Klawchat 6/4/20.

Starting at 1 pm ET. My latest mock draft is now up for The Athletic subscribers. My second book, The Inside Game, is out now in hardcover and would make a great Father’s Day gift!

Keith Law: Sorry, brief delay here as I have a radio hit I didn’t have written on my calendar. Feel free to leave questions and I’ll get to them as soon as I get back.
Keith Law: It’s a helping hand that makes you feel wonderfully bland. Klawchat.

Brad: How would compare Jordan Westburg to Logan Davidson, they’re both big SS with some questions about their hit tool?
Keith Law: Pretty different guys – I think Davidson is the better shortstop, better pure athlete, both guys with real questions about the bat though.

Andrew: What grade would you put on Austin Martin’s power and speed tools?
Keith Law: He’s a 55 runner, maybe 60 underway. I think he gets to 60 power in time given how hard he hits the ball.

UK Nick: Klaw, love your stuff and thanks so much for bringing the chats back… they fill a need at the moment. Have you ever read any of Bill Bryson’s books? Thoughts?
Keith Law: I haven’t, not for any particular reason though.

Raymond: Is there any chance that Lacy is available to the Jays at 5? Thinking maybe if the O’s take Gonzalez below slot, the Marlins take Martin or Veen and the Royals take whoever the Marlins don’t?
Keith Law: No.

Ben: I was planning on buying The Inside Game for my dad as a father’s day gift as a sort of low-stakes intro to bigger conversations about opening your mind and evidence-based thinking. Then, the last week happened, and we went from low-stakes intro conversations to high-stakes advanced conversations. He’ll still get that gift though, and I could still see the Inside Game as a helpful, low-stakes way to talk about bigger issues. Thanks for your stellar work on the book!
Keith Law: You’re welcome – thank you for buying it. I wish the stakes were lower than they are now.

Mike: Do you think the Red Sox are also in on the prep pitchers or do you think their focusing on prep position players only?
Keith Law: Zero chance they take a HS arm in the first round.

John: Where does Austin Martin fit best long-term defensively? Second?
Keith Law: I still think third base, assuming his throwing issue this February is resolved.

Geoff: How much money would owners really save by playing 50 games at a prorated salary as opposed to 82? What is really the point of this proposal other than not giving the union something close to what it wants?
Keith Law: I don’t know exactly how their TV/streaming revenue formula works, but I’d be shocked if they actually were better off financially with fewer games.
Keith Law: As in, I think the owners are lying.

Alan: Morning. Curious about Crochet not being present in your first round mock. Is the lack of track record causing the slide?
Keith Law: He only pitched once this spring, throwing an unannounced relief appearance on the final weekend that I was told only six scouts saw. He also got lit up by RHB last year. If he’s just a reliever, which is a real probability, then he’s not a first rounder.
Keith Law: Oh, also, he missed the first three weekends of the year for undisclosed reasons.

Guest: what is your take on top HS. players like Crews announcing that they are skipping the draft? What is the advantage to that rather than staying in and just turning down a deal if he doesn’t like it. Is there any benefit of just pulling your name from it?
Keith Law: No, not really. I find it a bit showy.

Dave: What’s your favourite foreign film (excluding well known ones, such as Parasite or Life is Beautiful)?
Keith Law: Amelie.
Keith Law: Burning is up there too.

Eric: I’m just so sad. I have upped my donations to senate and congressional candidates across the country, but even if we get trump and the gop out of power, it will not even come close to fixing the systemic issues of racism and oppression throughout the country. We all need to be better. Every single day.
Keith Law: I agree, especially that simply voting in better leaders will not solve systemic problems with roots that are 200+ years deep.

Ben: Klaw, thanks as always.  Haven’t really kept up to date with draft talk, just this week started reading some things you’ve put out, mock-wise, to familiarize myself.  Just curious, how do you think the abbreviated draft will affect team’s approach this year? Would it be silly to get away from best talent available over system needs?
Keith Law: Always BPA. Never draft for need. Now this year some teams may choose to be more conservative and rank college  talent over HS, or hitting over pitching, which is understandable given the state of the game and the economy, but I still wouldn’t draft for need.

Noah: Do you think we are tracking for next year will be more “normal” like full minor league season with fans? Or could this extend? It seems like other leagues are figuring it out so would we be able to progress that far by next February/March?
Keith Law: I don’t think there will be fans at games until there’s a vaccine. It simply won’t be safe to gather that many people with that kind of proximity.

Paul: No question here. Just hope we are all managing our anxiety levels in this escalating 2020.
Keith Law: Amen.

