OK, not great; if I take my all-time list to 100 it’s on there. I may not go that deep.

Tim: who should the Twins start in the OF next year? They should let the youngsters out there and let hunter walk right?
Klaw: Yes, Hunter has been terrible (and man he needs to stop saying stupid stuff). If he’s that great a ‘leader’ in the clubhouse, which I find hard to believe given what comes out of his mouth, make him the bench coach.

Walewander: Hi Keith. Thanks for the chat. Do you think Michael Fulmer or Ryan McMahon will make impacts at the big league level next year? Have you read The Heart is a Lonely Hunter?
Klaw: Fulmer yes, McMahon no shot, and I love that book – it’s in my top 50.

Drew: After this utter disaster of a season, what do the Nationals have to do to be competitive next season? Is that just a pipe dream?
Klaw: Fire the manager and probably add one starter while letting the kids play (Turner, Taylor, using their various rookies in the rotation) and firing Papelbon into the heart of the sun.

Anthony: Hey KLaw. Did Beane get 100% hosed on the Donaldson deal? Is Barreto going to be a good pro, in your opinion? Seems like it might be the worst trade of the decade, no?
Klaw: Barreto is going to be a star (he’s already a pro, BTW, if you’ll allow me to be pedantic for just a moment … you’re asking about the big leagues), and I hated the deal at the time for Oakland. I didn’t like the Shark trade either because Semien is not an everyday player, esp not at SS.

Tim: Do you have any issue with people reporting matt Williams is going to be fired before it is official?
Klaw: This isn’t exactly Deep Throat secrecy here.

Haymaker: Arrieta beats Cole in the Wild Card play in game, right? Cubs go on to win the NL, then the World Series? The curse will finally be broken and “Back to the Future 2” writer Bob Gale will be revered as a prophet? Just nod your head and smile, Keith. It will make me feel better.
Klaw: (nods while making ‘crazy’ circular motion around my ear)

Garren: Have you heard anything about “Lazarito”, the latest buzzed about Cuban defector?
Klaw: Only what you’ve heard from folks like MLB’s Jesse Sanchez.

Chris H: At this point I feel bad for Matt Williams, and I’m a Mets fan. That Washington Post article was brutal. Can you remember a Manager-to-be-fired who has been this universally derided?
Klaw: It’s his own fault; I have no sympathy for folks like him and Ausmus who are so obstinate about their way of doing things. You want to succeed in this game, you make adjustments. They haven’t.

Anonymous: I don’t know what to think about Wilson Contreras. Obviously, his stock went up this year, but how does he project at the MLB level?
Klaw: Above average regular behind the plate.

White haired clown: Is fair to be skeptical of coppolella in Atlanta because he worked for clown wren for so long ?
Klaw: Grossly unfair and, frankly, kind of dumb.

addoeh: Not baseball related, but L. Fournette should at least have the option of playing in the NFL now, right?
Klaw: Absolutely. I hope he fights it; it could help baseball players break the NCAA’s three-year BS rule too (which MLB has agreed to, for no good reason at all).

Pat: Bundy, Harvey, now Branden Kline — are arm injuries to O’s prospects just fluky or do they do something wrong?
Klaw: I don’t think it’s entirely coincidental.

Ed: Aren’t Arrieta’s and Greinke’s ERAs within the range of error at this point? I keep hearing Greinke’s ERA as his trump card in the Cy Young race. Seems to be splitting hairs at this point.
Klaw: Yes, although Arrieta has had some absolute joke opponents of late too – that Brewers game where they started a AAA lineup comes to mind. Again, I don’t think either guy is clearly better.

Woodman: Rumor here is that the Giants want to coach up Kelby Tomlinson to be a CFer. While he’s done an admirable job filling in for Panik at 2B, does he have the skill set to be an everyday CFer?
Klaw: I don’t see it – he’s not even as good as the Duffy/Panik group who’ve been better in the majors than they were in the minors.

Ryan: Kyle Zimmer threw over 60 innings after returning from injury this year and was pretty effective. Is that enough for him to jump back up into your top 50 or even top 25 ranking like he was previously?
Klaw: I’d be too leery of his injury history to stuff him like that but he’s definitely a mid-100 guy.

Alex: Joe Musgrove–how much has he grown in your eyes?
Klaw: Not at all.

TedT: Travis Shaw or Greg Bird – expectations and upside?
Klaw: Bird’s the better prospect but Shaw is a legitimate big leaguer with a chance to be a regular at 1b. I don’t see him being able to handle another position.

David Saba: In 2016, can JP Crawford make an impact the way Lindor has this year? Or will the Phillies hold him back no matter what?
Klaw: I think he can and probably will, because he’s going to be ready to do so by midyear.

David Saba: Has the performance spike of Jerad Eickhoff, Nick Williams & Jake Thompson since the Hamels trade altered your view of the haul? Or is it just SSS?
Klaw: For the last two, you’re looking at about a month of playing time, which is SSS for anything we might look at. I liked the trade a lot at the time, though.

Ken (Ann Arbor): Is Tyler Collins a: a) MLB regular corner outfielder
b) A regular till he gets expensive in arbitration
c) 4th outfielder who can play some CF
d) 4th outfielder — corners only
e) 4A

Klaw: Probably d.

Mark: Tyler White is supposedly moving back to catcher, and the last time he played it, he was 50 pounds lighter. What do you think of the Astros’ decision?
Klaw: Worth a try but awfully unlikely to work. Granted, the downside is limited (injury risk?) but the upside is substantial.

Bill: Can Conforto be a .280 30 hr hitter? too much on the power?
Klaw: I think he’s more likely to post a .400 OBP with 20 bombs.

