Klawchat, 7/25/24.

My ranking of the top 60 prospects in baseball is now up for subscribers to The Athletic.

Keith Law: I’m sick and I’m tired of reasoning. Klawchat.

Not Bryce Harper: Can the Phillies realistically add a good relief pitcher and RH hitting OF without giving up Painter, Miller and Crawford?
Keith Law: I would think so – those types of deadline adds don’t usually return top 50ish prospects.

Patrick: What gets you excited about a prospect?
Keith Law: Talent – and that comes in many forms. It can be big tools, athleticism, explosiveness, or even just great instincts. I just like good players.

Patrick: My beloved Brewers seem to be achieving with smoke and mirrors. Should I be anxious they don’t move pitchers up as aggressively as young hitters, or trust in their track record?
Keith Law: I’d look at the individual pitchers – is there someone they aren’t moving up fast enough? I don’t think that’s the case.

Sevento: If you had been drafting at pick 16, and intended to overslot Carter Johnson at pick 56, who would you have taken?
Keith Law: I don’t think I can fairly answer that question because I don’t know the signability of the other options. Could I have gotten Ryan Waldschmidt at the same price Morlando got? (I doubt Waldschmidt/his agent knew he was sliding to 31.)

TomBruno23: Enjoyed that updated Top 60 and, as a BFIB, great to see J.J. Wetherholt slotted in at #22. Also, unsolicited rec that the Arjun Nimmala doc on MLB.tv was entertaining.
Keith Law: I’m willing to bet on Wetherholt getting healthy, especially being with a new training staff. It really is a fantastic swing & approach.

KC: Is Dansby Swanson done? Or was he never that great to begin with?
Keith Law: Bit fast to give up on a guy after a really solid year in 2023, no?

Rick Rude: What do you think of Luke Dickerson getting 3.8m? Were teams valuing him as the top ~22 pick that this would entail?
Keith Law: I had heard of one or two teams (Yanks?) possibly on him in the late first. Good for him for getting paid. He’s pretty talented and I’m not going to bemoan a player getting $500K more than I might have thought he would get.

John: hey Klaw, do the Dbacks have the prospect depth to make significant additions. I know you’ve said they are pretty top heavy in the past.
Keith Law: I’d rather ask if it’s worth them giving up major prospects for what is basically a wild-card run. I’d be okay with them standing pat.

James: Has your opinion on the runner on 2nd to start extras changed at all? Do you like it? I thought I remember you didn’t like that change initially
Keith Law: I still hate it.

Troy: Is the Miz (Brewers) a reliever for sure? Could he help this year in that role?
Keith Law: I can not imagine a guy with that delivery AND that level of command/control ending up a starter.

James: So the Angels regret not trading Shohei you think?
Keith Law: I’m sure the baseball folks wish they had, but the owner is probably fine with the extra revenue he got in that last month-plus.

James: Saw your post about the NYT Crossword – great to see you do them also! I can only seem to do Monday and sometimes Tuesday but they get exponentially harder Wed-Sun – as the week progresses are you able to compete all days of the week? Or does it get too hard for you by a certain day?
Keith Law: They take me longer as the week goes on but I do finish every day – I think my streak is approaching 300 days now. I just hate the gimmick ones like today’s. I’m a traditionalist. My grandmother was a big crossword solver too. She used to buy the Star tabloid just to do its crossword.

Johnny Mo: Is Quinn Matthews a GUY at all?
Keith Law: He’s a real prospect. I don’t know if he’s a starter with that delivery.

Bye Bye Balboni: What would Jonathan India cost prospect wise for NYY? Also do you see any surprise bats become available next week? Market seems limited at this point. Thank you for all the great content!
Keith Law: Probably a better question for Ken or Jayson … I don’t track the trade market much.

James: Do you think Mike Hazen with the Dbacks ignores scouting and just uses your guide? He seems to grab guys you have ranked higher than most that are still on the board when he picks
Keith Law: I know they scout pretty heavily, but they’re just one of the scouting departments that values players along similar lines to me (Reds too).