Chris: Hey Keith, in your latest mock, you had Boston taking a high-upside, higher risk HS player, whereas you previously had them taking maybe a lower-risk “safer” college arm that could end up in the bullpen. With a farm system as barren as theirs, shouldn’t they try to target a lot of these high-upside lottery tickets rather than going a safe route on players? Or do you think an organization can rebuild their farm by drafting safer college kids?
Keith Law: No, I don’t think rolling the dice on high-risk players is necessarily the right way to rebuild a system, because you could also easily end up with a lot of nothing. I prefer the mixed approach, like managing a portfolio, which also means you’ll get some players who move more quickly to the high minors and some who take more time.

Jamal: This years pitching, college in particular, seems much deeper than in the recent past. How would you compare this class to others?
Keith Law: I think it’s the best college draft class since 2011.

Jeremy: Thank you for the chat. In your first mock you had Canadian David Calabrese in the first. Where do you think he goes now.
Keith Law: I did not have him going in the first in any of my mocks so far.
Keith Law: He could go in the comp round A or early second.

Guest: You mentioned a clear Top 3 in your latest Mock draft.  If anyone is going to bump Torkelson, Martin or Lacy out of the top 3, who would it be?
Keith Law: I’ve heard Kjerstad more than Gonzales.

agirlhasnoname: The DJIA is within 10% of all-time highs, despite most companies having terrible revenues for a quarter or three or ten. Isn’t that a blueprint to show owners their valuations will remain high even with sustaining a total loss this year? Also, wouldn’t any financial institution rush to loan them money at near zero interest to cover outlays? Tired of owners crying poor and people eating it up with a spoon.
Keith Law: I find it absolutely unfathomable that MLB owners would be unable to borrow money to cover payrolls for scouts or minor leaguers. All the league has to do is play games and they bring in a ton of their revenues from broadcasting. Sports has generally been one of the most recession-proof industries there is. If you think MLB teams aren’t good credit risks, you think the world is headed for some sort of epic economic collapse.

Ryan: Why do we expect more from the New York Times?!? This is a publication that – and this is actually true – ran an excerpt of Mein Kampf in New York Times Magazine on June 22, 1941. This is in their archive.
Keith Law: I mean, it’s been 79 years. I would think they might have learned a thing or two.

Kyle: I enjoy the podcast but I have to ask, are those ads picked by The Athletic? There’s some interesting stuff being promoted that I can’t imagine you really endorse.
Keith Law: Yes, I don’t pick the ads. I have never used any of the products advertised on my show.

Guest: Royals likely to have a choice of Lacy, Veen, and Gonzalez. How would you rank them, and do you have a strong preference or is this a can’t go wrong with any of them situation?
Keith Law: Not sure Lacy is really getting to them. No way I take Gonzales over Veen, though, and it sounds like the Royals agree.

John: To what extent does a high school aged player need to go through Perfect Game, Five Tool etc.?  And if they do, at what age should they start?
Keith Law: Nobody needs to do that.

Chris: Any rumors on which prep players are looking for overslot deals, and how much they may be looking for?
Keith Law: I have heard some rumors, but would not repeat them here. It puts their collegiate eligibility at risk.

Robert: Manfred wouldn’t be dumb enough to actually mandate a 50 game season, right? Everyone must see through that.
Keith Law: I don’t think he can mandate one. It has to be negotiated.

Mark: Do you see any scenario where a team in the top 10 takes Crochet on a heavy underslot deal? Betting on the high ceiling and saving slot. Albeit giving up considerable safety/floor.
Keith Law: No. That would be very foolish.

Keith too: Keith, do you have a top 50, 100, 200 or anything for the draft available?
Keith Law: Tomorrow.

JO: Hey Klaw, As for just the bat, how does Torkelson compare to Andrew Vaughn?  I assume you have seen both in person. Does one seem to have more power than the other? Same for hit tool, approach and and barrel awareness. Or would you call them a push on hitting?  Thanks
Keith Law: Vaughn much better hitter. Torkelson has more power and could possibly play LF.

Don: Is there any benefit to post-TJ guys like Rodon and Kopech  just missing this entire 50 game season for more recovery?
Keith Law: I don’t think we can know that definitively, but there’s at least a belief based on some anecdotal evidence that guys taking a year off from pitching may be better off – post-TJ guys but also guys dealing with minor arm issues that didn’t require surgery.

Joe: Do you know what high school players have been connected to the Braves in the draft?
Keith Law: I listed at least one in the mock yesterday.

Marco: Do you think Reid Detmers has a chance to add velo to the FASTBALL and eventually  become a #2 SP?
Keith Law: No.