John: Do you think Reynaldo Lopez can be a frontline starter in time?
Klaw: I think he’s a reliever. It’s all arm, no lower half, and his secondary stuff isn’t great.

Michael: I know Kim Ng has very little scouting experience, but do you think she is qualified to be a GM? Is gender a factor in her not getting hired?
Klaw: She’s as qualified as someone like David Stearns, certainly; his background is similar to hers, all office-based/administrative, although I can’t speak to either of their skills in terms of analytics awareness or people management.

Forsyth: Is Conforto a reasonable comp for Benintendi?
Klaw: Benintendi’s a better runner with more power and a chance to play CF. Conforto has the better eye and simpler swing. Both great players but I think Benintendi may have the higher chance to end up a star.

Michael: I know it’s the rule, but I’m not crazy about guys who clearly beat the throw being called out on replay because they lost touch with the base for a split second. Any way to fix this?
Klaw: I agree – it’s the rule, and it’s a bad one that has only come up because of replay. I don’t know a simple fix but I think it’s one to address.

Jeff: Thanks for the insight and wisdom, Keith. Have you seen anything with Corey Seager that indicates that he could remain a shortstop?
Klaw: No, not for the long term. It’s like Severino being a starter – they could hold their present roles for a little while, but when we look back in five or ten years (maybe ten is too long) it’s much more likely IMO that Seager will have spent the bulk of the time at third and Severino will have been in relief.

Andrew: Do you think Tyler White would be more productive in 2016 than Evan Gattis as the Astros primary DH? Team needs upgrades at 1B, 3B, DH…
Klaw: Yes. They should non-tender Gattis and let Reed and White play.

Andy: While you would never actually want a player to get hurt, if Severino goes down next year will you be finding everyone who’s asked the same damn question on Twitter and pestering them about how you could do their job better?
Klaw: It’s one of the most awkward aspects of my job – if I predict a player will get hurt or won’t be able to do something, and I’m right, I can’t say a word without appearing to gloat over injury or failure.

J: Last month NPR did a 9 minute piece on Spandau Ballet and last week USA Today used half the fold on Korn. Does mainstream media have a duty/obligation to give time to new up and coming music instead of that old and tired stuff? Most people think music sucks now (logic fail) because they don’t know what’s out there
Klaw: I didn’t see/hear either of those pieces (Spandau Ballet? Really?) but I do make an extra effort to find more obscure artists for my monthly playlists because does the world really need Pitchfork to review the latest Taylor Swift album?

Michael: If you were commissioner, would you allow any roster expansion in September? A lot of people propose a set 25 man roster for each day in September, but then 4 starting pitches would just be left off.
Klaw: The number would have to be 20-22.

RBI, Saves, & Wins: Our first comment on the new chat! Just give the Cy young to the pitcher with the most wins. It works with RBI for the MVP…
Klaw: Welcome back now please go away.

Derek: Does Dusty manage again in 2016?
Klaw: I would bet against it and I don’t understand the media members who appear to be pushing his candidacy. He got worse at every stop and had enough history of misusing young arms that we shouldn’t want to see him manage – and I say that as someone who has tried to help a few candidates of color get more consideration for managerial openings.

Charlie Lapin: Would you ever be interested in returning to the front office of a Major League club? Why or why not?
Klaw: I’ve answered this before and my response is still the same: I don’t close any doors, but I will only take a job that makes sense for my family. My daughter is 9 now and I don’t regret any of the time I’ve been able to spend with her rather than sitting in an office or an airport.

Nick: Kyle Schwarber appears to have some adjustments to make now that pitchers have exposure to him. Can’t imagine his struggles hold up though. Thoughts?
Klaw: He got to the majors awfully fast – we’re not even having this conversation with other kids from his draft class. I do think he’ll be fine in time, just perhaps not the MVP type that the early hype bestowed upon him.

Jay: Any optimism for Rio Ruiz next year? Is it still likely he is the 3B of the future for the Braves
Klaw: After this year I’m pretty down on him. How does anyone hit for that little power and hope to play a corner in the majors?

John: What are your thoughts on Domingo Santana? Average regular or 4th outfielder or more?
Klaw: Star tools, but fourth outfielder approach.

Anonymous: Between J Parker and Williamson, do the SFGS have a future starting outfielder?
Klaw: I think it’s more likely Williamson than Parker.

Tim: Who is the better prospect going forward G. Torres or Y. Moncada?
Klaw: Moncada has more upside at the plate, but Torres is definitely a shortstop. I’d take Moncada right now because of his age and physical maturity, and I think we know more about his bat than we do about Torres. They’re both studs though.

Matt: If you ever emigrated from the US it would be to (where) and (why)?
Klaw: Either some place warm or some place with great food (Italy, probably, since that’s where my people come from too). But any other country will likely have its own problems as a tradeoff.

Tom: So our big lesson of the week is that Harper needs to learn to play the game the “right way.” But just once, I want to see a guy play the game the “wrong way.” What would he do? Run to third after hitting the ball? Chuck the ball in the stands to stop the clock because his team is out of timeouts? Take a dive at the plate so the ump awards a penalty kick?
Klaw: Barry Svrluga’s piece from the other day covered this well, defending Harper in a way without coming off as unfavorable. Harper’s makeup is not and has never been a concern, except to idiots.

Andy: Cy Young ballot is only 3 deep right? If so, there should only be three people who get votes.
Klaw: It was expanded to five after the whole imbroglio in 2009 that some tiny fraction of Cardinals fans still can’t get over or get right.