Matt K: Thanks for chatting, Keith – love your stuff!  Big Brewer fan, and I notice a couple of ’23 drafted high schoolers who have made the top 60 today. Is Cooper Pratt a guy that isn’t far away from there?  Once he taps into more power??  Also has Eric Bitonti showed as much in ACL as one would hope to have him on that same track?  Thanks!
Keith Law: I love Pratt’s bat but I need to see more game power/hard contact and then I’ll buy in completely. Bitonti’s probably been a touch better than I expected – still striking out just slightly more than you’d like, but the hard contact is there.

James: Would you still take Dylan Crews over Paul Skenes if the draft was today?
Keith Law: Does Skenes have the splinker? He didn’t in college. That’s a huge difference for me.

Matt Murton Enthusiast: Where do you think Moises Ballesteros’ work behind the plate ends up on the 10 to 2014 Kyle Schwarber scale? Am I wrong in thinking the bat is ready for ’25?
Keith Law: Aside from his weight, he might also have the issue where the bat is ready well before his defense. 2025 might be aggressive but I wouldn’t say it’s impossible.

James: Hear a lot of chatter about the White Sox dealing Crochet… why not just sign him long term or keep him?
Keith Law: He’s already blown out once and had a shoulder issue in college. This is the most he’s ever pitched in a calendar year at least going back to HS.

John S: What’s a hypothetical package you’re putting together for a SP if you’re the Orioles? I’d love to include a current player on the roster (a la Mountcastle/Urias/Injured Mateo) but figure Seattle is the only team that would be interested.
Keith Law: Mountcastle + Norby + Basallo + 4th guy from lower in the system (Estrada?) should get you anyone on the market, no? Again, not my beat and I know I’m out of my lane here.

Howie: Hi Keith, thank you for your work and these chats. I know that you’ve been a bit lower on Spencer Jones than others, and this year he hasn’t done much to argue against your view of him. If you are the Yankees, would you let him go for a rental (maybe one additional year) of a player like a Rengifo? He can help, but will he really move the needle? I know Jones is becoming more like a lottery ticket – but I’d hate to lose out for a mid-return….
Keith Law: No, I wouldn’t give him up for a rental of a guy who may not even be worth a win for the rest of the year. Hold on to Jones and see if he can make adjustments … I am skeptical, because he really hasn’t done that before, and I don’t think he has Judge’s aptitude, but if you think in terms of expected value and there’s a 5% chance he can improve his approach for more contact, esp. in zone, that’s a superstar, and the value of 5% superstar and 95% up-and-down guy is probably more than the value of two months of Rengifo.

Mike: Hi Keith – As an M’s fan, I’m a little concerned that they are going to squander this incredible group of starting pitchers they have, since they were cheap in the offseason when it came to bolstering the offense. If you were the GM, would you dip into their wealth of prospects to add 1 or 2 of the better available bats before the deadline, or stand pat and let those bats mature? Thanks!
Keith Law: I’m not sure if calling them cheap is fair, but I would definitely be willing to part with Young, Arroyo, or Ford for an impact bat.

Buck: The Brewers don’t seem to trust Tyler Black anywhere in thr field. He’s fast, but has no arm. Seems odd they’ve completely abandoned 2B & until recently the OF. He hasn’t looked great at 1st. Is he a DH?
Keith Law: I think he can handle first base if he gets more reps there. He’s a good athlete. He just can’t really throw.

Oz: I know you don’t grade drafts, but are there any classes you think really stand out?
Keith Law: Loved the Reds, Dbacks, Nats, Rockies, Red Sox.

Howie: Roderick Arias – I get it that short season disappearing has an impact here, but do you send him to AFL to help him figure it out? Is it a lack of understanding of the strike zone? How worried should we be?.
Keith Law: He’s actually hit much better the last few weeks, which could be just randomness but I’d at least monitor to see if it lasts. I do expect a lot of these teenaged hitters in low A to have seasons where they struggle badly in the first half because they’re overmatched, and some of them turn the corner in the second half once they’ve figured some things out, made adjustments, etc. Not all, but some.