Josh: Based on your interactions with front office personnel, what is the general feeling about the number of undrafted free agents teams will pursue this year?  Are teams going to be selective and only bring in a few, or try and cast a wide net to make up for the later rounds being nixed?  I would think it is a small pool of players to begin with, just curious as to the approach.  Thanks!
Keith Law: Not very many. Who’s signing for $20K? College seniors and maybe a few older juniors?

John: Sad how many people think the flag only stands for the military, not things like equality or freedom.  Any books you would recommend to better understand systemic racism?
Keith Law: Others have posted better and more comprehensive lists … the two that come to mind that I’ve actually read are So You Want to Talk About Race and The Warmth of Other Suns. The former addresses systemic racism head-on; the latter explains its roots through three major stories from the Great Migration.

Garrett Crochet: No way I get past 22. I’m the Natsiest first round pick possibile.
Keith Law: No, there are Natsier picks available.

Chris: Are the rumors true that McMahon is falling because his fastball plays more like a sinker and analytical teams are out on him?
Keith Law: No. He’s not “falling.” I’m not sure where that even comes from.

Zzz: Any chance the White Sox could underslot Ed Howard at 11 and use those savings to get value with later picks?
Keith Law: I suppose there’s a chance but it’s not very likely.

Thomas: I’ve seen Michigan RHP Criswell as a top 100 draft prospect on some lists. Was curious if this is consistent with your board / if you had any thoughts on him.
Keith Law: He’ll be on my top 100. Too much reliever risk to be a top 50 guy.

Ridley: Who could possibly have guessed that a man who urged his supporters to rough up dissenters, asked police to not be too gentle with suspects, and who wanted to execute people who had been exonerated of crimes would turn out to be so enthusiastic about using force to put down protests? I guess there was no way to see it coming.
Keith Law: None whatsoever.

Jeb: What’s the argument against Bitsko in the first round? Cold weather, short history? Is signability an issue? I understand why he might not be a top-10 pick, but it seems like he’d be a pretty good gamble later in the first round based of stuff and age, at a minimum?
Keith Law: Didn’t pitch this spring and was barely scouted last year because he was still a 2021 guy until the fall.

addoeh: What do you make of some conservatives who only now, because of recent events, abandon the President?  If you had a friend who fell in this category, do you welcome them back to reality or ask what took them so long?  Initially, I think I’d do the former, since defeating him in Nov. is so important, but in the time I’ll ask the latter.
Keith Law: Exactly. For now, be glad they’ve come back to reality. Later you can excoriate them.

Ed: If Veen is gone how likely do you think Bitsko is to the Padres at 8 as under slot so they can spend on their next two picks?
Keith Law: No chance.
Keith Law: I don’t think the Padres are taking Veen anyway, and I see no chance they go HS arm at 8.

Robert: Are you disappointed with Trout’s lack of a response to ownership or current world affairs? I know he isn’t a public guy but we could really use his influence.
Keith Law: I … uh … what?

Jake: Are the owners doing us a favor by negotiating in bad faith? There’s no good reason for baseball to come back in the middle of a worsening pandemic and world-wide protests against police brutality, is there?
Keith Law: Money is the reason.

Todd Boss: Why is Justin Foscue suddenly getting 1st round mock draft buzz?  I don’t get it; a 6-foot guy who’s defensively challenged and might get pushed to an OF corner who doesn’t project for power?  What am I missing?
Keith Law: He wasn’t on my mock. He might go in the 20s but I tend to doubt it … I think Westburg would go first if any MSU kid goes in the first round.

Michael Conforto: How worried are you about a big COVID case spike from all the protests?
Keith Law: I worry about case spikes from states reopening too quickly. This is just the icing on the COVID-19 cake.

Josh L: Thoughts on NYT actually running the horrific Tom Cotton piece?
Keith Law: Reprehensible. Calling on the US military to attack our own citizens? What in the actual fuck? Plus that does absolutely nothing to address our national culture of white supremacy or police brutality or systemic racism – it just enforces them further.
Keith Law: We don’t need more militarized responses – we need to demilitarize the police.

Jason: How did the player remove himself from the draft? I remember that Brandon McElwain enrolled at South Carolina to play football, which meant he was no longer eligible, but this is different
Keith Law: There’s a newish process where you can request removal by writing to the Commissioner’s Office.

JO: Even though Emerson Hancock is dropping a few spots in many mock drafts, doesn’t he have the pitches to possibly turn out to be the best player picked in the 2020 draft? Is the reason for the drop due to poor performance in his first start more than anything else? Which would be SSS.
Keith Law: No, I don’t think he has the pitches to do that … his breaking stuff isn’t there.
Keith Law: He’s good, though.

