Stick to baseball, 10/22/16.

My second dispatch from the AFL covers Michael Kopech, Francis Martes, Dillon Tate, and more. I also wrote a column on the Dbacks’ hire of Mike Hazen and the lack of diversity in front offices. Both pieces are for Insiders, and neither mentions Tim Tebow. I also held my regular Klawchat on Thursday.

My latest boardgame review for Paste covers the pirate-themed Islebound, a gorgeous game that plays slow and dry.

You can also preorder my upcoming book, Smart Baseball, on amazon. Also, please sign up for my more-or-less weekly email newsletter.

And now, the links…

Comments

  1. Has numbnuts Scott Adams had anything to say about that strip?

    • I haven’t seen anything yet, but I refuse to actually follow him. He and Dinesh D’Souza had a nice race to the bottom this week.

  2. Why the principled stand against the NYRB of all publications?

  3. Keith,

    What did you make of your ex-colleague’s “launch” of his Senate campaign on CNN. It could be charitably described as morbidly fascinating. Was there anything there that surprised you?

  4. “As I often say, Democrats generally use guns to commit crimes. Republican use guns for sport and for self-defense.” Scott Adams blog… Apparently, he’s a racist too.

    http://blog.dilbert.com/post/152115888936/the-crook-versus-the-monster

    • How you gathered that S.A. is a racist from that article is beyond me. Please elaborate.

    • Because he suggests that the actual, overt racism of Trump is nothing more than normal, garden-variety fear of “the other.”

  5. Hi Keith, I enjoy your visits to the BBTN podcast. I think you have a typo in the bullet point about the Arizona Republic nominating a Republican for the first time ever in the 10/22/2016 “Stick to Baseball” blog.

  6. Is it just me, or does Gambia seem like a future Olympics host?

  7. What’s happening to David French and his family is absolutely horrific. Now that he’s experienced it, perhaps he’ll acknowledge the role he played in if not egging on at least diminishing the impact of these Twitter mobs when they went after people whose politics he disagreed with: https://twitter.com/Spacekatgal/status/789639134008651778

  8. Maybe you should give equal time and mention the anti-Trump folks who showed up at his rallies & physically accosted people who went to hear Trump.

    • There is no “equal time” notion here. I post what I want to post. If you want “fair and balanced,” you know where to find it.

    • A Salty Scientist

      1) Answering constitutionally-protected speech with violence is always wrong.

      2) Only one major presidential candidate has explicitly advocated for violence.

      3) One’s motivations are suspect when one deflects instead of calling out their own fucking team.

    • I knew there would be no equal time, sir…I’ve seen your twitter posts.

      Dear Salty, Only 1 major party candidate violated federal law, but got a pass because she’s above the law. BTW, did you notice that her nose is much longer now than it was a few months ago?

    • A Salty Scientist

      As a biologist, I’m quite embarrassed that I did not notice her unusually fast nose growth. Thank you for changing the subject to point that out to me.

      Asshattery aside, reasonable people can disagree over whether Secretary Clinton violated any laws (the FBI argued that she did not). Personally, I feel that Secretary Clinton was at least careless and foolish for setting up the server, and her explanations are wanting. That’s a decided negative on her ledger for me, but not disqualifying. Were a moderate Republican running, I might have had a real decision to make. Of course, I now look forward to a nuanced post on your preferred candidate’s relative strengths and weaknesses.

    • I’m just certain that the news networks that Jim Rogers listens to give “equal time” to all positions.

    • Jim,

      Remind me which major party candidate bragged about sexually assaulting women. As soon as you’re done talking about equal time over there in the no-spin zone of course. No rush my friend!

  9. He explicitly states that democrats generally use guns to commit crimes while the only logical implication is that the criminals democrats are minorities.

  10. That’s hardly the only logical implication, Shaun. There are far more “majorities” than minorities in the democratic party.

    • So the Democrats who are for more gun control are the ones commit who more crimes with guns?