TFT: While the Red Sox have 5 players in your top 60, they are all position players. Are there any Sox pitchers close to making your top lists?
Keith Law: No … Perales was off to a great start but he blew out, and it’s a tough delivery to repeat. Wikelman’s a likely reliever. I liked the Tolle selection but he probably isn’t a top 100 type right now.

James: Rockies CF Brenton Doyle just a guy? Seems to be great at defense and the bat is OK? Haven’t looked at the box scores or advanced metrics on him but been impressed just watching
Keith Law: Elite defender, the bat is just OK but he’s benefited greatly from his environment. More than ‘just a guy’ as long as he’s a Rockie.
Keith Law: As in, I don’t think the bat holds up if he’s elsewhere.

Howie: Kamala has a big choice coming up. I recognize that picking a VP from a swing state is important. And people like Governors – so Shapiro has my interest a bit. But Mark Kelly has so many positives from my perspective. He has first hand knowledge (and is reasonable) on the border, swing state, combat pilot, first hand understanding of the importance of gun control. Seems like a slam dunk candidate. What do you think?
Keith Law: I agree. Kelly is #1 on my top 60 VP prospects ranking.

James: Thoughts on inflation in America?
Keith Law: It’s come down substantially. It’ll probably remain around where it is as long as the economy keeps growing at this rate – inflation is almost inevitable in an expanding economy. What we lack is comparable wage growth to balance it out, and that’s a complex problem to fix, although the weakness of our labor laws is one factor.

Zihuatanejo: Who among the Dodgers’ young starters is most likely to be included in a deadline trade package?  Who (if anyone) should be considered safe from a trade?
Keith Law: Don’t they need all/most of those guys, now and next year? I’m not sure I’d rush to trade any of them unless it’s for a multi-year starter candidate.

James: If you had to choose a coffee creamer flavor what flavor choosing?
Keith Law: I don’t use them, but I do think vanilla + coffee is a great flavor combination.

Tom: Keith, thank you for the chat. As a Mets fan, I am curious if Clifford would be “close” to a top 50 ranking, perhaps more like a 50-100th slot? Also, following Sproat, who do you view as their next best Pitching prospect? Big fan of your stuff on The Athletic.
Keith Law: Clifford’s a no. Plus-plus power, minus hit. Their next best pitching prospect is Jonah Tong. (Also, Jesus Christ what the hell is happening in Syracuse?)

Jack Z: Keith – the Braves don’t have any top 60 prospects currently and are starting to reach a point where position player depth could become an issue. Do you see any players in the system with future top 50 ceilings? Do you like their draft this year?
Keith Law: I am not a fan of leaning on HS pitching like that, but Caminiti was the best HS arm in the class and could end up a top 20 guy in a couple of years.

Chris: How far off was farmelo from your top 60? Would he be top 100 or does his swing and injury make it to be determined for you?
Keith Law: It’s all injury. He was on my top 50 in May, but ACL tears suck and speed/defense is a big part of his game.
Keith Law: That’s one of the more upsetting injuries of the year.

Jibraun: I’ve seen a lot about Wetherholt’s bat, but not much about his glove. How do you project his defense? And which position do you think he ultimately settled at?
Keith Law: 2B for me. Good hands, limited range at SS.

Ken: I guess the home run derby didn’t ruin Bobby Witt Jr. swing
Keith Law: Can we just kill that narrative? Throw it on the pile with the Verducci effect.

addoeh: With more NIL and scholarships coming to college baseball, at least for the SEC and maybe one or two other conferences, and the potential for for MLB to get rid of another level of the minors, how much is the calculus of the decision of signing vs college changing for HS seniors?  It seems MLB wants to outsource the cost of development to college baseball more and more.
Keith Law: I think it’s shifting substantially. I believe JJ Cooper tweeted that this was the lowest % of HS players to go in the top ten rounds? I know I noted it was the most college-heavy first round ever.