Steve.: You talked about counting calories being the scientific way to weight loss and called keto a fad diet. Isn’t keto just a different scientific approach?
Keith Law: No. It’s more pseudoscientific than scientific. It’s also extremely hard to maintain over the long term, which makes it more of a fad diet than the kind of serious lifestyle change that leads to sustainable results.

Taylor: Do you find all of the social media support to be a bit hollow?  I agree with all of the many statements from any person/company/business/team with a twitter/instagram/facebook account, but isn’t it a little bit of grandstanding to have everyone come out with a statement?  I would prefer to hear what they are going to do versus just a blanket two paragraph statement.
Keith Law: Lego did it right. $4 million donation, pulled all advertising for police-related toys.

Chris: Is blaze Jordan going to be drafted high enough to sign or will he end up in college?
Keith Law: I think someone takes him high enough for him to sign, but he’s not really that good. It’s a bet on raw power he can’t get to with his current swing. Add him to the list of kids who were massively overhyped when they were 13 and didn’t turn out to be anything close to what they were supposed to be.

Geoff: I wish people would realize voting is step 1. It’s the minimum. It’s vital, so everyone should do it, but the ballot box isn’t a one-stop shop for solutions to centuries old systemic problems.
Keith Law: Yes, and no. Because the Republican Party has worked through legal and extralegal means to make it harder for POC to vote in this country, securing and restoring voting rights is step 1. Voting is then step 2.

Evan: If we assume Reid Detmers does not make any substantial improvement with his skill set (e.g. velo, repertoire quality, current level of ctl/cmd, etc. do not increase), what role does he currently project towards in the MLB? If he were to improve in any one area, which do you think is most likely and to what magnitude does that change his outlook?
Keith Law: That’s the kind of question I’ll answer in the top 100 tomorrow.

Don: How does Max Meyer compare to Carson Fulmer?
Keith Law: Not even remotely similar. Fulmer had a max-effort delivery with 40 command. Meyer has a good delivery, far more athleticism, and better command now projecting to above-average.

Luke: What are your thoughts on Robert Puason? Getting much less hype than Jasson. Who would you rather have long term?
Keith Law: Dominguez is the clearly better prospect of the two.

Craig: Putting aside the merits of the protests (and they are very clearly meritorious), why is it safe “to gather that many people with that kind of proximity” right now?  Why aren’t public health officials urging protesters to quarantine with other protesters?  If gathering in large groups is a public health risk, why aren’t public health officials noting that fact (while supporting the aims/goals of the protest) and urging countermeasures (self-quaranting, testing, telling immunocompromised people to support the protest in other ways, etc.)?
Keith Law: It’s not safe. However, freedom of assembly is one of our First Amendment rights. Freedom to go to a baseball game is not.

Johnny: As a clarification, do you view your mock draft as a prediction of what might happen or a ranking of what “should” happen with the best player available mindset?

If it’s a projection, who is the BPA for the M’s at 6? I want something to wistfully look back on when they go a wildly different direction
Keith Law: It’s a prediction. My opinion on players is not a factor.

Howey: I really appreciate the pieces published by The Athletic regarding the black experience in America, and the very active policing of “stick to sports” or “I got called a cracker once” comments below (If I don’t have to look at another one of Wil C.’s comments again I will be perfectly happy). Don’t know why this chat feels like the place to mention it, but I hope the higher-ups know it’s appreciated.
Keith Law: Well, I know the higher-ups read, so they’ll see this.

JB: Do you think Foscue is a 2B only?
Keith Law: Yes. Below average arm limits him.

Zachary: Sen. Lisa Murkowski, R-Alaska: “When I saw General Mattis’ comments yesterday I felt like perhaps we are getting to a point where we can be more honest with the concerns that we might hold internally and have the courage of our own convictions to speak up.” Yes, a sitting Senator says she might be getting to a point where she can have the courage of her own convictions to speak up. Perhaps.
Keith Law: She has, like, five constituents. Is she just that afraid of pissing one of them off?

Eric: FYI: the flag is … a piece of cloth
Keith Law: That has been my opinion for a very long time. The idea of “respecting” a piece of fabric does not resonate with me. You may respect the country, or not. You may respect its institutions or its leaders, or not. Respecting an object of inorganic, inanimate material? No. Stand, sit, kneel, ignore as you wish. It’s just cloth.

Paul: Sorry – my question was cut off. What is your recommendation for ordinary people with limited financial means that want to donate with as much influence as possible. I’m assuming down ballot congressional races, buying from locally and minority owned businesses and donating to charities like Actblue. What else would you suggest?
Keith Law: My general rule for donating is to focus on local nonprofits with small, achievable goals that can be verified. “End world hunger!” sounds nice, but it’s never happening. “Feed five families in Wilmington” is doable. I give regularly to my local food pantry. I have given this week to the Ida B. Wells Society and to the Philadelphia Bail Fund, both of which get money directly to people who need it. Those are charities that work. I suppose if you’re a billionaire you can throw your (dark) money around in different ways, but for folks like us, stay small and local.

