I had two posts for Athletic subscribers this week, one on whether the Reds have done enough to contend in the NL Central, and one on the Starling Marte trade. I held a Klawchat on Thursday, and a Periscope chat, my first since I started getting sick at Thanksgiving (after taking prednisone for just four days!) and had a cough for most of the next six weeks. My prospect rankings will run on The Athletic the week of February 24th.
Over at Paste, I reviewed Hadara, a civ-building, card-drafting game that made my top ten games of 2019. I keep comparing it to 7 Wonders because of the similarities in themes and card selection, but it’s more in the “try this if you like 7 Wonders” vein than a “this is too similar” one.
My second book, The Inside Game: Bad Calls, Strange Moves, and What Baseball Behavior Teaches Us About Ourselves, is due out on April 21st from Harper Collins, and you can pre-order it now via their site or wherever fine books are sold. Also, check out my free email newsletter, which I’ll get back to again this upcoming week in between writing words about prospects.
And now, the links…
- Longreads first: This Atlantic piece asking whether domestic violence treatment programs work was both interesting and frustrating, as the author barely mentions whether any of these programs are evidence-based (DAIP isn’t) and focuses only on group treatment rather than individual.
- A Wisconsin doctor and his wife have lost custody of their adopted daughter due to a child-abuse claim disputed by fifteen medical experts. The state’s system for detecting child abuse may encourage its own experts to find abuse even where evidence is weak or absent.
- The Guardian caught up with Kelis and learned how badly the music industry mistreated her. She accuses the Neptunes, which include Pharrell Williams, of cheating her out of her share of royalties from her first two albums.
- The Congressional Budget Office reported this week that the U.S. national debt will rise to 98% of GDP by 2030, with deficits of over $1 trillion a year for over a decade. The Wall Street Journal‘s piece ($) blames the 2017 Republican tax cuts.
- Greenpeace is fighting the Philippines’ approval of Golden Rice, a far more nutritious rice strain, because it’s genetically modified – not, mind you, because of any evidence of harm.
- The Columbia Journalism Review weighed in on the Washington Post‘s since-rescinded suspension of Felicia Sonmez over her tweets in the wake of the death of Kobe Bryant, a move the Post‘s own Erik Wemple excoriated in a column in that paper.
- With 85% of the world’s languages reportedly endangered, the BBC looks further at alphabets and writing systems similarly threatened with extinction.
- The BBC also profiled Duolingo founder Luis von Ahn, who explains why he created the free app, which includes lessons in 28 languages. I’ve used it a few times but find it less useful than hand-written flash cards (albeit a fraction of the time required), and I don’t think it teaches much grammer or syntax.
- A Sandy Hook hoaxer was arrested after tormenting the families of the victims. He’s a former contributor to Alex Jones’s Infowars site.
- Practice Fusion provided free health-records software to doctors’ offices, but they struck a secret deal with Purdue Pharma for the software to ‘recommend’ opioids as treatment in an effort to boost prescriptions.
- Climate change is threatening many high-end food items like coffee and wine; a rise of 2 C would cause the loss of 56% of current vineyard land.
- The WHO has warned that the well of new antibiotics is running dry. While it’s hardly the main concern about rising antibiotic resistance, think of how much professional sports will change if ‘routine’ surgeries are no longer possible because of the risk of infection?
- Tennessee state legislator Mitch Van Huss (guess) submitted a resolution declaring CNN and the Washington Post ‘fake news.’
- That same Washington Post has some good tips on how to impede Facebook from stalking your activity off the Facebook site.
- Our country’s anti-Muslim travel ban was just extended to add six countries, not that you heard about it much in the news.
- Chemical and Engineering News looks at how chemical changes to the baseball’s core have contributed to longer batted ball distances.
- I enjoyed the Netflix documentary The Killer Inside, about the late NFL player and convicted murderer Aaron Hernandez, but Will Leitch has a very different, critical take on it.
- Facebook has hired a former Fox News exec who oversaw the spread of multiple bogus conspiracy theories, like one that Barack Obama was educated in a Muslim madrassa, to help ‘curate’ content to be shown on Facebook’s News tab.
- Darren Rovell re-used an image without permission and threw a fit when asked to delete it.
- Board game news: Genius Games’ Genotype, a game of Mendelian genetics, hit Kickstarter this week and is already at 6x its funding goal. I have seen the prototype of this game and I’m very excited for it.
- I missed this around the holidays, but Board & Dice announced Tekhenu: Obelisk of the Sun, the new game from the designers of Tzolkin, will be released right ahead of Gen Con 2020.
- And finally, in a video for Eurosport, John McEnroe has some truth to share about the bigoted tennis legend Margaret Court.
I have to mostly disagree with Leitch. I did find the documentary series a little choppy and felt it left meat on the bone. But much of what was in there was stuff I knew — both about Hernandez specifically and the football industrial complex/CTE — more generally. For folks who didn’t follow the case of these issues (like my girlfriend), it was riveting and informative. Where Leitch saw the film hopping between competing “answers”, I saw an exploration of the complexity of the situation. There isn’t one answer or reason why Hernandez turned out the way he did. As the series showed, there were a host of different factors in his life that could have contributed. Which and how much of each is impossible to know so the series was smart to avoid definitive declarations. The doc wasn’t flawless but I think Leitch wanted it to be something it wasn’t and couldn’t be.
My take is that Hernandez seemed to suffer from his own arrested development, which likely was a combo of nature and nurture, with the latter being explored by the doc. Layer on very real damage to his brain and a toxic ecosystem and it seems unlikely he was going to emerge unscathed. I have more thoughts on related issues (e.g., the culpability of the football industrial complex) but as far as the question of why, that’s the best guess I can hazard.
Pharrell just seems like a bad dude, I laughed when he recently re-incriminated himself with the date rape song. https://www.tennessean.com/story/news/2019/12/07/blurred-lines-lawsuit-revived-claim-pharrell-williams-committed-perjury/4365282002/
Small correction, the Tennessee legislator’s name is Micah not Mitch. And, unsurprisingly, he’s believes other shit too.
https://www.newsweek.com/anti-abortion-bill-sponsor-says-he-cant-find-evil-15-year-old-being-raped-1345827
The WSJ article blaming the increased deficit on taxes was a bit disingenuous. Federal revenue has increased each of the last 3 years and all projections point to another increase when all the 2019 numbers are tallied. The United States has a severe spending problem. Military spending, government administrative costs and entitlements make up a large portion of the debt issue. I don’t have an answer for how to curtail the spending but it has to happen.
Total revenues are up, but tax revenues are down.
One way to think about whether the US spends too much or taxes too little is to see where we compare to other industrialized nations. Looking at countries ranked by either government revenue or government expenditures as percentages of GDP (2018 data is listed on Wikipedia), it’s clear that the US spends a bit less than most industrialized nations, but has far less revenue as a percentage of GDP. That’s not to say that other countries necessarily right and the US is wrong, but it’s not self evident to me at least that spending is the problem.