Zihuatanejo: Just for fun, which of your top prospects would make the best potential running mate for Harris?
Keith Law: Oh, Max Clark, hands down. He’d crush it. I don’t know his political views – this is just on personality.

Moke Rizzo: Thomas and Finnegan for George Klassen and a lotto ticket or two? Feels about right.
Keith Law: I might do that. Depends on the lotto ticket – Caba’s too much, Tait might be a little light?

Bob: Is the Democrat strategy going forward to replace any candidate that might not win the election regardless of the primary.
Keith Law: (charlie brown teacher noises)

Danny: Hey Keith! I suspect you won’t answer the speculative, but around where would you slot River Ryan if he wasn’t in the majors? (Yes I read the note!)
Keith Law: He was around 45 on the top 50 in May, so it’s not that speculative.

JeffG: Have you ever seen so many popup guys in a midseason list? Is it mostly promotions/draft class or is player dev driving it?
Keith Law: Oh I love it. Makes the job fun. All of the above – lot of graduations, a lot of guys falling (Colson, Lesko, Termarr), middling draft class that didn’t place a ton of guys on the list, and some real development wins.

Adam: What’re your thoughts on Kelenic so far this season? He has shown flashes of what he was supposed to be and has made some tangible change. Wish he would walk more than once a week though
Keith Law: I’m comfortable saying this is probably what he is. 2.5-3 WAR guy, could be more if he does learn to walk more than once a week.

KC: With thousands of minor league players, is it hard to keep track of them all? Is there something that makes you seek out what a certain player who wasn’t on your radar is doing now?
Keith Law: I don’t keep track of all of them, just a sliver off the top. If a scout mentions a player, or I notice some unusual production, I dig deeper.

Guest: Are you heading to Mondegreen next month? We’re really excited about it and have been looking for good two-player boardgames specifically good for travelling if you have any recs.
Keith Law: Yes, probably just two days of the four as I’m dropping my daughter off at college that week. Jaipur, Yokai Shuffle, Patchwork, That’s Pretty Clever, Silver & Gold all travel well and are good with two.

Andy: Is it bad the Salas is almost giving Cartaya vibes at this point? Obviously, I didn’t see either at this stage of their careers, but should San Diego be worried?
Keith Law: Very different to me.

Ben: I’m excited to see so many Red Sox prospects make the top 60 (and understand just because a player isn’t on the list doesn’t mean they are terrible). Has anything changed in their approach to drafting and scouting that has yielded so many exciting prospects? Or does this reflect that they’ve had a few years with really high draft picks?
Keith Law: I think they’re developing hitters better the last few years.

Scott: Speaking of the Orioles, who is a guy in their system that wasn’t on your radar in January that you now think could turn into a GUY ?
Keith Law: Arias & Estrada were well off the radar – I knew of them, but didn’t consider them near that top tier – who have taken steps forward this year. Interesting that their draft guys are not taking steps forward, though.

KC: Is there some possibility that the Trump shooting attempt was staged and that shooter is a patsy? Pretty odd he didn’t just spray bullets and stopped shooting so quickly and pretty odd that Trump who ran away the last time someone came near him acted so tough
Keith Law: No. I’m not interested in insane conspiracy theories.

Mike: Alec Burleson is a confusing guy for me. I wasn’t high on him coming up based on things I read. He doesn’t walk but doesn’t strike out. He squares the ball up really well and hits for power but is awful on defense. I remember you weren’t high on him. Any change? Maybe a guy you could use as a platoon bat at DH?
Keith Law: Yeah, that’s fair. Platoon DH and apparently a pretty solid DJ.

Kamala Harris: The early returns on Biden dropping out seem to be overwhelmingly positive right?
Keith Law: Yes. 100%.