Kretin: I’ve read a lot about Meyer being slightly shorter than a pitcher should be. Is this a big concern for teams over his stuff and results?
Keith Law: He’s not, and it’s only a slight issue. I think if he were 6’3″ we’d talk about him at 1-1.

addoeh: Do you think a team with real WS expectations might take a few relievers that are ready now to increase their odds this year?  I’m thinking especially after the first round.
Keith Law: Yes.

Jason: How confident are you that Nick Gonzales will become an above-average regular (relative to your confidence for any draft prospects)? His lower EV’s scare me a bit.
Keith Law: I am not.

Kevin: Do you think front offices keep close tabs on what you (and people similar to you) are saying in chats like these or are they too busy focusing on their own info?
Keith Law: I know they read because sometimes they text me about them, although it’s more likely to be about a board game or a book or something.

Dave: The vibe on the west coast is that nobody is much excited about Biden, but will of course vote for him to get rid of Trump. What is the vibe in his home state of Delaware?
Keith Law: Most folks here revere the Bidens, and his visit to a black church this week was extremely well received.

Mr. Met: I’ve seen the Mets all over the place in mocks. Are they just in BPA mode without regard to position or college/hs?
Keith Law: That’s not true. I can’t and won’t speak to other mocks, but I think they go HS bat or college arm.

Long Island Is Racist: If you had told me in 2016 that under President Donald Trump we would be facing a recession, a horribly mishandled pandemic and “race riots” I would have absolutely believed you.
Keith Law: Long Island is racist, BTW. They kept voting in Peter King.
Keith Law: Not that one – the racist one.

Big Meat Pete: Did you see Pete Alonso’s posts on Instagram supporting Black Lives Matter? Strongly recommend looking for them. I was pleasantly surprised to see him take a stand.
Keith Law: I did, and yes, he did very well with those posts. Easy for someone in his position to say or do nothing.

Brad: Does Tom Ricketts truly think we are dumb? Saying 70% of their revenue is from the gate and crying poor.
Keith Law: He does think you’re dumb. You’ve seen members of mainstream media outlets repeat Trump’s lies without questioning or fact-checking them. I’m sure Tommy Boy thinks he can get away with the same.

Mary Jo: In a recent column on The Athletic, you showed why picking HS arms in the first round doesn’t frequently pay off. In a class full of good college talent, how many HS pitchers do you have in your top 20?
Keith Law: Rankings? I think 1.

Guest: You see that Trump may have committed voter fraud himself with his registration?
Keith Law: Yeah, I did, and it won’t go anywhere.

Guest: My understanding (as a Chemist), was that Keto is science-based.  In the era of science deniers that that you and I feel so strongly about, I’d appreciate if you cited your sources rather than just call something pseudo-science or fad without further evidence.  I am not doubting you, I’m just curious to see your side of the argument.
Keith Law: This is a chat. I’m not stopping everything to go link to multiple sources to back something up here as I would if I were writing a column or a book.

Mike: Any thoughts behind the mindset of police responding to protests about abuse with so much abuse?  And why hasn’t the MSM focused on it more?
Keith Law: It is far easier to write about violence than about peaceful protests.

Matt: I’m still trying to figure out why the National Anthem is played prior to sporting events in the first place.
Keith Law: If I were Commissioner, there would be no anthems and absolutely no GBA. You want a national pep rally? Fine. Go hold one on Main Street with 76 trombones. This is a sporting event, with fans and players from all over the world and from different faiths.

BVW: Are prep players MORE likely to skip this draft and head to college, since bonuses will be paid out gradually and the minor-league picture is hazy, or LESS likely, given that in college, they would suddenly be competing for playing time against nearly four full classes of upperclassmen?
Keith Law: More likely – but they may go to two-year colleges rather than four-year ones.

JeffinNZ: Colin Kaepernick insisted repeatedly in 2016 that he wouldn’t vote and others shouldn’t because he viewed Trump and Clinton as similarly racist. Leaving aside how ridiculous that is (is any American as racist as Trump?) and how that difference has been borne out, thoughts on what adults can do to get through to those with this mentality?
Keith Law: I don’t think you can get through to people who’ve decided that.

Gerald: Did you appreciate the comments of President Bush?  Many will discount everything he says because of things that happened while in office, but I do think he is generally a very good man that does love all people.
Keith Law: I appreciated his comments. I wish he’d acted on such sentiments when he had the power to do something. But I will take his comments now rather than silence.