Adam Trask: Is Starlin Castro more valuable as a second baseman or as a trade piece for a team that needs a shortstop?
Klaw: I don’t think many teams view him as a shortstop; he just wasn’t very good there defensively. But he might have a lot of trade value to a team that needs a second baseman.

Glen: How good can Kaprielian be?
Klaw: Mid-rotation starter good? It’s not a huge fastball, but there are a lot of quality mid-rotation starters or better who work with average to slightly above-average fastballs because they have at least two of command, life, or secondary weapons.

Tom Christopher: Will Jacob Gatewood ever make enough contact to even sniff the big leagues, or is there way too much swing and miss?
Klaw: My guess is he gets to the majors but doesn’t become a regular for the reason you outlined. He’s like Michael Gettys: if it clicks, you get a star, but the probability that it clicks is low.

Liam: Is Rougned Odor the next breakout 2B in the same way that Cano emerged without great fanfare at first? What do you think is Odor’s ceiling at this point?
Klaw: All-Star ceiling.

Papelboner: I thought you don’t believe in clubhouse chemistry. If true, then why should the Nats get rid of Papelbon?
Klaw: Choking a teammate is not a clubhouse chemistry issue. It’s assault and freaking battery.

Skippy: Thank you for reffering to it as a “tiny fraction”. As a cardinals fan I get sick of being judged as arrogant because there’s a group who always refers to themselves as “the best fans in baseball”. Likely the same group who complains about it. My experience with them is those ones are the worst fans but every fan base has to have black sheep
Klaw: Exactly – every fan base has its clown car. They just come out more when the team is winning. Except for the Cubs’ fan base, where the clown car had “Junior Lake for MVP” bumper stickers on it.

TJ: Which would you rather have going into 2016- Detroit with Ausmus as manager and that bullpen full of gas cans or the Nats with Williams at the helm and a bullpen that still includes Papelbon? Death not an option…
Klaw: Woof. I actually think the Nats could have won in spite of Williams if they’d been healthy all year. They weren’t healthy, so they weren’t good enough to overcome his derpity derp.

Enad: If you could have one of these become a reality tomorrow which would it be: DH in both leagues; Banning the Phantom DP; Banning the 3-0 “Gentleman’s Strike;” Robotic Ball/Strike ump machine?
Klaw: I want them all, of course. I think the DH in the NL is the easiest to implement and does the most to enhance the fan experience.

NICK: What are your thoughts on Jake Bauers?
Klaw: It’s a really tough profile. A prospect, not an elite one. Wish he was a better athlete and/or played another position.

Jim: Do you think the M’s made the right choice with Dipoto over Eppler or Jeff Kingston?
Klaw: I think DiPoto was an excellent choice, but that’s no knock on Kingston or Eppler. They wanted someone with experience, and DiPoto has had to deal with a similar payroll issue (heavily invested in a few players who may not earn their pay) before.

Ridley Kemp: I don’t think “narrative” is a good way to pick a Cy Young or MVP since we can measure the value of players with a reasonable degree of certainty. That doesn’t seem to be true of managers, though. Is “narrative” as good as any way to pick a manager of the year? Just pick the guy whose team overachieved and give him or her credit for it? Is there a better way to go about it?
Klaw: There is no good way to pick MOY in my opinion. Honestly if someone told me they voted for the guy who called for the fewest non-pitcher sac bunts regardless of team record I’d shake his hand.

Rick: Coppolella seems like a smart guy, but needs a whole lot of work on public speaking.
Klaw: I don’t think public speaking is a critical part of being a GM. People often confuse eloquence with intelligence. I can think of at least one former GM who is highly articulate but is an empty suit, and I feel very strongly that Latino candidates for GM spots are at a huge disadvantage because they interview in their second language and their interviewers subconsciously downgrade the candidates’ acumen.

Wade: We know your love of CHVRCHES and other synch-pop type music, but have I missed your thoughts on Purity Ring’s newest album?
Klaw: You may have since I wrote about it in the spring. I liked a few singles but the deeper tracks were very disappointing, and I hate the production through which they put her voice.

El Chapo Jr: Roasted Cheese filled squash blossoms? Yes or no?
Klaw: Deep fry them suckers.

Scott of Lincolnshire: For all of these questions on “can prospect xyz hit 30 home runs in the MLB?”, note that Rizzo just barely got past 30 home runs and Bryant isn’t going to get there this year. And those are two guys who have legit power. Bottom line: 30 home runs are hard to hit in a single season.
Klaw: They are now, but I’ll forgive fans who got very used to 30 HR during the first decade of the century.

Derek: Hey Keith, love your chats. See that you like metal–my 15yr old son and I recently got to watch Metallica FROM THE STAGE. Pretty amazing deal–my kid has no clue how lucky is is.
Klaw: That’s amazing because as far as I’m concerned Metallica vanished from the face of the earth before the end of the first track on the black album.

Enad: If you were a GM would you offer Rich Hill a guaranteed, incentive-filled, $2M MLB contract with a top end of, say $12M based on starts or or $5M based on appearances?
Klaw: I like your thinking. But i bet someone guarantees him more than that. I truly don’t know what to make of his September. It has to be fool’s gold, right? Right? Who’s with me here?

Brian G.: Has your music taste changed over the years? If so how? Obligatory thanks for continuing to host these chats!
Klaw: Absolutely it has. I’ve become much more open-minded as I’ve aged, and I also tend to steer away from more derivative stuff because I’ve been an avid music fan for more than 30 years now and it’s easy for me to hear something and think “I’ve heard this before.”