Sevento: Xavier Edwards is looking like Luis Arraez with speed and solid 2B defense. Are you buying that he can be your Arraez replacement?
Keith Law: Doesn’t hit the ball hard enough.

addoeh: How much criticism should Hoyer get for never addressing 3rd since 2021?  Every option the Cubs have tried since they traded Bryant has been internal and had serious deficiencies going in (Wisdom, Bote, Madrigal, Morel, Mastrobuoni).
Keith Law: Well now it’s Shaw and Smith in line for the position so I think it’s been addressed – and I don’t blame them for giving Morel a shot given how hard he hits the ball.

James: I heard something interesting on the ESPN broadcast of the draft… talking about GM’s might be more incentivized to take college guys that will be in the majors soon to help make them look better sooner so can get new contract etc – any truth?
Keith Law: That has always been true. This was my 23rd draft and there has never been a time when this wasn’t the case.

Chris: Re: Top 60, do you have concerns with Eldridge?  I understand being limited to 1B lowers his value, but in comparing him with someone like Kurtz, they both appear to be 1B with power and Eldridge is two years younger with a year and a half of success at age appropriate levels
Keith Law: Eldridge is 6’7″ and has to prove he can control that giant strike zone.

Paul: Assuming the Nats are able to improve King’s approach (not a guarantee I understand), do you think he could justify his selection at number 10 on his own merits? I’ve seen mixed opinions on the selection and wanted to read your opinion on that specifically.
Keith Law: Yes. Loved the pick.
Keith Law: I liked King more than scouts/FO people I talked to over the spring.

Doug: Keith, please endure yourself to M’s fans and call the ownership cheap. We’ll love you forever.
Keith Law: Are they? I actually don’t know the answer to that.

Adam: Whatre your thoughts on Drake Baldwin?
Keith Law: At worst he’s a solid backup.

John: I have a question for you. Do you think there is any way to change the way we educate people regarding probabilities? It feels like we live in such a binary world today, which just feels so disorienting to me. Are concepts like expected value and randomness really too difficult to teach to the masses?
Keith Law: Yes, and I would much rather see American high schools teach statistics than calculus – even though I fucking loved calculus so much I took multivariate calculus as an elective in college. It’s just not useful.

Josh: Caveats of SSS and scouting the stat line given, are there signs that maybe Termarr Johnson is on the rebound/starting to figure it out? Saw he wasn’t on the Top 60 today, can he regain Top 60 status by the end of the year?
Keith Law: I know of no signs he’s rebounding. I saw him right before the ASB and the approach & swings were not good.

Gordon: Hey Keith! I suspect the Cubs agree with your Owen Caissie evaluation based on their handling of his development. What would you do with a player like him? Trade him before he makes the big leagues? The power is obvious but lots of other questions. Is it worth sticking with him in the 5% chance he puts it all together?
Keith Law: I’d be willing to trade him for something more than a rental.

Zirinsky: Hi Keith. What do you do as an organization when you have a team like the Yankees that looked amazing for 65 games or whatever and has now looked dreadful for 40 or so. Are there ways of determining which is “real” and which isn’t? And if they’re both “real,” then what? I guess the question is how much can a front office/coaching staff do when a team is playing so poorly.
Keith Law: Isn’t the most obvious explanation that they’re the team they’ve been for the last 105 games? That would always be my default answer unless the composition of the roster has changed in a significant way.

Mike: With high auto loan rates:  buy or lease ?
Keith Law: Isn’t leasing a terrible idea from a financial perspective? Not my area but I personally would not lease a car.

Chris P: Rough start for him in the bigs, but do you think Adam Mazur can be a 3-4 guy in a rotation?
Keith Law: More a 4-5.

Caleb: What’s the biggest message Dems need to send to voters this fall?  Other than ‘Fuck Trump – he needs to go’
Keith Law: If I were running comms for them I would not stop talking about abortion rights and Project 2025. And maybe educating all candidates on how to counter a Gish gallop.

Doug: Keith, how quickly do you think Seattle can move Emerson? If he can finish the year healthy and play in the ACL, is a 2025 AA debut and a late 2025 call up out of the question?
Keith Law: If he’s the guy I think he is that is not out of the question.