Ben: … “the scale of losses across the league is biblical.”  If I had snorted into my coffee any harder, I may have drowned.
Keith Law: (whispers) They think we’re all stupid.

Hi: If Detmers isn’t available at  pick #11, who do the White Sox pivot to?
Keith Law: If he’s not there someone else from the top ten is there (by definition) so they might end up with Kjerstad or Cavalli.

Dean: Keith, when working for Toronto were you privy to their books or was that only shared with people in the finance department and top executives? Do you think the financial statements leaked from the Marlins several years ago were a complete picture?
Keith Law: I saw the books, yes. That’s why I’ve said for 14 years now that teams play with transfer pricing and pay themselves a pittance for broadcast rights, so the TV/radio entities take all the profits and the team itself appears to be losing money or making very little.

Tom: We obviously have to get out and vote, but when my choices in November are either a 70+ year old who can’t speak in complete or coherent sentences and has been accused of sexual assault, or a 70+ year old who can’t speak in complete or coherent sentences and has been accused of sexual assault, forgive me for not feeling real confident in how things will shape up for a while.
Keith Law: False equivalence.

Rick: If you were a ballplayer, would you want Scott Boras as your agent?
Keith Law: Yes. Why not?

Trevor: Do you think any goodwill is being earned by the teams/owners that are continuing to pay all staff and, especially, all minor leaguers?  Will there be any negative blowback from agents, or will they still always direct their clients to the highest dollar offer?
Keith Law: I think the goodwill is on the PR side. Maybe it means a few players re-up if the money is equal but I do not think any player or agent will turn down more money to stay with a team that paid them $400/week.

Dave: Over/Under 25% chance Cubs take a HS Pitcher in the 1st?
Keith Law: I’d say zero chance there.

JO: Speaking of Cavalli. Isn’t he going to be a reliever all the way given is command issues? Do you really think he can or should go in the first round? If so Isn’t it a gamble that his command will straighten up?
Keith Law: No, I do not see that at all with him. I think you overstate his command issues and underestimate the potential for an athlete like Cavalli, who was still hitting part-time last year, to improve in pro ball.

Andy: Baseball especially shouldn’t play the National Anthem, since a significant minority of the players aren’t from the US. I wonder how the Carlos Delgado situation would go now.
Keith Law: I wish more players would take a knee in baseball … it might put an end to any controversy around that practice.
Keith Law: (Non-troversy, really.)

David: Keith, looking forward to tomorrow’s list. Does Pete Crow-Armstrong project to develop enough power to make him an impact player? From what I’ve read, it seems that’s the element he’s missing from his game.
Keith Law: He could be an impact player between his glove and his bat, but I don’t think he ends up with plus power.

addoeh: Tom Cotton during 2015 Jade Helm – We can’t have the military attack citizens.

Tom Cotton today – Actually, that sounds like a good idea…
Keith Law: The capacity of the American right to ignore and contradict their own previous statements is bottomless.

Eric: My wife had to drive to Phoenix and back to LA and she surprised me with Pizzeria Bianco (which I never had before). She’s definitely a hall of famer
Keith Law: Agreed.

Mike: What do you think Mick Abel and Nick Bitsko’s floors are? Any chance either falls out of the top 20?
Keith Law: I wouldn’t be surprised if Bitsko fell to the comp round and was paid first-round money there. It’s a good outcome for him and would mean some team takes him with their second pick, mitigating their risk by presumably taking a bat or college arm with their first pick.

Aaron: Would the Braves go after a prep player who signs at slot in the 1st round if Pete Crow or Kelley are there? Or are they most definitely signing someone under slot with the 25th overall pick?
Keith Law: I never said anything about them going under slot at 25. That’s a fabrication. I don’t think PCA gets to their pick.

Ted: Thanks for the chat.   Since there are rumors that there may not be any milb this season, Any idea on where the newly drafted players will report once they’ve signed?
Keith Law: They may not, not for a little while. I suppose teams would eventually want players to come to their spring training facilities for an introduction of sorts, but there is no place for the kids to play now.

Nolan: How can people not see that the keto diet is a fad? The same diet emerges every ten years or so under a different name.
Keith Law: I remember having an argument with a co-worker on the Atkins diet when I was with Toronto … I said the same thing, it’s a fad diet, and not sustainable, and probably not very good for your body long-term.
Keith Law: Any “yo-yo” diets lead to rapid weight-loss fluctuations, and that is linked with higher risk of mortality.