Theodore Williams: Confusing eloquence with intelligence….sounds like you were talking about the POTUS.
Klaw: That’s a different fallacy: confusing someone holding differing political or economic views from yours as a sign of a lack of intelligence. You may dislike Obama’s policies, but I think he’s one of the most intelligent Presidents we’ve had in my lifetime. Jimmy Carter is pretty bright and many of his policies ran from bad to disastrous.

JF: What’s the ceiling on Erick Fedde, and how do you think he has looked so far?
Klaw: Third starter, maybe fourth. Slider hasn’t come all the way back yet. More volatile than most because we don’t know if there’s more to come as he works his way back.

Matt: Do you have a recommended source to discover new music?
Klaw: Me! Seriously, I don’t have a single source, but part of why I spend time hunting is to curate these lists so readers don’t have to do it.

Adam Trask: Even smart, analytical GMs choose “leader of men” managers over strategists. Could it be we underrate the Mathenys of the world?
Klaw: I’d say we don’t know how to rate them. There is absolutely a black box aspect to the job that can’t be measured or even fairly discussed by outsiders, so we focus on we can see, which is OH MY GOD STOP BUNTING.

Aaron: Anything to get excited about for the Phillies next year?
Klaw: A lot, right? Nola, Eickhoff, Franco, maybe Crawford, possibly Thompson and Williams, maybe Knapp – there’s a lot on its way. They do need some impact starting pitching, but this is a great free agent market for that and it would make sense to look at grabbing one of those guys.

Khal Drogo: Do you ever play any of the longer-form board games (that aren’t really meant to be played in one sitting)? Do you enjoy that kind of experience?
Klaw: I’m not sure what games you mean; I haven’t played anything longer than Agricola, which is two hours or so and I would consider very long.

Jason: Hi Keith. Thanks for hosting all of us. Do you think the Tigers have enough in place to bounce back into contention next year?
Klaw: I don’t, and I don’t think that’s the right strategy at the moment. The division should be very tough, with Cleveland not far off, KC still strong, and the Twins maybe one good starter away from a possible 90 win ceiling with full seasons from Sano and Buxton. Plus the Tigers have too many holes to fill in one winter.

Stinky Rodney: Is there a type of prospect that is the most “fun” to scout? Insane power? Nasty breaking ball? Incredible fielding?
Klaw: I love seeing guys who do anything that seems superhuman like that. Jose Iglesias fielding, Andrelton Simmons throwing, Bryce Harper’s power, Billy Hamilton running. Part of why I love JP Crawford as a prospect is that he does everything so freaking easily.

El Chapo Jr: How soon until your FA rankings come out?
Klaw: After the World series, I think. I do have to write those soon.

Rick: Is Lucas Sims’ stock back up for you at all? They aggressively promoted him after he returned from the bus crash, and he held his own. He’s gotten his strikeouts back.
Klaw: He’s been better, yes, although I may have rated him too highly after that first year.

Derek: Do you think Michael Reed can handle CF?
Klaw: I’d try it. He’s a pretty good athlete and that’s a hell of a player (with those OBP skills) if he can even be average.

Stan: Pretty amazing season NOBODY is talking about: Abreu joined Pujols as the ONLY person in MLB history with 30HR/100RBI. I know Donaldson/Trout will win MVP, but Abreu 3rd?
Klaw: It wasn’t an amazing season at all; he’s a DH with a .348 OBP and a .506 SLG playing half his games in a good HR park. He wouldn’t make my top 20 if I had an AL MVP ballot.

Greg P: Do you think Miguel Almonte helps the Royals anytime soon? Reliever or Starter?
Klaw: I think he ends up a starter. Maybe a reliever in the short term.

Jason: How does traffic on this chat compare with the old ESPN chats?
Klaw: I don’t know, but these are much easier for me to handle, and when I need to reschedule I can just do it myself.

Andy: When did you start HP with your daughter? I’m worried about starting too soon because of the darker later books.
Klaw: Three months before she turned 8. We finished seven months later. She did fine.

Matt in Portland: The Astros could potentially play sunday in Arizona, Monday in Minnesota, Tuesday in Anaheim and Wednesday in New York. Can we take a vote to make this happen?
Klaw: I’m only a member of Team Entropy – Jay Jaffe is President for Life – but sign me up.

El Chapo Jr: Why havent more franchises taken over minor league franchises from a ownership point of view? It seems like the development process could be streamlined even more.
Klaw: It is the inevitable outcome. I also think it’s high time MLB leans on the Carolina League to add two more teams; owners there have resisted it because they are propping up their own franchise values, but we don’t need teams in Bakersfield or High Desert, and there are plenty of towns in the VA-NC-SC corridor that can support A-ball clubs.

Alex in Austin: The move of the year was the kid writing his thesis on how GM’s are undervalued. Guaranteed internship. It’s like winning an Oscar for a movie making heroes out of Hollywood.
Klaw: And that happens only … oh, every year, actually. That’s all for this week. I believe I’ll be able to chat on Thursday next week and the week after that as well. No Periscope this week due to Bristol travel. Sorry about that, but thank you as always for reading and for all of your questions!

Re-education for the infants. It’s Klawchat.

Bill Brewtown: Brewers on the Upgrade with new GM ?
Klaw: I believe they are, although I have a real issue with a process where the candidate was apparently selected before they even discussed or interviewed other candidates. It’s a death knell for candidates of color. That’s absolutely nothing against Stearns, but against ownership. That said, they needed better analytical capabilities, which he’ll bring, and an overhaul in player development, which I don’t know if he brings.

Chris: With a very strong AFL performance — could Lucas Sims get into a top 100 prospect list?
Klaw: I can only speak to my own list, which doesn’t have anything to do with small-sample performances like the AFL would present.