    • Well, anecdotally there are some pretty hilarious/ironic gun charges against Democratic politicians and/or activists who have railed against legal gun ownership in some form or another (my favorite is Leland Yee; http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-california-yee-idUSBREA331K720140404); I haven’t heard of any Republican officials being charged with gun crimes, but that doesn’t mean it hasn’t happened. I don’t know of any studies that actually have looked into what political party people who commit gun crimes are associated with, but I’d feel comfortable guessing that a good portion of people who commit violent crimes regularly (i.e. gang members, drug dealers, career criminals of all varieties really) are also not going to be the most politically engaged.

  11. I find it ironic that you link to the story of Rae Carruth’s son and the abortion piece at the same time.

    Virtually no pro-lifer (and Trump is just a charlatan mimicking genuine pro-life opinion, to be sure) would ban abortion when the mother’s life is in danger, and when the fetus is non-viable. Meanwhile, thousands of fetuses are killed in the womb at the same stage of development as Carruth’s son was at the time of the shooting despite no threat to the mother.

    Don’t bait-and-switch your cowardly abortion position. Don’t act like we are discussing fetuses that are already, for all intents and purposes, dead. Don’t act like every abortion is done to save a woman’s life. Just admit what your position is, which is that a healthy and viable fetus in a healthy and viable woman is void of any and all rights prior to its first breath outside the womb. You’re lying to yourself by blabbing about esoteric and crucial circumstances that happen in a small percentage of cases.

    Also, “so-called Islamic State”? Why is it so-called? You become an expert of the Koran recently? Who made you the arbiter on the terms of jihad?

    • Wow, you’re kind of a jerk, aren’t you, Terry?

      It is bizarre that you see the Carruth story as being a commentary on abortion. Meanwhile, your representations of both sides of this debate are flat-out incorrect. There are plenty of pro-life zealots who believe that no abortion is tolerable, regardless of circumstances. Mike Pence, at times, has been among that cadre. So has Ted Cruz. So has Scott Walker. At the same time, I’ve NEVER heard any pro-choice person claim that the only fetuses who are aborted are non-viable or are a threat to the life of the mother.

      And ISIS is “so-called” because while they claim to be a state, they are not recognized as such by the nations of the world. Further, as they are about to relinquish all of their territorial holdings, they will soon fail the single most important test of nationhood.

    • Terry,

      There is much dickery afoot in that post. How did you take that away from the Rae Carruth story?

    • Terry: I will not justify your comments with a response. You’re not welcome here if that’s how you intend to speak to me.

      Keith

  12. Jim – please point to the logic of those in the majority only using guns to commit crimes. He’s trying to say something with his statement.

  13. This election is the blowhard vs the liar.

    The blowhard wants to limit immigration. The liar wants open borders.

    The blowhard is promising more jobs for Americans. The liar is promising “free” college.

    The blowhard is a successful businessman. The liar allowed Americans to die in Benghazi.

    I’m going with the blowhard.

    • Benghazi Derangement Syndrome

    • You really and truly think Donald Trump is not a liar? You might want to read the story on Daniel Dale linked above.

      In any case, Hilary Clinton is promising more jobs too:

      https://www.hillaryclinton.com/issues/jobs/

      She has not advocated free college for everyone (that was Bernie Sanders), does not want open borders (that’s a distortion of a point she made about energy policy), and was not responsible for people dying in Benghazi (she was secretary of state, for god’s sake, not chief of security).

      Meanwhile, the lying blowhard has said nothing about HOW he will bring more jobs or HOW he will secure the border. You see, the devil with these things is in the details. Anyone can say they want world peace, or they want to balance the budget, or they want to give everyone a truckload of free candy, but it doesn’t mean anything if they have no idea how to accomplish that.

      And if you count being given your start by daddy and THEN being propped up over and over by daddy again, plus four bankruptcies, plus screwing over countless employees and partners as “successful,” then yeah, you’re right on that one.

      It’s your right to vote for Trump, of course. But you really ought not come to a blog like this and spout easily-disprovable nonsense about your reasons.

    • Jim: Your summary bears no resemblance to the truth. And as for liars, check out how many lawsuits are currently pending just against “Trump University.”