Jwr: Rumors of deals based on Mayo for Skubal.  Good potential deal for both sides?
Keith Law: I think Detroit has to try to get more, no? Not saying it’s an unfair deal, but you have to maximize what you get here.

Cody Schoenmann: Any thoughts on twenty one pilot’s new record ‘Clancy’?
Keith Law: I absolutely fucking hate that band.
Keith Law: HATE.

Rob: Saw Jarlin Susana was up to 103 recently and his K/9 rates are impressive.  Does he have the stuff to stay a SP or is he destined for backend of the bullpen in your opinion?
Keith Law: Almost certainly a reliever with the delivery and poor control.

Honkus Wagner: Have you noticed any meaningful changes in the Rockies scouting department/methodology the last couple of years? or are us fans doomed to continue suffering the meddlings of ownership. give me hope
Keith Law: Loved their draft this year. I think Danny Montgomery’s doing a good job.

Adam D.: What would you say is a reasonable timeline for Tibbs to land in San Francisco?
Keith Law: Possible end of 2025, at worst early 2026. Advanced SEC/ACC bats are getting there as fast as ever.

JR: Do you think Vientos has figured things out and can maintain this level going forward? Would you let Alonso walk, move Vientos to 1B and give Baty another shot at 3B this fall?
Keith Law: Yes and yes. I don’t think I want to invest long-term in Alonso.

C: It seems the Yankees have experienced almost system-wide regression (Jones, Arias, Warren etc). Is that the consensus around the industry or is there still some optimism that this is an aberration?
Keith Law: It’s been a rough year for them.

Mik: I definitely like Kelly too. I think Shapiro makes a ton of sense. Anyone else you like or don’t like for running mate?
Keith Law: Beshear is great on multiple levels, although if you think a candidate can help you win a state – and I’m not sure that’s true any longer – Kentucky’s pretty unlikely to flip blue. Cooper might be better for that reason.

JeffG: You’ve got a lot of Catchers on the list, how close was Ralphy Velazquez?
Keith Law: He’s not a catcher. He hasn’t caught a game all year.

romorr: Curious of your opinion on Mayo. Rumors of trading Mountcastle are out there. Would you personally do this to get Mayos bat in the lineup?
Keith Law: I’d much rather trade Mountcastle and promote Mayo than trade Mayo.

Punk in drublic.: Owen Cassie didn’t make your updated top 60, how close was he to making it and what were the reasons he didn’t make it?
Keith Law: Check the comments under the article.

Seth: What in the world has happened to Ke’Bryan Hayes? I knew there was a chance he would not hit for much power, but he has been a zero with the bat.
Keith Law: This has been a Pirates problem for a while – who has improved their power or at least contact quality since entering that system? – and I don’t have an answer.

JJoe: I didn’t drop out, I was forced out.
Keith Law: Once again, I am not interested in insane conspiracy theories.

Brent: How far down has Colson Montgomery slid?
Keith Law: He hasn’t been the same player since the back injury, on offense or defense.

Tartrazine: Was Luke Keaschall close to making the top-60?
Keith Law: No.

Adam: Is Pittsburgh the nicest park in baseball currently? Am in the best area?
Keith Law: My favorite MLB park.

Honkus Wagner: Noticed Xavier Isaac was off your top 60. he seems to be getting a lot of hype the last couple of months. curious what your thoughts are there
Keith Law: Also went into that at length in the comments. The hype is not justified.

The Sloth: First of all, Any Phish on your schedule this summer (Mondegreen is in your backyard, right?) Second, how worried are you about Dylan Lesko? Thanks!
Keith Law: Worried enough that he’s not on today’s update.

Ethan: Given the uncertainty around Marte and impending free agency of bader, what do you think the cost would be for the nets to acquire Luis Robert Jr. If they attach benintendi’s contract would that lower the acquisition cost?
Keith Law: I don’t think the White Sox are that concerned with saving money – they need to add talent any which way.