Jay R.: Keith, I don’t disagree with you on this, I’m just curious as to your logic: what’s the difference between your stated rationale that potential future career success should factor in to Rookie of the Year voting, and another voter who thinks an MVP candidate should get a boost for playing on a contending team?
Klaw: The MVP rules say explicitly that the winner doesn’t have to be on a playoff team, and considering his team’s record introduces his teammates into an individual award. For the record, though, I’ve never argued that potential future success should be a major variable in ROY voting. I think player age should be a major one – a 28-year-old and a 20-year-old having the same season statistically aren’t equally impressive.

Dana: How good is Greg Bird? Seems like he’s a star in the making with patience, power and at least adequate D at first.
Klaw: Below average defense, probably a low average hitter, but 25-30 homers with a slew of walks is still a hell of a player and maybe a star.

Hudson vs Zito!!!!: Hey Keith! I apologize if you’ve answered this already, but your thoughts on Sean Nolin in Oakland? Do you think he could be a solid “middle of the rotation” guy?
Klaw: Nope, back-end starter at best for me. Big guy with iffy stuff and below average athlete.

John Houser: The Reds are featuring all rookies in the rotation. Any of these guys a long term solution?
Klaw: Lamb for sure. Iglesias probably. Finnegan is a reliever. Desclafani I’m not sold on but he has had an excellent season.

drew: Do you have any concerns over letting Arrieta finishing the game last night? I see a 29 year old who keeps himself in ridiculous shape and is completely capable of going 120 once in a while. His chances on CY?
Klaw: I don’t. He was facing a AAA lineup anyway.

Matt: It’s only been 30 or so games but how concerned are you about Buxton?
Klaw: Zero percent concerned because it’s only been 30 or so games … but it’s clear that Correa was the right call at 1-1 over him back in 2012.

Matt: Better career: Dansby or Brendan Rodgers?
Klaw: Rodgers.

HawkTalk: Keith, play Kreskin for us. When and where will Tony Kemp get his big league shot?
Klaw: Why should he? I don’t get the fascination. Poor defender, zero power, probably 5’4″, and didn’t hit in AAA.

Jay P.: Keith, do you think Harper will be a unanimous MVP this year?
Klaw: No because of narratives and because there are definitely writers who dislike him for having a personality.

Kevin: How high could you see Anderson Espinoza getting to next year? Is AA out of the question?
Klaw: My guess is he’ll be on some sort of workload limit that will keep him from advancing that fast.

Kyle: Does McCullers have a chance to stick as a starter or do you still see him as a closer long-term?
Klaw: Has the three pitches to start but not the command right now.

John: Bogaerts has been hitting for a little bit more power recently. Can he be a 20-25 HR guy?
Klaw: I think so – ball comes off his bat well, has the bat path to hit for power.

Howey: Just started college this week. During undergrad or graduate school did you ever envision yourself working in/around baseball for your career?
Klaw: Never. And I’m not sure if I would have done anything different if I had. Obviously playing baseball would have helped but with my size and metabolic disorder that wasn’t in the cards.

Anonymous: What do you think was Mets thinking in taking Cecchini over Seager in the 2012 draft?
Klaw: Seager would have required an over slot bonus and the Wilpons just don’t do that.

Ben: Before watching Lindor over the past few months would you have said the offensive profile of JP Crawford was similar? We can’t expect this of JP, right?
Klaw: Yes, I would have, and yes, I think we can.

Dave: Do you think Miller and Betances control issues are linked to their usage this season?
Klaw: I think it’s a fair question to ask but impossible to prove either way. I would love to see them get a few days off before the playoffs though.

Dan: More success in the next 5 years: Cubs or Astros?
Klaw: Cubs. Astros might have more talent in the system but Cubs have more predictable talent and will likely have a lot more money to spend.

Christian: Who should Braves target early in next year’s draft?
Klaw: Best player available, regardless of position. There’s no clear 1-1 in the draft right now, or even clear top two, so I wouldn’t pin them down to any player or class of players.

Chris, Larchmont: The playoffs are all about riding the hot hand. Am I crazy to think the Mets should start Matz in Game 1 of NLDS? He’s got plus stuff and, at the moment, has less questions than Harvey or even deGrom.
Klaw: The “hot hand” does not exist. It’s a myth. The few studies that purport to show that it does all end up exposed as having major methodological flaws.

Daniel: Do you support reseeding after the regular season, or sticking with current playoff format? NL Central is gonna get screwed by the current format, but this is a pretty rare circumstance
Klaw: I don’t like changing rules in response to one outlier circumstance that is just a question of (subjective) fairness.

Frank: You generally had positive things to say about Schwarber, but you justifiably ranked him low on your lists due to defensive concerns and whether he’d find a spot on the field. Are there any guys in the near future who might be low on your ranks but have a similar high floor if they can get on the field?
Klaw: Bird would have been higher if I thought he could play good defense at first (on which I’m not sold). AJ Reed still isn’t very good at first but obviously he can hit.

James: About when should we expect your offseason prospect extravaganza on espn?
Klaw: End of January. Takes me a good month to put it all together.

Nick: What would be a reasonable trade package for the Red Sox to give up for Matt Harvey?
Klaw: If I’m the mets I’m insisting on one of the big 3 of Bogaerts, Betts, or Swihart, plus two other guys from the system. Ask for the moon and you might get it. The problem is that Boston can just say screw you, we’re going to go sign two elite starter free agents.

Godd Till: Have you read Underworld? Have you caught Norris’s last two starts? Thoughts on either?
Klaw: Haven’t and won’t read it. Norris looked so much better last night – stuff seems to be all the way back now.