    • The blowhard is also a liar. And I question how you claim him to be successful businessman after multiple bankruptcies and lost near makes no difference $1 billion in one year, a year in which only three Fortune 500 companies lost more. So enjoy voting for the blowhard/liar.

    • How about not one of those things matter, because he’s simply not qualified to be president? He doesn’t understand foreign policy, his grasp on domestic policy is limited at best, and, oh wait…he has bragged openly about sexually assaulting people. Yes, he has been a successful businessman (anyone saying he’s not is just ignoring the facts; he’s had some rough stretches, and is probably not worth anywhere close to what he claims, but anyone who can afford to lose $1 billion in a year and not completely collapse is clearly doing something right), but being successful in the private sector bears little to no resemblance to being successful in the public sector, and certainly has nothing to do with being president. I can’t stand the idea of Hillary Clinton as president, but the mere thought of Donald Trump being in charge of our foreign policy and our military scares the living hell out of me.

    • If net worth is your sole metric for determining success in business, then yes he would be successful. But that isn’t the sole reason to me. For one, he started out with a lot of money from his dad, so he isn’t self-made. He has also realized that when it comes to lawsuits, the far richer person will win. They can play a long game that the smaller business cannot afford. This has helped him screw over many, many people and force them to settle for far less than they originally agreed to. Plus, a lot of his properties were built on the backs of huge tax breaks and incentives, so he wasn’t risking a lot in these ventures but had a lot to gain. So his money wasn’t made ethically and a lot of the risk he’s had was on the taxpayers. Now, he’s turned into Krusty the Clown and putting his name on anything and everything (are Trump Police Barricades next?). So he’s made a lot money, but that alone doesn’t determine success, IMHO.

    • addoeh, by your definition, then no one who started out rich can be successful, because they already had money. I never said he was ethical (he’s not), that he didn’t benefit from a biiiiiiiig head start or beneficial tax code (he did), or that he was “self made” (he’s clearly not, at least not completely so). I said he was a successful businessman; lots of people in this country have turned a couple hundred million into nothing, and he did not do that. In fact, he significantly increased his wealth. I’m not sure why his lack of risk makes him unsuccessful; if I were investing, I’d want to invest my money with the person who risks it the least; wouldn’t you? Monetizing his name is probably the smartest thing he could do, because his money isn’t at risk, and he still earns regardless. Does any of this mean he’s a good person, or would make a good president? Of course not. But two years ago, before this travesty of a campaign, would you really have said he wasn’t a good businessman?

    • Trump’s success as a businessman requires two data points, neither of which do we have, unambiguously:

      1. How much did he inherit/receive from his father?
      2. How much does he have now?

      There is an argument to be made, based on some publicly-available figures, that he would have more money now if he’d just put his inheritance into a conservative mutual fund than he has from his real estate career.

    • CB, I’ve heard the same, with the assumption that he received about $200 million from his father in the mid-1970s, which in a fund following the S&P 500 would be somewhere in the $10 billion range. However, that exists in a vacuum; it assumes no withdrawals/use of the money, which is crazy, particularly given the lifestyle he lives. Even with significant dividends, it’s unlikely he would be able to maintain such a life without using and investing that money in other ways. In the end, you’re correct, to accurately determine how successful (or unsuccessful) he has been, we’d need to know those two things, but I don’t think it’s unreasonable to say that a guy who is generally estimated to be worth at least a few billion has been successful in his business dealings, even if not everyone he worked with came out nearly so well.

    • The money is only one part of the successful equation for me. Ethics also plays a big part. So if he is unethical, he isn’t successful. That only makes him rich.

    • Ok, but that’s success as a person. Success as a businessman is generally accepted to be, at least mostly, about how much money you make, with the caveat that it needs to be done legally, which as best anyone can figure out, he has done with few exceptions.

    • Jeremy, he’s repeatedly breached his contracts with his vendors. That is not legal. That he had the resources to grind them out and force them to take steep discounts rather than engage in costlier litigation does not change the fact his actions were against the law. Our legal structure lacks the enforcement mechanisms to bind somebody on that side of the imbalanced power dynamic, but Donald Trump routinely defrauds those he does business with. That Trump University is the subject of a lawsuit is only due to the fortituous fact that all of his victims in that situation can come together for class certification, something that the stiffed vendors cannot do.