Corey: Which of Boston’s top prospects – Teel, Anthony, Mayer, Campbell – do you think will open next season in the majors ?  Is there a spot for Meidroth in future or should they trade him and Yorke for pitching ?
Keith Law: I know Meidroth is having a good season but I am not on that swing at all.

JR: Do you ever fly southwest airlines? They have a big presence in my city and I fly them regularly. I’m excited for the end of unassigned seats, but not all are.
Keith Law: Used to fly them all the time when I lived in Phoenix, but post-pandemic they cut most of their nonstops out of Philly so I had to switch to American.

Honkus Wagner: re: Xavier Isaac. to expand on my question,  am curious what difference there is between him and Basallo on a macro level. Does Basallo have a significant chance to actually catch? he looks big for it already. Are the bat profiles between Basallo and Isaac that different?
Keith Law: Huge difference in the bats, yes.
Keith Law: Also I think Basallo has a significant chance to catch, although not in Baltimore.

Drew: Boy, if the Republicans really want to teach the Democrats a lesson they should replace THEIR nominee, huh?
Keith Law: Great idea!

Corey: Where would you start Braden Montgomery next season and how quickly does he reach the majors ?  Sox will have a lot of OFs to choose from the next season or two, who stays ?  Duran I’m assuming, who else ?
Keith Law: Of the top college bats in this class, he’s the one I would say might need a slower progression. I don’t think he’s as advanced right now as Kurtz, Bazzana, Condon, etc., but has more upside than just about anyone except maybe Condon.

JR: Do you remember when you first started doing chats at the 4 letter? I feel like it’s been close to 20 years. Pretty impressive you’re still doing chats all these years later.
Keith Law: First one was July 2006, I think.

Scott: Better player long term: Colton Cowser or Heston Kjerstad?
Keith Law: Kjerstad for me. Cowser’s been exposed this year. Weird how I stopped getting angry tweets and comments about omitting him from my top 100.

DH: What are your thoughts on Chandler Simpson? Can his other skills make up for hitting the ball softly?
Keith Law: I don’t think he’s a prospect. 80 run, 20 power.

Henry: Excellent use of a Matt Johnson lyric (The The) in your most recent newsletter.
Keith Law: Thank you. He’s putting out a new album this year which made me delve back into their early catalog. I still can’t get into Mind Bomb but the stuff before that holds up.

Lars: You are very honest about when you “miss” on a prospect. In general, do you think your misses come more often from thinking players are going to be better than they turned out to be or vice-versa? Thank you for your time doing this.
Keith Law: I think it’s both. I probably have more misses in terms of thinking guys will be better, because that’s just the nature of the business, but the misses the other way are more notable (Sale, Goldschmidt).

DH: Thoughts on Charles McAdoo- Pirates late round draft guy last year looks great.
Keith Law: Too soon to say, definitely need to see a larger sample in AA.

Quan: Can you explain the difference between Lazaro Montes and Josue De Paula for you….as someone without near as much knowledge as you they seem so similar to me
Keith Law: Very different body types, positional outlooks, and approaches at the plate.

Johnny Baseball: Why did Ryan Sloan fall to the 2nd round?
Keith Law: He didn’t ‘fall.’ Lots of top HS guys go after the first round and get first-round bonuses, like Dickerson today, because that’s the right strategy for teams to maximize their total value in a draft.

KC: I do appreciate you still doing these chats. Was the best part of espn.com back in the day with you and some others. Like a better version of AMA
Keith Law: That’s why I moved them here – so I could keep doing them even after ESPN axed them and the Athletic was inconsistent about them. I know they help me promote my work at the Athletic, but I also enjoy doing them, and I feel like it’s a way to be accountable to all of you as well.
Keith Law: That’s all for this week – we have to take Susie (our new rescue dog) to the vet in a little while. Thank you all for your questions and for reading. I’ll have a bunch of pieces around the trade deadline as long as we get some hot prospect action. And I’ll be at Gen Con next weekend – if any of you are attending, let me know and we can try to meet up for some gaming. Stay safe!