Will: Who’s the next breakout stud from the Cubs after Torres and Contreras this year?
Klaw: Cubs fans gettin’ all greedy now.

Seth: Tim Anderson’s ceiling?
Klaw: Above-average everyday shortstop. Good defense, avg, low OBP, some pop.

Django: Chance that Appel turns out to be a better 1-1 than Bryant? (And is it true the Cubs preferred Appel?)
Klaw: Don’t think there’s a chance of that, and I have mixed intelligence on their prefs so I don’t know.

Tony: Any scouting updates on Luis Ortiz from the end of the season?
Klaw: Heard he was 95-97 again but in short bursts. Still a big fan.

Nick: Frazier or Zimmer the better Indians OF prospect right now?
Klaw: Zimmer, not close for me. Saw Frazier in the playoffs – same issues with swinging and missing at stuff in the zone, not picking up spin. Reminded me of Michael Choice although choice was older.

Bobby: Hey Klaw. Corey Seager is a bad a**. That’s all I got.
Klaw: He is absolutely a badass, and over here you don’t have to censor yourselves!

Eric: Can the voters be wrong if any of the following 3 win the NL Cy Young between Greinke, Kershaw or Arrieta?
Klaw: I’m fine with any of them, but I don’t like Arrieta getting pushed up for the win total. Let’s do it for the right reasons, shall we?

Dave: Do they Mets re-sign both Murphy and Cespedes? I can’t see them sending Conforto down to make room next year.
Klaw: I think neither. Murphy isn’t worth the cost anyway and Cespedes seems likely to be overpaid based on August.

J: Starting Marilynne Robinson’s Houskeeping this week. If I remember correctly you liked it?
Klaw: Loved it. I adore her writing, and the prose in that book has this haunting sparse quality that I will never forget.

Mrs. Grichuk: Injured recently, but has Grichuk moved up to a legit daily corner OF as opposed to a platoon/4th OF?
Klaw: Not for me. I don’t think you can be an everyday corner guy with plate discipline that poor.

Chris Wilcox: How does Michael Conforto only have 12 PA vs lefties in almost 2 months in the majors? Considering the problems that Murphy, Duda, and Granderson have against left handed pitching, is he really any worse of a candidate to face lefties than they are? He seemed to hit lefties reasonably well in the minors, no?
Klaw: He’ll never learn to hit them if they don’t let him face them … and they’re winning that division so it’s not like they have to bench him to help the team right now.

MJ: What do you think the Jays SHOULD do with Osuna next year? Leave him as closer or stretch him out to start? If they start him, how would you manage his innings? Start him in the bullpen and stretch him out by ASB, shut him down early, skip starts, or some other way?
Klaw: Can’t just jump him to 180 innings, so I’d consider making him a sort of long reliever early in the season to stretch him out. I do think he should get a chance to start again.

Ed: I’ve heard that Dillon Cease’s fastball is looking good, but that his control isn’t there at all. Does this line up with where he was at pre-TJ? Is he progressing as you’d expect or is it still too early to tell? Thanks!
Klaw: He walked 16 in 25 innings about a year off surgery. I don’t think that’s remotely alarming or surprising. If he’s still walking 6 per 9 in 2017 I’d be worried.

Phil: Do you think the Mets are going to trade Harvey in the offseason?
Klaw: I think they’ll entertain offers, but if they do so, they almost have to get a young starter back because they traded away their depth in Fulmer and Meisner. Without Harvey they’re at five starters, with Colon presumably gone as a free agent, and of the five remaining three have had some kind of significant injury in the past.

Dave: Do we see james kaprielian up at some point next year?
Klaw: I think he could but the Yankees don’t always move recent draftees aggressively. He’s more command than pure stuff so I think he’ll rip apart A ball next year.

Tom: I think it’s interesting that Twitter/Chat Klaw says that Arreita shouldn’t get pushed up for the Wins total, but BBTN Klaw last night mentioned Arrieta’s 20 wins as something that could be considered. Is it harder in a live forum like that to dispel certain stats especially when your co-hosts are bringing it up?
Klaw: Hold on a minute. I specifically said on the show that won-lost records shouldn’t be considered, but that some voters do consider them and that would help his candidacy. There’s a difference between me arguing who should win and me predicting who will win.

Dan: How did Jake Thompson look when you saw him pitch against Bowie?
Klaw: 90-93, above avg cb, avg-ish SL, handful of mid-80s changeups. Fourth starter who could end up a three or better due to his command and control. Delivery works too, very compact and online to the plate.

Rob: Thoughts on Molly Knight’s comments regarding Yadi?
Klaw: I think she’s generally right in the sense that they are not the same team without him calling games. They’re not dead, but it’s hard to replace what he does with that staff.

Dan: If anybody is going to pull away from the pack and be the clear-cut No. 1 overall pick next year, who’s most likely to do that?
Klaw: The one guy I haven’t seen in this group, Alec Hanson at Oklahoma, was up to 98 in their fall scout day with an above avg slider. Listed at 6’7″, 235. He could end up pulling a Gerrit Cole and separating himself quickly.

Scott: Do you think the Giants re-sign Marlon Byrd? Relatively cheap, and while he isn’t awesome, he’s likely better than anybody else they’d throw out there in LF? Horrible contact rate, but does have some pop.
Klaw: Not on Williamson? I think he can be more productive than what’s left of Byrd, who can’t play defense and as you said is a one-trick guy at the plate.