  14. Hey Keith, you have a typo in the bullet about the Arizona Republic endorsing Hilary. You said its the first time they’ve endorsed a Republican instead of Democrat.

  15. I read your Insider article about the Hazen hiring and have some thoughts about the internships.

    You recommend banning unpaid internships to address the problem of minority front-office hiring in baseball. But that would be a panacea, at best. When teams get stacks of resumes for their internship — whether paid or unpaid — they are naturally going to gravitate to the candidates who went to the best schools. Lets be honest: a black history major with a 3.4 GPA at NC State is not going to beat out a white mathematics major from Dartmouth with a 3.4 GPA, even if you ban unpaid internships.

    Instead, here would be a proposal that may actually get underrepresented candidates into MLB internships. MLB creates an internship program (we’ll call it BOP for Baseball Opportunity Program). Every team would be forced to hold open one summer internship for a BOP candidate (that’s 32 internships) with eight additional internships at MLB HQ. The team internships must be in a department (GM’s office, analytics, scouting) that has to do with on-field talent (as opposed to marketing, ticket sales, etc). In order to apply, you *must* meet 2 of the following 3 criteria: (1) be a racial, ethnic, or gender minority, (2) have a family income below a certain level and/or (3) currently be attending a public university.

    MLB HQ takes the applications for the program and identifies the 40 most promising candidates. The resumes of those 40 candidates are distributed to the MLB teams, who must hire one of the candidates for a 10-week internship before March 1. The 8 remaining candidates work in NY at MLB HQ in departments that teams would consider valuable experience (like labor relations). MLB pays these interns a stipend to pay cost of living during the internship.

    The easiest way to break into MLB in any position is to know someone. If someone in baseball can personally vouch for you, it instantly gives you a leg up on the hordes who are mass-mailing their resumes. If you put underrepresented candidates in a position to know someone and have experience, they are going to be much more likely to get hired and move into a front-office pipeline position.

  16. Why force feed minority hiring? Jobs should be awarded on merit.. The Pirates fielded an all black starting lineup in 1971; the first time that was ever done in mlb. This was based on what the manager decided himself, not forced upon him.
    NBA teams regularly field all black starting fives. Nobody cares, because these are the best players. That’s the way it should be in all fields, IMO.

    • So, your assumption is that only white people have merit when it comes to running MLB teams, since 95% of the executives (and all but one of the GMs) are white?

    • At this point Jim (Crow) is being so obtuse as to be following in the hallowed footsteps of Mark, NH, Kordell and all the trolls dearly departed. It must be nice to reside in whichever country he is from that has no historical injustices to be righted.

    • A Salty Scientist

      While I can understand why people would argue for hiring decisions being based solely on merit, pure meritocracy has likely never existed anywhere. And if you argue for pure meritocracy, how do you solve the problem where White-sounding names get 50% more interview callbacks than African-American sounding names, despite resumes being identical?

    • Thanks for posting that Salty, was trying to find it and kept thinking of a different research org. Good man.

  17. Typo re: the link to Arizona paper endorsing Clinton (see ‘Republican’)? “The Arizona Republic received death threats after the paper endorsed Hillary Clinton for President – the first time the paper had ever endorsed a Republican for the office.”

  18. Keith, I hope you are right

  19. The odds of three actual people all coincidentally starting their posts “WARNING WARNING WARNING WARNING” (always four times, no exclamation point) are the same as those of bumping into Keith at an Olive Garden. (snopes linked by Keith above).

    Numerous more-recent posts start with “Hey everyone, just a heads up!” supposedly from different people and localities. And the notion that election officials in Texas, of all places, would shrug and say “it happens” is a stretch. According to today’s snopes report, the one instance officials say was reported was investigated and showed no problem with the machine, and the woman told them she might have accidentally selected Clinton instead of Trump.