Mike: Do you support the abolition of a policed state? I’ve been hearing that a lot lately, and am trying to picture what it would look like.
Keith Law: I don’t know exactly what that entails either, but I know I suppose demilitarizing the police. How much PPE could states, counties, and cities have bought with what they spent to buy military equipment for police?
Keith Law: And, again, who is harmed the most by overly aggressive, militarized police outfits? Communities of color. Not me, in my nice mostly-white suburb. I could sit here and say and do nothing, and the police would do what we expect police to do on a daily basis – keep us safe, maintain some basic sense of order. That is my privilege. I say something and donate money to relevant causes against my own interests. I do that because if people like me say and do nothing, then nothing will change in our lifetimes.
Keith Law: Thank you all for your questions and for your patience this week. I will be more active with chats next week, including a Q&A on the Athletic site and some sort of video chat the day of the draft itself (details TBD). Stay safe, but not silent.

Comments

  1. Butch Baccala

    Apologies for my tardiness, I understand this is not how this works, but IF you happen to glance at the comments, I was wondering if you’ve had the chance to listen to the new Freddie Gibbs album, Alfredo, and if so what your thoughts were. I vaguely remember one of his songs being among your favorites a few years ago, so I wanted to hear your thoughts. Thanks!

  2. hogan david

    People do have a right to peaceful assembly. They also have a right to assemble to worship. Both are protected activities. Yet one group is being allowed to do that and another is not.

    • False. Freedom of worship is not the right to assemble to worship. If God is everywhere, you can worship from anywhere.

    • A Salty Scientist

      IANAL, but my impression is SCOTUS has defined freedom of assembly rather narrowly in the context of protest and/or petition. Regardless, constitutionally-protected rights frequently butt heads with one another and are thus not absolute.

  3. hogan david

    Major western religions would disagree Father Keith. People can also protest in specified areas provided by the government or protest online by that logic. Not your best work.

    • Too bad major western religions don’t make the laws.

    • Too bad major western religions don’t make the laws.

      Or, good thing they don’t. And they didn’t write our Constitution either.

    • Sorry, that was my sentiment. Sarcastically.
      Speaking of the founding fathers, lately I’ve been thinking about what their reaction would be to people screaming at each other over a freaking national anthem.

  4. hogan david

    Baseball question… (shocker)

    Setting aside your feelings and concerns for players well-being, is there a scenario in which you would rather not see baseball come back this year?

    I am just not interested in a 50 game season and a goofy free for all playoff with the World Series taking place in an empty stadium in Orlando on Christmas.

    • My only concern with baseball returning is the pandemic. I don’t want to see baseball cause an outbreak.

  5. Mark: Do you see any scenario where a team in the top 10 takes Crochet on a heavy underslot deal? Betting on the high ceiling and saving slot. Albeit giving up considerable safety/floor.
    Keith Law: No. That would be very foolish.

    So what you’re saying is that if someone uses a top ten pick on Crochet… you’d be in stitches?

  6. re: Keto. I wouldn’t quite call it a fad diet, but maybe just not a real long term solution. I tried it and found it INCREDIBLY difficult, because guess what, almost everything you’d wanna eat has sugar and/or carbs.
    BUT… I stuck with it and after 6 weeks I lost like 18 pounds (and I started under 200lbs). I’d say I was strictly Keto for about four months, then took a break for Thanksgiving and off it completely around Christmas. Since then, I’ve basically TRIED not to eat carbs and have basically still cut out sugar. And I’ve only gained five pounds back.
    Basically, once you train yourself that you don’t need so many carbs and so much sugar, you can still eat them but you eat a lot less. I’d call Keto more a gateway to a lifestyle change, not so much a sustainable diet. Because life is too short to never eat pasta again. Bottom line, most people eat WAY too much sugar.

    As a side benefit, I usually get a really bad cold or flu EVERY winter, and this was the first year since I was like 10 that I didn’t get sick once, despite my wife and kids both getting sick all winter. Pretty good time to have a better immune system.

    • A Salty Scientist

      IMO, anything unsustainable to most people long-term is a fad. The ketogenic diet was originally intended as a treatment for childhood epilepsy with the side effect of causing weight loss. Long term, there are other possible serious side effects to staying in ketosis, so this is not a benign diet.

      Your point about cutting empty carbs and sugars as much as possible is a good one. Just want to point out that the “true” keto diet had an intended medical purpose is not without risks.

    • I thought the Keto diet was also for diabetics?
      I’ve definitely tried fad diets in the past, and while this one was the hardest to start/maintain, it’s definitely the only one that actually resulted in a long term change in my eating habits. Obviously mileage may vary and not everyone would get that out of Keto and not everyone needs Keto to make that change, but for me personally using it as a general guideline when food shopping has made a huge, huge difference.
      That said, it’s astonishing that there’s still not even a “good enough” substitute for a corn chip or potato. I’ve tried literally dozens and the closet I’ve discovered, just recently, is parsnip chips, which actually taste good and are pretty low in carbs.

