{"id":121,"date":"2008-01-01T11:24:09","date_gmt":"2008-01-01T15:24:09","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.meadowparty.com\/blog\/?p=121"},"modified":"2008-01-01T11:24:09","modified_gmt":"2008-01-01T15:24:09","slug":"bad-votes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/meadowparty.com\/blog\/2008\/01\/01\/bad-votes\/","title":{"rendered":"Bad votes."},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I think many of us in the sabermetrically-inclined crowd tend to discredit older sportswriters as less likely to consider strong statistical arguments and more likely to use specious reasoning to justify their award or Hall votes. I haven&#8217;t found that to be true while collecting Hall ballots, and <a href=http:\/\/www.recordonline.com\/apps\/pbcs.dll\/article?AID=\/20080101\/SPORTS\/801010323\/-1\/rss02\/gnews>here&#8217;s some proof<\/a> that younger sportswriters can be just as specious:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>1. [Tim Raines] admitted sliding headfirst the year he used because he kept coke in his uniform pocket and didn&#8217;t want it to fall out \u00e2\u20ac\u201d which is an act as disrespectful of the game as you can imagine.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>I presume Buscema will be leading the &#8220;recall Mickey Mantle&#8221; campaign, since we know Mantle showed up drunk for games on multiple occasions. And, of course, his last phrase is pure hyperbole, since I can imagine many more disrespectful acts, like <a href=http:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/c\/cicoted01.shtml>throwing games for money<\/a>. Except I don&#8217;t have to imagine it at all.<\/p>\n<p>Raines had an addiction. He admitted it, sought treatment, has been clean for something like twenty years, and became a model citizen and good clubhouse guy for the second half of his career. His cocaine problem is a non-factor in discussing his Hall candidacy.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>2. As a player whose key Hall of Fame attribute was his speed, I want to examine a little further whether the use of a stimulant could have enhanced his performance whether he used it for that purpose or not.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>That&#8217;s just pathetic. Cocaine is now a performance-enhancing drug? Perhaps cops should take a sniff of coke before setting off to chase down suspects on foot. The perps wouldn&#8217;t stand a chance against those juiced-up cops!<\/p>\n<p>And how is Buscema going to examine this further? Will he review the peer-reviewed studies on the effects of cocaine usage on athletes?<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>3. He wasn&#8217;t a surefire Hall of Famer without that issue by any means; in fact, I had only seriously considered him after several compelling columns turned my head.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>This is perhaps as damning to me as the first point. Here we have a first-time Hall voter who, at certain points in his article (such as explaining why he didn&#8217;t vote for Dawson), shows awareness of stats like OBP. And yet when presented with Raines, whose .385 career OBP sits comfortably aside Hall of Famer Tony Gwynn&#8217;s (.388) and eventual Hall of Famer Derek Jeter (.388), Buscema needed other writers to point out to him that Raines is a surefire Hall of Famer &#8230; and still isn&#8217;t convinced. <\/p>\n<p>When you only use statistics that support the point you already wanted to make, or you weigh statistics that support that point more heavily than those that don&#8217;t &#8230;<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>Bert Blyleven &#8230; but ultimately I still would have liked to have seen at least a little better winning percentage and\/or more Cy Young votes, an ERA title and more than one 20-win season in 22 years.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>&#8230; you raise a question, at least to me, of whether you understand the statistics at all. If we&#8217;re still talking about Blyleven&#8217;s win total &#8211; and acting as if that&#8217;s unconnected to Cy Young votes &#8211; then we&#8217;re still running uphill.<\/p>\n<p>One ballot doesn&#8217;t prove the point that we may be discriminating a bit too much by age when talking about voter tendencies, but based on the 80-odd ballots I&#8217;ve got, I haven&#8217;t seen anything to convince me that the voter&#8217;s age is a major factor in affecting his Hall choices. Buscema was just kind enough to display his logic in public.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I think many of us in the sabermetrically-inclined crowd tend to discredit older sportswriters as less likely to consider strong statistical arguments and more likely to use specious reasoning to justify their award or Hall votes. I haven&#8217;t found that to be true while collecting Hall ballots, and here&#8217;s some proof that younger sportswriters can [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14,20],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-121","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-media","category-sports","entry"],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/meadowparty.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/121","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/meadowparty.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/meadowparty.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/meadowparty.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/meadowparty.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=121"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/meadowparty.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/121\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/meadowparty.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=121"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/meadowparty.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=121"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/meadowparty.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=121"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}