Rob: How did Kang do vs. what you thought he’d do, and how do you think his success will affect the bidding on Park?
Klaw: I rated him pretty highly – top 15 free agent last winter, thought he’d get about twice as much as he did. I don’t think anything will fully convince GMs that Korean hitters or Japanese hitters are safe bets.

Lars: What have you heard about Nick Gordon. Seems like he really raked for the last 3 months of the season. Do you think he’s a top 100 guy?
Klaw: He was a top 100 guy last winter and he still is one for me. High-contact SS with a chance for more pop than Dee.

Chris H.: Heard the new Chvrches yet (it’s streaming on NPR)? If so, initial thoughts?
Klaw: I’m streaming it right now. I’d already heard 4-5 songs though – “Leave a Trace” might be my favorite song of theirs.

Scott: Good call on Williamson, from my earlier question. Are Beede or Crick ready to join the rotation next year? Thanks again for keeping these chats going. I’m sure I’m speaking for many when I say “thank you.”
Klaw: Don’t think so. Crick has to go to the bullpen; Beede is now throwing 88-89 mph sinkers, his slider has backed up, and he had a 5.60 ERA in AA with bad peripherals.

Justin: Thoughts on Stephen A’s tweet about Andrew Miller as non-closer? Don’t know how you deal with working for that network.
Klaw: It was a scorching hot take. You’d have to be quite ignorant of baseball to think of Miller as some generic reliever; he’s been elite for a little while now, and the comparison to Rivera is absurd because Mo is the best one-inning closer in history.

Nick: From a “readiness” standpoint, who would you feel more comfortable slotting into your opening day rotation next year between Urias, Giolito, or Appel?
Klaw: Appel over Giolito way over Urias.

Jay: Re: Coghlan’s slide, something being commonplace and accepted also doesn’t make it ok.
Klaw: Also true. Like, say, ~39 states lacking any laws banning discrimination against transgender people.

Bob: How highly do you rate Yogi Berra? Not to speak ill of the dead, but it seems that some of his ranking by most is due to his being on some great Yankee teams. Looking at the stats, none of his three MVP awards was deserved. Ted Williams smoked him twice but didn’t play on a championship team those years.
Klaw: I think he’s been overrated because of the teams on which he played, the city in which he played, and his personality. His teammates adored him, the media adored him, the fans adored him, he even got a boost because George Steinbrenner treated him like garbage. Definitely a HoFer though.

Kirk: How does Max Kepler fit into the Twins plans over the next year? Don’t expect him to start the the season in the bigs, but by July I would think he’d be banging on the door…
Klaw: Right field? I know they want to re-sign Hunter, but he’s terrible – as predicted – and they need to move on from that nonsense.

Javier: Hot take: Wu-Tang Clan is or is not something to fuck with?
Klaw: Sources say they are not.

Jeff: Didi Gregorious has been a pleasant surprise after a rough start to the season. He will probably finish with a 3 fWAR season. Is that a reasonable expectation for him or is there more upside?
Klaw: Maybe a little more avg. Otherwise this is what I thought he would be.

Tom: I know you disdain the IBB in nearly all cases, but last night Scioscia IBB’d the winning run with 2 outs in the 9th to face Gattis, a guy who strikes out a lot and doesn’t get on base much. And, presto, he struck out to end the game. Because this actually worked, does it make it good strategy for the situation?
Klaw: I think the math on that one – and like it or not, the IBB is a math question, not a question of what your gut flora tell you – is complex, because Gattis isn’t really a major league hitter. Guys with .275 OBPs (or .500 OBPs) probably fall outside the probability distributions covered by run expectancy charts. Gattis vs any RHP with a decent breaking ball is a bad matchup for Houston, to the point where they should be PH for him late in games.

Chris H: physical newspapers or digital?
Klaw: I haven’t gotten a physical paper in over a decade. I do still read physical books as well as e-books.

Bob: Regarding take-out slides, isn’t the concept of physically interfering with a fielder doing his job contrary to the entire spirit of the game? It’s not a contact sport. For instance, we don’t let players use their hands to knock the ball out of a fielder’s glove (like A-Rod a few years ago).
Klaw: It’s also against the rules. If you’ve been called out, and then go walk over to the guy with the ball and put him in a chokehold, you’re going to get suspended. Why wouldn’t sliding into the guy with your knees up get the same response?

Jonny Bison: I have a ten-month old daughter, and I have found myself throttling back career ambitions so that I can devote more time/energy to fatherhood. I know that you have made similar decisions. Do you think there is an age your daughter will reach where you will start considering career options that you aren’t currently?
Klaw: She’s nine and I’m not really there. If anything I want to be home more than ever because we can do so many more things together. We cook together, we read together, we play boardgames together, we’re going apple picking this weekend, I want to teach her to ride a bike this fall … I’d be nuts to want less time at home.

Zach: Astros DH next season is……?
Klaw: Reed or White.

Troy: pretty sure you’re the biggest brewers hater I’ve ever seen? Why is that? You hate the process for hiring a new gm, but they interviewed brooks, bloom, kantrovitz and Montgomery too. you hate the players, hate the former GM, hate the farm system, hate the owner. Why are you so negative? did gord ash do something to you in Toronto? You’re like a little girl.
Klaw: Sorry, I had to stop laughing before I could answer this. You’re the one having a tantrum in my chat, but I’m “like a little girl” (which is offensive to me as the father of a little girl who could quite easily put you in your place). As for the interview process, I know a lot more about it than you do – including where your list of candidates is wrong.