    • A Salty Scientist

      There’s certainly research on keto and diabetes (and likely some benefit–though I am not convinced that going into ketosis has any benefit for most people relative to maintaining a low glycemic index with low carbs). But, it was not originally intended as a diabetic diet: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/j.1528-1167.2008.01821.x

  7. There has been one instance of violence against protesters that received a lot of coverage. Of course, it required the President to be the one who demanded it and get a photo op.

    The first athlete in my lifetime I can remember protesting the anthem was Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf in 1996.

    • This may be “outside your lifetime”, in which case I apologize, but Tommy Smith and Juan Carlos say hi from the 1968 Olympic medal podium in Mexico City.

  8. Keith, just a note of thanks for suggesting the miso-braised chicken recipe from the NY Times during the previous chat. It’s amazing that such a simple recipe with so few ingredients can enhance the flavor of chicken to that degree. I occasionally cook with miso, but this was the first time I tried it with baked chicken. Miso also works exceptionally well in stir-fries with fresh ginger and vegetables, with eggplant being a particular favorite.

  9. I am very confused as to why people are donating to bail funds (as you mentioned you donated to the Philadelphia bail fund). Peaceful protesters aren’t being arrested, by and large. The people being arrested are the people giving peaceful protesters a bad name: the rioters, arsonists, and looters.

    The Wall Street Journal has a heartbreaking article about how 52nd Street in West Philadelphia has 200+ businesses, 90% minority owned, and dozens of these businesses were damaged, looted, or burned. I sincerely hope that some of the people arrested in Philly were those that were responsible. The last thing I want to do is help any of them! Please enlighten me, because I truly don’t understand why people are donating to bail funds, when there are so many other ways to constructively donate.

    This is a nice story, for instance:
    https://sports.yahoo.com/looters-burned-her-business-then-a-complete-stranger-stepped-in-to-help-012133976.html

  10. You mention that large scale public events like ballgames with fans won’t be safe until we have a vaccine. What if that never comes?

    • I think this is a fair question. There’s a nonzero chance that a vaccine is never developed that fully works. (Though I suspect the odds of this are low.) Should that come to pass, we’ll need to address a lot of hard questions, both in sports and society writ large.

  11. Response to Paul’s question in the chat about what you can do to make a difference with limited funds available: volunteer! There are easy ways to volunteer that don’t cost anything (or very little) except for your time. You can phone bank, text bank and write postcards from your home. Use social media to share links to voter registration and other causes you care about. Another good way is to talk to your friends, family and neighbors. Face-to-face (or Facetime to Facetime?) conversations are a great for engaging likely voters.

  12. “We obviously have to get out and vote, but when my choices in November are either a 70+ year old who can’t speak in complete or coherent sentences and has been accused of sexual assault, or a 70+ year old who can’t speak in complete or coherent sentences and has been accused of sexual assault, forgive me for not feeling real confident in how things will shape up for a while.”

    I love it when kids post stupid willfully ignorant shit like this. Makes me feel smart.

    • Your can choose to engage with people and attempt to convince them of your position, or you can simply demean anyone who doesn’t think like you. It’s your choice of course, but just remember what happened in 2016 when the whole platform was the latter (“America is already great”), and if you’re willing to take that risk again just to comfort your own feelings of superiority.

  13. Mike,

    When people ask a question by posing a false equivalency, they’re not being sincere so I am okay with demeaning those who approach in a disingenuous manner.

    • Call it a false equivalency all you want, but 40% of people didn’t vote in 2016 increasingly because people don’t see a difference between what the parties have to offer (https://theintercept.com/2020/04/09/nonvoters-are-not-privileged-they-are-largely-lower-income-non-white-and-dissatisfied-with-the-two-parties/). So if you’re a Biden supporter, it’s on you to convince them otherwise.

    • Depressed in Milwaukee

      I’ve had a couple of friends on the left who were disappointed with the Biden nomination. They said they were going to sit the next election out, then the last couple of weeks changed their minds. I’ve had a couple of friends on the right change their minds as well. Basically a lot of people will be voting “against Trump”, not for “for Biden”. I’m really disappointed in the Democratic Party. I don’t think they’ve learned anything from the 2016 election. Obviously Trump needs to go, but I don’t think the Democrats have proven that they deserve the presidency either. 260 million people, and these two are the best we have? My faith in this country lessens daily. We could be great, but we’re not.

  14. Not enough people are talking about the book “My Grandmother’s Hands” by Resmaa Menakem. Great book to understand trauma from IPOC, white people, and police and how to heal it.