Ben: Keith, why do we still hear the title “best hitter in baseball” assigned to Miggy? He’s had an extraordinary career, but isnt BHIB currently pretty clearly Number 34 in red? (Unless one thinks he has had a career year at age…22.
Klaw: It’s like an honorific or some crap like that. Miggy’s a great hitter still but not what he was a few years ago and of course not likely to stay healthy for 160 games any more.

Joe: Just saw Neftali Feliz pop up with Detroit, hadn’t seen his name in a while. What went wrong/never materialized for him?
Klaw: Wasn’t quite the same after injuries. Maybe wasn’t that good to begin with but the arm was so electric we were all seduced by it.

JP: Klaw – if your daughter is with a friend’s family and they say, “hey we want to take the girls to McDonalds” how do you respond?
Klaw: Fine with me. My daughter might not be pleased though.

JP: Joe Sheehan tweeted that there are now 4 NL Central teams with analytic front offices…..and the Reds. True or False?
Klaw: Brewers aren’t there yet. Maybe in a year.

Pat: Would you sign Jason Heyward to play CF, or just keep him in a corner?
Klaw: Probably in a corner, to avoid a risk of injury.

Chuck: Who is one player that the media fawns over that really drives you nuts? Someone they waaaaay overrate?
Klaw: Francoeur came up earlier this summer. Torii Hunter. Not a player but the idea that Showalter can do no wrong here – when every one of his previous stops has seen him wear out his welcome faster than a vegan in a butcher shop – perplexes me.

Ben: Keith, why do we still hear the title “best hitter in baseball” assigned to Miggy? He’s had an extraordinary career, but isnt BHIB currently pretty clearly Number 34 in red? (Unless one thinks he has had a career year at age…22.
Klaw: It’s like an honorific or some crap like that. Miggy’s a great hitter still but not what he was a few years ago and of course not likely to stay healthy for 160 games any more.

Kris Bryant: Better question is, why is Coghlan playing almost every day which leaves Soler or Baez (or both) on the bench.
Klaw: Veteran presents?

JP: Joe Sheehan tweeted that there are now 4 NL Central teams with analytic front offices…..and the Reds. True or False?
Klaw: Brewers aren’t there yet. Maybe in a year.

Ryan: What are your thoughts on the new developments in the Patrick Kane case and do you think he should be allowed to still play while he is being investigated for these charges?
Klaw: NHL has the right to suspend him pending resolution and then to conduct its own investigation to determine his fitness to play. And they should.

Oliver Samuel: How would you rank Conforto’s tools and has his performance in the majors increased what you think his fielding ceiling is?
Klaw: No, I thought he could be a solid avg defender in left even on draft day. (Thanks to Rising Apple Blog for digging that up earlier this week.) 60/65 hit, 55 power, 50 glove, I think a 50 or better arm, and while it’s not a tool his plate discipline is plus-plus.

Robert: Coghlan plays because he has a 3.1 fWAR this year, while Soler and Baez have combined for a 0.5 fWAR.
Klaw: Soler and Baez had lower WARs because they were hurt/in the minors. On June 15th Kyle Schwarber had a 0.0 fWAR. Maybe they shouldn’t have played him at all after that?

Pat: Is Jorge Posada a HOFer?
Klaw: Not for me, but he’ll get 30-40% of the vote or so. The sad thing is he would have a much better case if they hadn’t buried him behind Girardi till Jorge turned 26.

Ryan: I really enjoyed the movie reviews you used to do more frequently here on the Dish. What some of your favorite movies you have seen in 2015?
Klaw: I lost my movie buddy (Nick Piecoro) when I left Phoenix. I’ve seen Inside Out and Birdman and I think that’s it. It’s awful.

Jeff: One of my favorite articles you wrote was Tim Raines and the HOF. On that note, do you think that Harper’s season is easier to overlook because Trout accomplished these numbers 2-3 years prior?
Klaw: Thank you. That’s possible, although I think Harper having a personality has hurt him more. Remember when Boswell called him the 7th-best player in their lineup? I don’t know how you look at his skillset and say something like that.

Chris H.: Hot dogs: (a) avoid at all costs; (b) fine, in moderation; or (c) more please?
Klaw: I eat maybe one or two a year.

Will: Why does it seem like the O’s have so much trouble with young pitching (Matusz, Arrieta – before he left, Gausman, Tillman, injuries to Harvey/Bundy)? Is it just the natural risk involved with young arms or do you see an issue in their system?
Klaw: Any time you see that many arms fail to pan out in a short period of time you have to at least consider the most likely explanation that it is a systemic problem, and try to rule that out before accepting that it’s a fluke. Showalter has definitely moved too many guys on the rubber to their detriment. And I’ve now heard a few times from different sources about him and their former pitching coach getting into huge arguments with Arrieta.

Chris H.: Do you or does someone else decide the “sports coat, no tie” look on BT?
Klaw: The exec overseeing BBTN this year dispensed with ties. I’m thrilled – I have always found them uncomfortable and I think dressing more casually lends itself to us being more loose on set. Eduardo and I have been joking around on the show a lot this week and I don’t think that’s a coincidence.

Harrison: Does Austin Meadows develop 25 homerun power? Still a Jay Bruce comp?
Klaw: It is in there but he has to hit the ball on a line more and less on the ground. I’m still a believer because he’s young and the pirates do develop players well.

Ed_____: Wow. And so another kitten is lost needlessly.
Klaw: When the current mass extinction event hits Felis catus, you’ll know who to blame. That’s all for this week’s chat – thank you so much as always for joining me. I’ll be on the late BBTN tonight right after the Dodgers/Dbacks game, and on Thursday night as well. Next Periscope and Klawchat will be next week and my annual “players I got wrong” piece will go up tomorrow. Thanks again!